Caroline County / King George County Transit Studies. Meeting November 1, 2017
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1 Caroline County / King George County Transit Studies Meeting November 1,
2 FRED Routes C1 and C2 C1 C2 Caroline County Total FRED Total Ridership (FY 2017) 4,527 2,870 7, ,042 Revenue Hours 3,015 1,202 4,217 52,763 Passengers per Revenue Hour Revenue Miles 103,782 24, , ,508 Passengers per Revenue Mile
3 Transit Need Analysis Identify areas of high peak period and all-day transit need Identify connections needed between these areas from the travel demand model 3
4 Caroline Peak Period Transit Need Where Commuters Live Where the Jobs Are 4
5 Caroline All-Day Transit Need Where Transit- Dependent People Live Where the Services Are 5
6 Caroline Needed Connections Peak Period Off-Peak Periods 6
7 Caroline County Service Peak periods connect Ruther Glen, Ladysmith, Massaponax and Fredericksburg Based on I-95 Study potential for around 100 transit riders to NoVA/DC warrants feeder service to VRE or commuter lot Off-Peak or All Day connect Ruther Glen, Ladysmith and Massaponax Serve more non-work destinations directly, like schools and retail 7
8 Caroline County Preliminary Recommendations 8
9 Caroline County Preliminary Recommendations 9
10 Caroline Schedule Options Enhanced Option 1 Uses 2 vehicles, same as current C1/C2 Serves Fredericksburg on Routes 1 and 2, Spotsylvania VRE on Route 3 Enhanced Option 2 Adds a 3 rd vehicle for better headway Serves Fredericksburg on Routes 1 and 2, Spotsylvania VRE on Route 3 Saturday Service Option (Route 2 only) Peak Vehicles Annual Revenue Hours Daily Roundtrips Daily Ridership Potential Annual Operating Cost Current C1/C2 2 4, $289,338 Enhanced Option 1 2 6, $421,860 Route 3 (Spotsylvania VRE) - 1, $120,072 Enhanced Option 2 3 9, $650,388 Route 3 (Spotsylvania VRE) - 1, $120,072 Saturday 2 1, $90,385 Enhanced 1 Enhanced 2 Current C1/C2 Current FRED Ridership 16,500 22,500 7, ,042 Revenue Hours 6,146 9,479 4,217 52,763 Passengers per Revenue Hour Revenue Miles 149, , , ,508 Passengers per Revenue Mile
11 Caroline Schedule Options Enhanced 1-60 to 165 min headway, 1 bus Pattern Start End Pattern Start End 3 NB 4:15 AM 5:15 AM 3 SB 5:15 AM 6:15 AM 1 NB 4:45 AM 6:15 AM 1 SB 6:15 AM 7:30 AM 3 NB 6:15 AM 7:15 AM 3 SB 7:15 AM 8:15 AM 1 NB 7:30 AM 9:00 AM 1 SB 9:00 AM 10:15 AM 2 NB 10:15 AM 11:55 AM 2 SB 11:55 AM 1:25 PM 2 NB 1:25 PM 3:05 PM 2 SB 3:05 PM 4:35 PM 1 NB 4:35 PM 6:05 PM 3 SB 5:20 PM 6:20 PM 3 NB 6:20 PM 7:20 PM 1 SB 6:05 PM 7:20 PM 1 NB 7:20 PM 8:50 PM 3 SB 7:20 PM 8:20 PM 1 NB 8:20 PM 9:50 PM Saturday 90 to 100 min. headway, 2 buses Pattern Start End Pattern Start End 2 NB 9:00 AM 10:40 AM 2 SB 7:30 AM 9:00 AM 2 NB 10:30 AM 12:10 PM 2 SB 9:00 AM 10:30 AM 2 NB 12:10 PM 1:50 PM 2 SB 10:40 AM 12:10 PM 2 NB 1:40 PM 3:20 PM 2 SB 12:10 PM 1:40 PM 2 NB 3:20 PM 5:00 PM 2 SB 1:50 PM 3:20 PM 2 NB 4:50 PM 6:30 PM 2 SB 3:20 PM 4:50 PM 2 NB 6:30 PM 8:10 PM 2 SB 5:00 PM 6:30 PM 2 NB 8:00 PM 9:40 PM 2 SB 6:30 PM 8:00 PM Enhanced 2 45 to 60 min. headway, 2 buses Pattern Start End Pattern Start End 3 NB 4:15 AM 5:15 AM 3 SB 5:15 AM 6:15 AM 1 NB 4:45 AM 6:15 AM 1 SB 6:15 AM 7:30 AM 1 NB 5:30 AM 7:00 AM 1 SB 7:00 AM 8:15 AM 3 NB 6:15 AM 7:15 AM 3 SB 7:15 AM 8:15 AM 1 NB 7:30 AM 9:00 AM 1 SB 9:00 AM 10:15 AM 1 NB 8:15 AM 9:45 AM 2 SB 9:45 AM 11:15 AM 2 NB 10:15 AM 11:55 AM 2 SB 11:55 AM 1:25 PM 2 NB 11:15 AM 12:55 PM 2 SB 12:55 PM 2:25 PM 2 NB 1:25 PM 3:05 PM 2 SB 3:05 PM 4:35 PM 2 NB 2:25 PM 4:05 PM 1 SB 4:05 PM 5:20 PM 1 NB 4:35 PM 6:05 PM 3 SB 5:20 PM 6:20 PM 1 NB 5:20 PM 6:50 PM 1 SB 6:05 PM 7:20 PM 3 NB 6:20 PM 7:20 PM 3 SB 7:20 PM 8:20 PM 1 NB 7:20 PM 8:50 PM 1 NB 8:20 PM 9:50 PM 11
