Third Quarter 2004 Analyst presentation November, 2004

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Transcription:

Third quarter marginally positive despite large overcapacity Stabilized yield drop, but large overcapacity put pressure on load factors Group traffic revenues down 2% in Q3 Volume 56 Price -7 Third Quarter 24 Analyst presentation November, 24, -September 24 23 Change Revenues 15 423 14 92 +53 EBITDAR 1 753 1 737 +16 Lease, depreciation & financial net -1 684-1 736 +12 EBT bef. cap gains *) 153 116 +37 *) Ex restructuring costs of 64 (96) Q1-16% Yield drop stabilized Q2-16% Q3-7% Large overcapacity => weaker load factor than expected Down 2,7 p.u for Scandinavian Airlines Still some negative price effect from jet fuel despite fuel surcharges Spanair with strong profitability Q3 28 Turnaround 25 according to plan Unit cost down 26% since beginning of 23 Overcapacity = > Launch of Capacity & Utilization Focus Revenue actions = > New European concept and active yield mgt. Group Scandinavian Airlines Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Airline Related Business Hotels 2 3 8% 6% 4% 2% % -2% -4% Large overcapacity in the market - Particularly on Swedish domestic and European routes Capacity development Stockholm-Gothenburg jan-3 mar-3 maj-3 jul-3 sep-3 nov-3 jan-4 mar-4 maj-4 jul-4 sep-4 Capacity development on Swedish domestic majors Stockholm-Gothenburg/Malmö/Umeå/Luleå 4% 4 3% 2% 1% % -1% -2% -3% Capacity jan-3 mar-3 maj-3 jul-3 sep-3 nov-3 jan-4 mar-4 maj-4 jul-4 sep-4 Estimated demand Number of seats on Swedish domestic majors up more than 2% since March vs last year Capacity 2-3 times demand on Stockholm - Gothenburg Yields and unit cost close to sustainable levels Yield and unit cost Illustrative Long term estimated yield Current yield Long term unit cost Current unit cost Cabin factor 75% 7% Overcapacity = > load factors lower than long term level 65% 6% Cabin factor 55% 5% Long term estimated cabin factor 45% 4% 4-jan 4-feb 4-mar 4-apr 4-maj 4-jun 4-jul 4-aug 4-sep 5 Three building blocks on the return to profitability Turnaround 25 14 Structural cost savings Revenue actions Most ambitious structural change in the SAS Group ever New European concept Active yield Focus on reaching management competitive cost level on each traffic flow Selective price increases Full effect 25 according to plan Sales force 26% unit cost reduction since 23 (SK) management Capacity: no effect Improving yields Revenue stabilization Capacity: no effect Capacity & Utilization Focus Overcapacity in market Improved utilization enabled by new business structure Stop marginal routes and loss making feed Focus on competitive situation Reduction of 1 aircraft in Scandinavian Airlines More dynamic fleet allocation 4-5 net Capacity cost adjustments Capacity: Reduces capacity in Scandinavian Airlines with 4% 6

7 New European product launched on October 31 Overview The group brand positioning Economy snowflake & Economy Economy Flex Business A premium quality airline Business Economy Flex snowflake -- Economy -- Economy Flex Fast Track Business Fast Track With a substantial network -- -- Buy on Board -- -- Buy on Board -- -- Food & Beverage Lounge 2+2 seating Food & Beverage And attractive product offering No adv purchase No minimum stay No change/refund One Way Adv purchase 7d SU/3 nights No change/refund Return Full Flex Return Full Flex Return At competitive prices 8 9 growing in and out of Norway Cost savings more than offset yield decline and increased jet fuel costs Number of passengers increasing (3 more in September vs 23) Stable market share New price concepts one way pricing Braathens result before gains 349 New web site 2 nd most popular in Norway More than 3% SAS Braathens passengers book on Internet Braathens today one of few European Airlines delivering shareholder returns January September Change 24 vs. 23 3, 2, 1, 4,3 1,2,3 Market share Norway domestic 5% 45% 4% Braathens Jan-Sep 24 23 35% 3% Total revenues 4 768 4 898 25% EBITDAR 91 73 2% EBIT 214 122 15% 1% EBT 25 11 5% EBT, bef gains 349 129 % Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mai Juni Juli Aug Sep BU SK WF DY 1 Gunilla Berg CFO, -1, -,6-2, -4,6-3, -4, Yield Turnaround 25 Fuel Other including EBT before volume exceptionals 12

