SECI Regional Projects Update

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Project Group on Development of Interconnections of Power Systems of SECI countries for better integration to European System SECI Regional Projects Update UN/ECE Committee on Sustainable Energy Geneva, 20 & 21 Nov 02 Trajce Cerepnalkovski, ESM SECI Power Projects Coordinator

Participating Countries Albania B&H Bulgaria Croatia Greece Hungary R. of Macedonia Romania Slovenia Turkey Yugoslavia Geneva, November, 2002 2

SECI Power Systems Projects Teleinformation System Among the National Dispatch Centers of SECI Countries (completed in 2001) Regional Transmission Planning Project (March 2001- end of 2002) Phase I Teleinformation System and Ancillary Services Market Development in Southeast Europe (November 2001 December 2002). Includes a major Hydro Evaluation Component USAID main sponsor, up to now, UN/ECE overall coordinator Geneva, November, 2002 3

Main Objectives Improving cooperation of PS s Original SECI objective Support the REM - became Hot issue EC leads ambitious process for regional market in the SEE up to 2005 Coordinate with donors community the priority investments to be implement Geneva, November, 2002 4

Teleinformation Aspects Geneva, November, 2002 5

Conceptual Topology for Data Exchange between National Dispatch Centers Geneva, November, 2002 6

Hun NDC Budapest Ljubliana NDC Slo NDC Zagreb c Ernestinovo Ser Romania Cro B&H NDC Beograd NDC Bucharest NDC Sarajevo Mostar Konjsko MN NDC Podgorica Kosovo B NDC Sofia Bul NDC Skopje Tur KESH Tirana MKD NDC Ankara Thessaloniki Alb Gre RNCC Ptolmaida Athens NDC Existing or Committed Link Negotiated implementation Uncertain implementation 7

The Goal of the Current TI Project To facilitate implementation of the regional Teleinformation System among NDC s (TSO s) to be included in the UCTE Electronic Highway Important aspects for development of the REM, recognized by the Donors and IFI s community as a priority Geneva, November, 2002 8

Additional Investments in TI PS of Croatia, 12 m$ PS of Serbia, 50 m$ (mostly internal infrastructure), Swiss, EBRD & EIB Region of Kosovo, Albania & Monte Negro, from 5 to 17 m$, depends of the decision Macedonia, B&H, additional 7m$ Implementation of the regional functions TBD Geneva, November, 2002 9

Regional Transmission System Planning Project Geneva, November, 2002 10

Objectives of SECI TSP Project Improve System Planning Cooperation Support the REM process To establish common Transmission Planning tools and criteria Perform various Regional Transmission Studies and develop a Regional Approach for the creation of bankable projects Geneva, November, 2002 11

Accomplishments To Date Provided PTI s PSS/E Software & Completed set of training courses Created the regional model for 2005 Examined to some extent the impact of the 12 new potential interconnection lines Identified system limitations using security criteria Provided market oriented GTMax software & initial training Geneva, November, 2002 12

Interconnection Study Task Group perform the Study»NEK, Bulgaria»EP BIH, B&H»EKC, Serbia»EIHP, Croatia»CMS, USA»ESM, Macedonia Geneva, November, 2002 13

Becescaba Rosiori Heviz Sandorfalva Oradea Divaca Cirkovce Krsko Pecs Tumbri Zerjavinec Sombor Subotica Arad Ernestinovo Meline S.Mitrovica B. Luka Ugljevik Djerdap Portile de Fier Tintareni Isaccea Konjsko Mostar Kozloduj Nis Trebinje Ribarevine Sofia West Varna SECI 2005 400 kv Interconnections Podgorica Kosovo B Skopje 5 Stip C. Mogila Blagoevgrad Maritza 3 Existing Tirana Bitola Dubrovo Phillipi Babaeski Hamidabat New In New Option DC Link to Italy Elbasan Thessaloniki Florina Kardia Geneva, November, 2002 14 Arachthos

Study Observations and Conclusions Joint Regional Model benefit for all Performed very good cooperation and common work The 2005 Transmission System is robust with capability to serve: 2005 Forecasted Demand Bulk Power Exchanges ranging from 600MW to 1500 MW None of the 12 interconnection lines increase Maximum Exchanges due to the internal countries bottlenecks Geneva, November, 2002 15

Next Steps The internal bottlenecks have to be recognized in more detailed and remedied Improving and expanding the model Simulations for predicted realistic market based scenarios Completed work on regional view for the new potential transmission investments Geneva, November, 2002 16

Regional Hydro Aspects Geneva, November, 2002 17

Role of Hydro Power in the SEE REM Analysis of hydrological and drought patterns Implications for national and Regional Electricity Market development Legal and structural constraints on use of water and availability Hydro and Pumped Hydro Inventory Market Value of Hydro (Energy and Ancillary Services) Geneva, November, 2002 18

All countries monthly flow, Illustration Percent of Average Flow 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% Fierza (Albania) Rama Reservoir (B-H) Vacha Dam (Bulgaria) Valici (Croatia) Globocica (Macedonia) Oasa Reservoir (Romania) Visegrad Reservoir (Yugoslavia) Danube (Romania) 50% 0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Geneva, November, 2002 19

Rijeka GTMax Representation of Regional Balkan Network in 2005 CENTREL Slovenia Zagreb Croatia B. Luka Tuzla Osijek Serbia Belgrade Djerdap Arad Romania 800--> <--800 Brasov Gutinas 1000--> <--1000 690--> <--690 1000--> <--1000 1000--> <--1000 Portile de Fier 1000--> <--1000 800--> <--900 800--> <--800 Bucharest Split B&H Mostar Trebinje Podgorica Sarajevo Pljevlja V. Dejes B. Basta Ribarevina Montenegro Bitola Kosovo B Skopje Macedonia Nis Dubrovo Geneva, November, 2002 20 Greece Sofia Tantareni Kozlodui Isalnita Bulgaria Plovdiv Blagoevgrad Maritsa Varna Albania Tirana/Elbasan Chervena Mogila Vetren Slatina Isaccea 580/700--> <--580/700 530--> <--700 530--> 900--> <--700 <--1100 300--> <--300 1000--> <--1000 980/1250--> <--980/1250 800/500--> <--800/750 100--> <--150 980/1250 --> <-- 980/1250 1000--> <--1000 220--> <--220 220--> <--220 1000--> <--1000 Legend: 700--> <--700 300 --> <-- 300 Net transfer capability (NTC) 800--> <--800 1000--> <--1000 Summer/Winter --> <-- Summer/Winter 800--> <--800 Turkey 250--> <--250