12 King George Peak Period Transit Need Where Commuters Live Where the Jobs Are 12
13 King George All-Day Transit Need Where Transit- Dependent People Live Where the Services Are 13
14 King George Needed Connections Peak Period Off-Peak Periods 14
15 King George County Service Peak periods connect Dahlgren, King George, Fairview Beach, and Fredericksburg Off-Peak service not yet warranted 15
16 King George Preliminary Recommendations 16
17 King George Preliminary Recommendations 17
18 King George Schedule Options Low: utilizes 2 buses Enhanced: utilizes 4 buses Express Option: between commuter lot and Dahlgren Peak Vehicles Annual Revenue Hours Daily Roundtrips Daily Ridership Potential Annual Operating Cost Low 1 4, $331,626 Enhanced 2 9, $663,253 Low Enhanced Current FRED Ridership 18,750 28, ,042 Revenue Hours 4,833 9,667 52,763 Passengers per Revenue Hour Revenue Miles 144, , ,508 Passengers per Revenue Mile
19 King George Schedule Options Low 2 trips, or 145 min. headway on each branch Enhanced 4 trips, or 70 min. headway on each branch Pattern Start End Pattern Start End K1 EB 5:00 AM 6:10 AM K1 WB 6:10 AM 7:25 AM K2 EB 5:30 AM 6:40 AM K2 WB 6:40 AM 7:55 AM K1 EB 7:25 AM 8:35 AM K1 WB 8:35 AM 9:50 AM K2 EB 7:55 AM 9:05 AM K2 WB 9:05 AM 10:20 AM K1 EB 1:50 PM 3:00 PM K1 WB 3:00 PM 4:15 PM K2 EB 2:10 PM 3:20 PM K2 WB 3:20 PM 4:35 PM K1 EB 4:15 PM 5:25 PM K1 WB 5:25 PM 6:40 PM K2 EB 4:35 PM 5:45 PM K2 WB 5:45 PM 7:00 PM Pattern Start End Pattern Start End K1 EB 5:00 AM 6:10 AM K1 WB 6:10 AM 7:25 AM K2 EB 5:30 AM 6:40 AM K2 WB 6:40 AM 7:55 AM K1 EB 6:15 AM 7:25 AM K1 WB 7:25 AM 8:40 AM K2 EB 6:45 AM 7:55 AM K2 WB 7:55 AM 9:10 AM K1 EB 7:25 AM 8:35 AM K1 WB 8:35 AM 9:50 AM K2 EB 7:55 AM 9:05 AM K2 WB 9:05 AM 10:20 AM K1 EB 8:40 AM 9:50 AM K1 WB 9:50 AM 11:05 AM K2 EB 9:10 AM 10:20 AM K2 WB 10:20 AM 11:35 AM K1 EB 1:50 PM 3:00 PM K1 WB 3:00 PM 4:15 PM K2 EB 2:10 PM 3:20 PM K2 WB 3:20 PM 4:35 PM K1 EB 2:35 PM 3:45 PM K1 WB 3:45 PM 5:00 PM K2 EB 3:05 PM 4:15 PM K2 WB 4:15 PM 5:30 PM K1 EB 4:15 PM 5:25 PM K1 WB 5:25 PM 6:40 PM K2 EB 4:35 PM 5:45 PM K2 WB 5:45 PM 7:00 PM K1 EB 5:00 PM 6:10 PM K1 WB 6:10 PM 7:25 PM K2 EB 5:30 PM 6:40 PM K2 WB 6:40 PM 7:55 PM 19
20 King George/Southeast Stafford Park and Ride Serve as commuter lot for new service and for Dahlgren vanpools Alleviate projected deficits at Fredericksburg Train Station and southeast Stafford County Several potential sites along Route 3 20
21 Summary Caroline County has a demonstrated need for peak and off-peak service along the Route 1 corridor Low-performing routes, but serve a need Recommendations would concentrate service in area of highest need and create efficiency 8 C1 riders/day would lose service in Bowling Green King George County has a demonstrated need for peak service between Dahlgren, King George, and Fredericksburg Populations Served by Realigned Caroline County Routes Transit-Oriented Populations Number Served Seniors 3,157 Youths 4,500 Low-Income Households 913 Zero/One-Car Households 2,541 Disabled Persons 1,829 With adequate service, ~ 1,500 potential daily trips on transit 21
22 Caroline/King George Next Steps Receive comments on transit need analysis and preliminary recommendations Make changes based on feedback 22
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