SAPP DEMAND AND SUPPLY SITUATION

Similar documents
ENERGY INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES PRESENTATION. By Remmy Makumbe, Director, Infrastructure and Services

Realistic Assessment of SADC Energy Demand and Supply Up to By Prof M Elmissiry ENERGY SECTOR NEPAD, Midrand South Africa

POTENTIAL FOR COMMERCIAL

Energy opportunities in southern Africa. Wim Jonker-Klunne Programme Director Energy & Environment Partnership

Southern African Power Pool Report to SADC

Restructuring of the Electricity Industry: Experience of Southern Africa

The Southern African Power Pool. Meeting growing power demands through Southern African regional integration

Trading in the Southern African Power Pool and possible coupling with the East African Power Pool

Introduction to SAPP. Omar Vajeth Head SAPP: Project Advisory Unit. 23 June Snr. Transaction Advisor SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL

SADC Enabling Infrastructure Initiative. Infrastructure Support for Deepening Regional Integration and Poverty Reduction in the SADC Region

Pumped Storage Schemes & imported hydroelectricity

SADC SELECTED ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INDICATORS, 2016

MONTHLY REPORT Issue No. R02-18 February 2018

Developing a competitive market for regional electricity cross border trading: The case for the Southern African Power Pool

Southern African Development Community (SADC) Grain Trade What does the data say?

2008 SADC Year of Free Trade

ALAN GOLDING ANALYTIKA HOLDINGS (PTY) LTD. Exploration Management, BOTSWANA

Technical Report: RERA Publication on Electricity Tariffs & Selected Performance Indicators for the SADC Region

northeast group, llc Sub- Saharan Africa Electricity Metering: Market Forecast ( ) May group.com

STATEMENT FROM THE NINTH SOUTHERN AFRICA REGIONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM (SARCOF-9) HELD IN HARARE, ZIMBABWE FROM 7 8 SEPTEMBER 2005.

East African Power Industry Convention 2007, Addis Ababa, ETHIOPIA

SOUTHERN AFRICA TRAVEL AND TOURISM BAROMETER REPORT 2015

MINISTRY OF MINES, ENERGY & WATER DEVELOPMENT

Investec Africa Conference. Nampak Growth Strategy in Africa

STATEMENT FROM THE EIGHTEENTH SOUTHERN AFRICA REGIONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM (SARCOF-18), WINDHOEK, NAMIBIA, AUGUST 2014.

THE TWENTY FIRST ANNUAL SOUTHERN AFRICA REGIONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM

THE TWENTIETH ANNUAL SOUTHERN AFRICA REGIONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM

International migration data in the case of South Africa

National Accounts Workshop for SADC countries

Structure. Introduction

SADC Harmonised Consumer Price Indices (HCPI) September 2017

Regional outlook Sub-Saharan Africa 24/11/2015. Share commodities in good exports. Share commodities in goods imports

Fostering healthcare Investments through PPPs. George Uduku Health Systems November 2017

Accelerating Economic Growth in Africa

Sub-Regional Workshop on the Development and Effective Use of Intellectual Property Statistics for ARIPO Member States

REPUBLIC OF ZAMBIA SPEECH BY HER HONOUR THE VICE-PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF ZAMBIA MRS. INONGE MUTUKWA WINA, MP

TransCentury AGM Presentation 29 May 2014 INVESTING IN AFRICA

SADC Harmonised Consumer Price Indices (HCPI) February 2017

The Second Japan-Africa Business Forum TICAD and Business: Feedback from the Yokohama Action Plan to the Nairobi Declaration July 25, 2017

SADC PPP Network PPPs in SADC

SADC Harmonised Consumer Price Indices (HCPI) March 2017

Africa the potential for growth

A Guide To Caravan Parks In Southern Africa : South Africa, Namibia, Swaziland, Lesotho And Zimbabwe

Africa attractiveness program 2017 Country profiles. 2 June 2017

STATUS OF THE COMESA SEED HARMONISATION PROGRAMME (COMSHIP) John Mukuka, COMESA Seed Development Expert. June, 2018

Bridging the Gap: Benchmarking Utilities in Africa

Table A.LPG1 : TOTAL LPG CONSUMPTION (Best available Estimates)

South-South cooperation in sub-saharan Africa: Lessons learned from the conservation / tourism trade dilemma

in Southern Africa Figure 1: Recorded Informal Cross Border Maize Trade in DRC, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa Tanzania, Zambia & Zimbabwe

CLIMATE DIAGNOSTIC BULLETIN FOR AFRICA

Southern Africa Growing Season : Heading for a Record Drought?