13-5 -1-1 5-2 -2 5 Quarterly results 23-24 EBT bef gains, restructuring and exceptionals 5-199 -13 116-415 -1631 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Group Mainline Airline Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels 9 153 14 EBT before gains and exceptionals - Business area Q3 Jul-Sep Q3 January-September Business area 24 Change 24 Scandinavian Airlines -36-114 -1 68 Subsidiary & Aff. Airlines 321 3 273 Airline Support Businesses 288 17 427 Airline Related Businesses 1-8 32 Hotels -4 24-97 Group eliminations, other -156-38 -496 EBT, before gains & exceptionals 153 37-1 469 Stable yield pressure as from June - Scandinavian Airlines Total yield change vs last year % -5% -1% -15% -2% -25% Jan Mar jul Sep Nov Jan Mar Sep 15 23 24 Load factors under pressure in Q3 due to overcapacity in the marketplace Load factor change in p.u. Scandinavian Airlines 8 6 4 2-2 -4 Unit cost reduction of 26% since 23 Target unit cost reduction 25-4% Scandinavian Airlines cost situation on track to competitive level Current issue is over capacity in the market 1,1,9,8 Scandinavian Airlines 1 Unit cost down 26% since beginning of 23 Reduced high fuel prices partly offset by fuel charges Group Jan-Sep Q3 Fuel cost -892-5 Volume -2-1 Currency 338 88 Estimates fuel costs at current price, billion 23 24 4,7 6,2 Hedging 5% Oct-Mar at 42 USD/MT including premium Group Effect Sep 24 Effect Dec 24 1 st charge EUR 4-6 44 82 2 nd charge EUR 2 1 1 3 rd charge EUR2 8 Total 45 1 Gross effect excluding volume effects -6 Jan Feb Mar Apr Jun jul Aug Sep,7 Q13 Q23 Q33 Q43 Q14 Q24 Q34 16 17 18

19 SAS Group Turnaround 25 ahead of plan Key productivity ratios significantly improved Legal structure Total financial effect of implemented activities compared to plan Reduction of personnel 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 14 14 29 27 79% 81% 111 113 6 5 4 3 2 1 6 6 2114 2184 65% 64% 3886 3816 14 145 Aircraft utilization (12 month roling) 8,5 8 7,5 7 6,5 6 5,5 5 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Jun jul Aug Sep 58 56 54 52 5 48 46 44 42 Cabin, pilot utilization (12 month roling) Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Jun jul Aug Sep The SAS Consortium is the main vehicle for assets, revenues and leasing * Cabin crew Pilots Plan Status Sep 24 Plan Status Sep 24 * To be moved to under SAS AB as from 25 To be implemented Implemented 2 21 Change to new IFRS rules in 25 Spanair contributes to Group s profitability in Q3 Financial instruments Market valuation of financial instrument Positive effect on equity Pensions No effect from IAS to IFRS Goodwill No amortization form 25 (if valuation equals market value) Positive effect on result 22 Jørgen Lindegaard CEO EBT before gains improved 37 vs 23 Jet fuel costs up 1 in Q3 volume adjusted One way prices on whole system The second player position provides a long lasting growth perspective Traffic up 7,5% in Q3 Yields down 3,2% in Q3 Unit cost down 12,2% in Jan-Sep Positive expectations for 24 24 Jul-Sep Jan-Sep 24 23 24 23 Total revenues 2 788 2 648 6 25 6 2 EBITDAR 618 591 981 915 EBIT 3 235 113-7 EBT 28 238 59-45 EBT bef. gains 286 249 12-72

25 Widerøe hit by weak summer performance and high jet fuel costs Blue1 good growth but currently weak profitability Impressive growth in AirBaltic and Estonian Air Volumes lower in the summer than expected Volumes back to normal in September Traffic up 7,3% in Q3 and 11,2% accumulated Yields down 8,6% Turnaround 25 proceeding according to plan 3 almost fully completed Accumulated unit cost down 5,4% - September January-September 24 23 24 23 Total revenues 599 574 1 829 1 862 EBITDAR 69 88 242 256 EBIT 9 28 67 73 EBT -7 18 44 3 Blue1 s result disappointing but actions taken Traffic accumulated up 84,9% Yields down 27% in Q3 Code share agreement with Lufthansa as from October will improve cabin factor Jet fuel cost up 41 vs 23 Helsinki-Düsseldorf/Geneve closed down Turnaround 25 proceeding according to plan Unit cost down 17,9% -September January-September 24 23 24 23 Total revenues 294 21 97 686 EBITDAR -3 14 11 75 EBIT -42-24 -13-35 EBT -46-25 -112-38 Regional member of Star Alliance The SAS Group owns 49% in Estonian Air and 47,2% in AirBaltic Number of passengers have increased by more than 4% during 24 State of the art cost efficiency level approximately 5% lower than west European network airlines 3 25 2 15 1 5 Number of passengers AirBaltic Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Number of passengers Estonian Air Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul 26 27 Strong REVPAR from September confirms recovery in Q4 -September January-September 24 23 24 23 Revenues 1 198 861 3 237 2 66 Operating expensives -1 153-869 -3 212-2 69 EBITDA 45-8 25-84 Adjusted EBITDA 52-3 47-75 EBIT 4-37 -78-172 EBT -3-37 -96-191 REVPAR Strong recovery for REVPAR from September Revenues up 39% in Q3 driven by new units Turnaround well under way positive result expectations for 24 Number of rooms sold increased Price pressure reduced REVPAR up 6,4% for comparable units. Number of hotels in operation increased 11% (from 162 to 183) 32 new contracts in 24. Full year positive result expected Jan-1 Sept Jan-2 Sept Jan 3 Sept Jan4 Maj Sep 28 Incorporation of business units completed October 1, 24 From business units to limited companies Closer to local markets Improved accountability One further step towards increased transparency Transparency Accountability SAS Group structure 29 Competitiveness Independence Strong performance from Airline Support Businesses in Q3 Jan-Sep in Revenues 3 55-14,7% 4 617 9,8% 2 147 -,9% EBITDA 414 32% 295 n.m 75 21% EBT 155 244% 192 n.m 23 13% 3

