Q3 FY 15 Analyst & Investor presentation. 3 months to 30 June 2015

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Transcription:

Q3 FY 15 Analyst & Investor presentation 3 months to 30 June 2015 22 July 2015 1 1

Q3 performance key messages 1. Good commercial performance Good performance from UK and beach routes across Europe Revenue management initiatives 2. Proactive approach to offsetting a difficult operational environment External factors: o o o French ATC strikes Rome Fiumicino fire Gatwick supplier issues 3. Strong underlying cost performance despite heightened level of disruption Q3 cost per seat excluding fuel up 2.8% 1 o 1.1ppt due to French ATC strike and impact of Fiumicino fire easyjet lean continues to deliver o 7million in the quarter and 28 million year to date 4. Continuing to deliver successful strategy Invest and develop network, digital initiatives, easyjet lean 1 At constant currency 2

Solid revenue performance Q3 15 Q3 14 Change Passengers (m) 19.1 17.9 6.2% Load factor (%) 91.7 90.4 1.3ppt Seats (m) 20.8 19.8 4.7% Average sector length (km) 1,132 1,118 1.2% Seat revenue ( m) 1,209 1,223 (1.1)% Non-seat revenue ( m) 19 17 10.9% Total revenue ( m) 1,228 1,240 (1.0) % Total revenue per seat ( ) 59.08 62.47 (5.4) % @ constant currency ( ) 60.74 62.47 (2.8) % 3

Cost performance impact of disruption Cost per seat excluding fuel Cost per seat including fuel Q3 2015 Reported 2.1% Decrease 3.3% Decrease Q3 2015 Constant currency 2.8% Increase 0.5% Decrease Increases driven by: Impact of French ATC strike and Fiumicino fire - 1.1 ppt Airport charges - 0.8 ppt Regulated airports in Germany and Italy Increases offset by: easyjet lean which delivered 7 million of sustainable savings in the quarter 28 million delivered year to date Improvement in effective post hedged fuel price from $976 per tonne in Q3 14 to $881 per tonne in Q3 15 Continued up-gauging with 9 A320 aircraft delivered in the quarter 0.5% cost per seat reduction compared to the same quarter last year 4

Continued focus on cost Fleet up-gauging 7-8% 2% 4-5% easyjet lean Expect to deliver at high end of 30 million to 40 million in FY 15 Pipeline of initiatives Gatwick single terminal Maintenance contracts Airport and ground handling deals Current generation A319 Current generation A320 Current generation A320 New generation A320neo 156 seats 180 seats 186 seats 186 seats 38% of the fleet currently A320 aircraft Up-gauging to deliver around 1% cost per seat CAGR saving over the next 5 years Up-gauging and easyjet lean to deliver 2% cost per seat CAGR saving over the next five years 5

Strengthening the network to drive returns Italy Investment in profitable and attractive markets where easyjet has strong positions and returns Strong focus on capital discipline with capital reallocated from less strong markets e.g. Rome Venice 4 aircraft for a new base opening in April 2016 Already #1 with 19% market share Milan Malpensa 3 aircraft to be added from April 2016 Already #1 with 45% market share Naples 1 additional aircraft to be added from April 2016 Already #1 with 30% market share Netherlands Schipol base opened in March, 4 th aircraft to be based from October 2015 Already #2 with a 9% market share Able to take advantage of first wave flying for key business market Barcelona Opening in February 2016 with 3 based aircraft Key network point with c.3 million passengers flying to 14 different network points Barcelona base will provide additional cost flexibility alongside Porto 6

