Half Year F1 Results. November 4, 2015

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Transcription:

Half Year F1 Results November 4, 2015 F16 Q3 Results 27 JANUARY 2016

BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS Passenger growth of 23% to 4.7m pax Building on our strong market leadership in CEE Record Q3 underlying profitability Increasing our cost advantage Continued growth in ancillary revenues Enhancing our customer offering and experience Order for 110 Airbus A321neo approved by shareholders FY 2016 underlying net profit guidance range raised to 200m - 210m 2

DELIVERING Q3 OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE Aircraft 65 Airports 116 Countries 38 Bases 22 Staff 2,600+ Passengers 4.7 million Flights 30,000+ Schedule Integrity Utilisation 11.9 hours Punctuality 84.5% Regularity 99.8% Dispatch 99.9% Source: Company Information. 3

STRONG Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS For the three months ended 31 December 2015 2014 Change Revenue ( m) 310.5 264.6 17.3% Net profit ( m), (IFRS) 15.6 19.7-20.9% Underlying net profit after tax* ( m) 17.2 3.6 376.5% EBITDAR Margin (%) 24.0 18.9 5.1ppt Underlying profit margin* (%) 5.5 1.4 4.1ppt CASK ( cents) 3.40 3.67 (7.4%) RASK ( cents) 3.66 3.82 (4.2%) Ancillary revenue per pax ( ) 26.1 25.5 2.1% Load Factor (%) 85.7 84.6 1.1ppt Free cash ( m) 580 320 260m Shareholders equity ( m) 677 288 388m Source: Company Information. * Excluding unrealised FX gains/losses and exceptional items 4

STRONG REVENUE GROWTH Total Revenue increased 17.3% to 310m Revenue Development ( m) 1,227 Total Ticket revenues increased 12.4% Total Ancillary revenues increased 25.8% 1,012 433 400 350 300 250 200 150 Load factor increased 1.1ppt to 85.7% ( m) 265 98 37.1% 310 123 39.7% 32.9% 766 214 589 165 2 8.1% 2 7.9% 552 851 274 3 2.2% 577 353 3 4.9% 3 5.3% 794 659 100 50 166 187 424 0 Q3 F15 Q3 F16 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 Ticket Ancillary Ancillary as % of Revenue Source: Company Information 5

INCREASING OUR COST ADVANTAGE CASK and ex-fuel CASK development Challenges cents 3.51 3.74 3.88 3.72 3.61 3.67 3.40 Inflationary pressures Infrastructure costs 1.19 1.49 1.58 1.48 1.36 1.33 1.11 US dollar strength Opportunities 2.32 2.25 2.29 2.25 2.26 2.34 2.30 Fleet development Economies of scale F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 Q3 F15 Q3 F16 Improved financial standing CASK ex-fuel Fuel per ASK 6

CONTINUOUS COST CONTROL CASK for the three months ended 31 December cent cent cents 2015 2014 change Staff costs 0.30 0.31 (0.01) Fuel costs 1.11 1.33 (0.22) Distribution and marketing 0.07 0.06 0.01 Maintenance, materials and repairs 0.21 0.28 (0.07) Aircraft rentals 0.54 0.49 0.05 Depreciation and amortisation 0.09 0.08 0.01 Airport, handling and en-route charges 0.96 1.01 (0.05) Other expenses 0.13 0.12 0.01 3.40 3.67 (0.27) Source: Company Information. CASK rounded to two decimal places. 7

MARGIN EXPANSION EBITDAR ( m) & Margin Underlying Net Income ( m) & Margin* +49% 74.4 +377% 17.2 49.9 18.9% 24.0% 146 5.5% 3.6 1.4% Q3 F15 Q3 F16 Q3 F15 Q3 F16 Source: Company Information * Excluding unrealised FX gains/losses and exceptional items 8

