CRUISE TRAFFIC AND PERSPECTIVES IN THE ADRIATIC AND IONIAN MACRO REGION Olympia, 27 th June 2018 Andrea Mosconi Ancona Chamber of Commerce
CRUISE SECTOR OUTLOOK Global Ocean Cruise Passengers (million passengers) Data are referred to the companies members of CLIA, then the volume is lower than the real global demand. A 5,4% increase forecasted for 2018 is due to the delivery of new big vessels (15 in 2018, 20 in 2019). 30 25 20 17,8 19,1 20,5 20,9 21,3 22,3 23,1 24,7 25,8 27,2 15 10 5 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: 2018 Cruise Industry Outlook, CLIA
Cruise Line Deployment by Region (% ALBD Available Lower Berth Day) Distribution in 2008 and 2017 and forecast for 2018 100% CRUISE SECTOR OUTLOOK 90% 21,6% 14,5% 14,7% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 4,3% 4,4% 1,1% 0,0% 6,3% 6,0% 2,9% 2,2% 2,1% 7,6% 4,3% 4,3% 2,2% 6,4% 6,0% 8,3% 10,9% 11,3% 17,7% 16,1% 15,8% Other Destinations Asia w/o China China South America Alaska Australia/NZ/Pacific Europe w/o Med Mediterranean Caribbean 20% 10% 38,6% 35,0% 35,4% 0% 2008 2017 2018 Source: Risposte & Turismo on CLIA database
Cruise Passengers Movements in MedCruise Ports CRUISE SECTOR OUTLOOK Total Cruise Passenger Visits in Mediterranean Ports, 2000-2017 Data include visits in MedCruise Ports, than the number is bigger than the number of passengers boarded. Significant and constant increase until 2011. 30,0 25,0 20,0 15,0 10,0 5,0 0,0 Source: Medcruise statistics report 2017, MedCruise
Cruise Calls in MedCruise Ports (thousands) CRUISE SECTOR OUTLOOK 16,0 14,0 12,0 10,0 8,0 6,0 4,0 2,0 0,0 Source: Medcruise statistics report 2017, MedCruise
Total Cruise Passenger Movements per Region CRUISE SECTOR OUTLOOK AREA 2017 2016 Var. 16/17 2013 Var. 13/17 Share 2017 West Mediterranean 19.721.802 20.091.740-1,8% 18.860.380 4,6% 76,1% Adriatic 4.447.033 4.701.180-5,4% 5.060.779-12,1% 17,2% East Mediterranean 1.740.289 2.020.427-13,9% 3.626.426-52,0% 6,7% Black Sea 6.449 15.548-58,5% 164.265-96,1% 0,0% Total 25.915.573 27.028.895-4,1% 27.711.850-6,5% 100,0% Source: Medcruise statistics report 2017, MedCruise Med cruise destinations continue to attract new passengers, but travellers are concentrated on the West Med ports. Adriatic destinations lost 12,1% compared to 2013. West Med is the unique Med area that increased in the period 2013-2017.
ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION Adriatic cruise passengers and calls share (%) of the global Mediterranean movements 25 21,1 23,3 21,7 21,3 22 21,4 20 19,6 18,6 18,4 17,9 16,5 19,5 17,3 17,2 15 10 13,413,2 Pax Calls 5 0 2006 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Medcruise statistics report 2017, MedCruise
Passengers traffic in the Adriatic and Ionian area Trieste Venezia Ravenna Ancona Bari Brindisi Taranto ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION Koper Rijeka Zadar Split Ploce Dubrovnik Bar Durres Igoumenitsa Patras Kotor Corfù MedCruise report does'nt inlude all the ports of the area, then data aren't completely comparable.
