AirRail Africa 2016 Conference Planning for Rail Connections to CTIA and KSIA 6-7 October 2016 Hishaam Emeran, General Manager: Strategic Network Planning
Content 1 PRASA Background 2 Cape Town International Airport Rail Link 3 King Shaka International Airport Rail Link (Durban) 1
PRASA the Passenger Rail Agency of South Africa PRASA Structure PRASA GROUP PRASA RAIL PRASA TECHNICAL AUTOPAX (Long distance coach) PRASA CRES INTERSITE INVESTMENTS R/Stock engineering and maintenance Capital Projects Translux City to City Real Estate Solutions Facilities Management Leverage investment on assets METRORAIL (Suburban) S-MEYL (Long distance) The Primary object of PRASA in terms of the Legal Succession SATS Act is to: Provide Urban Rail Commuter Services in the public interest Provide Long Haul Passenger Rail Services Provide Long Haul Bus Services The Secondary object of PRASA is to: Generate income from the exploitation of assets acquired by PRASA 2
PRASA Summary Fact Sheet Total Rail Network Commuter Rail Network 22 300 Km Number of Metro Coaches 4 638 Number of MLPS coaches 2 230 km electrified track (Gauge 1067mm) 1 223 Coaches and 124 Locos Number of Buses 458 Mercedes Benz, Man 109 and Old Fleet 150 Passenger Numbers Total Number of Employees ±17 000 Stations Metrorail 540 million passenger trips Bus Service 3.1 million passengers SMEYL 0.6 million passengers 589 stations Value of Assets ±R40bn 3
Gauteng Pop: 13.5m ORTIA(2015): 20.5m WCape Pop: 6.5m CT Pop: 4.0m CTIA (2015): 9.5m KZN Pop: 11.0m Dbn Pop: 3.5m KSIA (2015): 5m E Cape Pop: 7m PE Pop: 1.0m EL Pop: 1.0m PEIA (2015): 1.5m ELA (2015): 0.75m
Content 1 PRASA Background 2 Cape Town International Airport Rail Link 3 King Shaka International Airport Rail Link (Durban) 5
Background 1997: Development framework for CTIA, 1997 (ACSA) CTIA Strategic Long-Term Development Plan, 1997 (ACSA) 2008: High Level Technical Investigation (PRASA) Demand forecasts Rail alignment and station positioning Preliminary costs and implementation timeframes 2008: CTIA Masterplan (ACSA) 2012: Feasibility Study (PRASA) Demand forecasts Various alignment and service design options Financial and Economic cost benefit analyses 6
CTIA Rail Link
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 Passengers (daily) Passenger Demand PRASA Main Structure catchments Cape Town Central 26% Southern Suburbs 21% Northern Suburbs 12% Two alignments put forward as preferred options CTIA Annual Pax 2015 9.5 million 2025 13 million (base case) Airport Capacity: 40m Forecast ridership: 2040 (daily) 2000 9000 Express Similar for commuter Current dedicated bus (MyCiti) ±500 daily pax 10 000 9 000 8 000 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 - Airport Express Airport Commuter 8
Integrated Line Solution PRASA Structure Integration with existing service on upgraded lines New double at-grade line New single elevated line upgradeable to double line Network upgrades Description Project component Capital Cost Integrated Line: 4 trips/hr (peak) 3 trips/hr (norm) 20 min trip 4 operational trains R75/ticket 21 km Whole-of-life total benefit / (cost) to PRASA over 30 years including cost of capital (net present value 2010 terms) Airport Express R1.2bn 1 MTEF pays for capital* +R488m + Network upgrades (required) + Airport Commuters (optional) +R0.7bn +R0.2bn 1a PRASA borrows* +R331m 2 Private capital** (R71m) *D&C delivery of infrastructure. PRASA responsible for all infrastructure and operational costs. **Private SPV responsible for infrastructure availability over 30 years. Operations remains with PRASA. 9
Dedicated Line Solution Mid-point passing loop New single elevated line upgradeable to double line New single at-grade dedicated line Network upgrades (in red) Description Project component Capital Cost Whole-of-life benefit / (cost) over 30 years including cost of capital (net present value 2010 terms) Dedicated Line: 3 trips/hr (peak) 3 trips/hr (norm) 2 trains 14min trip R100/ticket Airport Express R1.6bn 1 MTEF pays for capital* +R686m 1a PRASA borrows* +R450m 2 Private capital** (R162m) + Airport Commuters (optional) +R0.2bn *D&C delivery of infrastructure. PRASA responsible for all infrastructure and operational costs. **Private SPV responsible for infrastructure availability over 30 years. Operations remains with PRASA. 10
