Global MRO Dynamics & Increasing Interest in Data Analytics 2016 Aerospace & Defense Practice Frost & Sullivan
Global MRO demand forecast A 10 year market sizing which is important to decide investment horizon shows that Asia Pacific region is ripe for investment and amounts to $US 167.2 Billion over next 10 years Asia Pacific market size is marginally less than WE and NA but growth rate is far better as suggested by 6.40% CAGR. In subsequent 10 years 2025-2034 it will surpass NA and WE MRO Market Size in $US Billion 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Global MRO Forecast by regions (2015-2024) Africa $26.81 B North America $209.92 B Eastern Europe $41.6 B Source : Frost & Sullivan analysis Western Europe $191.63 B Middle East $77.97B Asia Pacific $167.2 B China $78.9 B Latin America $51.9 B India $17.07 B 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% ~ 10 year market forecast Region * Market Size CAGR North America $ 209.9B 1.03% Western Europe Asia Pacific China Middle East Latin America Eastern Europe Africa India $ 191.6B $ 167.2B $ 78.9B $ 77.9B $ 51.9B $ 41.6B $ 26.8B $ 17.0B 4.02% 6.40% 9.00% 7.71% 5.82% 3.75% 1.45% 13.51% * 10 year consolidated market size 2
Global MRO Outsourcing Pattern 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% Global Airframe MRO Outsourcing Pattern, 2015 68% 83% 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% Global Engine MRO Outsourcing Pattern, 2015 98% 99% 81% 85% 85% 65% 61% 40.00% 20.00% 7% 9% 10% 12% 13% 23% 30% 40.00% 20.00% 16% 31% 0.00% AP CH LA&C WE ME NA AF IN EE AP CH LA&C WE ME NA AF IN EE 0.00% NA WE AP IN CH ME AF LA&C EE NA WE AP IN CH ME AF LA&C EE MRO Opportunity Airframe MRO opportunity exist in India and Eastern Europe Engine MRO opportunity exists in Eastern Europe, LATAM, Africa, Middle East, China followed by India and APAC Component MRO opportunity exists in Eastern Europe, Middle East, India, Africa, LATAM and APAC. China has developed expertise through OEM collaboration. 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% Global Component MRO Outsourcing Pattern, 2015 18% 30% 30% 79% 81% 83% 85% 85% 99% WE NA CH AP LA&C AF IN ME EE WE NA CH AP LA&C AF IN ME EE 3
Global Component MRO Outsourcing Trends Component maintenance is increasingly witnessing dominance of OEMs and greater outsourcing by airline towards total component support packages from large one-stop MRO shops No investment by airline in self rotables inventory Flat-rated component maintenance costs. Availability of aircraft parts Low investment cost Pooling Contracts Dominance of OEM One Stop Component MRO Shops Decrease in airline inhouse component maintenance Parts have become more expensive & reliable Inspection & repair requires intellectual property More sophisticated equipment is required for testing & repair Expensive to set up own Part- 145 organization with all the actual requirements and procedures, tools, GSEs High cost of OEM licensing Lack of scale 4
How are MRO s adapting to new business models? With OEMs taking a larger share of aftermarket gradually, the only way for MROs to respond has been to quickly adopt emerging business models in collaboration with OEMs License Services Share/co-develop intellectual property Joint venture Acquire OEMs Acquired by OEMs Other business models 5
How airlines are tapping into the Internet of Things (Aircraft IOT) For the airline sector, IoT offers multiple opportunities to improve operational efficiency and offer increased personalisation to passengers. It may even have the potential to change business models. Who has already leading the IOT game? Supporting the airline industry requirements Rolls Royce singed a deal with Singapore Airlines which aims at decreasing fuel consumption across 137 aircrafts.. Bombardier has teamed up with Pratt & Whitney to develop and implement a data management service for the CSeries GE's Flight Efficiency Services has been working with AirAsia since 2012 to utilise IoT Supporting the passengers experience Delta Air Lines has enabled its customers to keep a virtual eye on their luggage throughout the journey via its mobile apps since 2011 EasyJet in partnership with London Gatwick airport combines live data from the airport's systems to provide personalized instructions and updates for passengers Emirates Group's IT Innovation Lab has trialled embedding beacon technology into bag tags to improve both the operational and customer service aspects of baggage handling 2015 Airline IT Trends Survey produced by SITA in association with Airline Business says that and 86% say IoT will generate benefits over the next three years. Today, 37% of airlines have already allocated a budget for IoT implementation, according to the study; however, over the next three years 58% are planning to invest resources into IoT, with the emphasis on pilot projects, although 16% are preparing for major programmes. two-thirds of them believe IoT offers clear benefits for their airline right now 86% say IoT will generate benefits over the next three years 37% of airlines have already allocated a budget for IoT implementation over the next three years 58% are planning to invest resources into IoT, with the emphasis on pilot projects 16% are preparing for major programmes 6
Aircraft Data Analytics Value Chain Multiple aerospace OEMs have their own offerings for health monitoring and increasingly they are integrating it with airframes to provide a complete suite of product and comprehensive coverage of services that are better inter-linked Airline Operator has flight analytics requirements across various components Avionics OEM Components OEM Airframer Engine OEM IFEC Avionics APU AHMS Engine Panasonic also provides four-dimensional weather forecasting to commercial airliners through connectivity as well as an aircraft tracking service Rockwell Collins ARINC MultiLink flight tracking service gathers data previously unavailable for flight tracking into one streaming data feed for airlines Honeywell Aerospace is also connected in a big way, gathering, sending and analyzing data on engines, Auxiliary Power Units (APUs), brakes and avionics Bombardier s Smart Link service, provides performance and operations monitoring as well as reporting service through AHMS while on the other hand Airbus is installing around 6,000 sensors on the wings of the A350 which can transmit data via satellite in real time Pratt & Whitney uses IOT to optimize engine performance by identifying trends to reduce unplanned engine removals and improving visibility into the overall health of the fleet 7
Industry stakeholders to be involved to understand market gap in data analytics Potential synergies are yet to be realised which can propel growth of aircraft data analytics offerings and software vendors are unable to leverage technology due to lack of scale of airline customers and right pricing strategies Independent software vendors working with airlines Airlines Forming industry partnerships in sharing data between OEMs and airlines to develop better aircraft data analytics Software Vendors Primes / OEMs Independent software vendors working with OEMs to refine their data analytics offerings 8
How are MRO s adapting to new generation technology? MROs, OEMs and airlines are placing increasing importance on new generation technologies to reduce cost and TAT at the same time increase operational efficiency Aircraft Health Monitoring Systems Wearable and mobile technology Additive manufacturing Predictive Maintenance Composite repair technologies New repair technology Artificial intelligence Dronesupported maintenance High Priority Bucket Medium Priority Bucket In nascent stages 9