Total Passengers in the Adriatic and Ionian Region International Ferry and Cruise Passenger Movements ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION Evolution 2001-17 +12,6% Evolution 2016-17 +1,5% Source: AIC Forum report about Maritime Traffic in A-I area
Total Passengers (ferry and cruise) Principal ports 2.500.000 ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION 2.000.000 1.500.000 1.000.000 500.000 Venezia Bari Ancona Dubrovnik Igoumenitsa Durazzo Split Patrasso Brindisi 0 Source: AIC Forum report about Maritime Traffic in A-I area
ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION Cruise passengers in Adriatic and Ionian ports (2008-2017) 4900 4800 4700 4600 4500 4400 4300 4200 4100 4000 3900 4804 4739 4581 4608 4500 4421 4328 4260 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 10/17 +11,2% 16/17-1,4% Source: AIC Forum report about Maritime Traffic in A-I area
Cruise Passengers in the Adriatic and Ionian Ports ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION Venice -9,9% Dubrovnik -6,4% Corfu -9,2% Kotor +0,8% Bari Zadar Brindisi Trieste 2017 2016 2015 Koper Ancona Ravenna Rijeka 0 250.000 500.000 750.000 1.000.0001.250.0001.500.0001.750.000 Source: AIC Forum report about Maritime Traffic in A-I area
Cruise Passengers in the Adriatic and Ionian Ports ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION In spite of a sensible decrease in 2017 (-9,9%) Venice remains the unique Adriatic and Ionian port among the Top 10 of Cruise Mediterranean destinations (the 5 th after Barcelona, Civitavecchia (Roma), Palma de Mallorca and Marseille). Tourist visits are concentrated on few ports and among them there are some destinations whose ports are active only on the passengers segment (Kotor, Corfu and Katakolon). Other destinations have to increase their exposure to cruise companies, tour operators and tourists, adapt their port infrastructures and create a service of welcoming that can make tourists ore aware of the characteristics and attractiveness of the place. FORECAST for 2018: Cruise passengers (embark and transit) in Italian ports will increase at a rate of 8,6% but Venice should remain stable compared to 2017 then the entire Adriatic and Ionian area could suffer the effects of this performance.
ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION VENICE 2.000.000 1.800.000 1.600.000 1.400.000 1.200.000 1.000.000 800.000 600.000 400.000 200.000 0 FERRY CRUISE As major cruise destination in the A-I area, Venice faces problem of overcrowding and a conflict between tourist and artistic heritage consersation exigences. Venice port is focused on cruise traffic with a slight decrease in last years; ferry connections are consistently less relevant.
ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION DUBROVNIK 1.200.000 1.000.000 800.000 600.000 400.000 200.000 FERRY CRUISE Similar to Venice, Dubrovnik has known a rapid growth of cruise movements and is facing the challenge to combine development of tourist activities and the protection of the historical heritage. 0 Strong focus on cruise and seasonal domestic ferry links, with a low weight of international ferry movements.
ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION BARI 1.600.000 1.400.000 1.200.000 1.000.000 800.000 600.000 400.000 FERRY CRUISE A recent agreement with Costa Crociere makes Bari arise as an emerging Cruise port pf the Southern part of the A-I area. 200.000 0 The business model of the port of Bari is more traditional, with a relevant weight of international ferry movements (Italian leader for connections with Albania, and important port for Greece).
ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION SPLIT 350.000 300.000 250.000 200.000 150.000 100.000 50.000 FERRY CRUISE First of all, Split is the hub to some beautiful neighbouring islands. New infrastructural investments as the recent construction of two new cruise berths on the outer side of the breakwater. 0 Model of business focused on local ferry transport (4,9 million pax 2017) with a growing role for cruise calls.
ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION ANCONA 1.600.000 1.400.000 1.200.000 1.000.000 800.000 600.000 FERRY CRUISE Traditional central role in gthe ferry connections between Italy and Greece and Croatia, Ancona is trying to re-orient its focus on new market segment. 400.000 200.000 0 The Greek crisis and stronger competition from low-cost flight to Greece has consistently reduced flow of ferry passengers. Cruise sector has still to be really developed.
ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION 900.000 800.000 700.000 600.000 500.000 400.000 300.000 200.000 100.000 0 DURRES FERRY CRUISE Albanian institutions are planning the development of infrastructures to expand port of Durres. Potential future investment also for cruise sector that doesn't represent a priority. Durres is the connection between Italy and Albania, one of the principal gate from the South East to Northern Europe. Huge concentration on ferry Ro_Ro connection with Bari.
ADRIATIC AND IONIAN REGION IGOUMENITSA 1.200.000 1.000.000 800.000 600.000 400.000 200.000 0 FERRY CRUISE Port specialised on ferry both, both local and international. First investments on cruise, calls are still modest but they are increasing (8 in 2016, 13 in 2017) Model of business focused on the tourist summer flow from Italy to the Ionian islands (900.000 pax on international routes, the double on local routes).
Wrap Up Global Cruise Market continues its regular growth years after years reaching the peak of 27,2 million pax in 2017, 10 million more than 2009. Caribbean remains the most attractive destination, Mediterranean sea and countries absorbs 15,8% of Cruise Line Deployment in 2017, second area in the world even if in recent years the number of visits on its ports is stationary. Adriatic and Ionian ports have developed different models of business, sharing its docks among ferries and cruise ships in addition to freights. Venezia and Bari are leader in the A-I basin with more than 1,5 million pax, but their partition is completely different. Other ports have a relevant role in the freight traffic. In this frame, also perspectives of cruise segment development have to be analysed separately for each situation. In 2017 Adriatic and Ionian ports received 4,75 million cruise passengers, -1,4% compared to the previous year and +11,2% compared to 2017. All the 3 principal destinations have lost some tourist, Venice -10%, Dubrovnik -6,4% and Corfu -9,2%. Decrease in cruise presences in the Adriatic and Ionian regions are due to the problem of big vessels (not all the ports are equipped to receive them), to the risk of overcrowding in destinations with a significant historical and architectural heritage and to the policies of tourist promotion.
Ro-Pax Traffic Italy Greece (number of passengers) 2.330 2.341 Italy - Greece - Total passengers (.000) 2.252 2.292 2.055 1.468 1.434 1.436 1.286 1.306 1516 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 AI Ports Market Share 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Ancona 49% 47% 45% 48% 51% 53% 50% 50% Bari 20% 18% 23% 23% 21% 22% 20% 22% Brindisi 15% 17% 21% 19% 20% 20% 24% 21% Venezia 16% 17% 11% 10% 7% 5% 4% 7% Other ports 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Ro-Pax Traffic Italy Croatia (number of passengers) Italy - Croatia - Total passengers (.000) 650 532 504 505 584 555 510 443 416 392 365 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 AI Ports Market Share PORTS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Ancona 62,4% 60,2% 61,3% 64,3% 58,5% 60,6% 58,2% 56,5% Bari 16,9% 19,1% 19,6% 17,5% 20,9% 18,8% 17,9% 16,1% Venezia 17,2% 17,1% 18,4% 18,2% 20,6% 20,6% 23,9% 27,3% Other ports 3,5% 3,6% 0,7% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% TOTAL 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0%
Ro-Pax Traffic Italy Albania (number of passengers) Italy - Albania - Total passengers (.000) 878 921 1.032 995 973 962 872 920 977 1076 1062 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 AI Ports Market Share PORTS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Ancona 3,7% 4,1% 5,4% 5,3% 6,2% 3,7% 6,6% Bari 79,6% 79,0% 77,7% 72,9% 74,5% 73,9% 70,9% Brindisi 14,6% 16,7% 16,9% 21,8% 19,4% 22,4% 19,0% Other ports 2,0% 0,2% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 3,6% TOTAL 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0%
CRUISE TRAFFIC AND PERSPECTIVES IN THE ADRIATIC AND IONIAN MACRO REGION Olympia, 27 th June 2018 Andrea Mosconi Ancona Chamber of Commerce e-mail andrea.mosconi@an.camcom.it Tel. +39 071 5898218