31 Sum up 9 months 24 Improved yields, but weaker load factors Record high fuel prices challenge for the industry Turnaround 25 according to plan Capacity & Utilization Focus initiated New commercial strategies to repossess initiative Launched October 31 Additional slides for further information Outlook remains unchanged 33 Other important events 3 rd Quarter 24 Vitalized product offer launched October 3 Economy Flex introduced Snowflake integrated with Scandinavian Airlines Offered on most European routes Study by COWI confirms SAS important role in Scandinavian infrastructure and society in brand Also confirms fierce competitive environment in Scandinavia Incorporation of Scandinavian Airlines in Denmark, Norway and Sweden SAS Group s strong liquid position and significant committed facilities Liquid Funds September 3-24 7 67 Available Credit Facilites: Revolving Credit Facility (MEUR 4) 9 Aircraft Finance Lease Facility 1 3 Bi-lateral Facilities 1 6 Others 5 Total Available Facilities 4 3 Total Available Funds 11 97 Program to release capital continues Available facilities 43 Utilized facilities 3 4 Total facilities 7 7 The SAS Group position as the 4th largest airline group in Europe retained 34 35 SAS Group number 11 world wide

Blue1 regional member as from 31 October 24 Group has three members SAS Group has a large socio- economic importance SAS Group key objectives 4Coming report in November 24 4Scandinavia need a network carrier 4Competitive feature in Scandinavia as other European markets 4SAS Group responsible to return to profit Unit cost Competitive unit cost in each traffic flow at the same level as most competitive airline Unit cost for SK Down 3-35% vs. 22 CFROI 4 Governmental support helpful but not discriminative EBIT margin 37 38 Implementation of new hubs proceeding according to plan Organization changes 4 Fleet allocation as from summer program 23 4 Administration as from August 23 4 Cabin crew in Q2 24 4 Legal entities as from October 4 Fully implemented in Q4 24 Advantages with new national airlines 4 More efficient and flexible units To serve the home market better 4 Reduced complexity 4 Agreements on local market levels Closer to the customers Group Scandinavian Airlines Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels 4 Average CFROI of at least 2%. Corresponds to approximately 1% EBIT-margin 39 The SAS Group new structure as from October 24 Transparency Accountability Competitiveness Independence Strategies going forward 4 Complete Turnaround 25 Reduce Scandinavian Airlines unit cost by 25-4% vs 22 Improve productivity significantly Independent hubs in Copenhagen, Oslo and Stockholm Complete final redundancies 4 Implement positive yield measures Yield management Jet fuel surcharge Fare adjustments 4 Commercial strategies Implemented October 31st Group Mainline Airline Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels 42

43 Group Revenue SAS Group objectives in the coming five year period are: To achive an average CFROI of at least 2% To increase the Group s share of the Northern European airline market For each unit to achieve its customer satisfaction, employee satisfaction and environmental impact objectives For airline operations to achieve their flight safety targets Consolidated balance sheet Revenue development per business area -September January-September Business area vs. LY vs. LY Scandinavian Airlines -4,1% -8,7% Subsidiary & Aff. Airlines 6,1% 2,1% Airline Support Businesses -,8% -1,6% Airline Related Businesses* -37,7% -39,% Hotels 39,1% 24,2% SAS Group 3,4% -1,8% Group revenues and EBIT-margin development Revenues 16 15 14 13 12 11 1 1Q 23 2Q 23 3Q 23 4Q 23 1Q 24 2Q 24 3Q 24 EBIT-margin 4,% 2,%,% -2,% -4,% -6,% -8,% -1,% -12,% -14,% -16,% * In December 23 Scandinavian IT Group was sold Revenues EBIT-margin Group Mainline Airline Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels 44 45 SAS Group revenue development Revenue seasonality pattern Group results have improved since second quarter 23 % vs. Last year 35 3 25 2 15 1 5-5 -1-15 -2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Revenue in Q3 24 slightly exceeds previous year higher volumes Reduced yield decline 1999 2 21 22 23 24 EBT change before gains and exceptionals vs. Last year 6 4 2-2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3-4 -6-8 -1-1 2 22 vs 21 23 vs 22 24 vs 23 jan feb mar apr maj jun jul aug sep okt nov dec -1 4 Group Mainline Airline Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels 46 47 Group Mainline Airline Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels 48

49 SAS Group EBITDAR and CFROI SAS Group Quarterly EBT EBITDAR development, January-September 24 23 Revenue 43 133 43 93-1,8% EBITDAR 3 22 2 947 8,7% EBITDAR-margin 7,4% 6,7% +,7 p.p. CFROI 8% 7% +1 p.p. EBT bef gains million 1 5 118 1 5 77 142-13 5 116 153 9-5 -415-591 -1-89 -1 5-1313 -1631-1613 -2-199 -2 5 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 EBITDAR 3 5 3 2 5 2 1 5 1 5-5 -1 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 21 22 23 24 EBITDAR in Q3 24 was 1 753 (1 737) EBITDAR Scandin Airl. 43 Braathens 287 Spanair 618 Widerøe 69 Blue1-3 21 22 23 24 Group Scandinavian Airlines Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels 5 Group Scandinavian Airlines Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Airline Related Business Hotels 51 January-September affected negatively by 9 higher jet fuel costs Current spot price 84% higher than 23 SAS Group has 5% hedge in place for October 24-March 25 and 1% Apr-Sep 25 3 rd fuel charge implemented November 2 5 45 4 35 3 25 2 3-4-1 3-6-1 3-8-1 3-1-1 3-12-1 4-2-1 4-4-1 Q2 and Q3 4-6-1 4-8-1 Record high jet fuel prices -Average spot rate 64% higher in Q3 vs 23 Average market prices: 2 297 USD/MT 21 245 USD/MT 22 233 USD/MT 23 282 USD/MT Q1 23 323 USD/MT Q2 23 244 USD/MT Q3 23 264 USD/MT Q4 23 298 USD/MT Q1 24 322 USD/MT Q2 24 365 USD/MT Q3 24 433 USD/MT 52 53 54

