2010-1111 Macomb Community Needs Assessment The Demographic and Economic Landscape presentation to Macomb Community Action Advisory Board Meeting Kurt Metzger Director Data Driven Detroit (D3) June 14, 2011
Macomb Population Growth Has Slowed This Decade Population grew 4.6% between 2000 and 2005 Population grew 2.0% between 2005 and 2010 900,000 800,000 700,000 694,600 717,400 788,149 799,882 807,105 813,876 820,331 824,621 827,971 829,234 830,175 830,488 840,978 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 1980 1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Census Bureau
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Migration Patterns in Macomb Underwent a Shift Between 2005 and 2006 10,000 8,000 6,000 7,586 Domestic Immigration Net Migration 4,000 4,261 3,812 3,440 2,000 1,856 691 0-2,000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 -1,148-1,114-1,011-4,000 Source: Census Bureau
Macomb Continues to Gain Residents (Net Migrants) From Its Larger Neighbors 2001-0202 2002-0303 2003-0404 2004-0505 2005-06 06 2006-0707 NonMigrants 668,810 674,891 678,397 681,923 683,683 687,050 Oakland 2,399 2,058 1,450 1,425 889 356 Wayne 4,971 4,735 5,201 5,368 5,100 5,636 St. Clair -1,214-1,095-927 -663-687 -405 Lapeer -455-436 -575-454 -427-287 Genesee -143-51 -184-210 305-36 Washtenaw -108-61 -12-123 -127-56 Livingston -174-116 -138-145 -184-113 Source: IRS Special Migration Files
While Births Have Fluctuated More Than Other Counties, Recent Years Have Seen Decreases 11,000 10,500 10,000 10,499 10,288 9,828 9,643 10,328 10,33210,105 10,048 10,128 10,047 9,806 9,885 9,897 9,899 9,978 9,735 9,776 9,790 9,706 9,500 9,298 9,000 8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
Macomb s Aging Population Has Brought With It Increasing Numbers of Deaths 8,000 7,500 7,168 7,180 7,179 7,448 7,247 7,177 7,423 7,358 7,488 7,642 7,572 7,000 6,843 6,500 6,000 5,716 5,966 5,873 6,188 6,254 6,404 6,566 6,622 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: MI Dept. of Community Health
2000 2010 Population Change by Age Group MACOMB COUNTY All Ages 6.7% Age 0-4 -4.4% Age 5-9 4.4% Age 10-14 16.7% Age 15-19 10.6% Age 20-24 -8.6% Age 25-29 Age 30-34 -15.8% -14.1% Age 35-39 -7.1% Age 40-44 15.4% Age 45-49 -2.5% Age 50-54 31.0% Age 55-59 41.1% Age 60-64 50.8% Age 65-69 24.8% Age 70-74 Age 75-79 -6.6% -8.3% Age 80-84 18.8% Age 85+ 53.8% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Source: 2010 Census
Macomb s Diversity Has Increased Greatly Over the Last Two Decades 100% 95% 90% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.4% 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 0.3% 3.0% 2.7% 0.3% Hispanic / Latino Other / Multi-Race Asian/Pacific Islander 8.6% Native American 85% 95.8% 91.6% Black /African American White 80% 83.9% 75% 1990 2000 2010 Source: Census Bureau
Distribution of Population by Major Race/Hispanic Origin Category: Macomb, Michigan 2000 2010 2000-2010 Race/Hispanic Category Population Percent Population Percent Percent Count of Total Count of Total Change 99 Total Population 788,149 100.0% 840,978 100.0% +6.7% Total Non-Hispanic White Alone 721,882 91.6% 705,693 83.9% - 2.2% Total Non-Hispanic Black/African American Alone Total Non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native A 21,151 2.7% 72,053 8.6% +240.7% 2,255 0.3% 2,351 0.3% +4.3% Total Non-Hispanic Asian Alone 16,743 2.1% 24,908 3.0% +48.8% Total Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Is 157 0.0% 168 0.0% +7.0% Total Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Alone 685 0.1% 803 0.1% +17.2% Total Non-Hispanic Two or More Races 12,841 1.6% 15,907 1.9% +23.9% Total Hispanic Alone 12,435 1.6% 19,095 2.3% +53.6% Housing Housing Units 320,276 100.0% 356,626 100.0% +11.3% Occupied 309,203 96.5% 331,667 93.0% +7.3% Vacant 11,073 3.5% 24,959 7.0% +125.4% Source: Note: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census, PL94-171 data file and Estimated Population by State by Age, Race, Sex, and Hispanic Origin for 2000-2009. The figures used for 2000 were derived from the 2000 Census to serve as the base for the Census Bureau's estimates of population for 2000-2009. They reflect corrections to the census figures that were initially published in 2001.
