Norwegian Air Shuttle SEB Nordic Seminar, 8 th January 2019

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Transcription:

Norwegian Air Shuttle SEB Nordic Seminar, 8 th January 2019 CFO Geir Karlsen

Corporate strategy overview

Company overview Norwegian Air Shuttle is the leading European lowcost airline founded by Bjørn Kjos in 1993. Norwegian has a leading position in the European short-haul point-to-point market, with a particularly strong position in the Nordics. In addition, Norwegian has developed a strong and differentiated position on flying long-haul transatlantic Since its inception, the company has rapidly expanded its network and fleet, currently serving 36m passengers 10,000 EMPLOYEES GLOBALLY 500+ ROUTES TO 150 DESTINATIONS 132 NARROWBODY AND 32 WIDEBODY 60+ INTER- CONTINENTAL ROUTES 3.8 years AVERAGE FLEET AGE 85%+ LONG HAUL CAPACITY GROWTH Awarded The World s Best Low-Cost Long Haul Airline (4 consecutive years) and Europe s Best Low-Cost Airline (6 consecutive years) by Skytrax PASSENGERS In million 20,7 24,0 25,8 29,3 33,1 36,4 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2018 LTM REVENUE In NOK billion 15,6 19,5 22,5 26,0 30,9 38.5 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2018 LTM REVENUE BREAKDOWN By region Q3 2018 LTM Finland 4% Denmark 7% UK 9% Sweden 10% Others 18% Spain 14% Norway 21% US 17% 1 2013 to Q3-2018 LTM CAGR. 3

Investment highlights Leadership in Nordic 1 Leading low cost operator in the Nordics with c.28%¹ share of short haul market Low Cost Short Haul 2 Highly Differentiated Long Haul Proposition Has disrupted the market and pioneered a new business model using modern aircraft technology 3 Disciplined Low Cost Operating Model Relentless focus on low cost operating discipline across network; unit costs in line with best-inbreed peers 4 Innovative Operating Structure Unique operating structure that allows to scale business organically and maintain efficiency 5 Value for Money Customer Product Proposition Deployment of latest technologies to unbundle fares and offer travelers more choice and customization options (e.g. IFE and inflight catering) 6 Modern, Greener More Fuel Efficient Fleet Wide body aircraft 10-20% more fuel efficient and offering 40% noise reduction flying the most modern transatlantic fleet with an average fleet age of 3.8 years 7 Significant Financial Upside Significant forward earnings potential as long haul low cost business matures and profitability improves; track record of growing revenues and EBITDAR at CAGR of 20.1% and 18.9% respectively 2 1 CAPA report 2016. 2 FY 2010-2017A. 4

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES 2022 LONG TERM VISION Key pillars of our corporate strategy 2018-2022 KEY FOCUS AREAS We shall be the leading long haul low-cost airline in Europe operating as the engine of global lowcost growth, with a very strong position in the Nordic short haul market Return to sustainable profitability in 2019 Build global low-cost alliance with our long haul operation as the backbone Fortify position as the leading short haul carrier in the Nordics Be the preferred airline for customers seeking value for money Competitive cost base Profitable operations and global alliance Operational resilience Optimized asset management Shared customer focus Improve digital and analytics capabilities Reduce cost base Sustainable unit cost position Cost control and automation Focus is to capitalize on long haul Fortify position in the Nordics Improve connectivity and feed Improve operational simplicity Develop resilient program Optimize technical & crew Commercially-driven fleet plan Fleet renewal program Maximize return on assets Deliver on the basics One customer journey Personalization and Reward Standardize and reduce complexity Strategic sourcing Agile development processes CORE VALUES Innovation Teamwork Simplicity 5

Growth Western/Central Africa Growth Southern Africa Strategy 2018-2020: Maintain short haul within Europe, grow medium/long haul between Europe and the rest of the world & exploit new/underserved markets North America Asia Europe Core Large cities in U.S. & Europe Core Within Europe Core / Growth Mid-sized cities US & Europe / New markets Africa South America Growth Oceania Arg. & Chile Legend Short B737-8 B737-MAX Medium Long A320neo B787-8/9 B737-MAX 6