55 Unit cost SEK/ASK Scandinavian Airlines to improve efficiency and reach close to level of LCC Turnaround 25 business follow up a complement to existing follow up systems Decided and under implementation in Turnaround 25 App. 1,4 App. 1,25 App.,85 App.,75-,85 AEA Scandinavian Airlines in 22/3 With full effect from Turnaround 25, Scandinavian Airlines will reach unit cost in the same level as Low Cost Carriers given same stage length Scandinavian Airlines after full Turnaround 25 Follow up status negotiations Follow up FTE reductions FTE Follow up Steering of units on bottom line and include all effects of Turnaround 25 Follow up through normal reporting Budget and Business Plans Steering of businesses and business units Follow up activity KPI Follow up of existing KPIs KPIs on unit level task force and activity level 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2,1 7,5 1, 1,6 1,8 14, Current position appr. 1, SEK/ASK LCC 45 km Stage length Follow up of activities vs plan 2 Overhead functions SK/group wide Scandinavian Airlines (incl BU) SGS STS Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Total 56 57 Distribution of cost reductions in Turnaround 25 by cost category Number of personnel development for the SAS Group Block hours for Group Airlines in 24 36 9% 6% 5% 49% 35 34 33 Majority owned Airlines Jan- Sep 24 Air craft/day Pilots/year Cabin/year Scandinavian Airlines 8,3 547 568 Spanair 8,6 71 871 Braathens 8,2 568 56 32 Widerøe Blue1 6,7 7,7 533 685 495 744 11% 31 11% Personnel Ground Handling & Technical Aircraft lease Other Sales Inflight IT 3 JAN-2 MAR MAJ JUL SEP NOV JAN-3 Actual MAR MAJ JUL SEP NOV JAN-4 MAR MAJ Forecast JUL SEP NOV 58 59 6

61 Turnaround 25 amounting to 2 8 for Subsidiary Airlines and Hotels Internet check in has doubled but from low levels 12 1 8 6 11 Initiated in April 23 Total measures of at least 1 7 Most of measures implemented in 24 Target to increase Self Service check in to 6% in 25 Internet check low, but has doubled in 24 4% 35% 3% 25% 2% Business areas 4 2 3 15 15 Spanair Widerøe Blue1 Hotels 15% 1% 5% % 2211 2212 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 231 2311 2312 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 Automat Internet 62 Scandinavian Airlines Quarterly EBITDAR development Scandinavian Airlines key airline profitability drivers EBITDAR, Scandinavian Airlines 2 1 5 1 5 24 vs 23 -September Traffic (RPK) up 2,6% Cabin Factor down 2,7 p.u. Yields (currency adjusted) down 7,% Operational unit costs down 7,1% -5 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4* Scandinavian Airlines 65 22 23 24 66

67 1 7 3 9 2 8 Operating expenses continue to decrease September 24 23 Scandinavian Airlines aircraft utilization up 13,3% in January-September vs last year Productivity targets, Scandinavian Airlines Operating revenue 7 41 7 723-4,1% Personnel expenses -1 627-1 791-9,2% Sales & distribution -26-223 -7,6% Fuel -1 43-728 43,3% Government user fees -833-784 6,2% Catering -214-37 -3,3% Handling costs -1 21-1 11 9,9% Technical aircraft maintenance -882-1 78-18,2% Data & telecommunication costs -354-417 -15,1% Other costs -611-661 -7,6% Operating expenses -6 98-7 9-1,6% EBITDAR 43 633 EBIT -196-26 EBT -353-178 Jan-Sep 24 Target Aircraft, block hours/day 8,3 9 Pilots, block hours/year 547 7-75 Cabin, block hours/year 568 7-75 Aircraft s turnaround 3 to 4 Will significantly contribute to Turnaround 25 68 Group Mainline Airline Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels 69 Scandinavian Airlines Development of number of employees Employees FTE: Scandinavian Airlines 11 1 9 8 7 JAN-2 MAR MAJ JUL SEP NOV JAN-3 MAR MAJ JUL SEP NOV JAN-4 MAR MAJ JUL SEP Actual Forecast 7 Strong development on North Atlantic %, RPK vs. Last year 8 6 4 2-2 -4 %, Cabin factor 95 9 85 8 75 7 65 13 19 25 31 37 43 49 15 21 27 33 39 45 14 2 26 32 38 SAS Week January March September November January March September November January March September AEA General improved load factors Significantly higher load factor than AEA Oslo-New York ceased in March 23 Traffic in Jan-Sep 24: European airlines (AEA) traffic up 9,3% SAS traffic up 3,1% 71 Asian traffic improved but capacity in the market has increased significantly 1 9 17 25 33 41 49 5 13 21 29 37 45 4 12 2 28 36 %, RPK vs. Last year 12 1 8 6 4 2-2 -4-6 %, Cabin factor 95 9 85 8 75 7 65 6 55 5 72 Week SAS January March September November January March September November January March September AEA Positive mix but capacity to many of SAS destinations has increased more than the demand Reduced capacity on Bangkok/Singapore Shanghai 3/week as from March 28th Operate 6/week as from November Traffic in Jan-Sep 24: AEA traffic up 22,2% SAS traffic down 17,9%

