EUR / RSD (Srednji kurs)

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1 Erste bank a.d. Novi Sad Datum: 23.feb.18 VESTI SREDNJI KURS EUR/RSD : Dinar ojačao u odnosu na evro za,74 dinara, srednji kurs 118,128. Obim međubankarske trgovine evrom na dan 22. februar do 12:3h iznosio je 2,4 miliona evra. NBS intervenisala na međubankarskom tržištu kupovinom 3 miliona evra (od početka godine ukupno kupila 9 miliona i prodala 18 miliona evra). BEOGRADSKA BERZA: deksi zabeležili pad vrednosti, BELEX15 niži,12 odsto, BELEXlajn za,3 odsto. Promet manji u odnosu na prethodni dan, na regulisanom tržištu najviše trgovano akcijama Energoprojekt Entela, Galenika Fitofarmacije, NIS-a, Metalca i Jedinstva Sevojno DEVIZNO TRŽIŠTE EUR / RSD (Srednji kurs) 119, 118,9 118,8 118,7 118,6 118,5 118,4 118,3 118,2 118,1 118, 118,72 118, , dana 118, ,33 118, , , , ,128 Izvor: NBS EUR / RSD (Srednji kurs) 125, 123, 121, 119, 117, 115, 113, 111, 19, 17, 15, 13, Jan Promet na međubankarskom tržištu (kupoprodaja evra) EUR mio Izvor: NBS USD / RSD (Srednji kurs) 1 dana Jan -. 97, 96,5 96, 95,5 95, 94, , , , , , , , , , Jan Feb Mart Apr Maj Jun Jul Avg Sep Okt Nov Dec 95,8752 tervencije NBS na deviznom tržištu (Neto iznos) EUR mio kupovina - prodaja , 119, 114, 19, 14, 99, 94, 89, 84, 79, 4 12 Jan Feb Mart Apr Maj Jun Jul Avg Sep Okt Nov Dec Izvor: NBS Mesečna promena EUR/RSD % USD/RSD % Godišnja promena EUR/RSD % USD/RSD % ,3431 -,76% 118, ,37% ,128 2,25% 95,8752-2,3% ,2516 -,2% 99,9762-2,48% ,1367-2,51% 98, ,25% ,2716,8% 12,5199 1,31% ,4512 1,59% 118,64 6,34% ,176,1% 11,1939 1,1% ,5145,3% 111,5324 9,9% ,1681 -,84% 1,1834-1,35% ,1543 5,58% 11,4863 2,72% ,183 -,3% 11,5574-3,85% ,7559 2,14% 84,641-1,67% ,5452-1,65% 15,621-3,12% ,3495 6,2% 85,4889 5,32% ,5722 -,5% 19,29-3,24% ,788 -,21% 81,1693 2,16% ,1888 -,56% 112,6658-2,84% ,156 1,47% 79, ,48% ,885,3% 115,9646-1,13% ,9679 7,17% 67,635 4,25% ,8434 -,13% 117,2871 2,2% , ,27% 64, ,68% ,22,45% 114,9659-3,6% ,7577 -,5% 54,216-1,58% , , ,8 6,6153

2 ostrano devizno tržište EUR / USD 1 dana 1,26 1,255 1,25 1,245 1,24 1,235 1,23 1,225 1,22 1,215 1,21 1,25 Izvor: Reuters EUR / USD 1,45 1,4 1,35 1,3 1,25 1,2 1,15 1,1 1,5 1, EUR / CHF 1 dana 1,16 1,158 1,156 1,154 1,152 1,15 1,148 1,146 1,144 Izvor: Reuters EUR / CHF 1,25 1,2 1,15 1,1 1,5 1,,95, :33:35 EUR / XX USD / XX Valutni par Kupovni Prodajni Valutni par Kupovni Prodajni EUR/USD #N/A Not Signed USD/EUR #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/JPY #N/A Not Signed USD/JPY #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/GBP #N/A Not Signed USD/GBP #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/CHF #N/A Not Signed USD/CHF #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/DKK #N/A Not Signed USD/DKK #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/NOK #N/A Not Signed USD/NOK #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/SEK #N/A Not Signed USD/SEK #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/CAD #N/A Not Signed USD/CAD #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/AUD #N/A Not Signed USD/AUD #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/HUF #N/A Not Signed USD/HUF #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/CZK #N/A Not Signed USD/CZK #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/PLN #N/A Not Signed USD/SKK #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/HRK #N/A Not Signed USD/PLN #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/RUB #N/A Not Signed USD/HRK #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I EUR/NZD #N/A Not Signed USD/RUB #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I USD/NZD #N/A Not Signed IN/A Not Signed I * Međunarodno devizno međubankarsko tržište Izvor: Reuters