PRASA Structure 11
PRASA Structure 12
Brisbane Airport Rail Link Study Tour 13
Key Outcomes Integrated Line Maximise use of existing infrastructure Dedicated Line Provides a premium dedicated service Serve as catalyst for network upgrades Higher overall usage is forecast Is upgradeable to a dedicated line Higher fares possible due to shorter travel times Lower (direct) capital cost Generate more revenue Minimise criticism that Airport Express receiving preferential treatment to new infrastructure Does not require any Network upgrades in advance of the project Implementation timing and funding solution will have influence on above Phase 1: direct access to CTIA from both Cape Town and Bellville stations Phase 2: extend rail link to the Metro south eastern area. PRASA and the City of Cape Town jointly exploring implementation strategies 14
Partnership towards the achievement of sustainable integrated transport for the City of Cape Town. Strong implementation oriented partnership approach. Programme 1: Infrastructure Investment Modernisation programme Infrastructure projects Network expansion Programme 2: Operations Management Operations integration and management reporting Law enforcement Programme 3: Strategic Investment Interventions Integrated ticketing & timetabling TOD and Station typologies Comms, Marketing & Branding Joint Investment Fund
Content 1 PRASA Background 2 Cape Town International Airport Rail Link 3 King Shaka International Airport Rail Link (Durban) 16
Background 2007: KSIA Masterplan (ACSA) Dube Trade Port EIA Notional rail alignment identified High level demand forecasting Proposed following investigations HoV Lane Dedicated bus service Rail Link Servitudes to be provided for future public transport requirements Two types of services required: Dedicated Express Service Commuter service 2010: ethekwini Municipality: IPTN Rail confirmed as backbone Trunk route / alignment to KSIA 2013: Northern Rail (incl KSIA) study Demand forecasts Rail alignment, technology and station positioning Preliminary costs and timeframes 17
Transport and Land-Use Tongaat C8 King Shaka International Mpumalanga Hillcrest C6a C6b C7 Bridge City C3 C6c C1 C4 C9 C2 Umhlanga Pinetown CBD Chatsworth C5 Rossburgh Merebank Umlazi Prospecton Isipingo Source: ETA - IPTN 18
Passenger Demand PRASA Main Structure catchments Durban Central Outer West Umhlanga / Cornubia Tongaat / Balito KSIA Annual Pax 2015 5 million 2025 7 million (base case) Airport Capacity: 42m Forecast ridership: current - 2040 (daily): 3 000 12 000 Express Prior to Integrated Aerotropolis Strategy Currently no dedicated public transport services 19
Rail Route Options/Scenarios Scenario 1 Improved / modernised North Coast Line Scenario 2 Proposed Metrorail Link (Durban Mt Edgecombe/Cornubia KSIA - Tongaat) Scenario 3 New Higher Speed Link (Durban Umhlanga KSIA) 20
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Key Outcomes Elements of each of the scenarios could be viable in the future Scenario 2, similar alignment to C8 Corridor. Over time as demand grows BRT corridor could be converted to LRT / Rail corridor. Plan for it upfront. Scenario 3 (Higher Speed) considered more attractive for KSIA service. Mainly new alignment 20-25 minute travel time between KSIA and Durban Central Rail access to new nodes, e.g. Umhlanga Demand still relatively low in short-medium term Preliminary costing R15bn (infrastructure) Detailed feasibility required. Important to consider link as part of the Gauteng Durban (Including Pietermaritzburg Durban) High speed network with involvement of all key stakeholders; i.e. national, provincial and local government, PRASA, Transnet, ACSA etc. In the interim, to address the lack of public transport services to DTP / KSIA, Road based solution (bus) Shuttle service between Verulam / Tongaat rail stations to DTP / KSIA 22
Hishaam Emeran General Manager: Strategic Network Planning Email: hemeran@prasa.com Tel: +27 12 748 7241 23