Scottish Parliament Elections: 2011

Transcription

1 Scottish Parliament Elections: 2011 RESEARCH PAPER 11/41 24 May 2011 The SNP gained an overall majority in the Scottish Parliament in the elections on 5 May The paper provides data on voting trends and electoral turnout for constituencies, electoral regions, and for Scotland as a whole. This paper is a companion volume to Library Research Papers 11/40 National Assembly for Wales Elections: 5 May 2011; 11/42, Northern Ireland Assembly Elections: 5 May 2011; 11/43, Local Elections 2011; and 11/44, Alternative Vote referendum 5 May Mark Sandford

2 Recent Research Papers 11/28 Police Reform and Social Responsibility Bill: Committee Stage Report 11/29 Economic Indicators, April /30 Direct taxes: rates and allowances 2011/ /31 Health and Social Care Bill: Committee Stage Report /32 Localism Bill: Committee Stage Report /33 Unemployment by Constituency, April /34 London Olympic Games and Paralympic Games (Amendment) Bill [Bill 165 of ] 11/35 Economic Indicators, May /36 Energy Bill [HL] [Bill 167 of ] /37 Education Bill: Committee Stage Report /38 Social Indicators /39 Legislation (Territorial Extent) Bill: Committee Stage Report Research Paper 11/41 Contributing Authors: Mark Sandford Jeremy Hardacre This information is provided to Members of Parliament in support of their parliamentary duties and is not intended to address the specific circumstances of any particular individual. It should not be relied upon as being up to date; the law or policies may have changed since it was last updated; and it should not be relied upon as legal or professional advice or as a substitute for it. A suitably qualified professional should be consulted if specific advice or information is required. This information is provided subject to our general terms and conditions which are available online or may be provided on request in hard copy. Authors are available to discuss the content of this briefing with Members and their staff, but not with the general public. We welcome comments on our papers; these should be ed to papers@parliament.uk. ISSN

3 RESEARCH PAPER 11/41 Contents Summary 3 1 Introduction The electoral system The boundary review Other elections Candidates 5 2 The results SNP Labour Conservative Liberal Democrat Others and independents MSPs women and minority ethnic Turnout and spoilt ballots Data sources Map: Seat winners Map: Turnout 9 3 Summary Results Table 1: Scottish Parliament elections: 5 May Table 2: Previous Scottish Parliament elections Map: Share of vote Conservative Map: Share of vote Labour Map: Share of vote Lib Democrat Map: Share of vote SNP 13 4 Constituency results Table 3: Constituency results votes and turnout by constituency Table 4: Constituency results seats by majority (from highest to lowest percentage point majority) Table 5: Constituency results party share of vote by constituency, and majority Table 6: Constituency results notional change in party share of vote by constituency Table 7: Constituency results votes and shares by region and party 21 1

4 RESEARCH PAPER 11/41 5 Regional Results 5.1 Table 8: Regional ballot results votes and turnout by region Table 9: Regional ballot results party share of vote by region Table 10: Turnout and party share of vote in regional ballot, compared to constituency ballot, by region (% point difference) Table 11: Seats won by seat type, party and region 22 6 Other figures 6.1 Table 12: Spoilt ballot papers by constituency Table A1: Constituencies with highest and lowest turnout in each region Table A2: Largest and smallest majorities by party Table A3: Highest and lowest shares of the constituency vote by major party Table A4: Scottish Parliament members elected, May

5 RESEARCH PAPER 11/41 Summary The SNP won an overall majority of seats (69 of 129) with 44.7% of the vote. Labour polled 29.0%, the Conservatives 13.1% and the Liberal Democrats 6.6%. 30 new SNP members were elected. Labour has 37 MSPs, nine fewer than after the 2007 election; and seven fewer than if the 2007 election had been fought (notionally) on the 2011 boundaries. The Liberal Democrats saw a reduction in their vote share from 13.7% to 6.6%, and a reduction in their number of seats from 16 to 5. They held on to two constituency seats, in Orkney and Shetland. The Conservatives lost two seats compared to their actual 2007 performance, and were down by five seats compared to notional 2007 results. As in 2007, three MSPs outside the four main parties were elected two for the Green Party, and the independent MSP Margo MacDonald. Turnout was down on 2007, falling from 51.7% to 50.3% in the constituency ballot and 52.4% to 50.4% in the regional ballot. The number of women elected as MSPs rose, from 43 to 45. Two minority ethnic MSPs were elected (Humza Yousaf and Hanzala Malik in Glasgow), as was one visually impaired MSP (Dennis Robertson in Aberdeenshire West). Summary results Votes (Constituency + Regional) Conservative 618, % 522, % Labour 1,243, % 1,153, % Liberal Democrat 556, % 261, % Scottish National Party 1,297, % 1,779, % Green 85, % 86, % Others 104, % 176, % Actual Notional Difference from Actual Notional Seats Labour Conservative Liberal Democrat SNP Green Other Turnout - constituency vote 51.7% 50.3% Turnout - regional vote 52.4% 50.4% MSPs Women 43 33% 45 35% Men 86 67% 84 65% 3

6 RESEARCH PAPER 11/41 1 Introduction Elections to the Scottish Parliament were held on 5 May A UK-wide referendum on the use of the Alternative Vote (AV) for elections to the House of Commons was held on the same day. 1 Counting of the Scottish Parliament votes began immediately after close of poll in all electoral regions. Returning officers had to begin counting the ballots for the AV referendum by 4pm on Friday 6 May, but, if counting of the Parliamentary elections was not complete, they could run the two counts alongside one another. Results became available during Friday 6 May. Several changes recommended by the Gould report, on the administration of the 2007 Scottish elections, had been put into place by the Scottish Parliament (Elections etc.) Order There were two ballot papers, one for the constituency vote, and one for the regional vote. This had been done in 1999 and 2003, but the two ballot papers had been combined in Electronic counting machines were not used in 2011, following technical problems with them in The electoral system Scottish Parliament elections are conducted under the Additional Member System (AMS). Voters are given two ballots. One to elect 73 constituency Members of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs) under the first-past-the-post system. The second is used to elect 56 additional MSPs, seven for each of eight regions. These members are elected so that the total representation from each electoral region, including those Members elected under firstpast-the-post, corresponds more closely with the share of votes cast for each party in the electoral region. Candidates may stand in both the constituency and regional ballot: 171 individuals did so in If a candidate wins a constituency seat and a regional seat, they take the constituency seat and the regional seat is awarded to the next candidate in the regional list. In 2011, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and SNP placed most of their constituency candidates additionally on regional lists, but the Labour Party did this less. 1 House of Commons Library Research Paper 11/ SI 2010/2999 4