73 1 3 8 Increasing traffic on European routes ECA European cooperation agreement %, RPK vs. Last year 3 2 1-1 -2 1 19 %, Cabin factor 8 75 7 65 6 55 5 45 28 37 46 SAS 12 21 3 39 48 17 26 35 January March September November January March September November January March September AEA Traffic Jan-Sep 24: AEA traffic up 8,1% SAS traffic up 6,9% 74 Tri-party Joint Venture agreement with BMI, Lufthansa and SAS signed November 9, 1999 In effect from January 1, 2 Main scope: To integrate the parties scheduled pass. transport to/ from London/ Manchester Negative result effect 22: 418 (335) Negative result effect 23: 244 Negative result effect first quarter 24: 71 Positive effect second quarter 24: 45 Negative effect third quarter 24: 62 Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Income for Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines improved Income for Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines stable Improved result in Subsidiary Airlines, January-September 24 23 Change Revenues 13 786 13 499 2,1% Operating expansives -11 73-11 666,5% EBITDAR 2 56 1 833 +12,2% Lease -1 39-1 331 -,2% EBITDA 747 52 48,8% Depreciation -429-43 -,% Income from sales/affiliated -42 36 n.m. EBIT 276 18 155% EBT bef. cap gains 273-1 n.m. EBT incl. gains 183-42 n.m., -September 24 23 Change Revenues 5 357 5 48 6,1% Operating expenses -4 43-4 82 7,9% EBITDAR 954 966-1,2% Lease -443-445 -,4% EBITDA 511 521-1,9% Depreciation -142-155 -8,4% Income from sales/affiliated -154-28 n.m. EBIT 215 338-36,4% EBT bef. cap gains 321 318,9% EBT incl. gains 171 38-44,5% Jan-Sep in Revenues 6 25 3,8% 4 768-2,7% 1 829-1,8% 97 32% EBITDAR 981 7,2% 91 28% 242-5,5% 11-85% EBT 59 n.m. 25 13% 44 47% -112 n.m 76 77 78

79 Spanair improved result by 84 Jan-Sep vs 23 Spanair contributes to Group s profitability Braathens has significantly improved its result, but weaker in Q3 -September January-September 24 23 24 23 Revenues 2 788 2 648 6 25 6 2 Operating expenses -2 17-2 57-5 269-5 15 EBITDAR 618 591 981 915 EBITDA 335 32 151 64 EBIT 3 235 47-7 EBT bef. cap gains 286 249 12-72 EBT incl. gains 28 238 59-45 The twin track strategy with full service and low cost model starting to make results Earnings before taxes and one offs improved by 84 for Jan-Sep Unit cost down 12,2%. Jet fuel costs up 271 The underdog position provides a long lasting growth perspective Combining excellent cost and quality/service performance with an innovative and agressive commercial model, will provide very good results and value for the SAS Group over the coming years 8 81 -September January-September 24 23 24 23 Revenues 1 664 1 613 4 768 4 898 Operating expenses -1 377-1 288-3 867-4 195 EBITDAR 287 325 91 73 EBITDA 144 174 462 238 EBIT -32 126 214 122 EBT bef. cap gains 18 121 349 129 EBT incl. gains -36 12 25 11 Stable result in in Widerøe, but Q3 hit by lower volumes Lower yields and high fuel costs reduces Blue1 s result -September January-September 24 23 24 23 Revenues 599 574 1 829 1 862 Operating expenses -53-486 -1 587-1 66 EBITDAR 69 88 242 256 EBITDA 44 69 171 184 EBIT 9 28 67 73 EBT bef. cap gains -7 19 43 3 EBT incl. gains -7 18 44 3 -September January-September 24 23 24 23 Revenues 294 21 97 686 Operating expenses -297-187 -896-611 EBITDAR -3 14 11 75 EBITDA -39-21 -94-27 EBIT -42-24 -13-35 EBT bef. cap gains -46-26 -111-38 EBT incl. gains -46-25 -112-38 82 Group Scandinavian Airlines Operation Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Airline Related Business Hotels 83 Airline Support Businesses