LIQUIDITY AND LEVERAGE Free Cash 1 as % of LTM Revenue Leverage 2 45% 580 5.2 36% 449 3.7 4.1 27% 320 2.6 18% 2.0 14% 11% 83 85 12% 103 186 1.6 1.4 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 Q3 F15 Q3 F16 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 Q3 F15 Q3 F16 Company information. Note 1: Cash and Cash Equivalents ( m) Note 2: Leverage is defined as net debt adjusted to include capitalised operating lease obligations divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and aircraft rentals 9

HEDGE PROGRAMME 80% Jet Fuel 80% US Dollar 60% 25% 60% 40% 55% 40% 67% 20% 41% 20% 43% 0% F16 6% F17 0% F16 F17 Hedge Coverage Average capped rate Average floor rate 67% 61% $754 $676 $744 $672 Hedge Coverage Average capped rate Average floor rate 67% $1.21 $1.15 43% $1.13 $1.09 Zero cost collar instruments Fuel Caps Zero cost collars & natural hedges Sensitivities (before hedges) for the remainder of F16 without hedge impact: A $10 (per metric ton) movement price of jet fuel impacts F16 fuel bill by $1.5 million. A one cent movement in the Euro/US Dollar FX rate impacts F16 operating costs by 1.4 million Notes: 1. Fuel hedged capped rates excludes into-plane premium and based on CIF NWE Jet fuel prices. 2. Average floor rates only apply to the proportion of fuel hedged with zero cost collars. 10

OUTLOOK: FY16 GUIDANCE RAISED Full Year 2016 Previous Guidance* Capacity growth (ASKs) 18% 18% Average stage length Unchanged Unchanged Load Factor Modest improvement Modest improvement Fuel CASK - 13.0 % - 6.0 % Ex-fuel CASK Between 0% and +1.0 % +1.0 % Total CASK - 3.0 % -1.5 % Revenue per ASK Down low single digit Down low single digit Effective tax rate 6 % 6 % Underlying net profit 200 210 million 190 200 million Source: Company Information, * Previous guidance issued on November 4, 2015 11

CEE A UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY FOR GROWTH Large Addressable Market Deregulation GDP Growth Weak Legacy Carriers Growing LCC Market Share Growing Propensity to Air Travel 12

DE-RISKED GROWTH PROFILE Q3 Capacity Existing Routes Increasing Frequencies 61.5 % New Routes Existing Airports in Network 27.9 % New Routes New Airports 7.6 % New Routes New Destination Countries 3.0 % Source: Company Information. Capacity added in the third quarter of F16 13

SUMMER 2016* CAPACITY 2 New Base Debrecen (Hungary) Iasi (Romania) 10 New Destinations Germany (2), Italy (1), France (1), Spain (2), Latvia To be allocated Slovakia (1), Denmark (1), Lithuania (2) Lithuania Maintenance / Spare Base Country (# of Aircraft) Sep Sep 16 15 Poland 21 19 Romania 18 15 Hungary 10 8 Bulgaria 6 5 Lithuania 4 4 Macedonia 3 3 Latvia 2 2 Ukraine 1 1 Serbia 1 1 Czech Republic 1 1 Bosnia 1 1 Slovakia 1 1 Maintenance / spare 2 2 To be allocated 2 - Total 73 63 Czech Poland Bosnia- Herz. Slovakia Hungary Serbia Macedonia Romania Bulgaria Ukraine *Summer 2016 (F17) capacity compared to summer 2016 (F15) capacity 14

ENHANCING CUSTOMER OFFERING AND EXPERIENCE 2016 Value Airline of the Year Award Customer loyalty via low-cost innovations Disciplined and rigorous cost control Strong safety and operational performances Innovative and motivational practices that incentivize employees Positive growth trends Investments into employee and customer loyalty New Website launching in Spring 2016 24 languages on wizzair.com (Georgian in Q1 F17) 11 languages on our mobile apps (RU, ESP, SWE in Q4 F16) Continue to build a loyal customer base - 700k Wizz Discount Club members (22% yoy) - 2.7m newsletter subscribers (34% yoy) - 2.2m Mobile App users (70% yoy) - Over 600k Facebook followers (60% yoy) New employee branding campaign in Q1 F16 15 15