3 NOVČANO TRŽIŠTE i TRŽIŠTE HOV EURIBOR SW 2W 1M 3M 6M 1Y * Izvor: Reuters; Objavljeno prethodnog radnog dana EURIBOR 2, 3M 6M 1,5 1, Kamatne stope Centralnih Banaka CB Kamatna stopa USD EUR GBP CAD AUD JPY * Izvor: Reuters; Objavljeno prethodnog radnog dana,5, -,5 REFERENTNA KAMATNA STOPA NBS BEONIA Date Rate Promena (%) 4,6% Date Rate Promena (%) 3, ,67% 4,4% ####### 3, ,75% -6,25% 4,2% ,66% 2, ,66% 2,31% ,6% 7,88% 2, ,88% 3,8% ,41% 2,55% 2, ,25% ,35% 2,2 3,6% ,25% ,35% -,84% 2, ,25% 3,4% ,37% -,42% ,25% ,38% -,42% ,25% ,39% * Izvor: NBS * Izvor: Reuters; Objavljeno prethodnog radnog dana Kamatne stope/prinos na tržištu 8,% 7,% Belibor Državne HOV Republike Srbije u Dinarima - prinosi sa poslednje aukcije Trenutne stope 2,5% 1,5%,5% TN SN 1W 2W 1M 2M 3M 6M Državne HOV Republike Srbije u Evrima - prinosi sa poslednje aukcije,47%,96% 1,29% 1,88% 4,2% 53W 2Y 3Y 5Y 1Y 15Y 5,5% 2,5% 1,5% 2,79% 2,65% 3,48% 4,5% 3,88% 4,28% 5,29% 3M 6M 53W 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 1Y BELIBOR Trenutne stope TN SN 1W 2W 1M 2M 3M 6M * Objavljeno prethodnog radnog dana Istorijski pregled kretanja 6M i 3M Belibor-a 4, 3M 6M 3,9 3,8 3,7 3,6 3,5 3,4 3,3 3,2 3,1 3,

4 DRŽAVNE HOV Republike Srbije u Dinarima - primarna prodaja T-BILLS 3M - RSD T-BILLS 6M - RSD ,79% ,65% 23,3% ,94% 1 9,% ,25% 96,46% 8,% ,18% 7,% ,25% 97,22% ,4% 96,26% ,9% ,79% 98,47% ,57% 87,9% ,63% 92,92% ,25% 93,3% ,45% ,% 21,33% ,95% 45,5% ,1% 1 15,5% 1 12,5% 1 9,5% 8,% 6,5% * Izvor: MF - Trezor T-BILLS 53W - RSD G-BONDS 2Y - RSD 9,% ,48% 17,91% 8,% ,5% 116,3% ,49% 32,22% 7,% ,65% 51,56% ,57% 45,64% ,65% 43,95% ,58% 52,92% ,65% ,59% 49,7% ,74% 78,8% ,1% 78,6% ,74% 23,25% ,1% 16,73% ,3% 95,67% ,9% 63,42% ,95% 56,41% 5,15% 4,95% 4,75% 4,55% 4,35% 4,15% 3,95% G-BONDS 3Y - RSD G-BONDS 5Y - RSD ,88% 34,77% ,28% 116,4% ,29% 97,97% 9,% ,3% 93,39% ,8% 1 7,% ,5% 69,94% ,9% 81,63% ,8% 6,89% ,54% ,8% 57,49% ,44% ,48% 31,29% ,73% ,89% 99,1% ,% ,69% 7,34% G-BONDS 7Y - RSD G-BONDS 1Y - RSD ,5% ,29% 18,52% ,6% 37,14% 1,5% ,35% 264,2% ,6% 43,41% ,99% 93,26% 8,5% ,6% 22,35% 6,5% ,64% 37,5% ,64% 93,74% ,98% 94,41% ,75% ,% DRŽAVNE HOV Republike Srbije u Evrima - primarna prodaja * Izvor: MF - Trezor T-BILLS 53W - EUR G-BONDS 2Y - EUR,85% ,47% 98,%,75% ,96% ,48% ,99% 53,6% ,55% 5,65% ,4% 16,8% ,7% 91,3%,55% ,4% 99,% ,74% ,5% 95,35% ,78% 46,2%,45% ,7% ,78% ,8% ,79% ,9% 46,1% 5,5% 2,5% 1,5%,5% G-BONDS 3Y - EUR G-BONDS 5Y - EUR 5,5% ,29% ,88% 79,99% 2,5% 1,5% ,49% ,95% 8,28% ,75% 49,7% ,38% ,85% ,69% ,87% 63,17% ,69% ,89% ,69% 98,4% ,89% 57,9% ,9% ,65% 96,43% ,45% 1 G-BONDS 1Y - EUR G-BONDS 15Y - EUR 5,5% ,95% ,2% 7,13% ,6% ,2% ,2% ,4% ,77% 4,3% 3,8% 3,3% 2,8% 2,3% 1,8% 5,5%