85 Result for Airline Support Businesses significantly improved Statement of income Airline Related Businesses, January-September 24 23 Change Revenues 1 251 1 417-1,6% Operating expenses -9 41-1 23-6,1% EBITDA 841 394 113% EBIT 486 56 n.m EBT 427-14 n.m, January-September 24 23 Change Revenues 2 179 3 571-39% Operating expenses -2 2-3 334-39% EBITDA 159 237-33% EBIT 43 43 % EBT 32 3 6,7% Airline Related Businesses 87 Scandinavian IT Group sold in December 23 and included in the 23 figures Flight Academy and Jetpak on track Weak result from SAS Trading Avinor has discontinued negotiations with SAS Trading tax free operations in Norway Jan-Sep in SAS Trading Revenues 1 261 7,3% 384 4,3% 338 1,8% EBITDA -5 n.m 12 24% 28 22% EBT -23 n.m 32 357% 12-29% A definite agreement is expected in August 24 SAS Trading s current agreement will expire in December 24 New agreement valid for seven years starting in 25 The agreement is expected to have a turnover of SEK 1 billion Current agreements stands for appr. 2/3 of SAS Trading s total revenue SAS Trading has in total 38 duty free shops in Scandinavia, Poland and the Baltic states of which 6 in Norway 88 89 9

91 Hotels third quarter result improved by 34 as REVPAR has stabilized Improved occupancy Unit cost has been sharply reduced -September January-September 24 23 24 23 Revenues 1 198 861 3 237 2 66 Operating expenses -1 153-869 -3 212-2 69 EBITDA 45-8 25-84 Change Vs. Last year Occupancy factor, including managed hotels 1% 5% % 12 months rolling value Adjusted EBITDA 52-3 47-75 -5% EBIT 4-37 -78-172 -1% EBT -3-37 -96-191 -15% Jan3 Feb Mar Apr Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec Jan4 Feb Mar Apr Jun Jul Aug Sep Jan-2 Mar Maj Jul Sep Nov Jan 3 Mar Maj Jul Sep Unit cost calculated as Costs/number of rooms Nov Jan4 Mar Maj Jul Sep 92 93 REVPAR has stabilized Balance Sheet 3 Sep 4 3 Sep 3 31 Dec 3 REVPAR (EUR) 12 months rolling value Liquid funds 7 67 7 483 9 66 Aircraft 21 77 26 192 25 561 Other assets 29 618 3 244 26 648 Total assets 58 995 63 919 61 275 Financial update Operating liabilities 16 315 17 548 15 89 Interest-bearing liabilities 27 784 29 29 28 866 Deferred tax 2 911 3 134 3 273 Minority interests 42 149 112 Equity 11 943 13 798 13 134 Total liabilities and equity 58 995 63 919 61 275 Jan-1 Mar Sept Nov Jan-2 Mar Sept Nov Jan 3 Mar Sept Nov Jan4 Mar Maj Jul Sep Nov Financial net debt 18 834 19 375 18 122 94 Group Mainline Airline Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels 95 96

97 SAS Group s limited aircraft Capex Firm Aircraft Orders Total Oct-Dec 24 25 26 27 Airbus A32/321 4 2 2 Boeing 737 3 2 Number of aircraft 7 2 4 CAPEX (MUSD) 233 9 93 131 SAS Group s Capex Holiday 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24F 25F 26F 27F 98 Oct-dec Clear Targets to Reduce Indebtedness - Long-term targets to be realised Key figures Sep 4 Dec3 Target Equity/assets ratio (solidity) 2% 22% >3% Financial net debt/ equity 157% 137% <5% Fin. net debt+7*oplease/ equity 314% 292% <1% 99 Targets will be reached by: Turnaround measures Capital Release: Aircraft Surplus and phase-outs Other Assets (Properties, non-core subsidiaries etc) Amortization profile of interest bearing liabilities Development of financial net debt 1993-24 SAS Group - Development and break down of Financial Net Debt 24 1 9 25 () 493 31231 Difference 8 7 6 6 2 Cash 7 67 9 66-1 459 6 5 4 4 7 15 1 Other interest bearing assets 1 343 1 678-335 3 2 1 1 8 3 2 7 9 1 1 1 2 1 7 4 8 5 92.12 93.12 94.12 95.12 96.12 97.12 98.12 99.12.12 1.12 2.12 3.12 Interest bearing liabilities -27 784-28 866 1 82-24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 > 213 Oct-dec Financial Net debt -18 834-18 122-712 1 11 12

13 SAS Group - Development and break down of Financial Net Debt 23-24 Financial Net Debt / Equity Ratio 1992-24 SAS Group Equity / Assets Ratio 1992-24 () 493 393 Difference Cash 7 67 7 483 +124 Other interest bearing assets 1 343 2 432-1 89 Interest bearing liabilities -27 784-29 29 1 56 Financial Net debt -18 834-19 375 +541 2,5 2,3 2, 1,8 1,5 1,3 1,,8,5,3, 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 5 % 45 % 4 % 35 % 3 % 25 % 2 % 15 % 1 % 5 % % 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 14 15 Adjusted Net Debt / Equity 1992-24 SAS Group Financial Net January September 24 Gearing ratios Net Debt+7*Op lease / Equity () 4-9-3 3-9-3 Difference Leverage Ratios 4% 35% 3% 25% Interest net and others -733-696 -37 Exchange rate differences -33 +318-351 Financial net -766-378 -388 34% 29% 24% 19% 2% Average financial net debt 19.1 19.8 +7 14% 15 % 1 % 5% % 1992 1994 1996 1998 2 22 Q1-24 Q3 24 In % p.a. of average financial net debt: Interest net -5,1% -4,7% -,4 p.u. Exchange rate differences -,2% +2,2% -2,4 p.u. Financial net -5,3% -2,5% -2,8 p.u. 9% 4% -1% dec-98 dec-99 dec- dec-1 Dec-2 mar-3 jun-3 sep-3 3-dec 4-mar 4-jun 4-sep Net Debt / Equity Fin Net Debt / Equity Fin. Net Debt + 7*Op lease / Equity 16 17 18