7 RESEARCH PAPER 11/ The boundary review For the 2011 elections all but four of the constituency boundaries changed (three of these are the island constituencies, and the fourth is Cumbernauld and Kilsyth) following the first periodic review of Scottish Parliament boundaries. The regional constituency boundaries all changed, some minimally. The number of constituency seats within some of the regions also changed: Central Scotland and Glasgow each lost a constituency seat, whilst North-East Scotland and West Scotland gained one. In an analysis of this boundary review, Professor David Denver of the University of Lancaster, presents notional results for the new constituencies based on the actual results of the 2007 election. 3 These enable results for individual constituencies in 2011 to be compared with the previous election. But the notional results for 2007 also suggest the overall party composition of the 2007 Scottish Parliament would have been slightly different had it been fought under the new areas. This research paper uses these notional results to compare the 2011 results with the 2007 results. 1.3 Other elections In 2007, elections to Scottish local authorities were held on the same day as the Scottish Parliamentary elections. This decision was criticised in the Gould report into the administration of the 2007 Scottish elections (though the report did not believe that holding the two elections on the same day contributed significantly to the high numbers of spoilt ballot papers). The Scottish Government passed a measure to delay the next local government elections to 2012, and they will be held on a five-yearly basis in the future. There have been amendments to the Fixed Term Parliaments Bill to prevent the 2015 elections for the Scottish Parliament from clashing with the next General Election, by delaying the next Scottish Parliament (and National Assembly for Wales and Northern Ireland Assembly) elections to Candidates The total number of candidate names in the constituencies and regional lists for the 2011 Scottish Parliament election was 934: 321 in the constituency ballot, and 613 on regional lists. The 934 total includes 171 who stood in both constituency and regional ballots, so the number of individuals standing was 763. Labour is less likely than the other main parties to have candidates standing both for constituencies and on regional lists. The four major parties had candidates in every constituency, except for the Liberal Democrats in Clydesdale. 23 political parties fielded candidates, alongside 25 independents. 3 David Denver,The New Scottish Parliament Constituencies Not yet enacted. 5

8 RESEARCH PAPER 11/41 Table A: Number of candidates Party Constituency Region Total Of which: both region and constituency Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat SNP Green All Scotland Pensioners' BNP Christian People's Scottish Socialist Socialist Labour Solidarity - Scotland's Socialist UKIP Others Total The results 2.1 SNP The SNP won 69 seats, gaining 22 more MSPs than in 2007 (+20 compared to the 2007 notional results) This gives the SNP the first overall majority (of 9) in the Scottish Parliament s history. The SNP received 45% of the constituency vote, winning 53 of the 73 constituency seats, including seats in Labour s traditional heartlands of Glasgow and the West of Scotland, and in the Liberal Democrat strongholds in the Highlands, Fife, and Edinburgh. They won 30% or more of the vote in all but six constituencies. The SNP received 44% of the regional list vote, and was thus able to win 16 regional list seats, despite their allocation taking constituency wins into account. 6

9 RESEARCH PAPER 11/ Labour Labour lost nine seats (or seven compared to the notional 2007 base) to finish with 37 seats overall. This loss comprised 22 fewer constituency seats (20 fewer than the 2007 notional results), to give Labour 15 constituency MSPs. Their overall constituency vote fell from 32.1% to 31.7%. Some of the constituencies lost by Labour were in their traditional heartlands, in Glasgow, the West of Scotland, and the central belt. Party leader Iain Gray held on to his seat in East Lothian by 151 votes over the SNP: it is now Labour s most marginal seat. Labour did, however, win Dumfriesshire (notionally Conservative following boundary changes); the seat is now their largest absolute majority, of 3,156 votes. They also held-off the Conservative challenge in Eastwood. Some of Labour s loss of constituency seats was made up for by their regional list representation going up from 9 to 22, on a vote of 26.3% (down from 29.2% in 2007). 2.3 Conservative The Conservatives won three constituencies: Ayr, Galloway & West Dumfries, and Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire. The latter provided their highest majority, of 5,334, but the majority in Galloway & West Dumfries was only 862. They gained twelve further regional list seats to reach a total of 15, two down from 2007 (or one down on the notional 2007 results). Former leader David McLetchie lost Edinburgh Pentlands to the SNP, but he retained his place in the Parliament as a regional list MSP. The party s constituency vote went down from 16.6% in 2007 to 13.9% and from 13.9% to 12.4% in the regional list vote. 2.4 Liberal Democrat The Liberal Democrats have five MSPs in 2011, down from 16 in the previous Parliament (and down from 17 on the notional 2007 results). They lost nine constituency seats, and now hold only the two island constituencies of Orkney and Shetland. They gained regional list seats in North-East Scotland, Mid-Scotland and Fife, and South of Scotland. Their vote share fell from 16.2% to 7.9% in the constituency seats, and from 11.3% to 5.2% in the regional lists. The party lost a total of 45 deposits 5, and additionally did not contest Clydesdale. The largest falls in their support were in areas thought of as their heartlands : Highland constituencies Argyll & Bute (-19.5%), Caithness, Sutherland and Ross (-18.1%), and Shetland (-19.2%); and in the north-east, Aberdeen Central (-17.7%), Aberdeen South and North Kincardine (-18.4%), and Aberdeenshire East (-17.8%). The party s vote share on the regional lists was lower than in the constituencies, with 1.4% in Central Scotland and 2.5% in Glasgow, rising to 12.1% in the Highlands & Islands. 2.5 Others and independents The Green Party did not win the additional seats which some opinion polls had predicted, returning one MSP in Glasgow and one in the Lothian regional lists. They came close to winning a seat in the Highlands and Islands region, but did not threaten to win any others. On the Lothian list, the independent Margo MacDonald retained her seat. In Orkney and Shetland, local independent candidates finished second to the Liberal Democrats. The Liberal Democrats finished fifth behind the All-Scotland Pensioners Party in Mid-Fife & Glenrothes, the Angus Independents in Angus South, and sixth behind the Pensioners Party and the Christian Party in Motherwell & Wishaw. The other parties standing in regional lists made little impact. UKIP, the BNP, the Socialist Labour Party, Solidarity, and Scottish Socialist Party, and the Christian Party all gained less than 1% of the vote nationally. 5 Deposits are lost if a candidate gets less than 5.0% of the votes 7

10 RESEARCH PAPER 11/ MSPs women and minority ethnic The number of women elected as MSPs rose by two, from 43 to 45. Two ethnic minority MSPs were elected (Humza Yousaf and Hanzala Malik in Glasgow), as was one visually impaired MSP (Dennis Robertson in Aberdeenshire West). 37 MSPs have served continuously since the establishment of the Parliament in Turnout and spoilt ballots Turnout in the constituency vote was 50.3%, lower than the 51.7% in the 2007 elections. It was 50.4% in the regional vote, down from 52.4%. The number of spoilt ballot papers at the 2007 elections was a major issue and led to several changes in practice in The number in 2011 was greatly reduced, from 85,643 to 8,392 in the constituency ballot (4.2% to 0.4%), and from 60,454 to 6,729 (2.9% to 0.3%) in the regional ballot. The number of spoilt ballots exceeded the majority of the winner only in Glasgow Anniesland, where the SNP won by 7 votes. This compares to 13 constituencies where this happened in Data sources Voting figures and electorates were provided by the returning officers for individual constituencies. We acknowledge the help of Shona Skakle of the Scottish Parliament Information Centre (SPICe) in obtaining this data. Notional results for the 2007 election, based on the new constituency boundaries, are taken from David Denver s paper The New Scottish Parliament Constituencies 2011, available at Some officially published figures for regional electorates differ slightly from the sum of the constituency electorates in the relevant region. This is due to figures being drawn from electoral registers on different days. 8

