EU banana sector Sarolta IDEI / Daniel VANDERELST / Lucie ZOLICHOVA European Commission DG Agriculture and Rural Development Unit C.2. Wine, spirits, horticultural products, specialised crops September 2016
1) EU PRODUCTION AND PRICES - January April 2016 - May August 2016 (forecast) - September - December 2016 (forecast) 2) EU SUPPLY 3) Wholesale prices of yellow bananas 4) Surveillance on import from some origins Source: MS communications and Comext This statistical document has been prepared by Unit C.2 of DG AGRI, in order to inform or stimulate discussion at the Committee for the CMO. It is a mere working document; some data may be missing or approximate. 2
Tonnes 300 000 Bananas produced in the EU 1st period (January-April) 254 372 250 000 200 000 150 000-2.7% 154 971 100 000 91 566-14% 50 000 0 69 741 +6.9% -11.6% -1.1% -11.1% 21 825 2 445 584 4 806 Cyprus Greece Spain Total France Martinique Guadeloupe Portugal Total 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tonnes Bananas produced in the EU January-August 600 000 500 000 472 300 400 000 300 000 267 971 200 000 188 166 140 341 100 000 0 47 825 2 606 1 079 12 478 Cyprus Greece Spain Total France Martinique Guadeloupe Portugal Total 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (May-Aug forecast)
Tonnes Bananas produced in the EU 3rd period (Sep-Dec) 250 000 214 795 200 000 150 000 113 000 100 000 91 800 66 800 50 000 0 25 000 2 500 650 6 845 Cyprus Greece Spain Total France Martinique Guadeloupe Portugal Total 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (forecast)
Tonnes 800 000 Bananas produced in the EU Jan-Dec 700 000 687 094 600 000 500 000 400 000 380 971 300 000 279 966 200 000 207 141 100 000 0 72 825 5 106 1 729 19 323 Cyprus Greece Spain Total France Martinique Guadeloupe Portugal Total 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (May-Dec forecast)
2016 Bananas produced in the Community and marketed in their region of production Bananas produced in the Community and marketed outside their region of production quantity (tonnes) price* Euro/kg quantity (tonnes) price** Euro/kg Cyprus Jan-Apr 2 147 0.40 298 0.40 May-Aug 161 0.45 Sept-Dec 2 500 0.45 Total 5 106 4 808 0.43 298 0.40 Greece Jan-Apr 469 0.91 115 0.88 May-Aug 410 0.82 85 0.81 Sept-Dec 520 0.92 130 0.89 Total 1 729 1 399 0.89 330 0.87 Spain Jan-Apr 17 105 0.64 137 866 0.72 May-Aug 13 000 0.57 100 000 0.68 Sept-Dec 13 000 0.70 100 000 0.90 Total 380 971 43 105 0.64 337 866 0.76 Martinique Jan-Apr 873 0.42 68 867 0.68 May-Aug 800 0.42 69 800 0.60 Sept-Dec 800 0.42 66 000 0.56 Total 207 141 2 473 0.42 204 667 0.61 Guadeloupe Jan-Apr 1 327 0.32 20 498 0.66 May-Aug 1 000 0.25 25 000 0.58 Sept-Dec 1 000 0.25 24 000 0.54 Total 72 825 3 327 0.28 69 498 0.59 Total France 279 966 5 800 0.34 274 165 0.61 Portugal Jan-Apr 1 241 0.72 3 565 1.37 May-Aug 1 211 0.75 6 460 0.67 Sept-Dec 1 180 0.74 5 665 0.81 Total 19 323 3 632 0.74 15 691 0.88 Jan-Apr 23 162 0.60 231 210 0.71 May-Aug 16 582 0.56 201 345 0.64 Total EU Sept-Dec 19 000 0.64 195 795 0.74 687 094 58 744 0.60 628 351 0.70 Total EU average price 0.69 * Average selling price of green bananas on the local market. ** Average selling price at the stage of delivery at the first port of unloading (goods not unloaded).
