SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS Group Vice President, Ship Power 1 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Shipping has a future 90% of world trade is still done by sea NO SUPRISE it doesn t cost a thing LESS THAN 1.0% of the price of coffee comes from the cost of sea transportation Sea transports are still the MOST SUSTAINABLE means of transporting goods 2 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Shipbuilding activity development 2011: a significant shift in contracting activity Mix of vessels contracted favoured specialised tonnage Shipyard order books continue to decline Order books continue to be high compared to historical levels, highlighting overcapacity in certain segments Deliveries peaked in 2010, after a massive expansion in capacity during 2004-2010 Shipyards will face tough competition to secure new orders and fill capacities CGT Millions 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 - CGT Millions 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 250 200 150 100 Orderbook (right side axis) Contracting Deliveries 50 - Source: Clarkson Research Services 3 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Merchant: slow down and differentiation Merchant contracting activity, historical and 2012 forecast Contracting by vessel category Number of vessels / Units 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 Strong niches and slow recovery Instability in Middle East drives up oil prices LNG demand boosted by oil supply uncertainty and increased anti-nuclear power sentiment Shale gas projects in US are flooding the market with cheap gas, leading to increased export potential 1,000 Forecast 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Crude & Products Tankers Chemical Tankers Misc Tankers Bulk Carrier Combined carriers Gas Carriers Containerships MPP Reefer Ro Ro Vehicle Carriers General Cargo Source: Clarkson Research Services 4 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Offshore: good fundamentals Offshore contracting activity Contracting by vessel category Number of vessels / Units 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Drilling Production Support Fundamentals are good High global demand for oil and gas Increased concerns over tight supply/demand balances drive further offshore exploration and production Current oil prices support investments No over ordering (during boom years) for exploration and production vessels Good and vast list of projects (requiring newbuildings or conversions) in the pipeline Source: Clarkson Research Services 5 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Specials: market stabilising Specials 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Contracting years Special vessels market demand responding to global financial crisis Significant increase in fishing vessel contracting during Q1/2012 Strong list of newbuilding projects in the pipeline, especially for dredgers, heavy-lift vessels, wind farm installation/support vessels, and inland waterways. Cruise & Ferry fundamentals are good Stable demand for ferries and ROPAX vessels. Renewals of older tonnage is driving current investments. Some excessive ordering (during boom years) for certain vessel types, contracting levels are normalising Increasing number of Asian C&F projects in the newbuild pipeline Source: Marine Market Database Vessels included: Cruisers, ferries, passenger vessels, passenger & cargo vessels/ropax Source: Marine Market Database Vessels included: Inland vessels and service vessels (fishing vessels excluded) 6 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Shipbuilding has moved to Asia Contracting volumes (DWT): share by region 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 China Japan South Korea Other Asia Europe Rest of world Source: Wärtsilä s Marine Market Database 7 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Future challenges and opportunities The fundamentals show risks and opportunities Risks of downturn in global economy are tangible High oil prices represent a risk towards global economic growth, however they also stimulate investments in exploration and production for oil and gas Expansion of emerging economies continues to support growth of demand for transportation of raw materials and energy Highlights about the present Earnings levels are comparable to all time low Overcapacity continues to cast shadows in the main merchant segments The future brings interesting challenges! Ship owner base is shifting and increasingly Chinese Increasing interest in the market for gas applications Increasing focus on energy efficiency and environmental performance Increasing competition from Asia 8 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Ship Power s focus on growth FOCUS ON GROWTH: Gas fuelled vessels Environmental compliance / efficiency optimised vessels Marine Lifecycle Solution System Integration Product Sales FOCUS ON EXCELLENCE: Operational Excellence and Flexibility People & Culture China Brazil South Korea Russia India 9 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Emission controlled areas will increase Established Emission Controlled Areas Emission Controlled Areas under consideration Shipping critical points 10 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Alternatives for decreasing emissions LNG Simultaneous reduction of GHG / SO x / NO x / PM Market: mainly ships with regular routes and limited