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12 RESEARCH PAPER 11/41 3 Summary Results 3.1 Table 1: Scottish Parliament elections: 5 May 2011 Party Constituency ballot Change Candidates Votes % of total Seats won Actual Notional Conservative , % Labour , % Liberal Democrat , % Scottish National Party , % Others 30 21, % Total 321 1,989, % 73 Regional ballot Candidates Votes % of total Seats won Conservative , % Labour , % Liberal Democrat , % Scottish National Party , % Green 45 86, % Others , % Total 643 1,990, % 56 Total Candidates Votes % of total Seats won Conservative , % Labour 129 1,153, % Liberal Democrat , % Scottish National Party 152 1,779, % Green 45 86, % Others , % Total 964 3,980, % 129 Party shares of vote Others, 4.4% Green, 2.2% Conservative, 13.1% Scottish National Party, 44.7% Labour, 29.0% Liberal Democrat, 6.6% 10

13 RESEARCH PAPER 11/ Table 2: Previous Scottish Parliament elections 2007 election Constituency Region Total vote Conservative 16.6% 13.9% 15.2% Labour 32.1% 29.2% 30.6% Liberal Democrat 16.2% 11.3% 13.7% Scottish National Party 32.9% 31.0% 32.0% Others 2.2% 14.6% 8.4% Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2003 election Constituency Region Total vote Conservative 16.6% 15.5% 16.1% Labour 34.6% 29.3% 32.0% Liberal Democrat 15.4% 11.8% 13.6% Scottish National Party 23.8% 20.9% 22.3% Others 9.6% 22.6% 16.1% Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1999 election Constituency Region Total vote Conservative 15.6% 15.4% 15.5% Labour 38.8% 33.6% 36.2% Liberal Democrat 14.2% 12.4% 13.3% Scottish National Party 28.7% 27.3% 28.0% Others 2.7% 11.3% 7.0% Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Figure 1: Percentage share of the vote by party 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% SNP Lab Con Lib Dem 11

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16 4 Constituency results Table 3: Constituency results - votes and turnout by constituency CON LAB LD SNP Others Total Electorate Turnout Majority Central Scotland Airdrie and Shotts 1,396 9, , ,894 51, % 2,001 Coatbridge and Chryston 1,317 12, , ,279 51, % 2,741 Cumbernauld and Kilsyth 1,156 10, , ,254 48, % 3,459 East Kilbride 2,260 12, , ,911 58, % 1,949 Falkirk East 2,372 10, , ,168 56, % 3,535 Falkirk West 2,086 9, , ,199 55, % 5,745 Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse 2,547 9, , ,354 56, % 2,213 Motherwell and Wishaw 1,753 10, ,126 1,492 24,451 53, % 587 Uddingston and Bellshill 2,117 11, , ,995 55, % 714 Glasgow Glasgow Anniesland 2,011 10,322 1,000 10, ,918 55, % 7 Glasgow Cathcart 2,410 10,326 1,118 11, ,222 58, % 1,592 Glasgow Kelvin 1,845 9,758 1,900 10, ,548 61, % 882 Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn 1,222 9, , ,531 56, % 1,292 Glasgow Pollok 1,298 10, , ,915 58, % 623 Glasgow Provan , , ,185 55, % 2,079 Glasgow Shettleston 1,163 9, , ,204 55, % 586 Glasgow Southside 1,733 7, , ,608 52, % 4,349 Rutherglen 2,096 12,489 1,174 10, ,102 57, % 1,779 Highlands and Islands Argyll and Bute 4,847 4,041 3,220 13, ,476 48, % 8,543 Caithness, Sutherland and Ross 2,934 5,438 6,385 13, ,600 55, % 7,458 Inverness and Nairn 3,797 7,125 3,763 16,870 1,176 32,731 62, % 9,745 Moray 5,873 3,580 1,327 16, ,596 56, % 10,944 Na h-eileanan an Iar 563 3, , ,011 21, % 4,772 Orkney Islands ,912 2,044 2,052 8,152 16, % 860 Shetland Islands ,462 1,134 2,845 9,391 17, % 1,617 Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch 2,834 4,112 9,742 14, ,915 57, % 4,995 Lothian Almond Valley 1,886 11, , ,737 59, % 5,542 Edinburgh Central 4,354 9,243 5,937 9, ,014 53, % 237 Edinburgh Eastern 2,630 12,319 1,227 14, ,728 55, % 2,233 Edinburgh Northern and Leith 2,928 12,858 2,836 12, ,885 59, % 595 Edinburgh Pentlands 9,439 7,993 1,420 11, ,049 52, % 1,758 Edinburgh Southern 6,298 9,254 8,297 9, ,796 54, % 693 Edinburgh Western 5,047 7,164 9,276 11, ,452 56, % 2,689 Linlithgow 2,646 12,936 1,015 17, ,182 65, % 4,091 Midlothian North and Musselburgh 2,541 11,083 1,254 14, ,818 58, % 2,996 Mid Scotland and Fife Clackmannanshire and Dunblane 3,501 9,644 1,018 13, ,416 49, % 3,609 Cowdenbeath 1,792 11, , ,670 54, % 1,247 Dunfermline 2,093 10,420 5,776 11, ,299 55, % 590 Kirkcaldy 2,007 12, , ,803 60, % 182 Mid Fife and Glenrothes 1,676 9, , ,313 53, % 4,188 North East Fife 5,618 3,613 8,437 11, ,676 58, % 2,592 Perthshire North 7,866 2,672 1,196 18, ,953 53, % 10,353 Perthshire South and Kinrossshire 8,907 3,980 2,256 16, ,216 58, % 7,166 Stirling 4,610 9,188 1,296 14, ,406 52, % 5,670 North East Scotland Aberdeen Central 3,100 9,441 2,349 10, ,149 57, % 617 Aberdeen Donside 2,166 7,615 1,606 14, ,761 56, % 7,175 Aberdeen South and North Kincardine 4,058 5,624 4,994 11,947 2,030 28,653 54, % 6,323 Aberdeenshire East 4,211 2,304 4,238 19, ,286 57, % 15,295 Aberdeenshire West 6,027 2,349 8,074 12, ,636 53, % 4,112 Angus North and Mearns 6,374 3,160 1,726 13, ,920 52, % 7,286 Angus South 5,581 3, ,164 1,321 27,643 54, % 10,583 Banffshire and Buchan Coast 4,592 2, , ,004 53, % 12,220 Dundee City East 2,550 5, , ,753 54, % 10,679 Dundee City West 1,625 7,684 1,063 14, ,461 53, % 6,405

