Information meeting. Full Year results. June 2011

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Transcription:

Information meeting Full Year 2010-11 results 1 June 2011

Agenda 2010-11: Recovery in activity and return to profitability 2011: Ongoing actions and reinforced strategic advantages 2

2010-11: Strong improvement in operating result Dynamic transport activity supported by an improving economic context Target of improvement in operating result achieved, underpinned by cost savings and strategic measures Operating result improved by 1.4bn in spite of external headwinds Increase in fuel bill Numerous one-off events Recognized leader in the field of sustainable development Airline sector leader for the 6 th consecutive year running in DJSI indexes 3

Passenger: a strong recovery Satisfactory level of activity despite numerous crises and high fuel prices Long-haul revenues: +17.5% Medium-haul revenues: +2.1% Long-haul: recovery in long-haul premium unit revenues Premium RASK: +17.0% Economy RASK: +15.5% Medium-haul: roll-out of new Air France offer In line with 350m target for full year ASK Load factor RPK FY 2009-10 Traffic -0.1% 80.7% +1.0 pt 81.6% +1.1% FY 2009-10 FY 2010-11 Operating result ( millions) FY 2010-11 (44) +874 4 (918)

Robust activity, especially in Asia and the Americas Full year 2010-11 RASK ex currency North America -4.2% Domestic -1.4% 2.5% ASK RPK RASK Europe Total medium-haul 1.0% 0.3% 14.7% -3.8% 0.3% 5.3% ASK RPK RASK ASK RPK RASK Africa and Middle EastLatin America -3.9% -0.1% 4.4% ASK RPK RASK Asia -2.4% -1.2% 19.0% 0.0% 0.1% 3.6% 3.1% 4.0% 17.6% ASK RPK RASK ASK RPK RASK ASK RPK RASK Total long-haul Caribbean & Indian Ocean Total 1.0% 1.4% 11.7% 1.7% 2.8% 2.5% -0.1% 1.1% 8.6% ASK RPK RASK ASK RPK RASK ASK RPK RASK 5

Cargo: successful restructuring a year ahead of schedule Recovery in global trade Rigorous management of capacity Below 2008-09 levels Full freighter fleet cut from 25 to 14 aircraft Priority to bellies and combis Bellies and combis: 67% of capacity, up from 56% in 2008-09 Strong rise in unit revenue RATK: +29.9% RRTK: +26.3% Positive operating result of 69m Initial objective: halving of losses ATK Load factor RTK Traffic -0.3% 66.5% +1.9 pt 68.4% +2.5% FY 2009-10 FY 2010-11 (436) FY 2009-10 Operating result ( millions) +505 69 FY 2010-11 6

Strong improvement in profitability FY 2010-11 Change Revenues 23,615 12.5% Operating costs (23,493) 5.4% EBITDAR 2,629 +1,518 EBITDAR margin 11.1% +5.8 pts Operating result 122 +1,407 Adjusted operating result* 405 +1,445 Adjusted operating margin 1.7% +6.7 pts Non current income and expenses 764 +1,111 Result from operating activities 886 +2,518 Net interest charge (371) -67 Other financial income and expenses (78) +115 Income taxes 196-390 Other (20) -4 Net result, group share 613 +2,172 * Adjusted for the portion of operating leases corresponding to financial costs (34%) 7

Full year operating costs down April 2010- March 2011 Unit cost per EASK: 6.58 cts Capacity in EASK: -0.1% +2.7% +5.3% +3.2% -0.5% 0.8% -1.3% Actual change Currency effect Fuel effect Change before currency and fuel One-offs Net change* (*) Corrected for the impact of Premium Voyageur/Economy comfort: -2.8% 8

400m free cash flow for the full year Operating cash flow of 1.35bn, including 153m of nonrecurrent cash outflows: Voluntary Departure plan: - 80m US cargo claims: - 73m Amadeus proceeds Operating cash flow 1,543 1,145 Full year 2010-11 millions Free cash flow Tangible and intangible investments (net) Free cash flow of 398m Including 193m from Amadeus operation 193 1,350 398 1,145 Financing Investments 9