5 BEOGRADSKA BERZA Dnevni podaci za prethodni radni dan * izvor: Beogradska berza *zvanični podaci za navedeni dan objavljuju se u 14:45h AKCIJE - REGULISANO TRŽIŠTE BELEX15 Najtrgovanije HOV Vrednost 757,28 Simbol Cena % Promena Open Max Min Broj trans Obim Promet RSD Promena,42 Energoprojekt Entel a.d. Beograd Galenika Fitofarmacija a.d. Zemun NIS a.d. Novi Sad Metalac a.d. Gornji Milanovac Jedinstvo a.d. Sevojno Dobitnici Galenika Fitofarmacija a.d. Zemun Metalac a.d. Gornji Milanovac Messer Tehnogas a.d. Beograd Energoprojekt Entel a.d. Beograd Gubitnici Jedinstvo a.d. Sevojno Komercijalna banka a.d. Beograd Jubmes banka a.d. Beograd Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d. Beograd AKCIJE - MTP Najtrgovanije HOV ex Radulaska a.d. Beograd Varnost Fitep a.d. Zemun Gosa montaza a.d. Velika Plana Nikola Tesla a.d. Beograd EPEN 13.85,2% %,6% FITO 2.955,68% NIIS MTLC 2.5,24% JESV 5. -1,96% Simbol Cena % Promena Open Max Min Broj trans Obim Promet RSD FITO 2.955,68% MTLC 2.5,24% TGAS ,15% EPEN 13.85,2% BELEXline Simbol Cena % Promena Open Max Min Broj trans Obim Promet RSD JESV 5. -1,96% KMBN ,84% JMBN ,13% AERO ,12% Simbol Cena % Promena Ponuda Tražnja Broj Obim Promet RSD INXR VRFT GMON ,85% NKTS Sremput a.d. Ruma SPRU ,95% Vrednost 1.592,5 Promena -, % -,3% Dobitnici Simbol Cena % Promena Ponuda Tražnja Broj Obim Promet RSD Gubitnici Sremput a.d. Ruma Gosa montaza a.d. Velika Plana Simbol Cena % Promena Ponuda Tražnja Broj Obim Promet RSD SPRU 1-45,95% GMON 125-3,85% Kontakti: Srđan Tomašević Dušan Stević Danijela Stojanović Nenad Đurović srdjan.tomasevic@erstebank.rs dusan.stevic@erstebank.rs danijela.stojanovic@erstebank.rs nenad.djurovic@erstebank.rs Devizno tržište Devizno tržište Devizno tržište Novčano tržište 11/ / / / Aleksandra Parčetić aleksandra.parcetic@erstebank.rs Brokersko poslovanje - Hartije od vrednosti Marija Đorđević marija.djordjevic@erstebank.rs Brokersko poslovanje - Hartije od vrednosti 11/ / / Izveštaj sačinio Sektor sredstava / Odeljenje Middle office formacije i cene iz ovog pregleda dobijene su iz izvora za koje verujemo da su pouzdani ali ne garantujemo njihovu tačnost i potpunost. Navedene informacije su važeće samo u trenutku njihovog sastavljanja a objavljuju se u ciju opšteg informisanja, pri čemu ne predstavljaju bilo kakav oblik investicionog saveta niti preporuke za investiranje niti na bilo koji način obavezuju Erste Bank ad Novi Sad u pogledu odgovornosti za štetu nastalu upotrebom informacija iz ovog pregleda.