17 CON LAB LD SNP Others Total Electorate Turnout Majority South of Scotland Ayr 12,997 7, , ,373 61, % 1,113 Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley 4,160 10, , ,703 59, % 2,581 Clydesdale 4,291 10, , ,937 56, % 4,216 Dumfriesshire 9,468 12,624 1,419 8, ,895 59, % 3,156 East Lothian 5,344 12,536 1,912 12, ,177 56, % 151 Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire 12,933 2,986 4,990 7, ,816 54, % 5,334 Galloway and West Dumfries 11,071 7, , ,997 56, % 862 Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley 3,309 10, , ,858 63, % 5,993 Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale 3,743 5,312 8,931 13, ,841 57, % 4,924 West of Scotland Clydebank and Milngavie 2,758 11,564 1,769 12, ,369 53, % 714 Cunninghame North 4,032 9, , ,536 56, % 6,117 Cunninghame South 1,871 8, , ,056 50, % 2,348 Dumbarton 3,395 12, , ,508 53, % 1,639 Eastwood 10,650 12, , ,924 50, % 2,012 Greenock and Inverclyde 2,011 12,387 1,934 11, ,208 56, % 511 Paisley 2,229 10,665 1,783 10, ,590 52, % 248 Renfrewshire North and West 5,489 9, , ,495 49, % 1,564 Renfrewshire South 2,917 12, , ,908 50, % 2,577 Strathkelvin and Bearsden ,752 59, % 1,802

18 Table 4: Constituency results - seats by majority (from highest to lowest percentage point majority) Constituency seats Member 1st 2nd Votes Majority Rank on absolute % Rank on % Aberdeenshire East Alex Salmond SNP LD 15, % 1 Banffshire and Buchan Coast Stewart Stevenson SNP CON 12, % 2 Dundee City East Shona Robison SNP LAB 10, % 3 Angus South Graeme Dey SNP CON 10, % 4 Moray Richard Lochhead SNP CON 10, % 5 Na h-eileanan an Iar Alasdair Allan SNP LAB 4, % 6 Perthshire North John Swinney SNP CON 10, % 7 Argyll and Bute Michael Russell SNP CON 8, % 8 Inverness and Nairn Fergus Ewing SNP LAB 9, % 9 Angus North and Mearns Nigel Don SNP CON 7, % 10 Aberdeen Donside Brian Adam SNP LAB 7, % 11 Dundee City West Joe Fitzpatrick SNP LAB 6, % 12 Caithness, Sutherland and Ross Rob Gibson SNP LD 7, % 13 Perthshire South and Kinrossshire Roseanna Cunningham SNP CON 7, % 14 Aberdeen South and North Kincardine Maureen Watt SNP LAB 6, % 15 Cunninghame North Kenneth Gibson SNP LAB 6, % 16 Falkirk West Michael Matheson SNP LAB 5, % 17 Glasgow Southside Nicola Sturgeon SNP LAB 4, % 18 Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley Willie Coffey SNP LAB 5, % 19 Stirling Bruce Crawford SNP LAB 5, % 20 Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire John Lamont CON SNP 5, % 21 Almond Valley Angela Constance SNP LAB 5, % 22 Shetland Islands Tavish Scott LD Others 1, % 23 Mid Fife and Glenrothes Tricia Marwick SNP LAB 4, % 24 Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch Dave Thompson SNP LD 4, % 25 Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale Christine Grahame SNP LD 4, % 26 Aberdeenshire West Dennis Robertson SNP LD 4, % 27 Clydesdale Aileen Campbell SNP LAB 4, % 28 Cumbernauld and Kilsyth Jamie Hepburn SNP LAB 3, % 29 Clackmannanshire and Dunblane Keith Brown SNP LAB 3, % 30 Falkirk East Angus MacDonald SNP LAB 3, % 31 Linlithgow Fiona Hyslop SNP LAB 4, % 32 Coatbridge and Chryston Elaine Smith LAB SNP 2, % 33 Glasgow Provan Paul Martin LAB SNP 2, % 34 Cunninghame South Margaret Burgess SNP LAB 2, % 35 Orkney Islands Liam MacArthur LD Others % 36 Midlothian North and Musselburgh Colin Beattie SNP LAB 2, % 37 Dumfriesshire Elaine Murray LAB CON 3, % 38 Renfrewshire South Hugh Henry LAB SNP 2, % 39 Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley Adam Ingram SNP LAB 2, % 40 North East Fife Roderick Campbell SNP LD 2, % 41 Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse Christina McKelvie SNP LAB 2, % 42 Airdrie and Shotts Alex Neil SNP LAB 2, % 43 Edinburgh Western Colin Keir SNP LD 2, % 44 Edinburgh Eastern Kenny MacAskill SNP LAB 2, % 45 Rutherglen James Kelly LAB SNP 1, % 46 East Kilbride Linda Fabiani SNP LAB 1, % 47 Eastwood Ken Macintosh LAB CON 2, % 48 Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn Patricia Ferguson LAB SNP 1, % 49 Glasgow Cathcart James Dornan SNP LAB 1, % 50 Edinburgh Pentlands Gordon MacDonald SNP CON 1, % 51 Dumbarton Jackie Baillie LAB SNP 1, % 52 Renfrewshire North and West Derek MacKay SNP LAB 1, % 53 Strathkelvin and Bearsden Fiona McLeod SNP LAB 1, % 54 Cowdenbeath Helen Eadie LAB SNP 1, % 55 Glasgow Kelvin Sandra White SNP LAB % 56 Ayr John Scott CON SNP 1, % 57 Galloway and West Dumfries Alex Fergusson CON SNP % 58 Uddingston and Bellshill Michael McMahon LAB SNP % 59 Glasgow Shettleston John Mason SNP LAB % 60 Glasgow Pollok Johann Lamont LAB SNP % 61 Clydebank and Milngavie Gil Paterson SNP LAB % 62 Aberdeen Central Kevin Stewart SNP LAB % 63 Motherwell and Wishaw John Pentland LAB SNP % 64 Edinburgh Southern Jim Eadie SNP LAB % 65 Dunfermline Bill Walker SNP LAB % 66 Edinburgh Northern and Leith Malcolm Chisholm LAB SNP % 67 Greenock and Inverclyde Duncan MacNeil LAB SNP % 68 Paisley George Adam SNP LAB % 69 Edinburgh Central Marco Biagi SNP LAB % 70 Kirkcaldy David Torrance SNP LAB % 71 East Lothian Iain Gray LAB SNP % 72 Glasgow Anniesland Bill Kidd SNP LAB % 73 16

