AFTA Travel Trends. August 2017

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AFTA Travel Trends August 2017 AFTA Travel Trends Report 2017

Inbound and Outbound overview Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the balance of trade between Inbound and Outbound Travel for Year end of June 2017. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set.

Total Visitor and Australian departure and arrivals Year End June 2017 The ABS collects data on all travellers entering and leaving Australia through the Inbound and Outbound Passenger Card. This section displays the number of international tourists entering and Australians departing Australia as of June Year end 2016 and 2017. For travel and tourism to be sustainable it is imperative that the trade between each country is balanced and this snapshot tracks overall benefits to each country. The countries chosen are the major Australian source markets and desired destinations. June YE 2016 Total Number of international visitors to Australia Inbound June YE 2016 Total number of international trips by Australians Outbound June YE 2017 Total Number of international visitors to Australia Inbound June YE 2017 Total number of international trips by Australians Outbound New Zealand 1,322,300 1,285,700 1,350,900 1,358,800 China 1,151,200 438,100 1,268,700 472,800 UK 700,400 605,700 726,600 598,000 USA 655,200 1,037,400 758,300 1,066,800 Singapore 426,900 369,100 445,800 395,100 Japan 380,200 343,700 424,500 376,900 Malaysia 354,900 251,600 399,300 255,200 South Korea 258,200 66,000 293,700 255,200 India 240,300 299,600 277,100 335,000 Hong Kong 236,500 217,900 263,500 211,400 Indonesia 152,600 1,184,400 174,100 1,184,700 Thailand 84,900 548,100 93,800 530,400 Fiji 32,900 344,100 38,600 340,900 National Total 7,837,200 9,668,400 8,552,700 10,022,500 Source: June 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals and Departures - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted

Inbound Report Introduction These snapshots provide an overview of the performance of the Australian inbound tourism sector. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set. Performance indicators are provided for each market and month. A neutral rating is provided for markets which have a year on year variation of (+/-) 2%.

Where are our participants? Total inbound tourists to Australia June 2017 This section displays the number of international tourists travelling to Australia each month as of June Year end 2016 and 2017. Key Highlights While still positive, June saw the lowest percentage growth increase in 3 years. Month 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance July 608,700 6.2% 692,200 13.7% Positive August 622,200 7.3% 691,300 11.1% Positive September 634,900 10.1% 710,400 11.9% Positive October 631,100 6.5% 707,300 12.1% Positive November 647,500 10.9% 701,000 8.3% Positive December 660,000 11.1% 705,900 7.0% Positive January 657,900 12.0% 712,900 8.4% Positive February 646,800 6.4% 714,900 10.5% Positive March 671,900 8.4% 712,000 6.0% Positive April 679,100 12.2% 747,000 10.0% Positive May 679,600 11.9% 732,100 7.7% Positive June 697,500 12.5% 725,700 4.0% Positive Total 7,837,200 9.6% 8,552,700 9.1% Positive 750,000 700,000 650,000 Total passenger arrivals have increased 38.2% in the last 5 years. 600,000 550,000 500,000 of tourists 2016 of tourists 2017 5 year average Source: June 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted

Where are our participants? Year end changes to major Australian source markets June 2017 This section displays the performance of the major Australian source markets for international travellers as of June Year end 2016 and 2017. Destination 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 1,322,300 3.9% 1,350,900 2.2% Positive China 1,151,200 23.0% 1,268,700 10.2% Positive UK 700,400 4.4% 726,600 3.7% Positive USA 655,200 13.6% 758,300 15.7% Positive Singapore 426,900 13.7% 445,800 4.4% Positive Japan 380,200 16.2% 424,500 11.7% Positive Malaysia 354,900 6.1% 399,300 12.5% Positive South Korea 258,200 19.9% 293,700 13.7% Positive India 240,300 9.0% 277,100 15.3% Positive Hong Kong 236,500 14.0% 263,500 11.4% Positive National Total 7,837,200 9.6% 8,552,700 9.1% Positive 1,400,000 Key Highlights Inbound arrivals are significantly above the 5 year average across all major markets. 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 China experienced its lowest percentage growth increase in 5 years. 400,000 200,000 0 New Zealand China UK USA Singapore Japan Malaysia South Korea India Hong Kong YE 16 Coutnry YE 17 Country 5 year average Source: June 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted

Where are our participants? Monthly changes to major Australian source markets June 2017 This section displays the performance of the major Australian source markets for international tourists comparing the month of June 2016 to June 2017. Destination 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 115,400 1.9% 110,900-3.9% Negative China 102,500 22.6% 114,300 11.5% Positive UK 59,700 4.6% 60,600 1.5% Neutral USA 58,300 12.8% 66,500 14.1% Positive Singapore 36,900 13.5% 37,400 1.4% Neutral Japan 34,200 24.8% 36,300 6.1% Positive Malaysia 32,100-8.8% 32,100 0.0% Neutral South Korea 24,200 39.9% 24,500 1.2% Neutral India 21,600 18.7% 24,500 13.4% Positive Hong Kong 22,400 18.5% 22,800 1.8% Neutral National Total 697,500 12.5% 725,700 4.0% Positive Key Highlights New Zealand experienced it s first negative growth performance in 5 years. USA maintained its double digit growth for the 4 th consecutive year. 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 New Zealand China UK USA Singapore Japan Malaysia South Korea India Hong Kong Jun-16 Jun-17 5 year average Source: June 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted

Outbound Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set. Performance indicators are provided for each market. A neutral rating is provided for markets which have a year on year variation of (+/-) 2%.

Total outbound Australian travellers June 2017 This section displays the number of Australians travelling outbound each month as of June Year end 2016 and 2017. Month 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance July 784900 3.5% 832,300 6.0% Positive August 789200 3.1% 829,100 5.1% Positive September 784600 3.7% 826,800 5.4% Positive October 809300 6.8% 840,700 3.9% Positive November 788800 3.6% 811,500 2.9% Positive December 809400 4.6% 829,000 2.4% Positive January 820900 5.7% 849,100 3.4% Positive February 796200 2.4% 833,300 4.7% Positive March 839700 5.5% 809,000-3.7% Negative April 796300 2.1% 850,100 6.8% Positive May 804600 4.1% 865,500 7.6% Positive June 844500 7.3% 846,100 0.2% Neutral Total 9,668,400 4.4% 10,022,500 3.7% Positive Key Highlights March saw it s third negative performance in the last 4 years. Over the last 5 years total average growth is 4.8%. 880,000 860,000 840,000 820,000 800,000 780,000 760,000 740,000 720,000 700,000 2016 2017 5 year average Source: June 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted

Year end changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian s June 2017 This section displays the performance of the top destinations Australian s are travelling to as of June Year end 2016 and 2017. Destination 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 1,285,700 3.5% 1,358,800 5.7% Positive Indonesia 1,184,400 5.4% 1,184,700 0.0% Neutral USA 1,037,400 5.7% 1,066,800 2.8% Positive UK 605,700 9.3% 598,000-1.3% Neutral Thailand 548,100-0.6% 530,400-3.2% Negative China 438,100 6.4% 472,800 7.9% Positive Singapore 369,100 1.0% 395,100 7.0% Positive Japan 343,700 28.3% 376,900 9.7% Positive Fiji 344,100 2.6% 340,900-0.9% Neutral India 299,600 6.7% 335,000 11.8% Positive National Total 9,668,400 4.4% 10,022,500 3.7% Positive Key Highlights The number of Australians travelling to Thailand is at it s lowest level in 5 years. 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 Indonesia s popularity has remained consistent over the last 3 years. 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India YE 16 Country YE 17 Country 5 year average Source: June 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted

Monthly changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian s June 2017 This section displays the performance of the top destinations Australian s are travelling to comparing June 2016 to June 2017 Destination 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 109,900-2.2% 116,000 5.6% Positive Indonesia 116,500 24.6% 93,400-19.8% Negative USA 90,500 9.4% 88,300-2.4% Negative UK 49,200 1.9% 50,500 2.6% Positive Thailand 46,400 2.7% 46,800 0.9% Neutral China 38,200 2.7% 39,900 4.5% Positive Singapore 32,200 5.6% 33,400 3.7% Positive Japan 31,500 36.4% 31,000-1.6% Neutral Fiji 27,500-5.2% 26,600-3.3% Negative India 25,400 3.7% 30,500 20.1% Positive National Total 844,500 7.3% 846,100 0.2% Neutral 140,000 Key Highlights 120,000 India has experienced a massive surge in popularity, with arrivals up 5,100 compared to June 2016. 100,000 80,000 60,000 The number of Australians travelling to Japan has doubled since 2013. 40,000 20,000 0 New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India 16 Country 17 Country 5 year average Source: June 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted

Reasons to travel to popular international destinations by Australian s June 2017 This section displays the performance of the popular destinations visited by Australian s by reason of travel in June 2017. Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey New Zealand 45.9% 33.8% 15.0% 5.3% Indonesia 87.6% 7.7% 2.1% 2.6% USA 67.0% 15.6% 7.8% 9.6% UK 52.9% 31.7% 7.6% 7.8% Thailand 79.0% 10.9% 4.4% 5.6% China 42.7% 31.7% 16.5% 9.2% Singapore 55.0% 21.4% 16.4% 7.2% Japan 71.9% 15.9% 8.6% 3.6% Fiji 74.8% 15.6% 3.6% 5.9% India 32.8% 53.3% 8.3% 5.7% National Total 62.7% 23.1% 7.7% 6.6% 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey Source: June 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted

Airlines Introduction This snapshot provides the market share of each airline for international travel. Information is sourced directly from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development. Department Summary: Fifty-eight international airlines operated scheduled services to/from Australia during May 2017 (includes five dedicated freight airlines but excludes airlines operating only via code share arrangements). Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, May 2017

Monthly Share of passengers carried May-16 May-17 Airline activity - Month End May 2017 This snapshot displays the market share of each airline for international travel for the month of May 2017. This information from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development presents statistical information on the scheduled operations of international airlines operating into/out of Australia. Qantas Airways 16.2% 16.2% Jetstar 10.2% 9.6% Emirates 8.9% 8.1% Singapore Airlines 8.0% 7.9% Air New Zealand 6.6% 6.6% Virgin Australia 6.2% 6.2% Cathay Pacific Airways 5.4% 4.7% AirAsia X 3.5% 4.3% Etihad Airways 2.7% 3.0% Thai Airways International 2.6% 3.0% Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.7% China Southern Airlines, 3.0% AirAsia X, 4.3% Etihad Airways, 3.0% Qantas Airways, 16.2% Virgin Australia, 6.2% Jetstar, 9.6% Air New Zealand, 6.6% Singapore Airlines, 7.9% Emirates, 8.1% Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, May 2016 and May 2017

Year End share of passengers carried May -16 Year End share of passengers carried May - 17 Airline activity Year End May 2017 This snapshot displays the market share of each airline for international travel of Year end May 2017. Qantas Airways 15.9% Qantas Airways 15.8% Jetstar 9.5% Jetstar 9.2% Emirates 9.2% Emirates 8.6% Singapore Airlines 8.4% Singapore Airlines 8.1% Air New Zealand 7.1% Air New Zealand 6.6% Virgin Australia 7.0% Virgin Australia 6.0% Cathay Pacific Airways 5.1% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.7% AirAsia X 3.3% AirAsia X 4.1% Etihad Airways 3.1% Etihad Airways 3.2% China Southern Airlines 2.7% China Southern Airlines 2.9% Others 28.6% Others 30.7% This information from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development presents statistical information on the scheduled operations of international airlines operating into/out of Australia. Others, 28.6% Qantas Airways, 15.9% Jetstar, 9.5% China Southern Airlines, 2.7% Etihad Airways, 3.1% Emirates, 9.2% AirAsia X, 3.3% Cathay Pacific Airways, 5.1% Virgin Australia, 7.0% Air New Zealand, 7.1% Singapore Airlines, 8.4% Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, May 2016 and May 2017

For further information please contact: Dean Long AFTA s National Manager Strategy and Policy E: Dean.Long@afta.com.au Ph: 02 9287 9900 The information contained within this Report has been prepared by AFTA based upon best endeavours to ensure the accuracy and completeness of material. AFTA accepts no liability for any loss or damage a person suffers because that person has directly or indirectly relied on any information provided by AFTA. AFTA Travel Trends Report 2017