AFTA Travel Trends October 2018 AFTA Travel Trends Report 2018
Inbound and Outbound overview Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the balance of trade between Inbound and Outbound Travel for Year end of August 2018. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set.
Total Visitor and Australian departure and arrivals Year End August 2018 The ABS collects data on all travellers entering and leaving Australia through the Inbound Passenger Card. This section displays the number of international tourists entering and Australians departing Australia as of August Year end 2017 and 2018. For travel and tourism to be sustainable it is imperative that the trade between each country is balanced and this snapshot tracks overall benefits to each country. The countries chosen are the major Australian source markets and desired destinations. August YE 2017 Total August YE 2017 Total number of international number of international visitors to Australia trips by Australians Inbound Outbound August YE 2018 Total number of international visitors to Australia Inbound August YE 2018 Total number of international trips by Australians Outbound China 1,333,300 518,500 1,435,700 581,400 New Zealand 1,356,000 1,421,100 1,378,300 1,425,700 USA 767,700 1,088,700 785,000 1,078,900 UK 723,100 622,000 734,400 651,400 Singapore 440,800 400,700 439,900 418,400 Japan 432,800 385,200 449,100 448,200 Malaysia 412,900 267,100 394,900 265,700 South Korea 289,500 74,800 311,500 72,800 India 287,000 347,400 343,700 386,100 Hong Kong 269,700 216,900 303,900 240,000 Indonesia 188,200 1,215,200 199,400 1,214,200 Thailand 95,600 564,300 100,300 582,000 Fiji 39,900 349,200 45,200 342,400 National Total 8,693,200 10,401,800 9,147,000 10,870,700 Source: August 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning and Visitors Arriving - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
Inbound Report Introduction These snapshots provide an overview of the performance of the Australian inbound tourism sector. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set. Performance indicators are provided for each market and month. A neutral rating is provided for markets which have a year on year variation of (+/-) 2%.
Where are our participants? Total inbound tourists to Australia August 2018 This section displays the number of international tourists travelling to Australia each month as of August Year end 2017 and 2018. Key Highlights. During August 2018, short-term visitor arrivals (794,400 movements) increased 2.6% when compared with July 2018 (774,100 movements).. This followed increases of 0.8% for June 2018 and 0.3% for July 2018. Month 2016-2017 Change on previous year 2017-2018 Change on previous year 2018 Performance September 716,600 12.1% 742,300 3.6% Positive October 708,200 12.0% 757,200 6.9% Positive November 700,800 8.0% 753,900 7.6% Positive December 712,700 7.6% 744,000 4.4% Positive January 711,000 7.5% 762,800 7.3% Positive February 722,700 11.9% 751,300 4.0% Positive March 707,200 5.3% 772,900 9.3% Positive April 751,600 10.7% 755,600 0.5% Neutral May 734,500 8.2% 766,300 4.3% Positive June 728,300 4.8% 772,200 6.0% Positive July 747,000 7.6% 774,100 3.6% Positive August 752,600 9.3% 794,400 5.6% Positive Total 716,600 8.7% 9,147,000 5.2% Positive 850,000 800,000 750,000 700,000 650,000 600,000 of tourists 2017 of tourists 2018 5 year average Source: August 2018 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
Where are our participants? Year end changes to top Australian source markets August 2018 This section displays the performance of the major Australian source markets for international travellers as of August Year end 2017 and 2018. Destination 2017 2017 Year end change 2018 2018 Year end change 2018 Performance China 1,333,300 11.9% 1,435,700 7.7% Positive New Zealand 1,356,000 2.6% 1,378,300 1.6% Neutral USA 767,700 11.3% 785,000 2.3% Positive UK 723,100 2.7% 734,400 1.6% Neutral Singapore 440,800 4.7% 439,900-0.2% Neutral Japan 432,800 9.6% 449,100 3.8% Positive Malaysia 412,900 11.9% 394,900-4.4% Negative South Korea 289,500 8.6% 311,500 7.6% Positive India 287,000 15.9% 343,700 19.8% Positive Hong Kong 269,700 13.4% 303,900 12.7% Positive National Total 8,693,200 8.7% 9,147,000 5.2% Positive 1,650,000 Key Highlights. When comparing the 12 month year end figure, India has the highest percentage increase with 19.8% growth.. This followed by Hong Kong (12.7%) and China (7.7%).. New Zealand, UK and Singapore all display a Neutral rating.. Malaysia records a negative figure of -4.4%. 1,500,000 1,350,000 1,200,000 1,050,000 900,000 750,000 600,000 450,000 300,000 150,000 0 China New Zealand USA UK Singapore Japan Malaysia South Korea India Hong Kong YE 18 Country YE 17 Coutnry 5 year average Source: August 2018 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