19 Table 5: Constituency results - party share of vote by constituency, and majority CON LAB LD SNP Others Total Majority Central Scotland 39.6% 29.7% 19.8% 9.9% 0.9% 100.0% Airdrie and Shotts 5.8% 41.8% 2.2% 50.2% 0.0% 100.0% 8.4% Coatbridge and Chryston 5.7% 52.2% 1.6% 40.5% 0.0% 100.0% 11.8% Cumbernauld and Kilsyth 4.6% 40.1% 1.5% 53.8% 0.0% 100.0% 13.7% East Kilbride 7.6% 41.5% 1.6% 48.0% 1.4% 100.0% 6.5% Falkirk East 8.4% 38.2% 2.6% 50.8% 0.0% 100.0% 12.5% Falkirk West 7.4% 35.0% 2.3% 55.3% 0.0% 100.0% 20.4% Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse 10.0% 39.4% 2.4% 48.1% 0.0% 100.0% 8.7% Motherwell and Wishaw 7.2% 43.8% 1.5% 41.4% 6.1% 100.0% 2.4% Uddingston and Bellshill 8.5% 46.1% 2.1% 43.3% 0.0% 100.0% 2.9% Glasgow 0.0% Glasgow Anniesland 8.4% 43.2% 4.2% 43.2% 1.1% 100.0% 0.0% Glasgow Cathcart 9.2% 39.4% 4.3% 45.5% 1.7% 100.0% 6.1% Glasgow Kelvin 7.5% 39.8% 7.7% 43.3% 1.6% 100.0% 3.6% Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn 6.0% 48.1% 4.1% 41.8% 0.0% 100.0% 6.3% Glasgow Pollok 5.7% 47.5% 2.1% 44.7% 0.0% 100.0% 2.7% Glasgow Provan 4.1% 52.3% 2.2% 41.5% 0.0% 100.0% 10.8% Glasgow Shettleston 5.5% 45.0% 1.7% 47.8% 0.0% 100.0% 2.8% Glasgow Southside 7.7% 35.2% 2.7% 54.4% 0.0% 100.0% 19.2% Rutherglen 7.7% 46.1% 4.3% 39.5% 2.3% 100.0% 6.6% Highlands and Islands 0.0% Argyll and Bute 18.3% 15.3% 12.2% 50.6% 3.7% 100.0% 32.3% Caithness, Sutherland and Ross 10.3% 19.0% 22.3% 48.4% 0.0% 100.0% 26.1% Inverness and Nairn 11.6% 21.8% 11.5% 51.5% 3.6% 100.0% 29.8% Moray 20.5% 12.5% 4.6% 58.8% 3.5% 100.0% 38.3% Na h-eileanan an Iar 4.3% 28.6% 1.8% 65.3% 0.0% 100.0% 36.7% Orkney Islands 8.4% 5.6% 35.7% 25.1% 25.2% 100.0% 10.5% Shetland Islands 3.5% 6.6% 47.5% 12.1% 30.3% 100.0% 17.2% Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch 8.9% 12.9% 30.5% 46.2% 1.5% 100.0% 15.7% Lothian Almond Valley 6.1% 36.3% 2.1% 54.3% 1.1% 100.0% 18.0% Edinburgh Central 15.0% 31.9% 20.5% 32.7% 0.0% 100.0% 0.8% Edinburgh Eastern 8.6% 40.1% 4.0% 47.4% 0.0% 100.0% 7.3% Edinburgh Northern and Leith 9.5% 41.6% 9.2% 39.7% 0.0% 100.0% 1.9% Edinburgh Pentlands 31.4% 26.6% 4.7% 37.3% 0.0% 100.0% 5.9% Edinburgh Southern 18.6% 27.4% 24.6% 29.4% 0.0% 100.0% 2.1% Edinburgh Western 15.1% 21.4% 27.7% 35.8% 0.0% 100.0% 8.0% Linlithgow 7.7% 37.8% 3.0% 49.8% 1.6% 100.0% 12.0% Midlothian North and Musselburgh 8.5% 37.2% 4.2% 47.2% 2.9% 100.0% 10.0% Mid Scotland and Fife 0.0% Clackmannanshire and Dunblane 12.8% 35.2% 3.7% 48.3% 0.0% 100.0% 13.2% Cowdenbeath 7.0% 46.5% 3.9% 41.6% 1.1% 100.0% 4.9% Dunfermline 7.1% 35.6% 19.7% 37.6% 0.0% 100.0% 2.0% Kirkcaldy 7.2% 44.6% 2.9% 45.2% 0.0% 100.0% 0.7% Mid Fife and Glenrothes 6.4% 36.4% 2.4% 52.3% 2.6% 100.0% 15.9% North East Fife 18.9% 12.2% 28.4% 37.2% 3.3% 100.0% 8.7% Perthshire North 26.3% 8.9% 4.0% 60.8% 0.0% 100.0% 34.6% Perthshire South and Kinrossshire 28.5% 12.7% 7.2% 51.5% 0.0% 100.0% 23.0% Stirling 15.2% 30.2% 4.3% 48.9% 1.5% 100.0% 18.6% North East Scotland 0.0% Aberdeen Central 12.3% 37.5% 9.3% 40.0% 0.8% 100.0% 2.5% Aberdeen Donside 8.1% 28.5% 6.0% 55.3% 2.2% 100.0% 26.8% Aberdeen South and North Kincardine 14.2% 19.6% 17.4% 41.7% 7.1% 100.0% 22.1% Aberdeenshire East 13.9% 7.6% 14.0% 64.5% 0.0% 100.0% 50.5% Aberdeenshire West 21.0% 8.2% 28.2% 42.6% 0.0% 100.0% 14.4% Angus North and Mearns 25.6% 12.7% 6.9% 54.8% 0.0% 100.0% 29.2% Angus South 20.2% 13.4% 3.2% 58.5% 4.8% 100.0% 38.3% Banffshire and Buchan Coast 18.4% 10.6% 3.8% 67.2% 0.0% 100.0% 48.9% Dundee City East 9.9% 22.8% 3.1% 64.2% 0.0% 100.0% 41.5% Dundee City West 6.6% 31.4% 4.3% 57.6% 0.0% 100.0% 26.2% 17

20 Table 5: Constituency results - party share of vote by constituency, and majority CON LAB LD SNP Others Total Majority South of Scotland 0.0% Ayr 38.9% 23.3% 2.1% 35.6% 0.0% 100.0% 3.3% Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley 14.5% 37.2% 2.2% 46.2% 0.0% 100.0% 9.0% Clydesdale 14.3% 35.8% 0.0% 49.9% 0.0% 100.0% 14.1% Dumfriesshire 29.7% 39.6% 4.4% 26.3% 0.0% 100.0% 9.9% East Lothian 16.6% 39.0% 5.9% 38.5% 0.0% 100.0% 0.5% Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire 44.9% 10.4% 17.3% 26.4% 1.1% 100.0% 18.5% Galloway and West Dumfries 36.9% 26.5% 2.5% 34.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.9% Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley 10.4% 34.4% 1.9% 53.2% 0.0% 100.0% 18.8% Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale 11.8% 16.7% 28.0% 43.5% 0.0% 100.0% 15.5% West of Scotland 0.0% Clydebank and Milngavie 9.7% 40.8% 6.2% 43.3% 0.0% 100.0% 2.5% Cunninghame North 13.7% 31.9% 1.8% 52.6% 0.0% 100.0% 20.7% Cunninghame South 8.5% 39.2% 2.5% 49.8% 0.0% 100.0% 10.6% Dumbarton 11.9% 44.1% 3.0% 38.3% 2.7% 100.0% 5.7% Eastwood 33.4% 39.7% 2.6% 24.4% 0.0% 100.0% 6.3% Greenock and Inverclyde 7.1% 43.9% 6.9% 42.1% 0.0% 100.0% 1.8% Paisley 8.7% 41.7% 7.0% 42.6% 0.0% 100.0% 1.0% Renfrewshire North and West 20.0% 36.2% 2.0% 41.9% 0.0% 100.0% 5.7% Renfrewshire South 10.8% 48.1% 2.6% 38.5% 0.0% 100.0% 9.6% Strathkelvin and Bearsden 13.1% 36.9% 7.7% 42.2% 0.0% 100.0% 5.3% 18