AGENDA. Group overview. Financial highlights. Operational highlights. Expansion plans

Energy Poverty in Africa

E-Commerce Readiness Study in the SADC sub-region

Zambia by Numbers. Foreign Exchange Reserves $1.892 Billion (Dec.2013) Public Debt as a % of GDP 36% (2013)

COAL SECTOR OVERVIEW & OPPORTUNITIES

TOURISM BUSINESS COUNCIL OF SOUTH AFRICA TRENDS AND INDICATORS REPORT. May 2018

4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, ,000

THE TWENTY FIRST ANNUAL SOUTHERN AFRICA REGIONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM MID-SEASON REVIEW AND UPDATE

Trade Facilitation Conference on New Trends in Trade Facilitation. June 16, Dominique Njinkeu

Ensuring water and sanitation for all Where are we?

APC TV White Spaces and Africa. Russell Southwood, CEO, Balancing Act

TOURISM BUSINESS COUNCIL OF SOUTH AFRICA TRENDS AND INDICATORS REPORT. March 2018

CONTENTS Executive Summary... iii 1. Introduction Major Destinations for Zambia s Exports Major Source Countries for Zambia s

IMPERIAL LOGISTICS AFRICA DISTRIBUTORSHIPS

Power sector challenges and investment trends in Africa

Table of CONTENTS. COUNTRY FOCUS: Equatorial Guinea

Centro de Promoção de Investimentos (Investment Promotion Centre) BOOK OF OPPORTUNITIES Joint Venture with Mozambican Companies

Trade Arrangements and Opportunities in SADC

ZAMBIA Land of OPPORTUNITIES & PROFITS. Zambia Development Agency

SADC launches Free Trade Area

MONITORING INFORMAL CROSS- BORDER TRADE IN STAPLE FOODS IN SOUTHERN AFRICA

Air Transport: An Engine to Prosperity

THE TWENTY SECOND SOUTHERN AFRICA REGIONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM MID-SEASON REVIEW AND UPDATE

TABLE OF CONTENTS COUNTRY FOCUS: BENIN

TABLE OF CONTENTS COUNTRY FOCUS: ALGERIA

African Centre of Meteorological Applications for Development Centre Africain pour les Applications de la Météorologie au Développement

Millennium Development Goal 1: eradicate extreme poverty and hunger. International poverty line a Share of population below PPP $1.

Monthly inflation rates (%) for SADC, April April 2012

Table of CONTENTS. COUNTRY FOCUS: Tunisia

CONTENTS Executive Summary... iii 1. Introduction Major Destinations for Zambia s Exports Major Source Countries for Zambia s

GALVmed / OIE Stakeholder Workshop on harmonisation of registration requirements for Veterinary Medicinal Products

Investment Climate and Business Opportunities for Japan

CONTENTS Executive Summary... iii 1. Introduction Major Destinations for Zambia s Exports Major Source Countries for Zambia s

A Snapshot of Sanitation and Open Defecation in Africa 2010 Update

UNCOVERING THE SADC RETAIL OPPORTUNITY. Vicus Bouwer Divisional Director Retail Leasing Africa Broll Property Group

INFORMAL CROSS BORDER FOOD TRADE IN SOUTHERN AFRICA. Food Trade Bulletin

Supporting Road Infrastructure Development to Connect Africa: Actions to be taken under the TICAD Process and Japan s Initiatives

Africa s s Economic Prospect and Challenges

JICA s activity in the Northern Economic Corridor. 7 Dec 2015, Nairobi

Table of CONTENTS. COUNTRY FOCUS: United Republic of Tanzania

International cooperation

Entrepreneurial Universities and Private Higher Education Institutions

Resolving Non Tariff Barriers and Creating Transparency, Lessons Learnt from the Tripartite Experience

Catchment and Lake Research

Session 6: The 2017 ReNAPRI Outlook on Maize, Wheat, Rice, Soybeans and Sugar

1 What is the African Economic Outlook Project? 2 African Economic Performance: Multifaceted Growth. 3 Africa and Globalization