The Suburban Movement of the 1990s Increased Post-2000 With Exodus of African Americans From Detroit White African American Asian Hispanic Other/ Multi Macomb -16,189 50,902 8,176 6,660 2,664 Oakland -68,354 42,595 18,319 12,921 2,104 Washtenaw 3,642 3,826 6,746 5,021 2,530 Wayne -126,804-131,826 10,659 18,053-10,316 Out-Wayne -82,487 53,567 12,445 16,541-3,327 Detroit -44,317-185,393-1,786 1,512-6,989 Source: Census Bureau
Flint Flint Grand Blanc Genesee Grand Blanc Lapeer Metamora Hadley Atlas Imlay Attica Lapeer Elba Davison Burton Tyrone Highland Waterford Oakland White Milford Commerce Wixom Livingston Green Oak South Lyon Walled Novi Lyon Novi Northville Northville Northville Salem Northfield Superior Washtenaw Ypsilanti Pittsfield Ypsilanti Pontiac West Bloomfield Bloomfield Augusta Westland Wayne Romulus Belleville Huron Milan Milan Dearborn Inkster Wayne Taylor Melvindale River Rouge Allen Park Ecorse Lincoln Park Wyandotte Southgate Milan Dundee Exeter Monroe Ash Raisinville Frenchtown Riverview Trenton Woodhaven Grosse Ile Flat Rock Gibraltar Rockwood London Eastpointe The Village of Grosse Pointe Shores, a M Grosse Pointe Woods Grosse Pointe Farms Dearborn Heights Brownstown York St Clair Shores Center Line Berlin Percent Black Population, by 2010 Census Tracts Percent Black Detroit 0% - 20% 40.1% - 60% No Population 20.1% - 40% Municipality 60.1% - 80% 80.1% - 100% 0 2 4 8 Miles Ira Clay Roseville Warren Detroit Garden City Sumpter Madison Heights Highland Park Hamtramck Redford Harrison Clinton Fraser Clawson Pleasant Oak Ridge Hazel Park Ferndale Park Plymouth Plymouth Van Buren Mt Clemens Sterling Heights Troy Birmingham Southfield Farmington Macomb Shelby Rochester Southfield Royal Lathrup Oak Village Berkley Livonia Canton Rochester Casco New Chesterfield Baltimore Macomb Utica Bloomfield Farmington Ann Arbor Ann Arbor Auburn Sylvan Keego Harbor Orchard Hartland Brighton Angelus Lenox Ray Washington Oakland Orion Independence Village of Clarkston Springfield Columbus Richmond Richmond Rose Richmond Armada Bruce Addison Oxford Brandon Groveland Holly Wales Memphis Memphis Mundy Riley St. Clair Berlin Almont Dryden Emmett Mussey
Flint Flint Grand Blanc Genesee Grand Blanc Lapeer Metamora Hadley Atlas Imlay Attica Lapeer Elba Davison Burton Tyrone Highland Waterford Oakland White Milford Commerce Wixom Livingston Green Oak South Lyon Walled Novi Lyon Novi Northville Northville Northville Salem Northfield Superior Washtenaw Ypsilanti Pittsfield Ypsilanti Pontiac West Bloomfield Bloomfield Augusta Westland Wayne Romulus Belleville Huron Milan Milan Milan Dundee Exeter Monroe Eastpointe The Village of Grosse Pointe Shores, a M Grosse Pointe Woods Grosse Pointe Farms Dearborn Inkster Wayne Taylor Melvindale River Rouge Allen Park Ecorse Lincoln Park Wyandotte Southgate Ash Raisinville Frenchtown Riverview Trenton Woodhaven Grosse Ile Flat Rock Gibraltar Rockwood London St Clair Shores Center Line Dearborn Heights Brownstown York Roseville Warren Detroit Garden City Sumpter