19 Cash flow statement Q3 September, 24 23 Cash flow from operations 674 656 Change in working capital -1 548-823 Net financing from operations -874-167 Investments, advance payments -672-721 Acquisition/sale of subsidiaries (net) -19 Sales of fixed assets, etc. 1 123 1 82 Financing deficit/surplus -423 175 Changes in external financing, net -799-847 Changes in liquid assets acc. to balance sheet -1 222-672 Improved cash flow but no positive change in liquid assets as surplus is amortized January September, 24 23 Cash flow from operations 342 111 Change in working capital -2 15-1 182 Net financing from operations -1 763-1 71 Investments, advance payments -2 393-2 945 Acquisition/sale of subsidiaries (net) -614-34 Sales of fixed assets, etc. 5 33 2 988 Financing deficit/surplus 263-1 62 Changes in external financing, net -1 722-2 176 Changes in liquid assets acc. to balance sheet -1 459-3 238 Sum Up Credit Data Strong liquidity of 7 67 Substantial Committed credit facilities of 4 3 Limited CAPEX going forward Young aircraft fleet Additional sources of capital Turnaround 25 program on track with union agreements secured 11 111 APPENDICES Traffic Data Yield Unit cost Fleet Financial key figures Yield development stabilized, but load factors weak on European flights and Swedish domestic Traffic improves, but less than expected Group traffic up 5,8% in Q3 Group passenger load factor down by 1,3 p.u. Passenger- Seat capacity Cabin- Q3 traffic (RPK) (ASK) factor SAS Group Total 5,8% 7,9% 67,8% Intercontinental 1,5% 1,9% Europe 1,5% 16,9% Domestic and 1,2% -1,3% Intrascandinavian Capacity (ASK) outlook 24 vs. 23 Scandinavian Airlines 5% Spanair 13% Braathens 4-5% Widerøe 9% Blue1 6% Total SAS Group 7% 112 113 114

115 Yield development 24 vs 23 Scandinavian Airline Total Scheduled Jul-Sep 24 23 Change Yield (öre/rpk) 96,6 15,2-8,1% Currency adj. yield 96,6 14, -7,% Jan-Sep 24 23 Change Yield (öre/rpk) 12,3 12,6-15,2% Currency adj. yield 12,3 117,6-13,% Yield development 24 vs 23 Yield, local currency -September January-September -3,2% -7,8% -8,8% -1,8% -8,6% -8,6% -27,% -28,9% Unit Cost January-September 24 vs 23 Share of Cost analysis 23 24 Var% total var % Personnel -6 218-5 217-16,1% -4,3% Fuel -2 152-2 79 25,9% 2,4% Gov. Charges -2 462-2 471,4%,% Selling cost -731-588 -19,5% -,6% Ground Services -3 95-3 687-5,6% -,9% Technical -3 252-2 762-15,1% -2,1% Other operating costs -3 87-1 869-39,5% -5,2% Total operating expenses -21 86-19 33-11,5% -1,7% Aircraft costs -1 559-1 35-16,3% -1,1% Adjusted EBIT -23 366-2 68-11,8% -11,8% Volume = average increase in ASK: +5,5% 116 117 Unit Cost -September 24 vs 23 Sharp reduction in unit cost continues in Q3 Yield Development Share of Cost analysis Q3 23 Q3 24 Var% total var % Personnel -1 896-1 627-14,2% -3,7% Fuel -734-1 43 42,1% 4,2% Gov. Charges -824-833 1,1%,1% Selling cost -237-26 -13,% -,4% Ground Services -1 257-1 21-3,8% -,6% Technical -1 46-882 -15,7% -2,2% Other operating costs -796-54 -36,7% -4,% Total operating expenses -6 79-6 35-7,1% -6,6% Aircraft costs -516-429 -16,9% -1,2% Adjusted EBIT -7 36-6 734-7,8% -7,8% Index last year, EBITDAR level (currency adjusted) Scandinavian Airlines 1% 5% % -5% -1% -15% -2% 1st Q 3rd Q 1st Q 3rd Q 1st Q 3rd Q 21 21 22 22 23 23 1st Q 24 3rd Q 24 Unit cost down 11,8% in 23 Unit cost down 14,7% in Q1 24 Unit cost down 12,3% in Q2 24 Unit cost down 7,1% in Q3 24 Adjusted for fuel price unit cost was down 11,3% in Q3 January-September (currency adjusted),% -2,% -4,% -6,% -8,% -1,% -12,% -14,% -16,% -18,% -2,% 23 24 -September (currency adjusted),% -2,% -4,% -6,% -8,% -1,% -12,% -14,% -16,% -18,% -2,% 23 24 Volume = average increase in ASK: +6,7% 118 119 12

