AIR FRANCE-KLM RESULTS PRESENTATION

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Transcription:

AIR FRANCE-KLM RESULTS PRESENTATION Full Year 208 20 February 209

RESILIENT FULL YEAR RESULT DESPITE STRIKE IMPACT AND FUEL INCREASE More than 00 million passengers carried in 208, European leader for long-haul Passengers +2.8% RASK () At constant currency +.% Successful expansion of Transavia in France and the Netherlands and solid growth trend of MRO third-party activity Significant progress in the social dialogue > Air France: finalization of labor agreements for all staff categories > KLM: new CLAs implemented for all staff categories 98.7m 0.4m FY207 FY208 FY207 FY208 Operating result Net debt - 59m - 95m,923 6,359 6,64,332 FY207 (2) (2) FY208 FY207 FY208 () Group revenues per Available Seat Kilometer (RASK) Passenger + Transavia (2) Restated for implementation of new IFRS accounting standards 2

FINANCIAL REVIEW FRÉDÉRIC GAGEY Results at 3 December 208

Q4 208: REVENUE INCREASE OF +4.% AND AN OPERATING RESULT AT 40 MILLION AFTER SIGNIFICANT FUEL IMPACT () Change at constant currency Revenues ( bn) 6.54 6.28 +4.% +4.3% EBITDA ( m) 776 970-20.0% -5.7% Operating result ( m) 40 228-82.4% -77.7% Operating margin 0.6% 3.6% -3.0 pt -2.3 pt (2) Q4 208 Q4 207 Change Net income - Group part ( m) -28-928 +70m () () Restated for implementation of new IFRS accounting standards (2) Net income - group part one-off elements in Q4 207: - Positive effect of 47 million after tax in Q4 207 resulting from IFRS 6 restatement of lease debt in dollars - Non current expense impact of,95 million after tax in Q4 207 related to KLM pension plan de-recognition Excluding these one-offs, the change in Net income - group part Q4 208 is -438 million compared to last year. 4

Q4 208: REVENUE GROWTH SUPPORTED BY ALL BUSINESSES Capacity () Unit Revenue (2) Constant Currency Revenues ( m) Change Operating result ( m) Change (3) Operating margin Change (3) +3.2% -0.% Network 5,727 +3.7% 34-82.9% 0.6% -3.0 pt +0.7% +.3% Transavia +4.4% -0.9% 309 +2.0% -42 +20.4% -3.6% -.0 pt Maintenance 490 +5.4% 46-27.8% 3.8% -2.0 pt Group +3.7% -0.2% 6,538 +4.% 40-82.4% 0.6% -3.0 pt () Passenger airline capacity = Available Seat Kilometers, Cargo capacity = Available Ton Kilometers, Group capacity = Equivalent Available Seat Kilometers (2) Unit revenues: Passenger airlines = revenue per Available Seat Kilometer, Cargo = revenue per Available Ton Kilometer, Group = revenue per Equivalent Available Seat Kilometer (3) 207 restated for implementation of the new IFRS accounting standards 5

Q4 208: LONG-HAUL UNIT REVENUE SLIGHTLY POSITIVE WITH A STRONG ASIAN NETWORK PERFORMANCE, STABILITY IN THE MEDIUM-HAUL NETWORK Total 3.2% 3.5% -0.% ASK RPK RASK ex cur. Premium +.% RASK ex cur. Economy -0.6% Medium-haul point-to-point Medium-haul hubs Total medium-haul -2.3% -2.3% -.2% 3.0%.8% 0.5% 2.0%.% ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. -0.% North America 5.3% 5.% Caribbean & Indian Ocean 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% Asia 2.6% 4.2% 4.8% -0.7% ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. 0.5% Latin America Africa & Middle East Total long-haul 9.6% -.5% -0.2% 0.5% 3.6% 4.% 0.2% -5.4% ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. 6

Q4 208 UNIT COSTS DOWN -0.9%, FULL YEAR UNIT COSTS AT +0.6% IN LINE WITH GUIDANCE Q4 208 cost efficiencies offsetting wage inflation including retroactive booking Full Year 208 unit cost +0.6% within guided target range, and -0.2% net of strike impact Q4 208 + 3.0% Underlying unit cost -0.5% -3.5% +0.2% -0.9% Reported change () Currency effect Fuel price effect Pension effect At constant currency, fuel and pension expenses () 207 restated for implementation of the new IFRS accounting standards 7

