Q Analyst & investor presentation. 22 January 2019

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Transcription:

Q1 2019 Analyst & investor presentation 22 January 2019

Q1 performance Overview 1. Positive underlying revenue trend Robust demand across Europe Strong ancillary revenue performance Moderate competitor capacity growth in the market 2. underlying cost performance as expected Continuing to deliver on cost programme 10 million cost impact from Gatwick drone issue (and 5 million revenue impact) 3. Continuing to deliver our plan Holidays, Business, Loyalty and Data progressing well Progress on Q1 operational performance Customer perception continues to improve 2 2

Q1 key stats as expected Q1 19 Q1 18 Change Favourable/(adverse) Passengers (m) 21.6 18.8 15.1% Load factor (%) 89.7% 92.1% (2.4pts) Seats (m) 24.1 20.4 18.2% Average sector length (km) 1,079 1,094 (1.4%) Passenger revenue ( m) 1,025 914 12.2% Ancillary revenue ( m) 271 226 19.9% Total revenue ( m) 1,296 1,140 13.7% Total revenue per seat ( ) 53.89 55.99 (3.8%) Total revenue per seat @ constant currency ( ) 53.63 55.99 (4.2%) Total headline CPS ( ) (56.71) (54.34) (4.3%) Total headline CPS @ constant currency ( ) (55.55) (54.34) (2.2%) Total headline CPS, ex-fuel @ constant currency ( ) (43.27) (42.83) (1.0%) 3 3

Q1 Revenue performance @ constant currency 55.99-0.6% - 0.31-2.9% -4.2% - 1.62-0.31-1.62-1.23-2.2% +0.8% 53.63-1.23 +0.7% 0.38 0.42 Q1 2018 IFRS 15 Tegel Monarch / AirBerlin Ancillary Underlying Trading Q1 2019 administration & Ryanair cancellations 4

Cost performance Headline Cost per seat including fuel Cost per seat excluding fuel Increases driven by: Q1 2019 Reported 4.3% Increase 1.3% Increase Offset by: Q1 2019 Constant currency 2.2% Increase 1.0% Increase Gatwick drone issue c. 10m impact on cost Crew pay agreements Better than expected crew retention levels Ownership costs Robust management action on costs: Airport savings, driven by discounts on additional passenger volumes Up-gauging of fleet: as easyjet continues to move from A319s to A320s and A321s Reduced cancellations and >3hr delays despite drone issue Ongoing (regulatory) inflationary pressure 5

Brexit very well prepared Operations are well prepared 130 EU registered aircraft Parts distribution and licence transfers on track EU ownership now at 49% UK and EU committed to continuation of flying rights post March 29 Robust demand continues across the network H2 forward bookings in front of last year 6

Fuel and foreign exchange hedging Fuel requirement US dollar requirement Euro surplus Six months ending March 2019 69% @ $571/MT 78% @ 1.31 72% @ 1.13 Full year ending 30 September 2019 69% @ $577/MT 74% @ 1.33 72% @ 1.13 Full year ending 30 September 2020 52% @ $662/MT 56% @ 1.37 55% @ 1.10 7 As at 31 Dec 2018

forward bookings 92% 90% 83% 83% FY18 FY19 75% 74% 57% 56% 58% 58% 39% 38% 19% 20% Q1 Jan Feb Mar Q2 H1 H2 As at 21 st January 2019 (Including Tegel bookings) 8

H1 capacity outlook H1 FY18 H1 FY19 14.7% Tegel flying 6.1% 5.7% Previously 4.3% 7.1% 7.8% 3.9% 3.2% 0.6% Capacity change total SH Market Competitors on easyjet markets Capacity Change easyjet markets easyjet capacity change H1 2019 (Oct 2018 to March 2019) as at 3 January 2019 9

Outlook Capacity (seats flown) > FY c.+10% increase; H1 c.15% increase Revenue per seat at constant currency > H1 revenue per seat performance (updated for IFRS 15): > Down mid to high single digits Cost per seat at constant currency > FY headline cost per seat excluding fuel (updated for IFRS 15): > circa Flat (assuming normal levels of disruption) FX / Fuel* > FY: c. 10 million adverse movement from foreign exchange rates on headline PBT > FY: unit fuel costs 10 million to 60 million adverse > Expected total fuel cost c. 1.46 billion Full year PBT expectations > Broadly in line with current consensus # H1 2019 (1 Oct 2018 to 31 Mar 2019) * Based on fuel spot price range of $600- $700 includes impact of ETS carbon scheme prices GBP; EUR: 1.12 GBP: USD 1.28 # Bloomberg consensus as at 18 th Jan 2019 is 581m 10 10

Appendix

Q1 Passenger statistics October 2018 2017 Change Passengers 8,578,341 7,519,759 14.1% Load Factor 90.5% 92.5% (2.0pts) November 2018 2017 Change Passengers 6,182,399 5,350,245 15.6% Load Factor 89.2% 92.3% (3.1pts) December 2018 2017 Change Passengers 6,830,887 5,884,304 16.1% Load Factor 89.2% 91.4% (2.2pts) 12 12