Where are our participants? Monthly changes to top Australian source markets August 2018 This section displays the performance of the major Australian source markets for international tourists comparing the month of August 2017 to August 2018. Destination 2017 Change on previous year 2018 Change on previous year 2018 Performance China 122,000 23.1% 124,800 2.3% Neutral New Zealand 111,800 2.8% 117,800 5.4% Neutral USA 64,300-3.9% 63,900-0.6% Neutral UK 58,800-3.6% 60,200 2.4% Neutral Singapore 37,800 11.2% 39,200 3.7% Neutral Japan 36,500 6.7% 39,200 7.4% Positive Malaysia 42,400 43.7% 38,700-8.7% Negative South Korea 24,000 1.3% 27,200 13.3% Positive India 25,900 12.6% 30,600 18.1% Positive Hong Kong 25,600 24.3% 27,500 7.4% Positive National Total 752,600 9.3% 794,400 5.6% Positive Key Highlights. When the seasonally adjusted number for August 2018 is compared with August 2017, the highest percentage increases were recorded for India (18.1%), followed by South Korea (13.3%). 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000. When trend estimates data is used to compare August 2017 and August 2018, the highest percentage decrease is actually for the USA (-4%) (trend data not shown). 20,000 0 China New Zealand USA UK Singapore Japan Malaysia South Korea 18 Country 17 Country 5 year average India Hong Kong Source: August 2018 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
Outbound Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set. Performance indicators are provided for each market. A neutral rating is provided for markets which have a year on year variation of (+/-) 2%.
Total outbound Australian travellers August 2018 This section displays the number of Australians travelling outbound each month as of August Year end 2017 and 2018. Month 2016 2017 Change on previous year 2017-2018 Change on previous year 2018 Performance September 840,900 6.1% 890,300 5.9% Positive October 840,100 6.3% 889,400 5.9% Positive November 839,800 4.7% 888,600 5.8% Positive December 874,000 7.6% 877,500 0.4% Neutral January 853,700 5.4% 896,800 5.0% Positive February 894,500 12.2% 874,300-2.3% Negative March 856,400 6.0% 913,300 6.6% Positive April 891,500 9.4% 927,100 4.0% Positive May 888,400 9.3% 935,900 5.3% Positive June 875,000 6.1% 916,400 4.7% Positive July 872,600 4.5% 925,200 6.0% Positive August 874,900 4.7% 935,900 7.0% Positive Total 10,401,800 6.9% 10,870,700 4.5% Positive Key Highlights. During August 2018, short-term resident returns (935,900 movements) increased 1.1% when compared with July 2018 (925,200 movements).. This followed a monthly decrease of 2.1% in June 2018 and a monthly increase of 1.0% in July 2018.. 12 month high of 7% increase when compared to same period last year. 970,000 940,000 910,000 880,000 850,000 820,000 790,000 760,000 730,000 700,000 2018 2017 5 year average Source: August 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
Year end changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian s August 2018 This section displays the performance of the major destinations Australian s are travelling to as of August Year end 2017 and 2018. Destination 2017 2017 Year end change 2018 2018 Year end change 2018 Performance New Zealand 1,421,100 8.8% 1,425,700 0.3% Neutral Indonesia 1,215,200 2.4% 1,214,200-0.1% Neutral USA 1,088,700 2.5% 1,078,900-0.9% Neutral UK 622,000 6.3% 651,400 4.7% Positive Thailand 564,300 2.7% 582,000 3.1% Positive China 518,500 15.2% 581,400 12.1% Positive Singapore 400,700 6.8% 418,400 4.4% Positive Japan 385,200 12.7% 448,200 16.4% Positive Fiji 349,200-0.4% 342,400-1.9% Neutral India 347,400 13.3% 386,100 11.1% Positive National Total 10,401,800 6.9% 10,870,700 4.5% Positive Key Highlights. Japan records the highest increase when comparing the 12 month period ending August 2017 to August 2018 with 16.4% increase.. China (12.1%) and India (11.1%) also record high increases. 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India YE 18 Country YE 17 Country 5 year average Source: August 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