21 Table 6: Constituency results - notional change in party share of vote by constituency (%points) CON LAB LD SNP Others Central Scotland Airdrie and Shotts -2.6% -0.9% -3.0% +10.1% -3.6% Coatbridge and Chryston -2.1% +4.5% -2.9% +11.1% -10.7% Cumbernauld and Kilsyth -0.9% -7.9% -4.8% +13.6% 0.0% East Kilbride -1.6% -3.0% -7.0% +10.2% +1.4% Falkirk East -3.8% -5.2% -4.5% +13.4% 0.0% Falkirk West -2.7% -4.3% -6.5% +13.5% 0.0% Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse -3.9% -4.3% -5.6% +17.7% -4.0% Motherwell and Wishaw -1.1% -4.6% -4.5% +15.8% -5.7% Uddingston and Bellshill -1.8% -3.5% -4.4% +14.6% -4.9% Glasgow Glasgow Anniesland -3.8% -4.8% -4.6% +15.4% -2.2% Glasgow Cathcart -1.2% +1.2% -4.7% +14.3% -9.6% Glasgow Kelvin -0.8% +6.0% -5.9% +14.0% -13.4% Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn -1.4% -1.1% -6.4% +9.7% -0.8% Glasgow Pollok -1.2% -5.1% -4.9% +11.8% -0.5% Glasgow Provan -2.3% -3.9% -4.3% +13.5% -3.0% Glasgow Shettleston -2.0% -7.8% -4.7% +17.5% -3.0% Glasgow Southside -0.0% -4.6% -6.9% +14.7% -3.2% Rutherglen -0.9% +1.5% -14.9% +16.3% -2.1% Highlands and Islands Argyll and Bute -1.0% +0.9% -19.5% +16.1% +3.7% Caithness, Sutherland and Ross -0.7% +5.8% -18.1% +16.6% -3.4% Inverness and Nairn +1.1% +0.9% -15.9% +10.5% +3.4% Moray -3.4% -1.6% -7.5% +9.0% +3.4% Na h-eileanan an Iar -1.2% -13.0% -4.4% +18.7% 0.0% Orkney Islands -10.5% -7.5% -11.8% +6.2% +23.6% Shetland Islands -6.4% -0.2% -19.2% -4.5% +30.3% Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch -2.8% -1.4% -11.3% +14.6% +0.9% Lothian Almond Valley -2.0% -3.4% -4.2% +14.6% -5.1% Edinburgh Central -3.3% +3.7% -10.3% +10.1% -0.1% Edinburgh Eastern -4.4% +3.8% -12.2% +12.9% 0.0% Edinburgh Northern and Leith -0.6% +6.4% -17.6% +11.8% 0.0% Edinburgh Pentlands -3.7% +0.1% -7.5% +11.2% 0.0% Edinburgh Southern -3.7% +3.3% -11.8% +12.2% 0.0% Edinburgh Western -5.8% +6.0% -11.9% +13.3% -1.6% Linlithgow -2.9% -2.1% -4.6% +10.8% -1.4% Midlothian North and Musselburgh -0.6% -3.3% -9.6% +11.9% +1.5% Mid Scotland and Fife Clackmannanshire and Dunblane -3.6% -0.8% -5.0% +9.6% -0.3% Cowdenbeath -7.2% +3.5% -10.3% +13.1% +1.0% Dunfermline -1.3% +2.7% -13.5% +13.5% -1.5% Kirkcaldy -1.3% -0.5% -10.1% +11.8% 0.0% Mid Fife and Glenrothes -2.5% +1.1% -8.9% +7.9% +2.5% North East Fife -7.8% +4.3% -13.9% +16.2% +1.1% Perthshire North -2.5% +0.4% -7.8% +10.4% -0.5% Perthshire South and Kinrossshire -3.9% +0.1% -9.6% +14.6% -1.4% Stirling -6.6% -3.8% -5.5% +16.1% -0.1% North East Scotland Aberdeen Central -1.5% +8.5% -17.7% +9.7% +0.8% Aberdeen Donside +0.6% -3.2% -10.0% +10.5% +2.2% Aberdeen South and North Kincardine -3.6% +1.7% -18.4% +13.2% +7.1% Aberdeenshire East -2.4% -0.1% -17.8% +21.3% -1.0% Aberdeenshire West -3.5% +2.4% -0.2% +1.7% -0.4% Angus North and Mearns +3.1% -0.6% -13.9% +11.4% 0.0% Angus South -7.3% -1.8% -7.0% +11.4% +4.8% Banffshire and Buchan Coast +0.6% -1.6% -6.3% +7.4% -0.2% Dundee City East -1.5% -9.7% -3.9% +15.2% 0.0% Dundee City West -0.6% -5.7% -5.9% +12.0% 0.0% 19

22 Table 6: Constituency results - notional change in party share of vote by constituency CON LAB LD SNP Others South of Scotland Ayr -1.1% -4.0% -3.7% +9.3% -0.6% Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley -3.8% -7.8% -1.6% +27.9% -2.4% Clydesdale -5.4% -1.6% -9.1% +16.2% 0.0% Dumfriesshire -7.3% +4.7% -4.0% +6.7% -0.2% East Lothian -2.6% +4.5% -12.7% +10.7% 0.0% Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire +5.9% +2.1% -16.5% +8.6% -0.0% Galloway and West Dumfries -2.2% +2.6% -2.3% +2.6% -0.8% Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley -1.9% -4.4% -4.3% +10.4% 0.0% Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale -4.4% -2.6% -2.2% +9.6% 0.0% West of Scotland Clydebank and Milngavie -4.7% +0.2% -7.0% +13.3% -1.9% Cunninghame North -4.4% +1.3% -4.2% +21.9% -14.6% Cunninghame South -4.6% -4.6% -5.9% +15.2% 0.0% Dumbarton -3.8% +5.5% -8.3% +4.9% +1.7% Eastwood -7.7% +9.8% -7.5% +8.7% -3.2% Greenock and Inverclyde -4.1% -0.2% -9.4% +13.6% 0.0% Paisley -0.1% -2.7% -8.9% +12.8% -1.2% Renfrewshire North and West -3.0% -4.5% -3.3% +12.3% -1.4% Renfrewshire South -1.7% -2.9% -1.7% +7.9% -1.6% Strathkelvin and Bearsden -0.6% +4.6% -4.5% +20.0% -19.6% 20