Q4 208: LABOR PRODUCTIVITY IMPROVED, IMPLEMENTATION OF ANNUAL WAGE AGREEMENTS AT AIR FRANCE Q4 staff cost +3% and +% excluding retroactive booking of the new Air France labor agreement Employee productivity +2.2% in Q4 (with capacity +3.7%) Employee productivity Average FTEs, including temporary staff 5,600 52,450 +850 FTE +3.0% productivity () +350 FTE 3,950 +.3% 32,350 productivity () Q4 207 Q4 208 Q4 207 Q4 208 () Productivity measured in EASK/FTE 8

FULL YEAR OPERATING RESULT AT.3 BILLION, FURTHER NET DEBT REDUCTION OF 95 MILLION FY 208 FY 207 Change Change at constant currency Revenues ( bn) 26.5 25.87 +2.5% +5.0% EBITDA ( m) 4,27 4,763 -.5% -8.0% Operating result ( m),332,923-30.7% -23.4% Operating margin 5.0% 7.4% -2.4 pt -.9 pt (2) Net income - Group part ( m) 409 63 +5% Adjusted operating free cash flow ( m) 5 677-83.0% () ROCE 9.8% 4.4% -4.6 pt () 3 Dec 208 3 Dec 207 Change () Net debt ( m) 6,64 6,359-95m Net debt/ebitda.5x.3x +0.3 pt () Restated for implementation of new IFRS accounting standards (2) Net income - group part one-off elements in FY207: - Positive effect of 386 million after tax in FY207 resulting from IFRS 6 restatement of lease debt in dollars - Non current expense impact of,428 million after tax in 207 related to KLM pension plan de-recognition Excluding these one-offs, the change of Net income - group part FY208 is - 796 million compared to last year 9

RESILIENT RESULTS DESPITE STRIKE IMPACT AND FUEL INCREASE, SUBSTANTIAL MARGIN AT TRANSAVIA FY 208 Capacity () Unit Revenue (2) Constant Currency Revenues ( m) Change Operating result ( m) Change (3) Operating margin Change (3) +2.% +.% Network 22,943 +.6% 994-36.% +0.% +5.2% 4.3% -2.6 pt Transavia +8.4% +3.6%,6 +2.2% 39 +8.0% 8.6% +0.4 pt Maintenance,920 +6.6% 95-22.5% 4.5% -.6 pt Group +2.4% +.5% 26,55 +2.5%,332-30.7% 5.0% -2.4 pt () Passenger airline capacity = Available Seat Kilometers, Cargo capacity = Available Ton Kilometers, Group capacity = Equivalent Available Seat Kilometers (2) Unit revenues: Passenger airlines = revenue per Available Seat Kilometer, Cargo = revenue per Available Ton Kilometer, Group = revenue per Equivalent Available Seat Kilometer (3) 207 restated for implementation of the new IFRS accounting standards 0

NETWORK REVENUE INCREASE DRIVEN BY HIGHER UNIT REVENUES AND OPERATING RESULT IMPACTED BY STRIKES Q4 208 Passenger unit revenues -0.% at constant currency, including the negative impact of protest movements in France Full Year Passenger unit revenues at +.% at constant currency despite negative strike effect Ancillaries revenues at 650 million, +0.8% in 208 compared to last year Q4 208 Cargo maintains positive unit revenues (RATK) +.3% at constant currency and Full Year 208 at 5.2%, particularly driven by strength in Asia, North America and Europe Both full freighters and bellies deliver an increased positive contribution to the Network result compared to last year

TRANSAVIA STRONG GROWTH AND A RECORD HIGH MARGIN Best result since launch of Transavia: operating result of 39 million and operating margin above 8% in the two companies, of which Transavia France 9.% Accelerated capacity growth in fourth quarter 208 +4.4%, ending 208 with growth of +8.4%, of which +2% in France Transavia s cost structure is well aligned with the low-cost business model: Maximizing use of aircraft, a single aircraft type Simplicity of the product and fares, multiple options Light organizational structure, outsourcing non-core activities, strong synergies between the two subsidaries (2) 2

