Pr. Rupert Vancouver Grain Monitoring Program Weekly Performance Update January, 19 For Grain (1-19 CY) Summary 1. Stocks in Store (' tonnes) Country Elevators % of Working T his Week Last Week Var. fro m Last Year 3,91. 3,. % 7% 71% Terminal Elevators 1,13. 1,9.7 -% % of Working % 3%. Country Deliveries (' tonnes) Country Deliveries 3. Railcar Supply to Western Ports (Cars) CN Allocation Plan CN Unloads CP Allocation Plan CP Unloads. Port Performance (Cars) Total Weekly Unloads -Week Rolling Average Var. to -Week Rolling Average YTD Unloads Weekly Out-of-Car Time 93. 7. 3% 3,9 3,7-9%,9 3,3 11% n/a n/a n/a 3,7,7 1%,31, 11% 7,33 7, n/a 1% -13% n/a 19,9 1,97 %.7%.7% 93.7%. Terminal Shipments Year-to-Date (' tonnes) Vancouver Prince Rupert Churchill Thunder Bay Total Western Canada. Vessels as at Jan, 19 9,93. 9,3. -%,71.,37. 1%.9.9 n/a,1.,11.1 % 1,73.3 1,11. 1% Week Var. fro m Last Year Vessel Lineup in port 1 19 -% Vessels Cleared 13 1 117% Vessels Arrived 1 n/a Vessel Lineup in port 3 3 % Vessels Cleared % Vessels Arrived 1 n/a 1. Stocks in Store: (Page ) Country stocks increased to 3.7 MMT in utilizing 7% of the system s working capacity. Space in primary elevators is good. Total western port terminal stocks remained at 1.1 MMT in, utilizing % of the working capacity.. Country Deliveries: (Page ) Producer deliveries were 93, tonnes in. 3. Railcar Supply: (Page 3) Railcar allocation plans are supplied by CN to Week of the 1-19 grain year (see page 3 for details).. Port Performance: (Page ) Total western port unloads were 1% higher than the -week moving average and 11% higher than last year. West Coast unloads were 7,33 cars (Vancouver,7 and Prince Rupert 1,71), % higher than the -week moving average and % higher than last year. Thunder Bay unloads were 1,1 cars, % lower than the - week moving average and 17% higher than last year. Year-to-date total western port unloads are % higher than the same period last year. The corresponding tonnage is % higher than the same period last year. The total average terminal out-of-car time (OCT) remained at.7%. The OCT time for was 1.% at Vancouver (.% on the North Shore and.% on the South Shore), 1.3% at Thunder Bay, and.% at Prince Rupert.. Shipments: (Page ) Year-to-date Western Canadian shipments from port terminal elevators at are 1% higher than the same period last year and even with the 3-year average.. Vessels: (Page ) Week lineup at Vancouver decreased to 1 vessels (The current one-year average at Vancouver is 1 vessels). Of the 1, were at berth, were anchored at English Bay, and 1 was anchored at Burrard Inlet. Prince Rupert vessel lineup remained at 3 vessels (The current one-year average at Prince Rupert is vessels). Vessels cleared from Vancouver were 13, and from Prince Rupert were in Week of the 1-19 crop year. 7. Weather: (Page ) Cold weather has been experienced throughout the Eastern Prairies over the past week and is expected to continue into next week as well. This will likely require railways to invoke their winter operating plans in these areas. Vessels Inbound Jan 1, 19 to Jan 7, 19 (Week ) Vancouver Prince Rupert 7. Weather Winnipeg <- o C Edmonton <- o C Vancouver Days Precip > mm Actual 1 Week Actual Week Forecast 3 1 1 Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for