autonomy requirements operating in ECAs Infrastructure development is needed for larger uptake Conversion solution available HFO NO x : SCR or wet methods SO x : scrubbers Market: mostly merchant ships operating a significant time in ECAs MGO NO x : SCR or primary methods Market: ships operating a limited time in ECAs, small ships Wärtsilä is developing a multi-solution approach to meet requirements for different ship types and operational profiles 11 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Natural gas reduces emissions -20% Emission values [%] 100 90 80-85% 70 60 50 GHG NO x -99% -99% 40 30 20 SO x 10 Particulates Dual-fuel engine in gas mode Diesel engine 0 12 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Gas fuelled vessels - market development & drivers Estimated new building market (contracting) Total newbuilding market forecasts-ihs Fairplay March 2012 Political & regulations Environmental legislation Gas handling regulations Predictability of energy policies 3,000 # of vessels Gas fuelled vessels market - LNG price<hfo price Gas fuelled vessels market-lng in current price level Cost of gas vs. abatement technology 2,500 Economical Gas price vs. alternative fuels (HFO) Gas availability & bunkering infrastructure 2,000 Engine technology exists 1,500 Technological Onboard gas storage technology is improving, but feasible already today 1,000 Further application engineering needed 500 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Main drivers for the market are environmental legislation, fuel price and gas availability *IHS Fairplay/Lloyds Fairplay = SAI (Institute of Shipping Analysis) 13 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Clear leadership in dual-fuel applications Power Plants Merchant Offshore Cruise & Ferry DF power plants 51 installations 186 engines Online from 1997 LNG carriers 108 vessels 429 engines Conversion 1 Chem. tanker 2 engines conv. Complete gas train Complete design PSVs/FPSOs 20 vessels 96 engines Online from 1994 New orders: Harvey Gulf; the first 4 LNG-PSVs to be operated in the Gulf of Mexico LNG ferries 1+1 vessels 4 engines per vessel Complete gas train 2,800 passengers In service in 2013 ~180 installations à >5,000,000 running hours 14 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Solutions for LNG powered vessels F LNGPac: a complete and modularised solution for LNG fuelled ships E A. Storage tanks D A B. Evaporators C. Dual-fuel main engine D. Dual-fuel aux engines E. Bunkering station(s) F. Integrated control system C B 15 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Our low speed dual-fuel engines will comply with IMO regulations Program announced in February 2011 Successful test announced in September 2011 Dual-fuel capability Fuel flexibility enables low emissions and the lowest operating costs LNG MDO HFO Low gas feed pressure Safety: no high pressure piping Simple system: low installation and operating costs No secondary equipment needed to meet IMO Tier III or 0.1% sulphur limits 16 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Hamworthy in a nutshell Specialist provider of fluid handling equipment and services for marine and offshore Leading position in key sectors Significant long-term growth opportunities driven by environmental legislation and energy demand Strong technology platform and R&D FY 2010 revenue by sector Marine LNG & LPG carriers Oil and product tankers Cruise ships Dry merchant marine Naval Industrial Oil & Gas FPSOs Drilling rigs FLNG Onshore LNG Regasification CNG Services Power generation Marine Offshore 17 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Products, solutions and services Flow solutions Oil & Gas systems Water systems Inert gas systems Deepwell cargo pump systems LNG/LPG/Ethylene reliquefaction Grey & black water treatment Exhaust gas cleaning Pump room systems LNG regasification Vacuum toilet systems Inert gas systems Fire fighting systems Small scale LNG plant Fresh water generators Nitrogen generators Seawater lift pumps LNG fuel systems Air and water cooled condensers Engine room pumps Oil/water separation High pressure compressors Ballast pumps Hydrocarbon blanketing Ballast water treatment Seawater valves Flare gas recovery Services Service Replacement Upgrades Spares Training Retrofit 18 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Hamworthy will benefit from Wärtsilä footprint Wärtsilä sales & services Wärtsilä production (incl. JVs) Hamworthy sales & services Hamworthy production
Wärtsilä and Hamworthy: total offering Automation Power drives Power distribution Communication and control Engines Flow & Gas Solutions Seals & bearings Environmental Solutions Service agreements Ship Design Propulsion 20 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
Supporting our customers in environmental compliance Legislation à compliance with all requirements Wärtsilä s solutions to receive early approval from all relevant authorities Functionality à technical risks to be minimised R&D competences and capacity Testing and validation on land and onboard, partnership with customers Design/engineering support: ship design and system integration 24/7 support to customers Costs à focus on minimal total costs TCO optimisation (capex, installation, operation and maintenance) Delivery capacity Industrialisation ramp-up plans to manage rapid demand increases 21 Wärtsilä 29 March 2012
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