Ted Thrasher ICAO Environmental Modelling Unit

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Destination Green ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, Destination Green, 14 16 May 2013 Fuel and CO 2 Benefits from ASBU Block 0 Ted Thrasher ICAO Environmental Modelling Unit ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 1

Quantifying Fuel and CO 2 Savings from Block 0 Many ASBU modules currently being implemented are expected to deliver tangible fuel / CO 2 savings Previously, these haven t been quantified in a global manner In light of recently-completed CAEP trends, an additional task to understand the magnitude of these benefits is underway ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 2

Expert Group Terms of Reference for analysis developed by broad range of experts 10 States 4 Observers 3 ICAO Sections 10 time zones Environmental Assessment Module Owners Operations ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 3

Analysis by CAEP Terms of Reference reviewed and approved by CAEP Work assigned to two Working Groups Working Group 2 (Operations) Modelling and Databases Group Understand Benefits from Individual Modules Scale Results to Global Level ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 4

Focus is on Block 0 ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 5

Phased Approach we are here Phase I: Inventory of modules and their potential impact Phase II: Estimation of fuel changes by module Phase III: Estimated global changes in fuel consumption Phase IV: Final Report Phase V: Robust approach for future analyses ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 6

Modules Selected Module Title B0-05 Continuous Descent Operations (CDO) B0-10 Improved operations through enhanced en-route trajectories (FUA) B0-15 Improve traffic through runway sequencing (AMAN/DMAN) B0-20 Continuous Climb Operations (CCO) B0-35 Air Traffic Flow Management (ATFM) B0-40 Improved safety and efficiency through the initial application of data link en-route B0-70 Optimised wake turbulence separation B0-80 Airport Collaborative Decision Making (A-CDM) B0-84 ADS-B initial capability and ground surveillance B0-86 Improved access to optimum FL though climb and descent with ADS-B ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 7

Types of Benefits Module Title Benefits B0-05 Continuous Descent Operations (CDO) Reduced fuel burn on arrival B0-10 Improved operations through enhanced enroute trajectories (FUA) Reduced in-flight fuel burn B0-15 Improve traffic through runway sequencing Reduced airborne holding and taxi-out time (AMAN/DMAN) B0-20 Continuous Climb Operations (CCO) Reduced fuel burn during climb B0-35 Air Traffic Flow Management (ATFM) Reduced fuel burn in all phases of flight, including taxi B0-40 Improved safety and efficiency through the initial application of data link en-route Reduced in-flight fuel burn B0-70 Optimised wake turbulence separation Reduced taxi-out time and reduced in-flight fuel burn B0-80 Airport Collaborative Decision Making (A-CDM) Reduced taxi-out time B0-84 ADS-B initial capability and ground surveillance Reduced in-flight fuel burn B0-86 Improved access to optimum FL though climb and descent with ADS-B Reduced in-flight fuel burn ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 8

Interdependencies Clearly, the modules are linked (by design) Relationships between the modules are well understood, to avoid double-counting Taxi Time Savings (Example) 1 minute + 1 minute =/ 2 minutes ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 9

Next Steps Module-Level Benefits B0-05, B0-10 B0-15, B0-20 B0-35, B0-40 Aggregate Global Analysis B0-70, B0-80 B0-84, B0-86 ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 10

Thank You ICAO Symposium on Aviation and Climate Change, "Destination Green", ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada, 14-16 May 2013 11