MAINTENANCE ORDER BOOK INCREASE CONTINUING Several large contracts won for NextGen components and Engines Third-party revenues maintain solid growth trend, margin pressure partly due to one-offs For 209, focus on margin through better optimization of the turn-around-time and first effects of selective tendering In m FY 208 FY 207 Change At constant currency Total revenues 4,349 4,55 +4.7% Third-party revenues,920,80 +6.6% +.0% Operating result 95 252-57 m -42 m Operating margin 4.5% 6.% -.6 pt -.4 pt (2) In $m 3 Dec 208 3 Dec 207 Change () Order book,400 0,800 +600 m () Order book is the cumulative value of signed contracts with external customers and may differ from the order book accounting definition in the financial statements 3

AIR FRANCE RESULT IMPACTED BY STRIKES, KLM DELIVERS A SOLID RESULT IN LINE WITH LAST YEAR S PERFORMANCE FY 208 Capacity Revenues ( m) Change Operating result ( m) Change Operating margin Change Net debt ( m) Change +2.5% 6,073 +.2% 266-69.2%.7% -3.8 pt 3,556-36 +2.3% 0,955 +5.0%,073-0.5% 9.8% -0.5 pt 2,826-454 +2.4% 26,55 +2.5%,332-30.7% 5.0% -2.4 pt 6,64-95 207 restated for implementation of the new IFRS accounting standards 4

POSITIVE ADJUSTED OPERATING FREE CASH FLOW DESPITE THE STRIKES FY 208 In m (FY 207: +3949) 3,596 (FY 207: +29) (FY 207: -4) (FY 207: -2438) +246-30 -2,625 (FY 207: +66),087 (FY 207: -984) -972 (FY 207: 677) 5 Cash flow before VDP and change in WCR Change in WCR Voluntary Departure Plans Net investments Operating Free Cash Flow () Payment of lease debt Adjusted operating free cash flow () Adjusted operating free cash flow = Operating free cash flow with deduction of repayment of lease debt 5

NET DEBT REDUCED BY 95 MILLION YOY, INCLUDING REPURCHASE OF 97 MILLION OF HYBRID BONDS In m Net Debt evolution 6,359-972 -5 +439 +2 +242 6,64 Net debt at 3 Dec Payment of lease debt Adj.operating free cash New lease debt Repurchase hybrid Currency & other Net debt at 3 Dec () (2) (including premium) 207 flow 208 Net Debt / EBITDA (3) Liquidity situation In bn 6.4 5.4.7.8.3x.5x 4.7 3.6 () 3 Dec 207 3 Dec 208 () Restated for implementation of the new IFRS accounting standards and restated again for 207 base compared to previous reporting by - 22 mln correction on IFRS leases, due to a revision of accounting for real-estate contracts (2) Adjusted operating free cash flow = Operating free cash flow with deduction of repayment of lease debt (3) Net Debt / EBITDA: 2 months sliding, see calculation in press release 6 3 Dec 207 3 Dec 208 Cash & Cash Equivalents Undrawn credit lines

Results at 3 December 208 OUTLOOK

REVENUE OUTLOOK Long-haul forward booking load factor (change vs previous year) Easter effect +2 pt +2 pt +2 pt -0 pt -2 pt Feb-9 Mar-9 Apr-9 May-9 Jun-9 Based on the current data for Passenger network: Long-haul forward booking load factors from February to April are on average stable compared to last year, and positively oriented for the early summer, First quarter passenger unit revenues at constant currency expected below last year, due in part to the Easter shift. 8