Competitive landscape

Competing for customer attention and market share on three fronts B787 Long haul from primary cities in Europe to U.S. & South America Key threats Main competition B737-8/MAX Short haul in Nordics & selected European markets A321LR / B737-MAX Medium / Long haul, opportunistic between primary-secondary cities in Europe, U.S. & Asia European short haul Less rivalry in Nordics, but potential for full entry from ULCCs Intense rivalry rest of Europe from various carriers pressuring yield Convergence: Both traditional LCCs and legacy moving in each others direction Thinner medium haul routes New aircraft types with increased range open up new markets Young market and will see increased testing of routes and offerings Long haul trunk routes Subsidized economy seats from legacy carriers Low-cost long haul maturing and competition copying our model Potential entrants from Asia in long-term perspective 132 aircraft 32 aircraft 8

Financials

Disciplined low cost operating model Relentless focus on low cost operating discipline across our network Our Cost Philisophy Low cost carrier state-of-mind Cost concious culture Nimble organisation Constant strive for improvements Our Achievments To Date Unit costs excl. fuel in line with best-in-breed peers Best in class on fuel efficiency Ongoing Focus Fuel price volatility and planned capacity growth will likely lead to high costs Focused on implementing initiatives to maintain cost position Targeting minimum NOK 2 billion capacity adjusted cost reduction excl. fuel and IFRS 16 effects for FY2019 10

Comparison of unit cost incl. depreciation Sources: Based on official full-year 2017 annual reports Foreign exchange rates used are equivalent to the daily average rates corresponding to the reporting periods and as stated by the Central Bank of Norway Note: For some carriers the available financial data represents Group level data which may include cost items from activities that are unrelated to airline operations. Other losses / (gains) is not included in the CASK concept as it primarily contains hedge gains/losses offset under financial items* as well as other non-operational income and/or cost items such as gains on the sale of spare part inventory and unrealized foreign currency effects on receivables/payables and (hedges of operational expenses). *Norwegian hedges USD/NOK to counter foreign currency risk exposure on USD denominated borrowings translated to the prevailing currency rate at each balance sheet date. Hedge gains and losses are according to IFRS recognized under operating expenses (other losses/ (gains) while foreign currency gains and losses from translation of USD denominated borrowings are recognized under financial items. 11

Sustainability as a business opportunity

Youngest fleet among peers Average fleet age Norwegian Frontier Airlines Aeroflot Wizz Air Spirit Airlines Etihad Qatar Emirates Turkish Airlines Vueling Easyjet Ryanair Virgin America Eurowings JetBlue Iberia SAS Finnair Flybe Group American Airlines Southwest Air France KLM Lufthansa British Airways United Airlines Delta Airlines Widerøe 0 5 10 15 20 Source: Planespotters.net, January 2019 13

Adding 21 new aircraft to own operations in 2019 2019: Deliveries 787-9 +1,690 seats Deliveries 737 MAX +3,024 seats Re-delivery 737-800 -186 seats 14

30 per cent emission reductions in 10 years By investing in new aircraft, Norwegian reduces fuel burn and hence emissions considerably With an average age of 3.8 years, Norwegian has one of the youngest, greenest and most fuelefficient fleets in the world Norwegians new aircraft reduce CO2 emissions up to 30% and generate up to 60% smaller noise footprint than comparable older versions Target further fuel reductions by optimizing flights with advanced weather data 15

Aviation boosts tourism and creates economic value A report by Menon Economics shows the positive effects of international passengers flying to Scandinavia with Norwegian: 40,000 new jobs have been created in Scandinavia Passengers flying to Sweden, Norway and Denmark with Norwegian in 2017 contributed to an increased economic growth of USD 3.5 billion (NOK 26.9 billion) For more information, listen to Norwegian s own podcast series Norwegian On Air: https://soundcloud.com/norwegianonair/norwegians-growth-benefits-local-economies-and-creates-new-jobs 16

Summary Financing for all aircraft deliveries in H1 2019 secured Reached an agreement with Rolls-Royce with a positive effect from Q1 2019 Changes to route portfolio with effect from Q1 2019 #Focus2019: Launched cost savings program, contributing to estimated savings of minimum NOK 2 billion in 2019 Increased punctuality in four consecutive months Fleet renewal continuing and discussions on forming a joint venture for aircraft ownership progressing Hedging position: 52% at USD 681 per MT for H1 2019 22% at USD 680 per MT for H2 2019 17

Norwegian offers more than 500 routes to over 150 destinations 18