Price Euro/Kg 1.60 Prices of banana produced in the EU and marketed outside their region of production Jan-April 1.40 1.24 1.26 1.36 1.36 1.37 1.20 1.00 1.13 1.08 1.21 Portugal Spain 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.68 0.57 0.52 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.70 0.61 0.63 0.64 0.60 0.59 0.57 0.54 0.51 0.88 0.72 0.66 Martinique Guadeloupe Greece 0.20 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 8
Price Euro/Kg Prices of banana produced in the EU and marketed outside their region of production (May-Aug) 1.20 1.02 1.00 0.91 Greece 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.74 0.74 0.68 0.55 0.52 0.70 0.62 0.38 0.64 0.55 0.51 0.72 0.53 0.52 0.83 0.60 0.53 0.43 0.81 0.70 0.68 0.68 0.67 0.67 0.57 0.60 0.56 Spain Portugal Martinique Guadeloupe 0.34 0.20 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 9 *forecast
Price Euro/Kg 1.20 Prices of banana produced in the EU and marketed outside their region of production Sept-Dec 1.00 0.93 0.84 1.05 0.85 1.03 0.84 0.90 0.89 Spain 0.80 0.60 0.73 0.76 0.72 0.69 0.72 0.68 0.68 0.60 0.49 0.48 0.53 0.52 0.74 0.54 0.51 0.81 0.81 0.56 0.56 0.54 0.51 Greece Portugal Martinique Guadeloupe 0.40 0.43 0.42 0.20 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* *forecast 10
Banana supply in the EU Source: Comext EU28 (13/11/2014) 11
Banana supply in the EU: average value Source: Comext EU28 (13/11/2014) 12
1 t 450 000 400 000 350 000 Monthly Banana Imports from "dollar zone" (2016 with quantity) 407 760 388 824391 489 365 472 354 835 345 713 2013 2014 2015 2016 300 000 250 000 200 000 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. January-December Source: Comext EU28 (Sept. 2016) 13
1 t 160 000 140 000 120 000 Monthly Banana Imports from "ACP" countries (2016 with quantity) 2013 2014 2015 2016 100 000 80 000 60 000 80 932 90 824 95 680 100 887105 455 89 691 40 000 20 000 0 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. January-December Source: Comext EU28 (Sept. 2016) 14
Banana supply in the EU (dollar) Average wholesale prices of yellow bananas EUR/kg 1.20 1. Wholesale prices of yellow MFN- bananas in the EU 3-week average in MEMBER STATES 1.10 1.00 0.90 0.80 2013 0.70 0.60 2014 2015 2016 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 Week Source: Member States communications 15
EUR/kg 1.20 Banana supply in the EU (ACP) Average wholesale prices of yellow bananas 2. Wholesale prices of yellow ACP- bananas in the EU 3-week average in MEMBER STATES 1.10 1.00 2013 2014 2015 2016 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 Source: 1 Member 6 States communications 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 Week 16
EUR/kg 1.30 Banana supply in the EU (EU origin) Average wholesale prices of yellow bananas 3. Wholesale prices of yellow EU- bananas in the EU 3-week average in MEMBER STATES 1.20 1.10 1.00 0.90 2013 0.80 2014 2015 2016 0.70 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 Week Source: Member States communications 17
4) Surveillance of import of bananas from some origins Surveillance: Summary table. Updated according to database Surveill. on: 12/09/2016 Country of Origin Trigger volume for 2016 (tonnes) 80% of trigger volume Import volumes (TAXUD surveil. ) Quantities available before trigger vol. Ratio import/ trigger vol. Comments 1 2 3 = 2 x 80% 4 5 = 2-4 6 = 4/2 7 PERU 90 000 72 000 78 899 11 101 88% Colombia 1 755 000 1 404 000 826 725 928 275 47% Guatemala 65 000 52 000 64 410 590 99% Central America[1] 1 965 600 1 572 480 1 000 647 964 953 51% Trigger vol. possibly to be reached in Autumn 2016. Trigger vol. should not be reached in 2016 Trigger vol. quite likely to be reached by end Sept. 2016. Total import of Central America largely under trigger vol. All origins 3 810 600 3 048 480 1 908 999 1 901 601 50% Total trigger vol. should not be reached in 2016. [1] Central America Agreement includes: Costa Rica, Panama, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador. Source: Taxud surveillance database 12/09/2016 18
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