Reduction in debt x x Net financial debt ( billions) Net debt Gearing ratio Gearing ratio ex-derivatives Shareholders equity ( billions) Shareholders equity Derivative instruments 6.22 5.89 5.42 6.91 1.15 1.08 0.85 0.90 5.74 6.54 31 March 2010 31 March 2011 (0.32) 31 March 2010 0.37 31 March 2011 10

with the target of reducing gearing ratio to 0.5 Investment plan billions Adapted investment plan ~2.1 Replacement of 13 aircraft postponed after 2016 Young fleet (average age: 10 years) ~1.5 ~1.6 Debt reduction will be the primary use for cash 1.0 1.1 Pre 2009 average 2009-10 2010-11 2011 2012 11

Agenda 2010-11: Recovery in activity and return to profitability 2011: Ongoing actions and reinforced strategic advantages 12

Medium-haul: ongoing transformation Product adapted to customer expectations Second year of product overhaul project New product launched at KLM Provincial base program: a new model Cost reduction Regaining market share in regional cities Strong rise in capacity from the regions Planned launch with Marseilles in October Manageable costs Non manageable costs 61% 39% -15% -27% 52% 48% Current situation Target with new organization 13

Lower headcount Equivalent full time employees (end of month) Ground staff (incl. temps) Pilots and cabin crew Capacity Summer 2008 113,050 31,300 +3% -7% -8,100 FTE -1% Summer 2011 104,910 31,080 81,750-10% 73,830 At 31 March 2008 (Same basis) At 31 March 2011 14

underpinning our cost reduction target Challenge 12 objective for calendar year 2011: 470m Further sources of savings Use of larger aircraft Provincial bases project De-peaking of hub in Amsterdam New IT systems Target: unit costs reduced by 3%* in 3 years * At constant fuel price and currencies 15

Productive capacity growth Productive growth Densification of selected 777s Use of larger aircraft (fifth and sixth A380, B777-300) Growth may be revised down if demand is affected by the rise in fuel surcharges Summer 2011 capacity growth +5.7% +6.5% 1.9% 0.6% 777 densification Use of larger aircraft 4.0% Growth in flight hours Total Long-haul NB: Reported growth will be higher due to closure of European airspace in April 2010 16

focused on high growth regions 125 long-haul destinations, 7 more than Summer 2010 38 destinations served from both hubs, 7 more than Summer 2010 Orlando Cancun Miami Xiamen Havana Punta Cana Freetown Monrovia Phnom Penh Lima Rio de Janeiro Kigali Buenos Aires Cape Town New Air France-KLM long-haul destinations (launched at Summer or Winter 2011) New destinations served from both hubs (launched at Summer or Winter 2011) 17

Transatlantic Joint Venture with Delta: a unique asset The number one operator on the North Atlantic Revenues of 8.5 billion 27% of capacity 266 daily flights 27 gateways in North America and Mexico, 33 in Europe KLM economy comfort product adopted by Delta Reinforced governance Coordinated 7 to 9% year-on-year reduction in capacity for Winter 2011 18

Air France-KLM: leading exposure to high growth markets Capacity in ASK 2010 calendar year Rest of long-haul 60% 48% 40% 27% 29% North America 21% Medium-haul (Europe) 19% 23% 33% 19

with strong positions in many countries Latin America & Caribbean 33 daily flights 23 gateways in 17 countries 3 Africa 31 daily flights 39 gateways in 31 countries 1 Asia 37 daily flights 25 gateways in 13 countries 3 30 7 33 AF-KL LH IAG Brazil: 6 daily flights Mexico: 4 daily flights Caribbean: 14 daily flights 30 8 13 13 AF-KL LH IAG Nigeria: 4 daily flights South Africa: 3 daily flights Kenya: 1 daily flight (+2 operated by partner Kenya Airways) 34 38 15 AF-KL LH IAG China: 13 daily flights Japan: 8 daily flights India: 5 daily flights Air France-KLM Alitalia Lufthansa (incl. Swiss and Austrian) SN Brussels IAG (British Airways and Iberia) 20

SkyTeam: Seven new members, all in high growth markets 20 members by end 2012 21

Unique position in China Own network 2001 2011 2014 Beijing Shanghai Taipei Hongkong Beijing Chengdu Shanghai Hangzhou Xiamen Guangzhou Taipei Hongkong? SkyTeam member partners Four gateways Eight gateways Over 12 gateways Joint ventures 22

