The Air Travel Value Proposition: Safer, Cheaper, Greener, Quieter and Fast
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1 The Air Travel Value Proposition: Safer, Cheaper, Greener, Quieter and Fast Updated November 1, 2017
2 U.S. Airline Industry Safety Has Improved Markedly From to -2015, NTSB Fatal Accident Rate Reduced 100 Percent Fatal Accidents per 10M Aircraft Departures in Scheduled Service Year 5-Year Source: A4A analysis of data from the National Transportation Safety Board (Tables 6 and 12) 2
3 Americans Have Seen Increases in the Average Price of Food, Shelter, Public Transportation and Entertainment Over The Past Two and a Half Decades Food & Public Transit Housing (Existing Home, $000) Movie Tickets Price Index: = Food Transit +86% +87% $250 $225 $200 $175 $150 $125 $ % $ % $8 $6 $4 Baseball (MLB) Tickets $ % $30 $20 $ $75 $0 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, National Association of Relators, National Association of Theatre Owners, Team Marketing Report 3
4 Over the Past 26 Years, the Price of Purchasing Food, Taking the Bus/Train, or Going to the Movies/Ballpark Has Significantly Outpaced the Price of Taking a Trip by Air 400 Price Index: = Airfare* Food Public Transit MLB Game Movie Ticket +255% +105% +87% +86% % Source: A4A, BTS, FRB St. Louis, National Association of Theatre Owners, Team Marketing Report * Domestic round-trip average, including bag and change fees 4
5 Air Travel Is Not Expensive: See for Yourself It Costs Less Than You Think Source: Air Transport Association Advertisement, The Saturday Evening Post (March 22, 1941) 5
6 Boston-Los Angeles Air Travel, 75 Years After the Evening Post 9 Hours Faster, 90% Cheaper (in Real* Terms) Average Round-Trip BOS-LAX Airfare and One-Way Block Time 1941 Actual (15hrs 15mins, 12 stops) $ Inflation-Adjusted* $4, Actual (6hrs 15mins) $ * Adjusted using constant dollars from the Bureau of Labor Statistics ( Source: DOT Data Bank 1B via Diio Mi; Air Travel Is Not Expensive, The Saturday Evening Post (Mar. 22, 1941), p. 59; Campbell-Hill Aviation Group 6
7 Even Without Adjusting for Inflation, BOS-LAX Airfare Has Declined Materially Traffic in the Popular Corridor Has Risen Sharply $600 BOS-LAX Round-Trip Airfare (Current $) 1,700 BOS-LAX Daily O&D Passengers (Each Way) $500 $400 $300 $547 $382 $409 $481 $452 1,600 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 $200 1,100 $100 1, $ Source: DOT Data Bank 1B (Passenger Origin-Destination [ O&D ] Survey) via Diio Mi 7
8 U.S. Airlines: Domestic Flight Operations Performance -2017* 4.0 Domestic Flight Cancellation Rate (%) Domestic On-Time Rate (%) Arrivals (A14) Departures (D0) Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics * January through August 8
9 U.S. Airlines: Domestic Customer Service Performance -2017* 8.0 Mishandled Bag Reports per 1,000 Pax 1.40 Involuntary Denied Boardings per 10,000 Pax Source: DOT Air Travel Consumer Report * January through August 9
10 The Share of Flights Arriving Early or on Schedule Has Risen Steadily Over the Past Few Decades, Whereas On-Time 0:15 and 0:30 Have Been Relatively Flat 100% 90% 80% 88.0% 81.4% 70% 60% 63.0% 50% 40% 30% 20% 0:00 0:15 0:30 10% 0% Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics 10
11 U.S. Airlines: Customer Complaints per 100,000 Passengers Enplaned Systemwide DOT Annual Rates: -2017* Source: DOT Air Travel Consumer Report * January through August 11
12 With Each Decade, U.S. Airline Fuel Efficiency Has Improved Up More Than 120% from 1978 to, More Than 30%; from to Revenue Ton Miles* Flown per Gallon Source: A4A and BTS, for all U.S. passenger and all-cargo airlines * An RTM is a single ton of payload (passengers or cargo) carried one mile in revenue service 12
13 Commercial Aviation Has Gotten Markedly Quieter From 1975-, the Number of U.S. Residents Exposed to Significant Aircraft Noise Fell 94% While Enplanements Rose 325%); 53% from - (Enplanements Rose 22%) 8.0 1,000 Millions of People Noise-Exposed Population (Left) Passenger Enplanements (Right) Millions of Passengers U.S. residents exposed to significant (65 db DNL) noise levels from all aviation operations within U.S. airspace 2. Passengers enplaned on U.S. and foreign flag carriers as captured in the FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF) 13
14 The Value Proposition for U.S. Air Travelers Is Alive and Well It s Safer, It s Greener, It s Quieter, It s ~80 Percent On-Time and It s Still a Bargain Index ( = 100) Fuel Efficiency On-Time Real Fares (incl. Fees) Noise Safety Risk* * 5-year-moving-average fatal accident rate for U.S. air carriers operating under 14 CFR 121 scheduled service 14
15 www.
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