TBU Q ANALYST & INVESTOR PRESENTATION

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Transcription:

TBU Q1 2014 ANALYST & INVESTOR PRESENTATION 1

Pegasus at a Glance Fleet of 52 aircraft with an average age of 4.1 year Leading presence in domestic market with a market share of 27.4% Operates on over 83 routes in 34 countries Strong on time performance 90.90 % Growing ancillary revenue One of the largest catchment areas in the region with c.18m population living with a one hour drive of Pegasus Main hub SAW airport 2

Key Highlights of Q1 2014 Results We continue to execute on the business plan we set out at the time of our IPO Operational and financial results were announced yesterday Load Factor increased by 0.4% pp ASK grew by 28.4% in Q1 in 2014 CASK came down from 4.26 c to 4.23 c (*) 36 % increase in revenues supported by significant growth in scheduled operations and increase in ancillary revenue Ancillary revenue per PAX increased by 8% in Euro terms with the penetration of existing ancillary services and with the help of our new bundled product 8.96 per pax in 2014 Q1 vs 8.27 per pax in 2013 Q1 Negative EBITDAR margin (*)excluding marketing expense timing difference 3

Operational Performance DOMESTIC Q1 2013 Q1 2014 YoY Pax (mio) 2,10 2,61 23,8% Seat (mio) 2,61 3,20 22,4% Load factor (%) 80,5% 81,5% 0,9% Cycle 13.858 17.077 23,2% Pax per cycle 152 153 0,5% ASK (mio) 1.502 1.885 25,5% INTERNATIONAL(*) Q1 2013 Q1 2014 YoY Pax (mio) 1,15 1,47 28,3% Seat (mio) 1,54 1,98 28,7% Load factor (%) 74,5% 74,3% -0,2% Cycle 8.381 10.803 28,9% Pax per cycle 137 136-0,5% ASK (mio) 2.241 2.921 30,4% TOTAL Q1 2013 Q1 2014 YoY Pax (mio) 3,25 4,08 25,4% Seat (mio) 4,15 5,18 24,7% Load factor (%) 78,3% 78,7% 0,4% cycle 22.239 27.880 25,4% Pax per Cycle 146 146 0,0% ASK (mio) 3.743 4.807 28,4% Block Hour 36.499 47.213 29,0% Utilization 10,9 10,9 0,0% (*) International flights includes charter traffic 4

Quarterly Revenue Analysis Domestic Delta Analysis 19,3% 22,4% Yield Avrg : TL 64.4 (vs TL67.7 2013 Q1) 16,7% -5,0% 0,9% Market Growth Seat LF (pp) Yield (TL) % Fuel Price (TL) Yield Avrg : EUR 48.8 (vs EUR 58.6 2013 Q1) 29,0% 12,6% -0,4% -9,4% Market Growth Seat LF (pp) Yield ( ) % Fuel Price ( ) -16,6% International Delta Analysis 5

New Destinations & Frequencies in 2014 New Destinations in S 14 More Frequencies in S 14 Madrid as of March Frankfurt as of March Kuwait as of March Charleroi as of April (instead of BRU) Hamburg as of July Bishkek as of March (conversion from Marketing carrier to operating carrier) Bahrain, Prague and Genève as of July Mineralnye Vody as of May 14 Budapest, Dammam and Turkmenbası in progress Tel Aviv daily 3 freq Cologne daily 2 freq Düsseldorf weekly 19 freq Krasnodar additional 2 freq Sarajevo additional 1 freq Vienna weekly 11 freq Stuttgart weekly 9 London (STN) weekly 16 Barcelona weekly 9 6

Financial Performance Revenue Development Comments TLm 600 500 400 36% 80% 70% 60% 50% Revenue of TLmn 512 in Q1 2014 Up 36% year on year 300 200 100 36% 18% 75% 40% 30% 20% 10% Growth on the back of increased capacity 0 International sch. Domestic sch. Ancillary Rev. Total Revenue 0% 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 Change (1) International revenue includes international split charter (2) Total revenue includes cargo services and training revenue 7

Revenue Performance Q1 14 Q1 13 Change Passengers (m) 4.1 3.2 25% Load Factor (%) 78.7 78.3 0.4% Seats (m) 5.2 4.2 25% Average Sector Length (km) 928 902 3 % Total Revenue (TRYm) Ancillary Revenue per pax (TRY) 512.1 377.1 36 % International Delta 27.3 19.5 40% Analysis 8

EBITDAR Analysis Fig. 2: 2013-2014 EBITDAR Bridge Delayed Flight Costs -2,8 Consolidation (Airmanas&İzair) -3,7 Employee performance bonus -7,0 Change in engine overhaul provision -2,8 Delta in operational leasing a/c in the fleet -3,7 Other -2,5 Comments TRY-29.4m net EBITDAR reported in Q1 2014 period Mix includes the impacts of delayed flight costs, Izair & Air Manas fixed costs, change in engine overhaul provision, fleet ownership structure and employee performance bonus Marketing spent time difference Delayed flight costs- warm winter, one-off 9