Madison Heights Highland Park Hamtramck Redford Harrison Clinton Fraser Clawson Pleasant Oak Ridge Hazel Park Ferndale Park Plymouth Plymouth Van Buren Mt Clemens Sterling Heights Troy Birmingham Southfield Farmington Macomb Shelby Rochester Southfield Royal Lathrup Oak Village Berkley Livonia Canton Rochester Berlin Percent Asian Population, by 2010 Census Tracts Percent Asian Detroit 0% - 5.9% 12% - 17.9% No Population 6% - 11.9% Municipality 18% - 23.9% 24% - 53.3% 0 2 4 8 Miles Casco New Chesterfield Baltimore Macomb Utica Bloomfield Farmington Ann Arbor Ann Arbor Auburn Sylvan Keego Harbor Orchard Hartland Brighton Angelus Lenox Ray Washington Oakland Orion Independence Village of Clarkston Springfield Columbus Richmond Richmond Rose Richmond Armada Bruce Addison Oxford Brandon Groveland Holly Wales Memphis Memphis Mundy Riley St. Clair Berlin Almont Dryden Emmett Mussey Ira Clay
Flint Burton Davison Flint Grand Blanc Genesee Mundy Grand Blanc Lapeer Metamora Hadley Atlas Independence Village of Clarkston Commerce Walled Brighton Wixom South Lyon Lyon Novi Salem Superior Ann Arbor Washtenaw Ypsilanti Pittsfield Ypsilanti Augusta York Novi Northville Plymouth Macomb Shelby Utica Clinton Troy Birmingham Clawson Southfield Royal Lathrup Oak Berkley Village Madison Heights Detroit Fraser Roseville Warren Center Line Pleasant Hazel Oak Ridge Park Ferndale Park Royal Oak Southfield Mt Clemens Sterling Heights Bloomfield Chesterfield Macomb Rochester Pontiac Farmington Redford Casco Harrison New Baltimore Clay St Clair Shores The Village of Grosse Pointe Shores, a M Grosse Pointe Woods Grosse Pointe Farms Grosse Pointe Park Eastpointe Highland Park Hamtramck Westland Dearborn Garden Heights City Canton Inkster Wayne Van Buren Romulus Belleville Huron Sumpter Exeter Lenox Ray Washington Rochester Livonia Milan Dundee Auburn Bloomfield Milan London Richmond Columbus Armada Ira West Bloomfield Plymouth Ann Arbor Angelus Farmington Northville Northville Northfield Wales Orion Sylvan Keego Harbor Orchard Highland Livingston Oakland Oakland White Milford Riley Richmond Richmond Rose Hartland St. Clair Groveland Waterford Milan Bruce Addison Springfield Tyrone Green Oak Berlin Memphis Memphis Brandon Holly Emmett Mussey Almont Dryden Oxford Imlay Attica Lapeer Elba Monroe Ash Raisinville Frenchtown Dearborn Wayne Melvindale Allen Park River Rouge Ecorse Lincoln Park Wyandotte Taylor Southgate Riverview Brownstown Trenton Grosse Woodhaven Ile Gibraltar Flat Rock Rockwood Berlin Percent Hispanic Population, by 2010 Census Tracts Percent Hispanic Detroit 0% - 2.9% 6% - 8.9% No Population 3% - 5.9% Municipality 9% - 76.8% 0 2 4 8 Miles
The Employed Population of Macomb Has Decreased by More than 75,000 Since 1999 450,000 Manufacturing Jobs dropped by 55,000 between 2000 and 2010 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 394,966 405,352 412,788 419,062 427,723 418,171 408,418 400,285 396,137 395,182 395,224 393,179 390,359 379,561 349,519 351,239 100,000 50,000 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: MI Labor Market Information
