Presents at the. September 21, 2011

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Transcription:

Presents at the September 21, 2011

Caution Regarding Forward-looking Information Air Canada s public communications may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. Such statements may be included in this presentation and may be included in other communications, including filings with regulatory authorities and securities regulators. Forwardlooking statements may be based on forecasts of future results and estimates of amounts not yet determinable. These statements may involve, but are not limited to, comments relating to strategies, expectations, planned operations or future actions. Forward-looking statements are identified by the use of terms and phrases such as anticipate", believe", could", estimate", expect", intend", may", plan", predict", project", will", would", and similar terms and phrases, including references to assumptions. Forward-looking statements, by their nature, are based on assumptions and are subject to important risks and uncertainties. Forecasts or forward-looking predictions or statements cannot be relied upon due to, amongst other things, changing external events and general uncertainties of the business. Actual results may differ materially from results indicated in forward-looking statements due to a number of factors, including without limitation, industry, market, credit and economic conditions, the ability to reduce operating costs and secure financing, pension issues, energy prices, currency exchange and interest rates, employee and labour relations, competition, war, terrorist acts, epidemic diseases, environmental factors (including weather systems and other natural phenomena and factors arising from man-made sources), insurance issues and costs, changes in demand due to the seasonal nature of the business, supply issues, changes in laws, regulatory developments or proceedings, pending and future litigation and actions by third parties as well as the factors identified throughout Air Canada's public disclosure file available at www.sedar.com, including Section 18, Risk Factors, of Air Canada s 2010 Management s Discussion and Analysis dated February 10, 2011 and Section 14, Risk Factors, of Air Canada s Second Quarter 2011 Management s Discussion and Analysis dated August 4, 2011. 2 Any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation represent Air Canada's expectations as of the date of this presentation (or as of the date they are otherwise stated to be made) and are subject to change after such date. However, Air Canada disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required under applicable securities regulations.

Agenda Air Canada Leading Share in all Markets Strong Recovery and Performance in 2010 and Continued Improvement in the First Half of 2011 Air Canada's Business Strategy 3

Air Canada Canada's Largest Domestic, U.S. Transborder, and International Airline 4

Leading Share in All Markets Domestic International Transborder WJA 36% Air Canada 56% Other Airlines 8% BA 5% AF 3% LH 4% CATH 7% KLM 4% TRZ 8% Other Airlines 30% Air Canada 39% AMR 11% Other Airlines 8% WJA 15% Air Canada 35% LCC 4% DAL 8% CAL 6% UAL 13% 40% of passenger revenues 41% of passenger revenues 19% of passenger revenues 5 Source: OAG, based on available seat miles (ASMs) from Jan 2010 to Dec 2010; AC Revenue Split based on Jan 2010 to Dec 2010

Extensive Global Network Star Alliance Membership and Joint Venture Enhance Market Presence Air Canada Routes 178 Direct Destinations: 59 in Canada 59 in the U.S. 60 internationally 15 th Largest Airline in the World 330 aircraft >1,400 daily flights >32M passengers carried 6

Star Alliance Membership Offers Customers More Choice 27 Members 181 Countries Served 1,160 airports 4,023 Aircraft 21 K Daily Departures 970 Lounges >600M Passengers/year Voted Best Airline Alliance in the 2011 Skytrax World Airline Awards 77

Boeing 777 (18) 270-349 seats Fleet Mix Provides Flexibility to Adjust to Market Demand Airbus A330 (8) Boeing 767 (31) Airbus A321 (10) Airbus A320 (41) Airbus A319 (38) 265 seats 191-213 seats 174 seats 146 seats 120 seats Average age of 11.2 yrs one of the youngest among major North American carriers Increased use of aircraft in current fleet supports vast majority of capacity growth in 2011 Boeing 787's will provide growth opportunities in late 2013 EMBRAER 190 (45) 93 seats EMBRAER 175 (15) 73 seats 8

Air Canada Express Air Canada express acts as a feeder to Air Canada's scheduled routes CRJ 705 (16) CRJ 100/200 (47) Dash 8 400 (6) 75 seats 50 seats 74 seats Dash 8 100/300 (60) 37-50 seats Dash 8 400s operated by Jazz (1) Addition of 15 Dash 8 400s by August 2012 Removal of 15 CRJ 100s by August 2012 Sky Regional (5) Beech 1900D (18) 18 seats 9