Balance Sheet Analysis Fig. 1: Balance Sheet Structure (31 st March 2014) (TL m) Cash Cash & equivalents currency breakdown Cash Financial lease maturity breakdown TL 54.1% USD 37.6% EUR 5.3% GBP 1.2% 3.577TLm Cash&Cash Equivalents; 857.8 3.577TLm Equity; 1.070,3 < 1 year 11.2% 1 5 years 45.8% > 5 years 43.0% Other 1.% Other Assets; 483.6 Other assets: 402 PDP; PDPs: 82.9 98 Other Liabilities; 891,5 Fixed Assets; 2.153,1 Financial Leases; 1.611,3 Financial Debt; 4.3 Assets Liabilities&Equity 10

CASK Analysis Fig. 1: CASK c non-fuel Bridge 4.26 CASK 4.29 Fig. 2: CASK non-fuel Seasionality Relationship 2013(rebased to Q1 2013) 110 2012 (rebased to Q1 2012) Fig. 3: Nominal CASK non-fuel values 2012 2013 100 3,00 90 2014 80 2,50 70 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2,00 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 11

FX gain/loss impact Assets Liabilities & Equity Monetary Assets Monetary Liabilities Cash and cash equivalents Bank Loans Trade receivables VS. TL, $, = FX Loss @ P&L Obligations under finance leases VS. TL, $, = FX Gain @ P&L PDP Trade payables FX Gain/(Loss) recorded in 2014 Q1 (TL m): -45.5 FX Gain/(Loss) recorded in 2014 Q1(TL m): -4.2 Non-Monetary Assets Non-Monetary Liabilities & Equity Investments Tangible assets Intangible assets VS. TL = FX Gain @ P&L Capital Premium in excess of par Retained earning VS. TL = FX Loss @ P&L FX Gain/(Loss) recorded in 2014 Q1(TL m): 30.1 FX Gain/(Loss) recorded in 2014 Q1 (TL m): 27.4- Net FX Gain/(Loss) recorded in 2014 Q1 (TL m): -47.0 Note: /TL rates: 31/12/2013: 2.9365; 31/032014: 3.0072 12

Decrease in currency exposure Fig. 1: Foreign Currency Position of Income Statement (%) Currency Exposure of Revenues Currency Exposure of expenses Currency Exposure of expenses before recent changes 3% 41% 19% 1% 27% 14% Other 31% 46% 54% 10% Hedging Update 53% 56% For 2014, 86% of USD short positions are hedged already (2013: 96%) Hedging volumes: Euro USD TL Other Fuel 2014: 48%; 2015: 13% / USD 928. 80 per tonn for 2014 Dollar 2014: 90%; 2015: 10% / EUR-USD : 1.3863 5 pp of expenses converted to TL from Euro and USD Fig. 2: Sensitivity Table (TLm) 2014Q1 EUR/TL USD/TL Fuel Δ +0.01 +0.01 +$10 EUR/TL USD/TL Fuel Revenues 0.7 0.2 - Opex 0.6 1.5 2.3 EBIT 0.1-1.3-2.3 EBITDAR 0.3-1.1-2.3 13

FLEET DEVELOPMENT Fig. 1: Fleet Overview Fig. 2: Ownership Profile Fleet at 31 Mar 14 Owned Leased Total Boeing 737-800 27 20 47 Boeing 737-400 1 0 1 Airbus A320 CEO 0 4 4 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Total Fleet 28 24 52 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 Owned Leased Fig. 3: Fleet Expansion 2013 2014 2014 2015 2016 TOTAL FLEET Year End Q1 Q2 Q3* Q4 Year End Year End Year End Owned 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Financial Lease 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 34 Operational Lease 15 18 20 20 20 20 21 21 Wet Lease 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 TOTAL 49 52 54 54 54 54 55 62 * An operational lease aircraft is planned to be delivered in 2014 Q3. 14

Outlook & Trends Traffic Market Growth Capacity Increase We expect continuation of robust PAX growth in the Turkish international and domestic aviation market We target a total PAX growth of c.20% in 2014 DHMI forecasts passenger growth of 10% CAGR in Turkey between 2013 and 2015 In total, we expect to add c.20% of additional ASKs annually to our network over the next three years In terms of utilisation, we expect a similar performance to 2013 within the short term Load Factors and Bookings Trend Current favourable trends in load factors expected to continue in 2014 we target to exceed 2013 levels Our mid term target is to exceed 82% levels in load factor RASK / Yield Pressure on yields offset by increased load factor, resulting in a stable RASK Ancillary Revenues Our target is to grow our ancillary revenues to at least 10-12 per PAX range within the next three years Operating Costs (CASK) Expected to remain stable for the near term CIT team actively looking into several initiatives to further bring down costs and increase the estimated and cumulative savings from 2014 s m47 level 2014 EBITDAR margin Between 17-19% Capex and Cash Flow We expect marginal non-aircraft capex We target positive cash flow impact from working capital changes 1. These trends and targets involve a number of risks and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially. See disclaimer at the end of the presentation. 15