FUEL BILL INCREASE BY 650 MILLION IN 209, EXPLAINED BY DIFFERENCE IN HEDGE IMPACT COMPARED TO 208 208: Fuel bill 4.9bn (2) 209: Fuel bill 5.6bn (2) 2020: Fuel bill 5.8bn (2) Market price Price after hedge $ bn 208 209 2020 6.4 () 6.8 () 5.8 () () () ().5.4.6.8.6 208 209 2020 Q4 8 Q 9 Q2 9 Q3 9 Q4 9 Brent ($ per bbl) () 72 65 64 68 63 66 66 65 Jet fuel ($ per metric ton) () 738 703 75 740 675 706 72 76 Jet fuel ($ per metric ton) () 65 693 77 683 658 686 708 77 % of consumption already hedged 60% 59% 33% 59% 6% 6% 6% 55% Hedge result (in $ m) 800 00 0 50 50 50 0 0 () () () Based on forward curve at 5 February 209. Sensitivity computation based on 209 fuel price, assuming constant crack spread between Brent and Jet Fuel. Jet fuel price including into plane cost (2) Assuming average exchange rate on US dollar/euro of.8 for 208,.4 for 209 and.7 for 2020 9

20 CAPEX SUPPORTING THE GROUP S AMBITION Capex breakdown 209 20% 0% 0% 3.2bn planned 20% 40% New fleet Ground & IT innovation Maintenance Spare parts Cabin modifications Aircraft type Entry 209 787 6 A350 3 737 4 209 Capex compared to former medium-term guidance: E&M business expansion for spare parts + 50 m Aircraft modifications + 50 m Transavia accelerated fleet expansion + 00 m Operating lease shop visit + 250 m (IFRS6 impact without cash incidence)

FULL YEAR GUIDANCE Actual 208 Guidance 209 Capacity Passenger +2.% +2.0% to +3.0% Transavia +8.4% +9% to +% Fuel + 450m + 650m Currency 83m headwind Neutral effect Unit cost ex-currency at constant fuel price +0.6% -% to 0% () Capex 2.6bn 3.2bn Net Debt / EBITDA.5x below.5x () To align with industry practice, the metric EASK will not be used anymore as of 209. New Unit Cost definition will be: Net cost per Available Seat Kilometer at constant fuel and currency The impact of this change should be approximately -0.pt for 209 2

STRATEGIC ORIENTATIONS BENJAMIN SMITH Results at 3 December 208

A STRONG POSITION IN THE COMPETITIVE AIRLINE MARKETPLACE 38 destinations in 8 countries 548 aircraft 88,800 full-time employees+ 2,000 aircraft maintained for 200+ clients 74 new routes added in 208 0m+ passengers carried in 208.m tons of cargo transported in 208 23

A STRONG POSITION IN THE COMPETITIVE AIRLINE MARKETPLACE Outstanding professionalism and commitment of the Group employees Paris-CDG & Amsterdam-Schiphol: 2 of the largest connecting hubs in Europe The European pillar of the leading global airline partnership, which includes Delta and China Eastern Leverage our powerful competitive advantages Strong presence in all major markets The largest network between Europe and the rest of the world 24

A STRONG POSITION IN THE COMPETITIVE AIRLINE MARKETPLACE relying on strong brands benefiting from exceptional reputations Globally recognized as premium airline Strong French home market Connecting passengers An efficient network airline Primarly focused on connecting customers A unique Dutch identity The Group s low-cost business Point-to-point flights to Europe from the Netherlands and France Leader in hospitality, service and digital services 25

THREE PRIORITIES LAYING THE FOUNDATION TO REGAIN THE LEADING POSITION IN EUROPE Conclusion of new, balanced labor agreements at Air France Simplified governance to support the Group s ambition Representing a major step towards rebuilding confidence and trust Enabling necessary flexibility to implement future commercial strategy Key goals: Simplify and accelerate decision processes Maximize overall value for the Group and all its entities Creation of a CEO committee: Benjamin Smith, Pieter Elbers, Anne Rigail and Frédéric Gagey Develop a go forward strategy First initiatives Improving and simplifying Air France-KLM s brand portfolio and product offer Simplifying and optimizing the fleet Boosting our competitiveness 26

SIMPLIFYING AND STRENGTHENING AIR FRANCE-KLM S BRAND PORTFOLIO From several over-lapping brands to a simplified brand portfolio Objective: provide greater clarity for customers and more consistency with the Group's global commercial product offer Decision to integrate Joon employees and aircraft into Air France, the latest cabin crew agreements enable Air France to retain Joon s cost savings through other means Air France regional fleet, currently under the HOP! brand, will wear the Air France HOP livery 27