Hydro-Hegemony in the Context of the South African Cold War Experience

KEY TRENDS IN TOURISM IN AFRICA 41ST ANNUAL WORLD TOURISM CONFERENCE, KIGALI, RWANDA CHRISTY TAWII, RESEARCH ANALYST

Report on the 1st Year Activities. Sei KONDO Secretariat of the African Clean Cities Platform

Transcription:

No. Country Utility YEAR 2007 STATISTICS Table 1 : Installed vs Peak Demand Survey SAPP DEMAND AND SUPPLY SITUATION Installed Capacity [MW] Available Capacity [MW] 2007 Peak Demand [MW] As at Feb 2008 1 Angola ENE 1,155 870 535 2 Botswana BPC 132 90 496 3 DRC SNEL 2,442 1,170 1,075 4 Lesotho LEC 72 70 109 5 Malawi ESCOM 305 246 240 6 Mozambique EDM 248.5 173.8 365 HCB 2,250 2,075 7 Namibia NamPower 393 360 449 8 South Africa Eskom 43,061 38,384 36,513 9 Swaziland SEB 51 50 196 10 Tanzania TANESCO 897 680 653 11 Zambia ZESCO 1,632 1,200 1,468 12 Zimbabwe ZESA 2,045 1,125 1,758 TOTAL SAPP Total Interconnected SAPP 54,684 46,494 43,857 52,327 44,698 42,429 Table 3: Generation Projects to be Commissioned in 2008 Capacity No Utility Country Name Type Units [MW] 1 Eskom South Africa Camden Demothballed Thermal 2 380 2 Eskom South Africa Grootvlei Demothballed Thermal 2 380 3 Eskom South Africa Komati Demoth Thermal 2 202 4 SNEL DRC Inga 2 Hydro 1 160 5 ZESA Zimbabwe Hwange Rehabilitation Thermal 4 400 6 ZESCO Zambia Kafue Gorge Rehabilitation Hydro 4x15 60 7 ZESCO Zambia Kariba North Rehabilitation Hydro 1 30 8 TANESCO Tanzania Ubungo Gas 10x10 100 9 TANESCO Tanzania Tegeta Gas 3x15 45 TOTAL 1757

Table 4: SAPP Generation Capacity Reserve 12 Target vs Actual Reserve, % All SAPP Members 10 8 6 4 2 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Generation Plan Minimum Reserve Margin Table 4: Key Statistics 2007/8 Generation UTILTY (Peak Demand) Sent Out MW / Employee GWh / Employee Number of Customers per Energy Sales per Employee Employee GWh/Employee ENE 1.095 0.686 36 0.69 BPC 2.076 0.467 73 1.45 SNEL 1.615 1.101 57 0.81 LEC 2.061 0.951 100 0.99 ESCOM 1.046 0.490 56 0.49 EDM 0.995 0.069 130 0.60 NamPower 5.104 1.673 3 3.70 ESKOM 11.721 7.475 127 7.58 SEB 2.629 0.176 82 1.43 TANESCO 1.159 0.756 113 0.77 ZESCO 3.856 2.624 84 2.48 ZESA 3.298 1.348 100 2.01

Graph 3: Number of Customers per Employee 2007/8 150 Number of Customers per Employee 2006/7 125 100 75 50 25 0 ENE BPC SNEL LEC ESCOM EDM NamPower ESKOM SEB TANESCO ZESCO ZESA Graph 4: PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS 2007/8 PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS 2006/7 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 ENE BPC SNEL LEC ESCOM EDM NamPower ESKOM SEB TANESCO ZESCO ZESA MW/Employee (x10) GWh /Employee

Graph 5: 2007/8 Peak Demand Growth 2007/8 Peak Demand Growth, % 18.0 15.0 12.0 9.0 6.0 3.0 - (3.0) (6.0) (9.0) ENE BPC SNEL LEC ESCOM EDM NamPow e r ESKOM SEB TANESCO ZESCO ZESA MD Sales Grow th 12.4 14.3 4.7 7.9 (4.4) 14.1 3.9 4.9 4.3 16.0 5.4 (7.7) SAPP Average 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6