A321 NEO ORDER FLEET GROWTH SECURED 110 A321neo deliveries from 2019 Uncommitted purchase rights to buy up to 90 additional A321neo aircraft 175 150 125 36% 48% 55% 62% 76% 85% 92% 96% 136 140 100% 152 225 205 Right to substitute certain A321neo for A320neo Cancellation of 10 A320ceo aircraft due in 2018 100 75 50 55 67 78 91 99 102 119 185 165 Replacement of 51 current aircraft scheduled to leave fleet between 2019 and 2024. 25 0 F15 F16 F17 F18 F19 F20 F21 F22 F23 F24 Fleet size (L/H) Average number of seats per aircraft (R/H) 145 125 Percentage of fleet with winglets 16

CLOSING COMMENTS ON Q3 Record underlying net profit Passenger growth of 23% to 4.7m pax Ex-fuel CASK declined 2.0% Ancillary revenue per passenger increased by 2.1% Underlying net profit margin expansion of 4.1% FY 2016 underlying net profit guidance range raised by 10m to between 200m - 210m Source: (1) Company Information. (2) Underlying net profit excluding unrealised FX gains/losses and exceptional items 17

MARKET LEADING POSITION* Ryanair Easyjet CEE 42% 33% 6% LCC Market Number 1 Number 2 Number 3 Poland Ryanair Norwegian Romania Blue Air Ryanair Hungary Ryanair Easyjet Czech Republic Easyjet Ryanair Lithuania Ryanair Wizz Air Norwegian Bulgaria Wizz Air Easyjet Transavia Latvia Ryanair Wizz Air Norwegian Ukraine Wizz Air Pegasus FlyDubai Slovakia Ryanair Wizz Air FlyDubai Serbia Wizz Air Pegasus FlyDubai Macedonia Wizz Air Pegasus FlyDubai Bosnia & Herzegovina Wizz Air Pegasus Germanwings Source: Company Information. Innovata January 2016 Capacity. * Market and Market Share is defined as the Low Cost Carrier market 19

UNDERLYING PERFORMANCE million For the three months ended 31 December 2015 2014 Statutory (IFRS) profit measure 15.6 19.7 Adjustments (exclusions): Unrealised foreign currency gain (2.5) (3.3) Time value (gain) / loss on open hedge positions 4.1 (12.9) Total exceptional adjustments 1.5 (16.1) Underlying net profit performance 17.2 3.6 Source: Company Information 20

Q3 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS For the three months ended 31 December millions 2015 2014 Change Passenger ticket revenue 187.1 166.5 + 12% Ancillary revenue 123.4 98.1 + 26% Total revenue 310.5 264.6 + 17% Fuel costs 94.0 92.2 + 2% Other expenses 195.1 162.4 + 20% Total operating expenses 289.0 254.6 + 14% Operating Profit 21.5 10.0 +114% Reported net profit 15.6 19.7-21% Underlying net profit 17.2 3.6 +377% Source: Company Information. Rounded to one decimal place. 21