SIMPLIFYING AND STRENGTHENING AIR FRANCE-KLM S OFFER THROUGH NETWORK OPTIMIZATION Long-haul network Vancouver Detroit Seattle Minneapolis Montreal Paris San Francisco Boston Chicago New York City Los Angeles Atlanta Washington D.C. Niamey Beirut Ammam Dallas Houston Miami Ouagadougou Lagos Cairo Cancun Dubai Havana Bamako Mexico City Punta Cana Nouakchott Mumbai Santo Domingo Saint Martin Dakar N Djamena Bangalore San José Fort de France Abuja Djibouti Conakry Panama City Caracas Douala Bogota Cayenne Freetown Bangui Abidjan Yaoundé Nairobi Quito Fortaleza Accra Libreville Lomé Brazzaville Lima Cotonou Kinshasa Malabo Luanda Antananarivo Sao Paolo Rio de Janeiro Réunion Pointe Noire Mauritius Cape Town Johannesburg Buenos Aires Air France destinations Network rationalization in S9 Destinations with at least one full flat flight per day Toronto La Première destinations with at least one flight per day Santiago del Chile 28 Beijing Seoul Shanghai Hong Kong Singapore Taipei Madras-Chennai Hanoi Bangkok Ho Chi Minh City Osaka Tokyo-Narita Tokyo-Haneda Papeete

SIMPLIFYING AND STRENGTHENING AIR FRANCE-KLM S OFFER THROUGH NETWORK OPTIMIZATION Long-haul network Edmonton Calgary Vancouver Montreal Minneapolis Toronto Salt Lake City Boston San Francisco Chicago New York City Las Vegas Washington D.C. Los Angeles Atlanta Houston Aruba Curacao Bonaire Panama City Cartagena Bogota Paramaribo Quito Guayaquil Fortaleza Lima Amsterdam Accra Lagos Tel Aviv Kuwait City Dammam Dubai Entebbe Kigali Arusha Luanda Nairobi Abu Dhabi Muscat Dar es Salam Bombay Beijing Seoul Chengdu Shanghai Hangzhou Osaka New Delhi Xiamen Taipei Hong Kong Bangkok Kuala Lumpur Singapore Jakarta Manila Denpasar Tokyo KLM destinations Santiago del Chile Sao Paulo Buenos Aires Rio de Janeiro Windhoek Cape Town Johannesburg 29

DELIVERING THE BEST PRODUCT OFFER TO OUR CLIENTS Right-sized cabins and more efficient aircraft interior configurations, to serve each market segment with appropriate gauge and product Aircraft retrofit to latest cabin standards to be accelerated First Air France Airbus 330 retrofitted on line two weeks ago Airbus 380 retrofit to be launched in 2020 All aircraft retrofit completed at KLM Flight connectivity in all the Group s long-haul fleet in 2020 30

SIMPLIFYING AND OPTIMIZING THE FLEET LONG-HAUL FLEET Fuel efficient aircraft: 6 Boeing 787 and 3 Airbus 350 to enter the combined fleet in 209, more to come in the following years Ongoing phase out of the remaining Air France Airbus 340 in 2020 and KLM Boeing 747 in 202 MEDIUM-HAUL FLEET Tender offer to be launched in 209 REGIONAL FLEET A380 fleet to decrease from 0 to 7 aircraft at the expiry of the leases in 2020 and 202 Phase out of ATRs in 2020 3

BOOSTING OUR COMPETITIVENESS The strategy of upgrading and simplifying the product offer and optimizing the fleet aims to reinforce the Group s competitiveness, and we will go further: Achieve Air France profitability in order to increase its margin to industry standards Improve the operational robustness, reducing fleet constraints and adding spare aircraft at Air France Control our infrastructure costs, improving the relationship with ADP and Schiphol airports Reopening discussions with ADP for new terminal T4, to improve the customer experience and operational performance Maximise societal support for growing KLM at Schiphol In Europe, implementation of the conditions for a level playing field 32