Appendix 1: Funding Gap - Long term Generation Projects LONG TERM GENERATION PROJECTS: ( 2009-2013) No. Country Project Name Capacity [MW] Expected Date Estimated Project Cost USD [M] Secured Funding 1 Mozambique Massingir 40 2009 55 N 2 Mozambique Temane Gas 750 2011 370 N 3 Malawi Fufu 100 2012 141 N 4 Mozambique Benga Coal fired 450 2012 800 N 5 Mozambique Lurio 183 2012 340 N 6 Tanzania Kinyerezi 200 2012 190 N 7 Zimbabwe Lupane 300 2012 368 N 8 Zimbabwe Hwange Expansion 600 2012 500 N 9 Zimbabwe Kariba South Extension 300 2012 200 N 10 Zambia Kafue Gorge Lower 750 2012 600 N 11 Zambia Kabompo 34 2012 N 12 Botswana Morupule Expansion (Phase 2) 600 2013 900 N 13 Botswana Mmamabula Phase 1 2,400 2013 8000 N 14 DRC Busanga 240 2013 300 N 15 DRC Nzilo 2 110 2013 180 N 16 Namibia Walvis Bay 400 2013 700 N 17 Namibia Baynes 360 2013 640 N 18 Swaziland Lubombo 1,000 2013 N TOTAL 8,817 13,584 LONG TERM GENERATION PROJECTS: (2014-2015) Estimated Project No. Country Project Name Capacity [MW] Expected Date Cost USD [M] Secured Funding 19 Zambia Maamba coal fired 500 2014 192 N 20 DRC Inga 3 4,300 2015 3,600 N 21 Lesotho Oxbow 80 2015 155 N 22 Lesotho Muela Phase-2 110 2015 N 23 Mozambique Mphanda Nkuwa ( Phase I) 1,500 2015 2,000 N 24 Mozambique Moatize 1,500 2015 2,700 N 25 Mozambique HCB North Bank 850 2015 771 N 26 Namibia Kudu 800 2015 640 N 27 Tanzania Ruhudji 358 2015 611 N 28 Zimbabwe Batoka 800 2015 2,500 N 29 Zimbabwe Gokwe North 1,400 2015 1,357 N TOTAL 12,198 14,526

Table 5: UTILITY GENERAL INFORMATION APRIL 2007 TO MARCH 2008 Country Utility Installed Net Maximum MD Sales Sales Number of Number of Generation Net Net Transmission Revenue Debtor Rate of Net Capacity Capacity Demand Growth Growth Customers Employees Sent Out Imports Exports System losses US$ Days Return Income Million USD MW MW MW % GWh % GWh GWh GWh % % Million Angola ENE 742 590 476 12.0 2,006 8.9 155,114 4,347 2,982 19.6 0 13 184.3 75 n/a -3.11 Botswana BPC 132 120 434 8.0 2626 8.7 151,800 2,091 977 2,050.40 0 10 111.4 35.5-1 18.82 DRC SNEL 2,442 1,170 1012 0.0 4,656 13 360,329 6,268 6,904 0 1,800.00 6.3 149 n/a n/a n/a Lesotho LEC 72 70 101 6.3 420 16 49,171 490 466 39 22 13 34.2 35 5 6.07 Malawi ESCOM 305 253 251 3.8 970 4 135,000 2,400 1,177 0 0 19 5 110 1 2.218 Mozambique EDM 233 137 320 12.3 1,380 5.6 417,675 3,215 222 1,870 174 7 126 65 4.2 1.8 Namibia NamPower 393 390 490-0.2 3,199 7.5 2,455 960 1,606 1,948.0 0 8 193 34 0.97 19 South Africa ESKOM 42,011 36,398 34,807 4.0 208,316 0.2 3,758,931 29,697 221,985 8,643 5,515 8.2 5,926 22 8.4 592 Swaziland SEB 51 52 188 1.1 855.8-0.5 58,800 715 125.8 894 0 16 55.5 86 12.7 8 Tanzania TANESCO 897 680 563 6.0 2,549 10.3 550,863 4857 3674 43 0 24 188 92 n/a n/a Zambia ZESCO 1,632 1,630 1,393 4.7 8,116-3.6 303,618 3,613 9,480 0 505 2.7 207 165 1-23 Zimbabwe ZESA 1,990 1,825 1,904-7.8 10,293-1.1 579,006 5,773 7,781 4,241 414.582 3.9 130 49-48 -1773

