RICHARD CONNELLY Senior Consultant DATE OF BIRTH: 8 th September 1980 EDUCATION/QUALIFICATIONS: BSc (Hons), DIS Air Transport Management - University of Loughborough GENERAL EXPERIENCE: Richard joined York Aviation in November 2004, and his degree in Air Transport Management has provided him with a thorough understanding of business strategy and the principle issues related to the aviation industry. His knowledge extends beyond air transport and includes surface access systems, transport planning and land-use planning obtained through nearly 2 years working for Peter Brett Associates. During his time with York Aviation, Richard has enhanced his wider knowledge base with significant specialised practical aviation experience. In particular he has worked on business strategy, business case development, financial viability assessments, demand forecasting, market and connectivity analysis, route assessment work including analysis of market potential through to more detailed schedule building exercises, economic impact work, and operational studies. Richard has a detailed understanding of airline strategies and pairs this with his knowledge of market behaviour and passenger demand to understand market dynamics. Within York Aviation, Richard undertakes much of the analytical work, based on data from a number of sources, including the UK CAA Survey and Statistical data, OAG and MIDT/AIS passenger flow/air fare data. He has used these datasets for a number of projects, including route forecasting, historic trend analysis and airline mergers/acquisitions, along with analysing the data for wider ranging projects. CAREER PROFILE: Senior Consultant, York Aviation 2012 Consultant, York Aviation 2004 2012 Graduate Consultant, Peter Brett Associates, 2002-2004 EXPERIENCE WITH YORK AVIATION: Antin Infrastructure Partners: Market Assessment for Newcastle Airport Investment and Bid Preparation (2012); Advantage West Midlands: Economic Study of the impact of airport development (2005); BAA Aberdeen Airport: Route Development Study (2010); Belfast City Airport: Passenger forecasts, scenario development and economic study to support the planning Public Inquiry (2010-2015);
Birmingham International Airport: Airport passenger and movement forecasts for the Airport s final master plan and the successful runway extension application (2007-2008) and update for development funding (2009); Blackpool International Airport: Airline business case for Jet2 services, including aircraft scheduling examples and passenger forecasting leading to the successful launch of services (2005); BTG Pactual: Due diligence assessment for a bidder on the privatisation of three Brazilian airports, including passenger forecasting and demand trend analysis (2011-2012); Bybrook Capital: Due diligence of passenger forecasts and market assessment on behalf of an investor during re-financing of a major UK regional airport (2014); Cardiff International Airport: Due diligence for the successful bidder for Cardiff International Airport (2013). Market analysis and route development assessment (2013-2014). Development of MEO appraisal model and advice in relation to specific opportunities (2014-15); Cheltenham Borough Council: Governance review of the Council s asset at Gloucestershire Airport, undertaken in conjunction with the Airport s co-owner, Gloucester City Council (2014). City of Derry Airport: Development of Business Case, including reviews of income and airline market opportunities (2008); City of London Corporation: Economic Impact of Aviation services on the City of London (2008); CityJet: Advice regarding airport charges and airport regulation (2010); Connington Airfield: Assessment of General Aviation market potential for a prospective purchaser (2007); Cork International Airport: Advice in relation to public financial support for air service development (2015); Department for Transport: Economic impact of General and Business Aviation in the UK (2014-15). Specialist air transport advice in relation to the regional connectivity fund, including route assessment frameworks, route viability analysis and passenger forecasting (2015); East of England Development Agency: Passenger forecast review of Norwich International Airport (2007); East Midlands Airport: Assessment of potential impact of the runway and Cargo West apron extensions for Lands Tribunal. Successfully settled out of tribunal (2010); Edinburgh Airport: Due Diligence for a potential bidder, including detailed market assessment and forecasts (2013). English Regional Development Agencies: Route Development Funding (2005-2005) European Low Fares Airlines Association (ELFAA): Social Impact Study (2007) Elvington Airfield: Development of scenarios for growth at the Airfield for use at the Public Inquiry (2008);
Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP): Passenger forecasts and charges review during due diligence for the successful bidder on London City Airport (2006); Gloucester City Council: Economic and Feasibility Study of Gloucestershire Airport, including economic assessment, land use considerations, financial viability assessment and consideration of business opportunities (2013); Gloucestershire Airport: Airport business planning advice and strategy development, including assessing market potential for General and Business Aviation Opportunities (2014-15); GoSkills: Action Plan for North West Aviation Skills Alliance (2005); Hambleton District Council: Assessment of the implications of planning applications submitted by Bagby Airfield (2010); Icon Infrastructure Partners: Due diligence in support of bid preparations for London Luton Airport, Belfast International Airport, Stockholm Skavsta Airport and Orlando Sanford Airport (2013); Leeds/Bradford Airport: Passenger forecast review (2006). Vendor Due Diligence for the sale of the Airport (2006); Liverpool Airport: Aviation market assessment including aviation strategy advice (2013) and route development support (2013). Development of medium term forecasts for business planning and updated for refinancing (2013-2014); London City Airport: Passenger forecasts and route development analysis to support a Level 3 Coordination application at the Airport (2008) and update (2011). Airport passenger forecasts for London City Airport to support final master plan and planning applications (2007-2015). Economic Studies in preparation for the development of the airport master plan and planning applications (2007-2012). Market analysis to support business strategy review (2011-2015). Assessment of long term development proposals including infrastructure and demand assessment (2011-2015). Due diligence for bank refinancing work (2012-2013). Business strategy support including airline strategy reviews and pricing strategy considerations (2013-2015); London Luton Airport Limited (LLAL)/Luton Borough Council: Review of passenger forecasts, infrastructure, passenger charges and development proposals for London Luton Airport (2006-2011). Review of airport development proposals by concessionaire, including demand and infrastructure reviews (2015); London Luton Airport Limited (LLAL): Development of forecasts and assessment of demand and need to support a major redevelopment planning application (2011-2012); Lydd Airport: Passenger forecast scenario development and economic study to support the planning Public Inquiry (2010-2011). Updated economic impact assessment in support of CPO case for the acquisition of land to permit the extension of the runway (2015); Manchester Airport Group: Review of competitive position and development of airline and pricing strategy (2010). Review of market and route development opportunities (2011). Market analysis to support the Airport s response to the DfT Air Transport Consultation (2011); Forecasts and market review for opportunity for 5 th Freedom Base carrier (2014); Manston Airport: Economic Impact Study of night flying proposals (2011). Tourism Impact Study (2012);
Northwest Development Agency: Passenger forecast review of Blackpool International Airport (2006); Paris Beauvais Airport: Passenger and movement forecast review for a potential bidder (2007); Partners Group: Due diligence for the proposed acquisition of former Abertis airports at Belfast International and Stockholm Skavsta, including detailed market assessments, airport charges analysis and passenger forecasts. Plymouth City Council: Economic and Feasibility Study of Plymouth City Airport, including economic modelling, passenger forecasting and financial viability (2005-2006); Ryanair: Data analysis for submission to the EU in support of the proposed take-over of Aer Lingus (2006, 2008 and 2012). Expert witness against Alicante Airport in the legal case against forced use of airbridges at the Airport (2011); Sheffield City Council: Economic and Feasibility study of Sheffield City Airport, including financial viability, passenger forecasts, business case assessments and aircraft operational considerations (2005); Stansted Airport Ltd: Preparation of 10 year demand forecasts to inform the next quinquennial review including detailed bottom-up long haul market assessment and freight analysis (2012); Stansted Airport: Due diligence for a bidder for the sale of Stansted Airport, including detailed market assessment with bottom-up analysis of hub and long haul opportunities and consideration of airport charging strategies (2012-2013); States of Guernsey: Assessment of runway development options for the Guernsey Airport with consideration of demand and an appraisal of the economic and social need for air services (2009). Update to pricing analysis of this report (2011); St. Helens Council: Feasibility study to consider the extension of operations at Haydock Park Racecourse airfield (2004); South Ayrshire Council: Study into Route Development Fund options in support of growth at Glasgow Prestwick Airport, with consideration of demand potential (2013); Tewkesbury District Council: Assessment of Planning Application and appraisal of demand and need for expansion of facilities at Gloucestershire Airport (Business Aviation) (2008); Transport for London: Analysis of the London and South East air travel market, including connectivity analysis, to support the TfL response to the DfT Air Transport Consultation (2011); Regional air connectivity study in support of hub development at London, including passenger demand projections and connectivity analysis (2014); Welsh Government: Market assessment and route forecasts for the Intra- Wales air link for consideration as part of the re-tendering of the PSO service. Included airline consultations to discuss potential operator opportunities including wider market opportunities (2014); Commercial viability assessment of a South African airport on behalf of a potential investor, including airline consultations and market assessment (2007);
Data analysis for review of market potential for a corporate Very Light Jets operator (2008); KNOWLEDGE AREAS Key aviation related knowledge areas for Richard are: Airport Management Airline Planning and Operations Airport Planning and Infrastructure Airline Marketing Surface Access Systems Business Strategy Transport Economics Management Accounting