Industry-Leading Products and Services Loyalty program Maple Leaf Lounges Concierge program Lie-flat beds in Executive First Personal seat back entertainment at every seat Mobile-friendly booking and check-in 10

Other Leading Services by Air Canada Air Canada Air Canada Cargo Canada's largest provider of air cargo services Air Canada Vacations One of Canada's leading tour operators 11 Air Canada Jetz Premium provider of jet charter services

12 Strong Recovery and Performance in 2010 and Continued Improvement in First Half of 2011

Strong Recovery and Performance in 2010 EBITDAR (1) of $1.386B Highest in airline's history EBITDAR Margin (1) of 12.9% up 5.9 pp Record Passenger load factor of 81.7% Unit passenger revenue (RASM) up 3.6% Premium cabin RASM increased 16.8% CASM, excluding fuel, down 4.5% Raised $1.1B in new liquidity from high yield debt offering Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments of $2.2B (1) Before a net adjustment to a provision for cargo investigations 13

Financial Highlights for First Half 2011 EBITDAR of $545M up 14% EBITDAR Margin of 9.6% up 0.3 pp Passenger load factor of 80.4% Unit passenger revenue (RASM) up 3.6% Premium cabin RASM increased 5.4% CASM, excluding fuel, down 4.5% Ancillary revenues per passenger increased 18% Adjusted net debt of $4.4 billion at June 30, 2011 decreased $890 million from June 30, 2010 14

Improved Liquidity Position % of trailing 12-month operating revenues C$ billions 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 $2.2 $2.1 $1.4 $1.2 $1.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 (1) 12% 9% 14% 20% 19% $2.3 Q2 2011 (2) 20% 15 Note: Liquidity is comprised on unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments (1) Trailing 12-month operating revenues as at March 31, 2011 (2) Trailing 12-month operating revenues as at June 30, 2011

Disciplined Capacity Management PLF (%) 90 Achieved record load factors in July & August 2011 of 86.4% and 87.8% respectively 80.0 82.7 82.5 79.9 79.5 80.5 83.5 78.6 79.4 83.1 84.7 78.8 77.9 82.8 4.6 2.4-3.5-7.8-10.3-5.4-3.3 2.0 6.6 5.3 8.2 7.8 7.7 6.4 ASM Q/Q Change 12% 8% 80% 80 4% 0% 70% 70-4% -8% 60% 60 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2008 2009 2010 2011 PLF (%) ASMs Q/Q Change (%) -12% 16

Limited Capital Spending Expected Until Delivery of Boeing 787s Scheduled for Q4 2013 & First Half of 2014* C$ M $400 $350 $288 $351 $300 $125 $250 $119 $200 $104 $150 $100 $29 $226 $169 $50 $75 $0 Remainder of 2011 2012 2013 Projected committed expenditures Projected planned expenditures After 2013, Air Canada s projected committed expenditures are $3,624M Air Canada has financing commitments from Boeing and the engine manufacturers covering 31 of the 37 Boeing 787 firm aircraft orders Excludes certain maintenance events which are capitalized under IFRS 17 *as reported on August 4, 2011

Managing Fuel and Foreign Exchange Volatility 18 Mitigating higher fuel prices through surcharges and fare increases is management s key focus Target is to hedge at least 35% of next 12 months' consumption Given that close to 80% of fuel hedge portfolio is comprised of call options, AC has minimal collateral risk Relationship between jet fuel prices and CAD/US exchange rate helps reduce fuel price exposure Net USD exposure is covered 40% (as at August 31, 2011) for the next 12 months 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Fuel Hedging Positions US$110/bbl 36% (at August 31, 2011) Average capped price US$123/bbl 8% ROY 2011 2012 Approximately 10% of ROY 2011 fuel consumption is subject to floor price of US$86/barrel

Status of Labour Negotiations June 27, 2011 a new four-year collective agreement was ratified with CAW, representing 3,800 call centre and airport customer service staff. The CAW agreement includes pension amendments that would impact the solvency deficit and pension obligations. Amendments to the pension plans are subject to regulatory approval. September 16, 2011 Air Canada received a decision in the arbitration related to pension arrangements for new hires represented by CAW employees. In his ruling, the arbitrator determined that a hybrid pension regime consisting of part defined contribution and part defined benefit plan will apply to new hires represented by the CAW. September 20, 2011 a tentative collective agreement* was reached with CUPE, the union representing flight attendants. Discussions with ACPA, representing pilots, the IAMAW, representing mechanics and baggage handlers, and CALDA, representing dispatchers, are expected to start in coming weeks. 19 *subject to ratification by CUPE membership