Strengthening of customer service culture The customer: one of the 5 domains of the Embark enterprise project Be the number one in service recovery Enhance our Flying Blue loyalty program Further differentiate and personalize our offers Be a leader in mobile phone applications Provide a seamless service with our partners Be attentive to and present on social media Benefits for the customer More autonomy Improved real time information Better customer relations 23

and ongoing improvement in our product offer 2009 2010 2011 New business class seat at Air France 90% of customers rate sleeping comfort good to excellent 64% say it is better than the competition New business class catering at KLM First class: exclusive ground services 24

Calendar year 2011 fuel bill up 1bn Fuel cost after hedging $ billions 150 USD/bbl over April-December: 10.49 (+45%) 5.46bn 7.26 6.42bn 9.14* 130 USD/bbl over April-December: 9.78 (+35%) 100 USD/bbl over April-December: 8.64 (+19%) 75 USD/bbl over April-December: 7.41 (+2%) 1.99 2.38 2.47 2.30 Jan-Dec. 2010 Jan-Dec. 2011 Jan-Mar April-June July-Sept Oct-Dec. Market price (USD/bbl) 80 111 105 117 112 111 Percentage of consumption hedged 59% 53% 52% 49% 55% 58% (*) Forward curve at 13 May 2011 (exchange rate for the year: 1,43 USD/EUR) 25

Outlook for calendar year 2011* Challenging current environment Oil price Volatility of major currencies Widespread geopolitical unrest Impact of Japanese disaster on economic growth Positive trend in forward bookings for the coming months Objective of a higher operating result than in 2010 * January to December 2011, due to change in financial year end date 26

27 Appendices

Revenue and operating result by activity Full year 2010-11 Revenues in billions Operating result in millions 77% Passenger 18.10 +11.3% -44 +874 13% Cargo 3.16 +29.5% +69 +505 4% Maintenance 1.03 +7.6% +143 +62 6% Other 1.32-0.6% -46-34 28

Q4 2011-11 unit revenues Domestic January-March 2010-11 RASK ex currency 4.7% 6.4% -4.4% ASK RPK Europe RASK North America Total medium-haul 4.1% ASK 8.9% 6.3% -5.5% 3.9% 8.5% -3.3% ASK RPK RASK ASK RPK RASK Latin America Africa and Middle East 8.0% RPK -3.6% RASK Asia -3.1% -3.8% 9.2% 0.9% -1.6% -4.5% 6.8% 4.3% 3.9% ASK RPK RASK ASK RPK RASK ASK RPK RASK Total long-haul Caribbean & Indian Ocean Total 3.8% 2.5% 0.4% 1.0% 4.5% 5.1% 3.9% 3.5% -1.0% ASK RPK RASK ASK RPK RASK ASK RPK RASK 29

Past results on a calendar basis Air France-KLM proposes to align its year end with the majority of companies in the sector Revenues 24,693 20,994 23,615 EBITDAR 2,275 1,111 2,629 Operating result (186) (1,285) 122 Net result, group share (811) (1,559) 613 Unaudited FY 2008-09* Calendar year 2008** FY 2009-10 Calendar year 2009 FY 2010-11 Calendar year 2010 Revenues 24,660 21,032 23,310 EBITDAR 2,696 1,094 2,503 Operating result 399 (1,324) 28 Net result, group share (851) (1,347) 289 (*) Pro forma Martinair (**) Without Martinair 30

Debt repayment schedule Debt repayment schedule at 1 April 2011* 2000 1800 2005 convertible bond ( 450m) Maturity: April 2020 Puts: 1 April 2012 & 1 April 2016 2009 convertible bond ( 661m) Maturity: April 2015 Convertible bonds Plain Vanilla bond Jan 14: Air France 4.75% ( 750m) Oct 16: Air France-KLM 6.75% ( 700m) Other long term debt (net of deposits) 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 Thereafter * In millions, net of deposits on financial leases 31

Calculation of net debt millions 31 March 2011 31 March 2010 Current and non current financial debt 10,788 11,047 Deposits on leased aircraft (455) (471) Currency hedges on debt 36 39 Interest not yet due (119) (115) = Total financial debt 10,250 10,500 Cash and cash equivalents 3,717 3,751 Investments of over three months 574 343 Triple A deposits 197 297 Bank overdrafts (129) (116) = Net cash 4,359 4,276 Net financial debt 5,891 6,224 Consolidated shareholders funds 6,906 5,418 Net debt / Shareholders funds 0.85 1.15 Net debt / Shareholders funds ex hedging instruments 0.90 1.08 32