Results at 3 December 208 Q&A

Results at 3 December 208 APPENDIX

.7% 2.4% LONG-HAUL AND MEDIUM-HAUL HUBS CONTRIBUTING TO POSITIVE UNIT REVENUE PERFORMANCE FY 208 Total 2.% 2.8%.% ASK RPK RASK ex cur. Premium +3.5% RASK ex cur. Economy +0.6% Medium-haul point-to-point Medium-haul hubs Total medium-haul -3.3% -.4% -2.6% 2.2% 2.8% 0.8%.6%.5% ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. North America Asia Caribbean & Indian Ocean 3.0% 3.4% 2.9% 0.% 0.9% 2.% 2.8% 2.0% ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. -0.4% Latin America 8.6% 8.7% 0.0% Africa & Middle East -.6% -0.7% Total long-haul ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. ASK RPK RASK ex cur. 35 0.3% 3.%.2%

Q4 208 POSITIVE OPERATING RESULT AT 40 MILLION WITH UNIT COST SAVINGS OFFSETTING PART OF HIGHER FUEL BILL In m 228 +7-2 +53-98 -48 +0 40 () Q4 207 Activity change Unit revenue Unit cost Fuel price excurrency Currency impact Change in pension-related expense Q4 208,923 +4 +353-33 -665-83 -4,332 () FY 207 Activity change Unit revenue Unit cost Fuel price excurrency Currency impact Change in pension-related expense FY 208 () Restated for implementation of the new IFRS accounting standards 36

Fuel bill 37 FUEL BILL SENSITIVITY FOR FULL YEAR 209 $0 Bln $9 Bln $8 Bln Market AFKL price 209 Hedge gain 65.03 $/bbl 64.00 $/bbl +.03 $/bbl $7 Bln $6 Bln $5 Bln $4 Bln $3 Bln $2 Bln $ Bln Price before hedge (in $/bl) without ITP Price after hedge (in $/bl) without ITP $0 Bln 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 Brent price in USD/bl Based on forward curve at 5 february 209. Sensitivity computation based on 209 fuel price, assuming constant crack spread between Brent and Jet Fuel Assuming average exchange rate on US dollar/euro of.4 for 209

CURRENCY IMPACT ON OPERATING RESULT In m Currency impact on revenues and costs -83 35-2 -40-28 -90-224 -246-259 Q 208 Q2 208 Q3 208 Q4 208 Currency impact on revenues Currency impact on costs, including hedging -XX Currency impact on operating result FY 209 guidance Currency impact FY 209: no effect, based on spot /$.4 Net operational exposure hedging for 209: > USD ~60% > JPY ~50% > GBP ~75% Revenues and costs per currency FY 208 Euro 54% Revenues 26% US dollar (and related currencies) 20% Other currencies Other currencies (mainly euro) 64% Costs US dollar 36% 38

ADJUSTED NET INCOME OF THE GROUP AT 3 DECEMBER 208 In m +2-53 409 +0 +8 409 +23 Unrealized foreign exchange result: 23 Net income - Group part Discontinued operations Non current result Value of hedging portfolio Balance sheet valuation Depreciation of shares available for sale Adjusted net income 39

PENSION DETAILS AT 3 DECEMBER 208 In m 3 Dec 207 3 Dec 208 -,62 -,767 Net balance sheet situation by airline Net balance sheet situation by airline 67-8 -,679 -,686 Air France Air France end of service benefit plan (ICS): pursuant to French regulations and the company agreement, every employee receives an end of service indemnity payment on retirement (no mandatory funding requirement). ICS represents the main part of the Air France position Air France pension plan (CRAF): related to ground staff affiliated to the CRAF until 3 December 992 KLM Defined benefit schemes for Ground Staff 40

DEBT REIMBURSEMENT PROFILE AT 3 DECEMBER 208 Debt reimbursement profile () In m 50 600 400 400,350 800 750 800 600 350 200 209 2020 202 2022 2023 2024 2025 and beyond Plain vanilla bonds June 202: Air France-KLM 3.875% ( 600m) October 2022: Air France-KLM 3.75% ( 400m) December 2026: Air-France KLM 4.35% ($45m) Hybrid bond (recognized as equity) Other long-term debt mainly asset-backed (net of deposits on financial leases) () Excluding operating lease debt payments and KLM perpetual debt 4