QUARTERLY UNDERLYING FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE (in 000 s) Q1 F15 Q2 F15 Q3 F15 Q1 F16 Q2 F16 Q3 F16 Passenger ticket revenue 192,951 294,976 166,494 205,897 338,669 187,063 Ancillary revenue 102,201 137,171 98,106 126,596 165,245 123,410 Total revenue 295,153 432,148 264,600 332,493 503,914 310,474 Staff costs (18,346) (20,463) (21,246) (22,899) (26,134) (25,882) Fuel costs (101,412) (119,784) (92,190) (112,372) (117,192) (93,955) Distribution and marketing (5,616) (5,219) (3,881) (6,159) (5,812) (5,776) Maintenance, materials and repairs (14,942) (14,189) (19,272) (21,262) (19,789) (17,857) Aircraft rentals (32,684) (34,282) (34,144) (35,796) (45,052) (45,726) Airport, handling and en-route charges (72,371) (85,440) (69,913) (84,525) (96,288) (81,725) Depreciation and amortisation (9,336) (12,667) (5,783) (6,272) (6,246) (7,266) Other expenses (7,515) (7,188) (8,163) (8,546) (9,317) (10,830) Total operating expenses 262,222 299,232 254,592 297,831 325,831 289,016 Operating profit 32,931 132,915 10,008 34,662 178,083 21,458 Financial income 221 (64) 90 523 981 66 Financial expenses (1,631) (1,871) (1,368) (1,206) (1,253) (2,565) Net foreign exchange gain / (loss) (195) (3,065) (4,793) 1,447 1,481 (1,205) Net financing costs (1,605) (5,000) (6,072) 764 1,209 (3,705) Income tax expense (1,769) (4,075) (333) (1,521) (7,294) (581) Underlying Net Profit 29,557 123,840 3,604 33,906 171,998 17,172 Reported Net Profit 29,211 128,925 19,749 32,874 149,257 15,623 Source: Company Information. Excluding unreaslised FX gains/losses and exceptional items. 22

SELECTED QUARTERLY KPI S Q1 F15 Q2 F15 Q3 F15 Q1 F16 Q2 F16 Q3 F16 CAPACITY Number of aircraft at end of period 52 54 55 62 63 65 Equivalent aircraft 49 53 54 58 63 64 Utilisation 13.2 13.8 11.6 13.1 13.5 11.9 Total block hours 58,882 67,228 57,323 68,998 77,895 69,795 Total flight hours 51,130 58,303 49,678 59,794 67,532 60,480 Revenue departures 25,760 29,408 25,234 30,528 34,733 30,608 Average departures per day per aircraft 5.78 6.03 5.10 5.77 6.01 5.23 Seat capacity 4,636,800 5,293,440 4,542,120 5,495,040 6,251,940 5,523,440 Average aircraft stage length (km) 1,546 1,557 1,526 1,531 1,539 1,541 Total ASKs ( 000 km) 7,166,210 8,243,829 6,930,347 8,413,329 9,621,674 8,492,266 OPERATIONAL RPKs ( 000 km) 6,247,691 7,438,576 5,859,747 7,473,531 8,864,675 7,305,295 Load factor 87.4% 90.5% 84.6% 88.8% 92.3% 85.7% Number of passenger segments 4,054,654 4,791,171 3,841,956 4,880,168 5,769,894 4,734,636 Fuel price (average) (US$ per ton)* 1,053 1,046 976 854 786 710 Foreign exchange rate (average) (US$/ ) ** 1.37 1.34 1.31 1.26 1.23 1.17 FINANCIAL Yield ( cents) 4.72 5.81 4.52 4.45 5.68 4.25 Average revenue per seat ( ) 63.65 81.64 58.25 60.51 80.60 56.21 Average revenue per passenger 72.79 90.20 68.87 68.13 87.34 65.57 RASK ( cents) 4.12 5.24 3.82 3.95 5.24 3.66 CASK ( cents) 3.66 3.63 3.67 3.54 3.39 3.40 Ex-fuel CASK ( cents) 2.24 2.18 2.34 2.20 2.17 2.30 Source: Company Information * Fuel price includes hedging impact and into-plane premium. ** Foreign exchange rate including hedging impact. 23

PLANNED FLEET DEVELOPMENT Seat count F15 F16 F17 F18 F19 F20 F21 F22 F23 F24 A320 180 35 35 35 35 24 15 10 5 - - A320ceo with winglets 180 20 28 28 32 39 39 39 37 26 22 A321ceo with winglets 230-4 15 24 27 27 27 27 27 27 A320neo - - - - - - - - - - - A321neo 230 - - - - 9 17 17 17 17 17 A321neo 239 - - - - - 4 26 50 70 86 Total fleet size 55 67 78 91 99 102 119 136 140 152 Share of fleet with winglets 36% 48% 55% 62% 76% 85% 92% 96% 100% 100% 24

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