20 Air Canada's Business Strategy

Air Canada's Business Strategy Building on the Air Canada brand and global network Leveraging new opportunities for revenue growth and cost transformation Engaging with customers with a focus on premium passengers and products Enhancing the corporate culture and developing a strong employee brand 21 21

Disciplined Approach to Growth Higher margins generally available in international markets Unused route rights create opportunities 22 New and enhanced routes summer 2011

Leveraging World Class Hub at Toronto Pearson and Other Major Canadian Airports Toronto Pearson is centre of catchment area with less traffic congestion Number of passengers connecting through Toronto Pearson doubled since 2009 Focus on increasing global connecting traffic via Canada Strong brand franchise and industry-leading product provide competitive edge Terminal improvements at Toronto Pearson enabled Air Canada & most Star Alliance operations to be consolidated in one terminal 23

Leveraging New Opportunities for Revenue Growth and Cost Transformation Committed to making cost containment/reduction a permanent part of culture Expect to achieve annual benefits of $530M by YE 2011 (1) $475M achieved as at June 30, 2011 on the $530M target for end of 2011 (runrate) $330M achieved as at December 31, 2010 - $30M more than CTP target for 2010 Formed business transformation team to implement best practice findings and lower cost structure focus is on waste reduction in cross functional business processes $170 M Revenue Optimization $200 M Contract Improvements $160 M Operational Process & Productivity Improvements 24 (1) As reported on August 4, 2011

Focus on Premium Passengers and Products Resulting in Premium RASM Growth 30 RASM Premium RASM 20 Y-O-Y % Change 10 0-10 -20-30 Q2 09/08 Q3 09/08 Q4 09/08 Q1 10/09 Q2 10/09 Q3 10/09 Q4 10/09 Q1 11/10 Q2 11/10 Note: RASM Reflects passenger revenues per available seat mile 25

Steadily Increasing Satisfaction Levels Positive Shift in Culture is Reflected in Customer Satisfaction levels 20% Improvement in Employee Engagement 54 49 44 39 34 50 46 42 38 34 30 Business 20pp improvement in overall satisfaction 2008 2009 2010 2011 (ytd) Economy 15pp improvement in overall satisfaction 2008 2009 2010 2011 (ytd) 26

Best International Airline in North America 2 nd Consecutive year Best Airline in North America (6 th consecutive year) Best Airline in Canada Air Canada Voted: 27 Best Flight Attendants in North America Best In-Flight Services in North America Best North American Airline for Business Class Service Best North American Airline for International Travel Best Airline Web Site Reader's Digest Canada's second annual "Most Trusted" poll voted Air Canada: Canada's Most Trusted Airline A UK based Global Reputation Pulse survey of Canadian companies found that Air Canada: Recorded the single largest year-over-year jump in reputation of any company in the study 2010 Agents' Choice Award by Travel Press & Travel Courier Favourite Scheduled Airline 2010 Executive Travel magazine's "Leading Edge Awards" Best airline for flights to Canada from anywhere in the world 2010 International Sales Person of the Year Onboard Sales Conference Most Improved Airline of the Year 2010 Ipsos Reid Business Traveller Survey named Air Canada Canada s favourite airline for business travel

Enhancing Corporate Culture Promoting leadership, ownership and entrepreneurship Emphasis on cost containment is forging a more entrepreneurial culture New training courses for managers: continuous improvement and change management Empowering employees to make decisions 2010 performance rewarded Over $51 million to front-line employees $13 million in shares granted to eligible employees Industry honours are indication Air Canada employees are participating in transformation 28 28

Full Year Outlook* Available seat miles (system) Increase 3.5 to 4.5% Available seat miles (Canada).. +/- 0.5% CASM, excluding fuel expense.. Decrease 1-3% Canadian dollar per U.S. dollar. $0.98 Fuel price cents per litre. $0.85 *As reported on August 4, 2011 Canadian economy will continue to recover 29 29

Air Canada s Investment Proposition Extensive global network One of the world s leading air carriers twice winner of the Skytrax award for Best International Airline in North America in 2010 and in 2011 Powerful and respected brand franchise Industry-leading product and award-winning business class generating market leading RASM Strong financial performance in 2010 and improved financial performance in the first half of 2011 Committed to lowering cost structure and debt levels Positive shift in corporate culture 30

31 Go Far

32 Q & A