Tonnes () Tonnes () 1. Stocks in Store 1-A1 Country Stocks ( tonnes) 1-B1 Terminal Stocks ( tonnes) MB SK AB BC Total VC PR West Coast CH TB Total 1-19 7. 1,.7 1,117. 17.1 3,91. 1-19 1. 19. 1..7.7 1,13. 17-1 1. 1,3.9 993.. 3,7. 3-Yr Avg. 73. 1,7.3 99..1 3,3. Var % - LY -1% 1% 1% -% % Var % 3-Yr Avg. Storage Estimated Working 1-19 % of Wkg Cap -% % 1% -3% % 1,99.,13.3,31.1 1.1 7,.7 1,39.,. 1,3..7,99. 7% 71% % % 7% 17-1 n/a n/a. 9. 3.9 1,. 3-Yr Avg. n/a n/a.1 19.9. 1,17. Var % - LY n/a n/a -% -9% -1% -7% Var % 3-Yr Avg. Storage n/a n/a % -9% % 1% 97. 9. 1,17. 1. 1,17.,. Estimated Working. 1. 31.3 9. 1.3 1,739. 1-19 % of Wkg Cap 79% 7% 7% 1% % % Note: CGC Weekly Statistics between 13-1 and 17-1 Crop Years reported Vancouver and Prince Rupert terminal stocks as a combined West Coast total. As of 1-19 these are separated. 1-A Weekly Country Stocks in Store 1-B Weekly Terminal Stocks in Store Tonnes (),,, 3, 3,,, 1, 1, 1 1 1 3 3 3 1-19 17-1 3-Yr Avg.. Country Deliveries 1, 1, 1, 1, 1 1 1 3 3 3 1-19 17-1 3-Yr Avg. -A Weekly Country Deliveries ( tonnes) -B 1-19 Weekly Country Deliveries vs 17-1 MB SK AB BC Total 1-19 11. 3.9 3.7 1. 93. 17-1 1.1 3.7..7 7.9 Wk Avg 1.. 3.9 7. 791. Var % to Last Year -% % 1% % 3% Var % To Wk Avg 1% % 9% 3% % 1, 1, 1, 1 1 1 3 3 3 1-19 17-1 Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for
3. Railcar Supply Special Note to readers: CP discontinued publishing weekly railcar spotting plans in Week 1 of the 1-1 crop year (GCRS Service Report). CN continues to publish a weekly plan and the graphs below reflect CN s plan to Week of 1-19. Note that the orders accepted do not necessarily reflect shipper demand, but rather the railways acceptance of shippers car orders. When both railways provide the order fulfillment data requested with the expansion of the GMP mandate, which was announced on February 3, 1, a complete set of metrics will be presented. 3 A: Canadian National Planned Car Allocation vs. Demand (cars) To Week 1 19 Crop Year 3 B3: Canadian National Planned Car Allocation to Western Ports Vs. Corridor Unloads at Port (cars) Prince Rupert,,, 1,, 1,, 1 1 1 3 3 3 17-1 Demand 1-19 Demand 1 1 1 3 3 3 PRG Alloc 17-1 PRG Alloc 1-19 17-1 Plan 1-19 Plan PRG UL 17-1 PRG UL 1-19 3 B1: Canadian National Planned Car Allocation to Western Ports Vs. Corridor Unloads at Port (cars) Thunder Bay 1, 1, 1, 7 3 C1: Canadian Pacific Planned Car Allocation to Western Ports vs. Corridor Unloads at Port (cars) Thunder Bay,, 1, 1, 1 1 1 3 3 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 TBay Alloc 17-1 TBay Alloc 1-19 TBay Alloc 17-1 TBay Alloc 1-19 TBay UL 17-1 TBay UL 1-19 TBay UL 17-1 TBay UL 1-19 3 B: Canadian National Planned Car Allocation to Western Ports Vs. Corridor Unloads at Port (cars) Vancouver, 3, 3,,, 1, 1, 3 C: Canadian Pacific Planned Car Allocation to Western Ports vs. Corridor Unloads at Port (cars) Vancouver, 3, 3,,, 1, 1, 1 1 1 3 3 3 Van Alloc 17-1 Van Alloc 1-19 Van UL 17-1 Van UL 1-19 1 1 1 3 3 3 Van Alloc 17-1 Van Alloc 1-19 Van UL 17-1 Van UL 1-19 Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for 3
. Port Performance A Weekly Unloads by Port (Cars) This Year for, Week Moving Average and Variances Vancouver Prince Rupert West Coast Thunder Bay Churchill Total 1-19,7 1,71 7,33 1,1 -,31 17-1,1 1,9 7, 9-7,9 -Wk Avg., 1,,93 1,3-7,33 Var % to Last Year 7% -% % 17% n/a 11% Var % to -Wk Avg. % % % -% n/a 1% B Terminal Unloads by Port This Year-to-Date as at and Variances YTD Unloads (cars) Vancouver Prince Rupert West Coast Thunder Bay Churchill Total 1-19 117, 9, 17,13,1-19,9 17-1 11,371,9 1,7 3, - 1,17 3-Yr Avg 113,79,33 1,1,77-1,3 Var % to Last Year 3% 1% % % n/a % Var % to 3-Yr Avg 3% % 3% -1% n/a % YTD Unloads (' tonnes) 1-19 1,.,79. 13,37.,7.3-17,7.3 17-1 1,9.,3.9 1,.3,1.7-1,3. 