The Number of Unemployed Increased Fourfold Between 2000 and 2009 Improvement in 2010 70,000 60,000 15.7% 65,266 14.2% 58,197 50,000 40,000 8.8% 36,533 30,000 20,000 19,875 19,484 3.6% 17,104 16,277 16,377 15,741 22,840 26,171 28,560 28,715 29,279 30,344 31,143 10,000 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: MI Labor Market Information
Income* 2000, 2009 2000* 2009 Change %Change Median Household Income City of Detroit 38,089 26,098-11,991-31.3% Southeast Michigan 63,303 48,535-14,768-23.3% Macomb 67,070 50,553-16,517-24.6% Oakland 79,692 62,308-17,384-21.8% Wayne 52,491 38,192-14,299-27.2% Michigan 57,499 45,255-12,244-21.3% United States 54,058 50,221-3,837-7.1% * Note: All 2000 monetary values are adjusted to 2009 dollars using U.S. Consumer Price Research Series Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U-RS) from 1999 to 2009. Source: U.S. Department of Labor
The Share of Macomb Residents in Poverty Nearly Doubled Over the Decade Total Population Youth Population 2000 2009 2000 2009 Less than 50 percent 2.6% 4.4% 3.2% 6.6% At or below poverty 5.6% 10.9% 7.3% 15.0% Less than 125 percent 7.9% 14.3% 10.0% 19.0% Less than 150 percent 10.4% 18.6% 13.1% 24.1% Less than 185 percent 14.4% 25.3% 17.9% 32.2% Less than 200 percent 16.3% 27.2% 20.3% 34.2% Source: Census Bureau 2000 Census and American Community Survey
The Number of Macomb Residents Receiving Food Assistance Has Increased Fourfold This Decade 140,000 120,000 Recipient growth between Oct. 08 and Aug. 10 Adults 44,174 to 72,960 Children 31,793 to 53,406 115,081 100,000 86,820 80,000 60,000 40,000 28,435 34,478 42,447 49,217 55,356 63,441 67,891 20,000 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Source: MI Department of Human Services
While Need Varies A Great Deal Across the, All Areas Have Been Affected by the Downturn Percent of Children on Free and Reduced Price Lunch 100% 90% 84.3% 2006-07 2009-10 80% 70% 72.7% 72.3% 65.2% 77.9% 60% 50% 40% 58.6% 58.5% 38.1% 37.6% 34.1% 33.7% 52.2% 47.3% 46.5% 42.0% 30% 20% 23.5% 18.3% 21.7% 24.9% 25.9% 23.1% 10% 0% Source: MI CEPI
Summary of Trends Macomb, and the Region, Have Experienced an Extremely Macomb Difficult Decade Particularly Last 5 Yrs Caseloads Continuing Up Loss of High Paid Manufacturing Jobs Loss of Manufacturing Has Led to Loss of Service Jobs Rising Unemployment Increasing Levels of Poverty Difficulty Meeting Basic Needs Declining Real Estate Market [new construction and sales] Home Foreclosures Growing Homeless Population Declining Property Values Low Levels of Education / Lack of Skills for New Economy Increasing Numbers of Single Parent Families / Births to Unmarried Increasin Increasing Racial and Ethnic Diversity Aging Population Geographic Distinctions between North and South
2010-1111 Macomb Community Needs Assessment The Demographic and Economic Landscape presentation to Macomb Community Action Advisory Board Meeting Kurt Metzger Director Data Driven Detroit (D3) June 14, 2011