Hedging update Fuel requirement US Dollar requirement Euro Surplus Swiss Franc surplus Three months to 30 September 2015 83% 85% 91% 88% Average rate $878 metric / tonne $1.58 1.14 CHF1.49 Full year ending 30 September 2015 88% 83% 87% 100% Average rate $922 metric / tonne $1.59 1.18 CHF1.48 Full year ending 30 September 2016 80% 76% 79% 70% Average rate $844 metric / tonne Sensitivities FY 15 $1.63 1.21 CHF1.46 Sensitivities FY 16 $10 per tonne movement in the price of jet fuel will impact the full year pre-tax result by +/-$1 million 1 dollar cent movement will impact the full year pretax result by +/- 0.3 million 1 euro cent movement will impact the full year pre-tax result by +/- 0 million 1 CHF cent movement will impact the full year pre-tax result by +/- 0 million As at 17-07-15 $10 per tonne movement in the price of jet fuel will impact the full year pre-tax result by +/-$4 million 1 dollar cent movement will impact the full year pretax result by +/- 1.9 million 1 euro cent movement will impact the full year pre-tax result by +/- 0.7 million 1 CHF cent movement will impact the full year pre-tax result by +/- 0.3 million 7

Forward bookings % Seats sold * 91% 92% H2 2014 H2 2015 77% 77% Q3 Jul Aug Sep H2 H2 (1 April 2015 to 30 September 2015) As at 17-07-15 8

Outlook Fuel H2: unit fuel costs 65 million to 80 million favourable (1,2) FY: unit fuel costs 100 million to 115 million favourable (1,2) Foreign exchange H2: c. 35 million adverse movement from foreign exchange rates (3) FY: c. 15 million adverse movement from foreign exchange rates (3) Trading The underlying performance of the business remains consistent with the capacity and cost guidance given on 12 May 2015, despite absorbing an additional 15 million of disruption costs in the nine months to 30 June 2015 compared to the same period in the prior year Revenue per seat is trending better than outlined in May The current macro and operational environment is uncertain, caused by the situation in Greece and the events in North Africa, combined with the reduction in capacity at Fiumicino as a result of the fire at the airport and the various threats of industrial action Full year result Despite this, easyjet expects to grow profit before tax from 581 million for the year to 30 September 2014 to a range of 620 million to 660 million for the year to 30 September 2015 (4) (1) Assuming fuel remains between $550 / metric tonne to $750 / metric tonne trading range (2) Unit fuel calculated as the difference between latest estimate of FY 15 fuel costs less FY 14 fuel cost per seat multiplied by FY 15 seat capacity (3) Based on spot rates:, US $ to sterling 1.5559, euro to sterling 1.4360 at noon on 20.7.15 (4) Following the period end the Eurocontrol dispute was resolved. This will result in a 8 million additional navigation charge in Q4 15. This one-off charge is included in easyjet s FY 15 profit before tax guidance range. 9

Summary Improving commercial performance in a difficult operating environment Good underlying cost performance Exciting profitable growth opportunities across our core markets Uncertain macro and operational environment with Greece, events in North Africa and potential industrial action Pipeline of revenue and cost initiatives to continue to drive returns Continued disciplined allocation of capital easyjet remains well placed to grow revenue, profits and dividends this year 10

Disclaimer This communication is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments who fall within the definition of investment professionals in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001; or (ii) high net worth bodies corporate, unincorporated associations and partnerships and trustees of high value trusts as described in Article 49(2) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001. Persons within the United Kingdom who receive this communication (other than those falling within (i) and (ii) above) should not rely on or act upon the contents of this communication. Nothing in this presentation is intended to constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity for the purposes of the prohibition on financial promotion contained in the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. This presentation has been furnished to you solely for information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on to any other person, nor may it be published in whole or in part, for any other purpose. This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of, or solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities of easyjet plc ( easyjet ) in any jurisdiction nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of easyjet. Without limitation to the foregoing, these materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States. Securities may not be offered or sold into the United States absent registration under the US Securities Act of 1933 or an exemption there from. easyjet has not verified any of the information set out in this presentation. Without prejudice to the foregoing, neither easyjet nor its associates nor any officer, director, employee or representative of any of them accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss however arising, directly or indirectly, from any reliance on this presentation or its contents. This presentation is not being issued, and is not for distribution in, the United States (with certain limited exceptions in accordance with the US Securities Act of 1933) or in any jurisdiction where such distribution is unlawful and is not for distribution to publications with a general circulation in the United States. By attending or reading this presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations. 11