3-Yr Avg. 1,37.3,.3 1,1.7,73. - 17,9. Var % to Last Year 3% 1% % % n/a % Var % to 3-Yr Avg. % % % % n/a 3% C Vancouver Unloads (cars) -E Thunder Bay Unloads (cars) (This Year vs. Last Year and the 3 Year Average) (This Year vs. Last Year and the 3 Year Average) 7,,,, 3, 3,,, 1,, 1, 1 1 1 3 3 3 1-19 17-1 3-Yr Avg. D Prince Rupert Unloads (cars) (This Year vs. Last Year and the 3 Year Average), 1, 1, 1, 1 1 1 3 3 3 1-19 17-1 3-Yr Avg. -F Weekly Out-of-Car Time (% of hours out-of-cars / total hours working) by Port to 3% % % 1% 1% % 1 1 1 3 3 3 1-19 17-1 3-Yr Avg. % 1 1 1 17 1 19 1 3 Van - North Shore Van - South Shore Prince Rupert Thunder Bay Out-of-car time is measured weekly and uses data from terminal elevators on the total number of hours the facilities are open & staffed (including overtime hours) and the corresponding number of hours that terminals have no railcars available to unload. The measure is expressed as a percentage (hours without cars to the total number of hours working). Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for
# Vessels Days # Vessels Days ' tonnes -G Monthly Unloads (cars) This year vs. Last Year and the 3-Year Average to Week Months Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Weeks 1- -9 1-1 1-1 19-3-7-31 3-3 3-39 - - 9-3 1-19 31,1 3,99,7 3,39 33,3 - - - - - - - 17-1 3,7 3,7 3,,9 9,9 3,3 19,1,1 3,3 3,3,37 7, 3-Yr Avg. 3,9 33,17 3,7,7 3,9, 3,1 3, 33,11 3,7,1,1 Var % to Last Year % -% % -11% 1% Var % to 3-Yr Avg. 1% -3% 1% -1% 9%. Shipments A Shipments from Port Terminals ( tonnes) This Year-to-Date as at and Variance to Last Year-to-Date Vancouver Prince Rupert West Coast Thunder Bay Churchill Total 1-19 9,93.,71. 1,3.,1..9 1,73.3 17-1 1,3.,39. 1,3.,3.3-1,7. 3-Yr Avg. 1,7.3,1. 1,7.3,33.7 9. 1,. Var % to Last Year -3% 1% % % n/a 1% Var % to 3-Yr Avg. -1% % % -% % % -B Weekly Shipments ( tonnes) from Port Terminals - This year -Week moving avg. vs. last year -Week moving avg. and the 3-Year moving avg. 9 7 3 1 1 1 17 1 19 1 3 7 9 3 31 3 33 3. Vessels -A Vessel Lineup at Vancouver as of Week 1-19 -C Vessel Lineup at Prince Rupert as of Week 1-19 1 1-19 -Wk Moving Avg. 17-1 -Wk Moving Avg. 3-Yr Moving Avg. # Vessels 3 1 # Vessels 1 1 1 17 1 19 1 3 Time In Port - Days Time In Port - 1 Days Time In Port 11-1 Days Time In Port > 1 Days Loading Total Last Year 1 1 1 17 1 19 1 3 Time In Port - Days Time In Port - 1 Days Time In Port 11-1 Days Time In Port > 1 Days Loading Total Last Year -B Vessels Cleared at Vancouver up to Week 1-19 -D Vessels Cleared at Prince Rupert up to Week 1-19 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 17 19 1 3 7 9 31 33 3 1-19 17-1 Avg Days In Port (1-19) 3 1 1 3 1 1 17 19 1 3 7 9 31 33 3 1-19 17-1 Avg Days In Port (1-19) Note: The Time in Port measure for -A and -C is calculated as how long each vessel in the lineup has been in port as at Sunday of that grain week. The Avg Days in Port measure for -B and -D is the average number of days that all vessels which cleared that week were in port. These measure use vessel data provided by the BC Chamber of Shipping. 3 3 1 1 Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for
Temp (Celsius) Precip (mm) 7. Weather 7-A Actual and Forecasted Weather at Winnipeg up to Week Temp (Celsius) - -1-1 - - -3 1 1 Precip (mm) Precip. (Actual) Precip. (Forecast) 3-Yr Avg. Temp. Avg. Temp. (Actual) Avg. Temp. (Forecast) Temp. Threshold* 7-B Actual and Forecasted Weather at Edmonton up to Week Temp (Celsius) - -1-1 - - -3 1 1 Precip (mm) Precip. (Actual) Precip. (Forecast) 3-Yr Avg. Temp. Avg. Temp. (Actual) Avg. Temp. (Forecast) Temp. Threshold* 7-C Actual and Forecasted Weather at Vancouver up to Week 1 9 3 3 3 1 1 Precip. (Actual) Precip. (Forecast) 3-Yr Avg. Temp. Avg. Temp. (Actual) Avg. Temp. (Forecast) Precip. Threshold* *Note: Precip Threshold refers to mm of rain. At this level of precipitation, vessel loading may be delayed. The duration of the delay will be dependent on the ship, the duration of rainfall, and the amount of precipitation. mm is a general guideline and is not meant to be a definitive limit. Source: Environment Canada, The Weather Network (Forecast) Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for