Table 6: Annual Maximum Demand Forecast, MW PEAK DEMAND FORECAST, MW YEAR 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Angola 897 1016 1114 1217 1320 1426 1540 1657 1762 1,872 1,987 2,109 2,226 2,347 2,472 2,601 2734 2871 Botswana 563 675 737 795 817 864 904 928 951 1034 1089 1164 1183 1202 1221 1238 1255 1272 DRC 1179 1220 1262 1306 1351 1398 1446 1496 1548 1,602 1,657 1,714 1,772 1,825 1,880 1,936 1994 2054 Lesotho 111 117 123 127 132 138 144 150 157 163 171 178 186 193 202 210 220 229 Malawi 268 287 306 376 394 412 430 448 467 485 503 522 541 560 577 594 611 629 Mozambique 418 478 557 583 609 636 662 714 741 768 795 822 876 939 1007 1079 1157 1240 Namibia 475 485 509 531 576 599 623 651 675 703 730 754 779 815 845 875 900 933 South Africa 38,201 39,811 41,524 43,283 45,125 47,085 49,116 51,204 53,399 55,610 57,928 60,313 62,725 65,290 67,857 70,514 73,240 75,919 Swaziland 204 213 223 233 245 255 264 271 278 287 293 300 304 308 311 315 319 323 Tanzania 772 810 844 879 916 955 995 1037 1081 1126 1174 1223 1275 1328 1384 1442 1503 1566 Zambia 1,753 1,908 1,935 2,095 2,341 2,395 2,420 2,446 2,494 2,544 2,589 2,635 2,682 2,729 2,777 2,826 2876 2926 Zimbabwe 2,186 2,230 2,281 2,345 2,414 2,484 2,558 2,643 2,731 2,822 2,917 3,014 3,115 3,220 3,327 3,439 3554 3674 Total Interconnected 45,091 47,138 49,151 51,298 53,611 55,854 58,137 60,503 62,973 65,534 68,168 70,893 73,622 76,522 79,426 82,434 85,515 88,570 Total SAPP 47,028 49,250 51,414 53,771 56,241 58,647 61,102 63,645 66,282 69,017 71,832 74,747 77,664 80,757 83,859 87,071 90,363 93,637

Table 7: Energy Forecast, GWh YEAR ENERGY FORECAST, GWh Angola 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Botswana 5,105 5,784 6,343 6,929 7,516 8,122 8771.5 9437.2 10,032 10,658 11,316 12,008 12,674 13,364 14,077 14,812 15,568 16,345 DRC 5588 5781 5982 6189 6,404 6,625 6,855 7,093 7,338 7,593 7,856 8,128 8,409 8,661 8,921 9,189 9,464 9,748 Lesotho 488 512 538 556 580 605 631 658 687 716 747 779 813 847 884 922 962 1,003 Malawi 1,528 1,635 1740.1 2,143 2,245 2,347 2,450 2,553 2,656 2,761 2,866 2,973 3,081 3,190 3,284 3,380 3,479 3,581 Mozambique 2,881 3,119 3,356 3,521 3,687 3,852 4017.3 4348 4,522 4,695 4,869 5,042 5,389 5,777 6,193 6,639 7,117 7,629 Namibia 3,007 3,091 3,236 3,373 3513 3,701 3,848 3,956 4,123 4,289 4,496 4,663 4,838 4,966 5,143 5,338 5,579 5,767 South Africa 252,109 261,361 271,103 280,739 290,904 303,086 315,039 327,790 340,121 354,423 368,643 383,464 398,084 414,618 431,126 447,663 463,780 477,693 Swaziland 1154 1205 1262 1319 1386 1443 1494 1534 1,573 1,624 1,658 1,698 1,720 1,743 1,760 1,783 1,805 1,828 Tanzania 4,414 4,628 4,820 5,021 5,230 5,448 5675 5911 6,158 6,415 6,683 6,962 7,252 7,555 7,871 8,200 8,543 8,900 Zambia 13,014 14,354 14,749 16,000 17,927 18,377 18,613 18,853 19,098 19,384 19,553 19,760 19,968 20,177 20,387 20,597 20,809 21,021 Zimbabwe 12,668 12,924 13,221 13,592 13,990 14,400 14,828 15,317 15,829 16,358 16,905 17,470 18,055 18,660 19,285 19,932 20,601 21,295 Total Interconnected 296,014 308,130 319,789 332,219 345,906 360,211 374,097 388,987 403,322 419,740 436,042 453,011 469,949 488,814 507,776 526,874 545,685 562,329 Total SAPP 301,957 314,393 326,349 339,383 353,381 368,006 382,222 397,450 412,136 428,916 445,591 462,946 480,282 499,559 518,930 538,454 557,706 574,810