23 RESEARCH PAPER 11/ Table 7: Constituency results votes and shares by region and party CON LAB LD SNP Others Total Electorate Turnout Central Scotland 17,004 97,552 4, ,412 1, , , % Glasgow 14,555 91,190 7,911 92,833 1, , , % Highlands & Islands 21,864 29,098 32,039 87,331 8, , , % Lothian 37,769 94,012 31, ,214 1, , , % Mid Scotland & Fife 38,070 73,413 22, ,461 2, , , % North East Scotland 40,284 50,384 26, ,780 4, , , % South of Scotland 67,316 81,546 19, , , , % West of Scotland 39, ,242 12, , , , % All regions 276, , , ,915 21,534 1,989,232 3,950, % Central Scotland 7.3% 41.8% 2.0% 48.1% 0.8% 100.0% Glasgow 7.0% 43.8% 3.8% 44.6% 0.8% 100.0% Highlands & Islands 12.2% 16.3% 17.9% 48.8% 4.8% 100.0% Lothian 13.4% 33.3% 11.3% 41.5% 0.6% 100.0% Mid Scotland & Fife 14.8% 28.5% 8.7% 47.1% 0.9% 100.0% North East Scotland 15.1% 18.9% 10.0% 54.5% 1.5% 100.0% South of Scotland 24.2% 29.3% 7.2% 39.3% 0.1% 100.0% West of Scotland 14.1% 40.1% 4.3% 41.2% 0.3% 100.0% All regions 13.9% 31.7% 7.9% 45.4% 1.1% 100.0% 5 Regional Results 5.1 Table 8: Regional ballot results votes and turnout by region CON LAB LD SNP Green Others Total Electorate Turnout Central Scotland 14,870 82,459 3, ,261 5,634 19, , , % Glasgow 12,749 73,031 5,312 83,109 12,454 22, , , % Highlands & Islands 20,843 25,884 21,729 85,082 9,076 16, , , % Lothian 33,019 70,544 15, ,953 21,505 31, , , % Mid Scotland & Fife 36,458 64,623 15, ,691 10,914 14, , , % North East Scotland 37,681 43,893 18, ,749 10,407 16, , , % South of Scotland 54,352 70,595 15, ,270 8,535 16, , , % West of Scotland 35,995 92,530 9, ,306 8,414 18, , , % All regions 245, , , ,421 86, ,568 1,990,926 3,950, % 5.2 Table 9: Regional ballot results party share of vote by region CON LAB LD SNP Green Others Total Central Scotland 6.4% 35.3% 1.4% 46.4% 2.4% 8.1% 100.0% Glasgow 6.1% 35.0% 2.5% 39.8% 6.0% 10.6% 100.0% Highlands and Islands 11.6% 14.5% 12.1% 47.5% 5.1% 9.2% 100.0% Lothian 11.7% 24.9% 5.5% 39.2% 7.6% 11.2% 100.0% Mid Scotland and Fife 14.1% 25.0% 5.9% 45.2% 4.2% 5.6% 100.0% North East Scotland 14.1% 16.4% 6.8% 52.7% 3.9% 6.0% 100.0% South of Scotland 19.5% 25.3% 5.4% 41.0% 3.1% 5.7% 100.0% West of Scotland 12.7% 32.8% 3.2% 41.5% 3.0% 6.7% 100.0% All regions 12.4% 26.3% 5.2% 44.0% 4.4% 7.8% 100.0% 21

24 RESEARCH PAPER 11/ Table 10: Turnout and party share of vote in regional ballot, compared to constituency ballot, by region (% point difference) CON LAB LD SNP Others Total Central Scotland -0.9% -6.5% -0.6% -1.8% +1.6% 0.0% Glasgow -0.9% -8.8% -1.3% -4.8% +5.1% 0.1% Highlands and Islands -0.6% -1.8% -5.8% -1.3% +0.3% 0.0% Lothian -1.7% -8.4% -5.8% -2.3% +7.0% 0.1% Mid Scotland and Fife -0.6% -3.5% -2.9% -1.9% +3.3% 0.1% North East Scotland -1.0% -2.4% -3.2% -1.8% +2.3% 0.0% South of Scotland -4.7% -4.0% -1.8% +1.7% +3.0% 0.1% West of Scotland -1.3% -7.3% -1.1% +0.3% +2.7% 0.0% All regions -1.6% -5.4% -2.7% -1.4% +3.3% 0.1% 5.4 Table 11: Seats won by seat type, party and region CON LAB LD SNP Green Others Total Constituency seats Central Scotland Glasgow Highlands and Islands Lothian Mid Scotland and Fife North East Scotland South of Scotland West of Scotland All regions Regional seats Central Scotland Glasgow Highlands and Islands Lothian Mid Scotland and Fife North East Scotland South of Scotland West of Scotland All regions All seats Central Scotland Glasgow Highlands and Islands Lothian Mid Scotland and Fife North East Scotland South of Scotland West of Scotland All regions

25 Table 12: Spoilt ballot papers by constituency Constituency ballots rejected Number of votes (valid & invalid) % rejected Central Scotland Airdrie and Shotts 87 23, % Coatbridge and Chryston , % Cumbernauld and Kilsyth 69 25, % East Kilbride , % Falkirk East 80 28, % Falkirk West , % Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse 92 25, % Motherwell and Wishaw 63 24, % Uddingston and Bellshill , % Glasgow Glasgow Anniesland , % Glasgow Cathcart , % Glasgow Kelvin , % Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn , % Glasgow Pollok , % Glasgow Provan , % Glasgow Shettleston , % Glasgow Southside , % Rutherglen 94 27, % Highlands and Islands Argyll and Bute , % Caithness, Sutherland and Ross , % Inverness and Nairn 99 32, % Moray , % Na h-eileanan an Iar 68 13, % Orkney Islands 29 8, % Shetland Islands 37 9, % Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch , % Lothian Almond Valley 86 30, % Edinburgh Central , % Edinburgh Eastern , % Edinburgh Northern and Leith , % Edinburgh Pentlands , % Edinburgh Southern , % Edinburgh Western , % Linlithgow , % Midlothian North and Musselburgh 98 29, % Mid Scotland and Fife Clackmannanshire and Dunblane 77 27, % Cowdenbeath 80 25, % Dunfermline 92 29, % Kirkcaldy , % Mid Fife and Glenrothes , % North East Fife , % Perthshire North , % Perthshire South and Kinrossshire 90 31, % Stirling , % North East Scotland Aberdeen Central , % Aberdeen Donside 84 26, % Aberdeen South and North Kincardine 91 28, % Aberdeenshire East 81 30, % Aberdeenshire West , % Angus North and Mearns 88 25, % Angus South 74 27, % Banffshire and Buchan Coast 95 25, % Dundee City East , % Dundee City West , % xx