6 MAKROEKONOMSKI POKAZATELJI deks potrošačkih cena (Consumer Price dex - CPI) / 217 Izvor: Republički zavod za statistiku; Ministarstvo finansija Republike Srbije Jan Feb Mar Apr Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec U odnosu na prethodni mesec 1,4%,7%,2%,8% -,5%,2% -,4%,2%,1%,2% U odnosu na isti mesec ,4% 3,2% 3,6% 3,6% 3,2% 2,5% 3,2% 2,8% 2,8% U odnosu na decembar ,4% 2,2% 2,4% 3,2% 2,7% 2,9% 2,5% 2,7% 2,8% Datum objavljivanja ,5% CPI - U odnosu na prethodni mesec,5% -,5% CPI - U odnosu na isti mesec prethodne godine INDUSTRIJSKA PROIZVODNJA / 217 Jan Feb Mar Apr Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec U odnosu na isti mesec 216 2,8% -1,7%,9% -2,6% 6,2% 5,7% 4,2% 7,3% 7,3% 4,4% 5,5%,5% U odnosu na isti period 216 (jan- ) 2,8%,7%,7% -,1% 1,2% 2,1% 2,5% 3,8% U odnosu na prosek ,7% -8,2% -,9% 5,9% 5,6% 4,8% 7,9% 11,3% 11,7% 6,9% Datum objavljivanja U odnosu na isti mesec prethodne godine U odnosu na isti period prethodne godine SPOLJNOTRGOVINSKA ROBNA RAZMENA / 217 * u eur mln Mesec Jan Feb Mar Apr Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec Ukupna spoljnotrg.razmena (Jan- ) 2.173, ,2 8.1, , , , , , , , , ,7 Promena (u odnosu na isti period 216.) 13,2% 1,3% 14,7% 12,5% 1 13,2% 13,1% 13,2% 13,3% 13,7% 13,9% 1 Vrednost izvoza (Jan- ) 937, 2.75,6 3.51, ,9 6.98, , , , , , , ,1 Promena (u odnosu na isti period 216.) 1,1% 8,5% 13,6% 11,8% 13,4% 13,6% 13,2% 13,4% 13,4% 1 13,1% 1 Vrednost uvoza (Jan- ) 1.236, ,6 4.59,4 6.12, ,8 9.66, , , , , , ,6 Promena (u odnosu na isti period 216.) 15,6% 11,7% 15,5% 1 14,4% 12,9% 13,1% 13,1% 13,1% 13,9% 14,6% 13,8% Deficit (jan- ) 299,7 642, 1.8, ,2 1.79, , 2.493, , , , , ,5 Promena (u odnosu na isti period 216.) 36,9% 23,7% 22,2% 17,5% 18,% 1,4% 12,7% 11,8% 11,8% 15,4% 2,4% 2,2% Pokrivenost uvoza izvozom 75,7% 76,4% 76,5% 77,7% 77,3% 77,7% 77,7% 78,9% 79,6% 78,9% 78,3% 77,4% Datum objavljivanja EUR (mn) Spoljna trgovina Ukupna spoljnotrg.razmena (Jan- ) Vrednost izvoza (Jan- ) Vrednost uvoza (Jan- ) EUR (mn) Deficit BUDŽETSKI DEFICIT Budžetski deficit u 216. Januar 217 Februar 217 Mart 217 April 217 Maj 217 Jun 217 Jul 217 Avgust 217 Septembar 217 Oktobar 217 Novembar 217 Decembar 217 Budžetski deficit u 217. Planirani deficit u 217. Ostvarenje plana Datum ažuriranja Jan15 Feb15 Mar15 Apr15 May15 Jun15 Jul15 Aug15 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec , , , , , , , , ,93 119, , , , , , -49,8% RSD (mn) Budžetski Deficit * u rsd mln

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