Monthly changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian s August 2018 This section displays the performance of the major destinations Australian s are travelling to comparing August 2017 to August 2018 Destination 2017 Change to previous year 2018 Change to previous year 2018 Performance New Zealand 116,600 5.0% 121,200 3.9% Positive Indonesia 102,700-2.6% 105,300 2.5% Positive USA 92,200 2.9% 89,800-2.6% Negative UK 51,100 7.1% 54,500 6.7% Positive Thailand 47,700 5.8% 49,600 4.0% Positive China 44,200 14.5% 51,500 16.5% Positive Singapore 30,700-4.7% 36,900 20.2% Positive Japan 34,100 16.8% 36,900 8.2% Positive Fiji 27,400-6.5% 31,200 13.9% Positive India 30,300-1.0% 34,400 13.5% Positive National Total 874,900 4.7% 935,900 7.0% Positive Key Highlights 140,000 120,000. The top 3 destinations with highest percentage increases were Singapore (20.2%) and China (16.5%) followed by Fiji (13.9%) and India (13.5%).. When use trend estimates (not shown) for the same comparison, Italy shows the 3 rd highest increase with (9.5%). 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India 18 Country 17 Country 5 year average Source: August 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
Reasons to travel to popular international destinations by Australian s August 2018 This section displays the performance of the popular destinations visited by Australian s by reason of travel in August 2018. Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey New Zealand 44.4% 31.0% 15.8% 8.8% Indonesia 85.5% 7.0% 2.9% 4.5% USA 60.8% 20.5% 8.9% 9.7% UK 44.2% 44.3% 4.8% 6.7% Thailand 79.8% 10.8% 4.7% 4.7% China 30.0% 38.8% 18.2% 13.0% Singapore 53.7% 17.5% 19.6% 9.1% Japan 59.3% 21.1% 8.5% 11.2% Fiji 76.9% 13.0% 4.9% 5.2% India 25.3% 51.6% 11.2% 11.9% National Total 58.7% 25.4% 7.8% 8.1% 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey Source: August 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Original
Airlines Introduction This snapshot provides the market share of each airline for international travel. Information is sourced directly from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development. Department Summary: Fifty-eight international airlines operated scheduled services to/from Australia during July 2018 (includes five dedicated freight airlines but excludes airlines operating only via code share arrangements). Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, July 2018
Monthly Share of passengers carried July -17 July -18 Airline activity - Month End July 2018 This snapshot displays the market share of each airline for international travel for the month of July 2018. Qantas Airways 16.2% 17.1% Jetstar 9.2% 8.5% Singapore Airlines 8.3% 8.0% Emirates 8.5% 7.8% Air New Zealand 6.5% 6.4% Virgin Australia 6.2% 6.2% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.2% 4.2% AirAsia X 4.0% 3.6% Etihad Airways 3.5% 3.2% Qatar Airways 2.5% 3.1% Etihad Airways, 3.2% Qatar Airways, 3.1% This information from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development presents statistical information on the scheduled operations of international airlines operating into/out of Australia. Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.2% AirAsia X, 3.6% Qantas Airways, 17.1% Virgin Australia, 6.2% Jetstar, 8.5% Air New Zealand, 6.4% Emirates, 7.8% Singapore Airlines, 8.0% Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, July 2017 and July 2018
Year End share of passengers carried July - 17 Year End share of passengers carried July - 18 Airline activity Year End July 2018 This snapshot displays the market share of each airline for international travel of Year end July 2018. Qantas Airways 15.9% Qantas Airways 16.8% Jetstar 9.2% Jetstar 9.0% Emirates 8.5% Singapore Airlines 8.0% Singapore Airlines 8.1% Emirates 7.9% Air New Zealand 6.6% Air New Zealand 6.6% Virgin Australia 6.1% Virgin Australia 6.1% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.7% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.5% AirAsia X 4.1% AirAsia X 3.4% Etihad Airways 3.2% China Southern Airlines 3.1% China Southern Airlines 2.9% Etihad Airways 3.1% Others 30.6% Others 31.5% This information from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development presents statistical information on the scheduled operations of international airlines operating into/out of Australia. Others, 31.5% Etihad Airways, 3.1% Qantas Airways, 16.8% Jetstar, 9.0% China Southern Airlines, 3.1% Singapore Airlines, 8.0% AirAsia X, 3.4% Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.5% Virgin Australia, 6.1% Air New Zealand, 6.6% Emirates, 7.9% Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, July 2017 and July 2018
For further information please contact: Naomi Menon Head of Compliance and Operations E: naomi@afta.com.au Ph: 02 9287 9900 The information contained within this Report has been prepared by AFTA based upon best endeavours to ensure the accuracy and completeness of material. AFTA accepts no liability for any loss or damage a person suffers because that person has directly or indirectly relied on any information provided by AFTA. AFTA Travel Trends Report 2018