121 Yield development Passenger Yield 3 rd Quarter 24 vs 23 Passenger Yield January-September % 2-2 -4-6 -8-1 -12-14 -16-18 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Yields down 7,% in 3rd Quarter 24 Reduction reduced because of jet fuel surcharge, fewer price campaigns and fmore active yield management Class mix still negative Nominal Currency Adjusted Route Sector yield effect yield Scandinavian Airline 92 11 93 Intercontinental 14 13 18 Europe 88 11 89 Intrascandinavian 84 11 85 Denmark 14 11 15 Norway 94 12 96 Sweden 93 1 93 Nominal Currency Adjusted Route Sector yield effect yield Scandinavian Airline 85 13 87 Intercontinental 98 14 12 Europe 85 12 86 Intrascandinavian 75 13 77 Denmark 93 11 94 Norway 82 17 88 Sweden 86 1 86 22 vs 21 23 vs 22 24 vs 23 122 123 Key airline profitability drivers 24 vs 23 Revenue Pressure partly offset by larger volumes Revenue analysis third Quarter Scandinavian Airlines January-September Traffic growth (RPK) up 6,4% Cabin Factor up,6 p.u. Yields down 13,% Unit costs incl A/C cost down 11,8% -September Traffic growth (RPK) up 2,6% Cabin Factor down 2,7 p.u. Yields down 7,% Unit costs incl A/C cost down 7,8% January-September 24 Revenues 18 4-9,8% Volume +6,4% Yields -13,% Currency -2,5% -September 24 Revenues 6 6-5,7% Volume +2,6% Yields -7,% Currency -1,2% 124 125 126

127 Passenger load factor 1995-24 69% 68% 67% 66% 65% 64% Moving 12 months values 63% DEC94 DEC95 DEC96 DEC97 DEC98 DEC99 DEC DEC1 DEC2 DEC3 Weaker USD offset by increased yield pressure 12 11 1 9 8 7 6 Positive effect on operation costs in January-September by 69 Weak USD => increased yield pressure 23 22 21 2 24 Currency Effects SAS Group January-September 24 vs 23 Jan-Sep Total revenues -1 34 Total costs +1 799 Forward cover costs & working cap. -185 Income before depr. +31 Financial items -351 Income before tax -41 128 129 Currency Effects SAS Group -September 24 vs 23 Currency Effects SAS Group January-September 24 vs 23 Currency Effects SAS Group -September 24 vs 23 Jul-Sep Total revenues -188 Total costs +321 Forward cover costs & working cap. -68 Income before depr. +65 Financial items +1 Income before tax +75 Total revenues & costs: (Total +495 ) Major approx. effects: USD +69 DKK +8 NOK -156 EUR -4 Asian curr. -45 All others +2 Forward cover costs: (Total -184 ) 23 +173 24-11 Working capital: (Total 1 ) 23 +1 24 Financial items: (Total -351 ) 23 +318 24-33 Grand total -41 Total revenues & costs: (Total +133 ) Major approx. effects: USD +16 DKK +2 NOK -25 EUR -3 Asian curr. -1 All others +9 Forward cover costs: (Total -44 ) 23 +75 24 +31 Working capital: (Total -24 ) 23 +26 24 +2 Financial items: (Total +1 ) 23-14 24-4 Grand total +75 13 131 132

133 Currency distribution in the SAS Group 23 NOK 33% Revenues SEK 19% GBP 4% USD 8% Others 5% DKK 9% EUR 22% SEK 17% NOK 25% Expenses GBP 2% USD 25% Others 1% EUR 15% DKK 15% SAS Group fleet as of Sep 3, 24 Leased Out Aircraft Type Owned Leased In Total On Order Airbus A34/A3-3 6 5 11 Airbus A32/A321-2 8 19 27 4 Boeing 767-3 3 3 3 Boeing 737 3 5 8 5 2 Boeing 717 4 4 Douglas MD-81/82/83/87 31 61 92 5 Douglas MD-9 8 8 Avro RJ-85/1 9 9 Fokker F28 1 1 Fokker F5 7 1 8 2 dehavilland Q1-4 17 37 54 SAAB 2 5 5 Total 18 194 32 15 6 Company Owned Leased Total Leased On Order In Out SAS 91 92 183 14 6 Spanair 54 54 Braathens 1 2 21 1 Wideroe 16 14 3 Blue1 14 14 Total 18 194 32 15 6 SAS share 134 135 Development of Market capitalization SAS share price vs. Peers 24 Number of traded SAS shares has increased 2 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 jun-4 feb-4 okt-3 jun-3 feb-3 okt-2 jun-2 feb-2 okt-1 jun-1 feb-1 okt- jun- feb- okt-99 jun-99 feb-99 12, 11, 1, 9, 8, SAS Market Capitalization vs. European Peers measured in SEK (December 31, 23 - September 3 24) 7, 31-dec- 3 31-jan- 4 29-feb- 4 31-mar- 4 3-apr- 4 31-maj- 4 3-jun- 4 31-jul- 4 31-aug- 4 3-sep- 4 79,4 78,6 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 January Number of shares traded in SAS per month February March April June August September October November December January February March April June August September Index Peers Index SAS * Peers: Alitalia, Air France, British Airways, Finnair, KLM, Lufthansa &Ryanair 23 vs 22 24 vs 23 136 137 138

139 Increased number of traded SAS shares at Stockholm Stock Exchange 9 Number of shares traded in Stockholm per month 6 3 January February March April 24 vs 23 June August September