26 Constituency ballots rejected Number of votes (valid & invalid) % rejected South of Scotland Ayr , % Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley , % Clydesdale , % Dumfriesshire , % East Lothian , % Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire , % Galloway and West Dumfries , % Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley , % Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale , % West of Scotland Clydebank and Milngavie , % Cunninghame North , % Cunninghame South 80 22, % Dumbarton , % Eastwood 98 32, % Greenock and Inverclyde , % Paisley 83 25, % Renfrewshire North and West 92 27, % Renfrewshire South , % Strathkelvin and Bearsden , % Scotland total 8,415 1,997, % Table 13: Spoilt ballots - regional votes Regional ballots rejected Number of votes (valid & invalid) % rejected Central Scotland , % Glasgow , % Highlands and Islands , % Lothian , % Mid Scotland and Fife , % North East Scotland , % South of Scotland , % West of Scotland , % Scotland total 6,794 1,997, % xx

27 RESEARCH PAPER 11/ Table A1: Constituencies with highest and lowest turnout in each region Constituency Turnout Highest turnout Central Scotland Cumbernauld and Kilsyth 52.6% Glasgow Rutherglen 46.9% Highlands and Islands Na h-eileanan an Iar 59.6% Lothian Edinburgh Southern 61.6% Mid Scotland and Fife Stirling 58.3% North East Scotland Aberdeenshire West 53.2% South of Scotland East Lothian 57.1% West of Scotland Eastwood 63.2% Lowest turnout Central Scotland Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse 45.0% Glasgow Glasgow Provan 34.8% Highlands and Islands Orkney Islands 49.7% Lothian Midlothian North and Musselburgh 51.2% Mid Scotland and Fife Kirkcaldy 46.3% North East Scotland Aberdeen Central 43.8% South of Scotland Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley 48.0% West of Scotland Cunninghame South 43.3% 25

28 RESEARCH PAPER 11/ Table A2: Largest and smallest majorities by party Constituency Absolute Majority Largest Conservative Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire 5,334 Labour Dumfriesshire 3,156 Liberal Democrat Shetland Islands 1,617 SNP Aberdeenshire East 15,295 Smallest Conservative Galloway and West Dumfries 862 Labour East Lothian 151 Liberal Democrat Orkney Islands 860 SNP Glasgow Anniesland 7 Constituency Percentage Majority Largest Conservative Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire 18.5% Labour Coatbridge and Chryston 11.8% Liberal Democrat Shetland Islands 17.2% SNP Aberdeenshire East 50.5% Smallest Conservative Galloway and West Dumfries 2.9% Labour East Lothian 0.5% Liberal Democrat Orkney Islands 10.5% SNP Glasgow Anniesland 0.0% 26

29 Table A3: Highest and lowest shares of the constituency vote by major party Highest Lowest CON Conservative Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire 44.9% Shetland Islands 3.5% Ayr 38.9% Glasgow Provan 4.1% Galloway and West Dumfries 36.9% Na h-eileanan an Iar 4.3% Eastwood 33.4% Cumbernauld and Kilsyth 4.6% Edinburgh Pentlands 31.4% Glasgow Shettleston 5.5% LAB Labour Glasgow Provan 52.3% Orkney Islands 5.6% Coatbridge & Chryston 52.2% Shetland Islands 6.6% Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn 48.1% Aberdeenshire East 7.6% Renfrewshire South 48.1% Aberdeenshire West 8.2% Glasgow Pollok 47.5% Perthshire North 8.9% LD Liberal Democrat Shetland 47.5% Clydesdale 0.0% Orkney 35.7% Cumbernauld and Kilsyth 1.5% Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch 30.5% Motherwell and Wishaw 1.5% North East Fife 28.4% East Kilbride 1.6% Aberdeenshire West 28.2% Coatbridge and Chryston 1.6% SNP SNP Banffshire & Buchan Coast 67.2% Shetland Islands 12.1% Na h-eileanan an Iar 65.3% Eastwood 24.4% Aberdeenshire East 64.5% Orkney Islands 25.1% Dundee City East 64.2% Dumfriesshire 26.3% Perthshire North 60.8% Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire 26.4% 27

30 Table A4: Scottish Parliament Members elected, May name, constituency/region, and party Elected Member Party Constituency Central Scotland Airdrie and Shotts Alex Neil SNP Coatbridge and Chryston Elaine Smith Labour Cumbernauld and Kilsyth Jamie Hepburn SNP East Kilbride Linda Fabiani SNP Falkirk East Angus MacDonald SNP Falkirk West Michael Matheson SNP Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse Christina McKelvie SNP Motherwell and Wishaw John Pentland Labour Uddingston and Bellshill Michael McMahon Labour Glasgow Glasgow Anniesland Bill Kidd SNP Glasgow Cathcart James Dornan SNP Glasgow Kelvin Sandra White SNP Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn Patricia Ferguson Labour Glasgow Pollok Johann Lamont Labour Glasgow Provan Paul Martin Labour Glasgow Shettleston John Mason SNP Glasgow Southside Nicola Sturgeon SNP Rutherglen James Kelly Labour Highlands and Islands Argyll and Bute Michael Russell SNP Caithness, Sutherland and Ross Rob Gibson SNP Inverness and Nairn Fergus Ewing SNP Moray Richard Lochhead SNP Na h-eileanan an Iar Alasdair Allan SNP Orkney Islands Liam MacArthur Liberal Democrat Shetland Islands Tavish Scott Liberal Democrat Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch Dave Thompson SNP Lothian Almond Valley Angela Constance SNP Edinburgh Central Marco Biagi SNP Edinburgh Eastern Kenny MacAskill SNP Edinburgh Northern and Leith Malcolm Chisholm Labour Edinburgh Pentlands Gordon MacDonald SNP Edinburgh Southern Jim Eadie SNP Edinburgh Western Colin Keir SNP Linlithgow Fiona Hyslop SNP Midlothian North and Musselburgh Colin Beattie SNP Mid Scotland and Fife Clackmannanshire and Dunblane Keith Brown SNP Cowdenbeath Helen Eadie Labour Dunfermline Bill Walker SNP Kirkcaldy David Torrance SNP Mid Fife and Glenrothes Tricia Marwick SNP North East Fife Roderick Campbell SNP Perthshire North John Swinney SNP Perthshire South and Kinrossshire Roseanna Cunningham SNP Stirling Bruce Crawford SNP North East Scotland Aberdeen Central Kevin Stewart SNP Aberdeen Donside Brian Adam SNP Aberdeen South and North Kincardine Maureen Watt SNP Aberdeenshire East Alex Salmond SNP Aberdeenshire West Dennis Robertson SNP Angus North and Mearns Nigel Don SNP Angus South Graeme Dey SNP Banffshire and Buchan Coast Stewart Stevenson SNP Dundee City East Shona Robison SNP Dundee City West Joe Fitzpatrick SNP South of Scotland Ayr John Scott Conservative Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley Adam Ingram SNP Clydesdale Aileen Campbell SNP Dumfriesshire Elaine Murray Labour East Lothian Iain Gray Labour Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire John Lamont Conservative Galloway and West Dumfries Alex Fergusson Conservative Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley Willie Coffey SNP Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale Christine Grahame SNP 28