Definitions Definitions Pegasus, the Company, PGS, Group, we, our and us refer to Pegasus Hava Taşımacılığı A.Ş. All revenue, cost of sales, CASK, CASK ex-fuel, EBITDA, EBITDAR and EBITDAR margin items are Pegasus operational figures. These figures do not include the jointly controlled entity with Air Berlin (IzAir) EBITDA, EBITDAR and EBITDAR margin are unaudited supplementary measures that are not presented in accordance with IFRS. They should not be considered as a substitute for IFRS measures. EBITDAR, EBITDAR margin, CASK, CASK ex-fuel, RASK, ancillary revenue, internet sales, aircraft utilisation, on-time record, average stage length comparison of Pegasus vs. peer group defined in this document may not be comparable as the terms are not universally defined. PAX refers to passengers. ASK refers to available seat kilometers, and is equal to the number of seats available for passengers during a specified period multiplied by the number of kilometers that those seats are flown. ASL refers to average stage length in kilometers, calculated by dividing available seat kilometers (ASK) by capacity. Fuel efficiency is defined as payload adjusted ton / block hour. Block hours, or BH refer to the hours from an aircraft s take-off to landing (including taxi time). Payload adjusted ton is based on 2010 carried PAX per flight, assuming 1 additional PAX adds a weight of 100kg and burns 4kg additional fuel when carried 1 block hour. CASK refers to cost per available seat kilometer, and is equal to sum of cost of sales, general administrative expenses and selling and marketing expenses divided by available seat kilometers (ASK). Charter flights refer to flights that take place outside normal schedules through contracting for an aircraft with a particular customer, typically a tour operator. Cycle refers to the operation of an aircraft from take-off to its next landing. Load factor, or LF refers to the total number of passengers as a percentage of the total number of available seats during any given period. CASK exc. fuel is equal to CASK excluding jet fuel expenses divided by available seat kilometers (ASK). On-time refers to a flight departure in connection with which the door of the aircraft closes within 15 minutes of the scheduled departure time. Point-to-point flight refers to a flight that takes a passenger non-stop from the point of origin to the destination. Revenue passenger refers to a passenger for whose transportation an air carrier receives commercial remuneration. RASK refers to revenue per available seat kilometer. Seat capacity refers to the total number of passengers who can be seated in an aircraft. Split charter flights refer to an arrangement whereby a tour operator purchases a certain number of seats on a charter flight, rather than commit to the entire aircraft capacity, as seat capacity on each flight is sold in parts to several tour operators. As opposed to standard charter flights, airlines, not tour operators, are ultimately responsible for filling the aircraft. Yield refers to total revenue divided by the number of passengers at any given period. 16

Disclaimer The information in this presentation has been prepared by Pegasus Hava Taşımacılığı A.Ş. (the "Company" or "Pegasus") solely for informing the investors of the Company's operational background and its operational and financial performance for the year 2013. To the extent available, the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from official or third party sources. Third party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. While Pegasus believes that each of these publications, studies and surveys has been prepared by a reputable source, Pegasus has not independently verified the data contained therein. In addition, certain of the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the markets in which the Company operates. While Pegasus believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without notice. Accordingly, any undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or competitive position data contained in this presentation. This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or the solicitation or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for, or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, alone, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any commitment or investment decision. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified. The information and opinions contained in this document are provided only as at the date of the presentation and are subject to change without notice. This presentation and any materials distributed in connection with this presentation are not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. No representation, warranty or undertaking, expressed or implied, is or will be made by Pegasus or its shareholders, affiliates, advisors or representatives or any other person as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained in this presentation (or whether any information has been omitted from this presentation). Pegasus, to the extent permitted by law, and each of its respective directors, officers, employees, affiliates, advisors or representatives disclaims all liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss however arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation. This presentation includes "forward-looking statements". These statements contain the words "anticipate", will, "believe", "intend", "estimate", "expect" and words of similar meaning. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding the Company s financial position, prospects, growth, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including statements relating to new routes, number of aircraft, availability of financing, customer offerings, passenger and utilization statistics and objectives relating to the Company's products and services) are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this presentation. Pegasus cautions you that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual financial position, prospects, growth, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Company's financial position, prospects, growth, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in any future period. Pegasus does not undertake and expressly disclaims any obligation to review or confirm or to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in the Company's expectations with regard thereto or any events that occur or conditions or circumstances that arise after the date of this presentation. 17