AFTA Travel Trends. July 2017
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1 AFTA Travel Trends July 2017 AFTA Travel Trends Report 2017
2 Inbound and Outbound overview Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the balance of trade between Inbound and Outbound Travel for Year end of May It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set.
3 Total Visitor and Australian departure and arrivals Year End May 2017 The ABS collects data on all travellers entering and leaving Australia through the Inbound and Outbound Passenger Card. This section displays the number of international tourists entering and Australians departing Australia as of May Year end 2016 and For travel and tourism to be sustainable it is imperative that the trade between each country is balanced and this snapshot tracks overall benefits to each country. The countries chosen are the major Australian source markets and desired destinations. May YE 2016 Total Number of international visitors to Australia Inbound May YE 2016 Total number of international trips by Australians Outbound May YE 2017 Total Number of international visitors to Australia Inbound May YE 2017 Total number of international trips by Australians Outbound New Zealand 1,316,200 1,288,100 1,355,600 1,352,800 China 1,132, ,200 1,256, ,100 UK 697, , , ,100 USA 648,600 1,029, ,200 1,069,600 Singapore 422, , , ,900 Japan 373, , , ,300 Malaysia 357, , , ,000 South Korea 251,500 64, , ,000 India 236, , , ,500 Hong Kong 232, , , ,500 Indonesia 148,300 1,162, ,500 1,208,800 Thailand 83, ,800 93, ,000 Fiji 32, ,700 37, ,200 National Total 7,759,800 9,611,100 8,525,100 10,019,900 Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals and Departures - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
4 Inbound Report Introduction These snapshots provide an overview of the performance of the Australian inbound tourism sector. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set. Performance indicators are provided for each market and month. A neutral rating is provided for markets which have a year on year variation of (+/-) 2%.
5 Where are our participants? Total inbound tourists to Australia May 2017 This section displays the number of international tourists travelling to Australia each month as of May Year end 2016 and Key Highlights April over takes May as the highest visitation month for the year. Average growth for May for the last three years is 7.6% p.a. Month Year end change Year end change 2017 Performance June 616, % 692, % Positive July 608, % 691, % Positive August 622, % 691, % Positive September 635, % 709, % Positive October 630, % 707, % Positive November 647, % 701, % Positive December 660, % 706, % Positive January 658, % 713, % Positive February 647, % 715, % Positive March 673, % 712, % Positive April 679, % 748, % Positive May 680, % 734, % Positive Total 7,759, % 8,525, % Positive 750, , , , , ,000 of tourists 2016 of tourists year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
6 Where are our participants? Year end changes to top Australian source markets May 2017 This section displays the performance of the top Australian source markets for international travellers as of May Year end 2016 and Destination Year end change Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 1,316, % 1,355, % Positive China 1,132, % 1,256, % Positive UK 697, % 725, % Positive USA 648, % 750, % Positive Singapore 422, % 445, % Positive Japan 373, % 422, % Positive Malaysia 357, % 399, % Positive South Korea 251, % 293, % Positive India 236, % 274, % Positive Hong Kong 232, % 262, % Positive National Total 7,759, % 8,525, % Positive 1,400,000 Key Highlights Growth from China is up 16.8% p.a for the last two years. Major source markets up an average of 11% for the year. 1,200,000 1,000, , , , ,000 0 New Zealand China UK USA Singapore Japan Malaysia South Korea India Hong Kong YE 16 Coutnry YE 17 Country 5 year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
7 Where are our participants? Monthly changes to top Australian source markets May 2017 This section displays the performance of the top Australian source markets for international tourists comparing the month of May 2016 to May Destination Year end change Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 111, % 111, % Neutral China 100, % 109, % Positive UK 59, % 59, % Neutral USA 58, % 66, % Positive Singapore 38, % 40, % Positive Japan 33, % 35, % Positive Malaysia 32, % 34, % Positive South Korea 22, % 24, % Positive India 21, % 24, % Positive Hong Kong 19, % 24, % Positive National Total 680, % 734, % Positive Key Highlights NZ experiences two consecutive years of neutral growth. 120, ,000 80,000 60,000 USA is up an average of 16.6% for the last two years. 40,000 20,000 0 New Zealand China UK USA Singapore Japan Malaysia South Korea India Hong Kong May-16 May-17 5 year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
8 Outbound Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set. Performance indicators are provided for each market. A neutral rating is provided for markets which have a year on year variation of (+/-) 2%.
9 Total outbound Australian travellers May 2017 This section displays the number of Australians travelling outbound each month as of May Year end 2016 and Month Year end change Year end change 2017 Performance Jun , % 841, % Positive Jul , % 831, % Positive Aug , % 828, % Positive Sep , % 825, % Positive Oct , % 840, % Positive Nov , % 811, % Positive Dec , % 828, % Positive Jan , % 849, % Positive Feb , % 833, % Positive Mar , % 809, % Negative Apr , % 851, % Positive May , % 867, % Positive Total 9,611, % 10,019, % Positive Key Highlights For the last quarter, monthly performance has been inconsistent with the 5 year average, however the market has still grown by 3.6%. May 2017 up 3.4% on the 2016 performance. 880, , , , , , , , , , year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
10 Year end changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian s May 2017 This section displays the performance of the top destinations Australian s are travelling to as of May Year end 2016 and Destination Year end change Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 1,288, % 1,352, % Positive Indonesia 1,162, % 1,208, % Positive USA 1,029, % 1,069, % Positive UK 605, % 597, % Neutral Thailand 546, % 530, % Negative China 437, % 471, % Positive Singapore 367, % 393, % Positive Japan 335, % 377, % Positive Fiji 345, % 342, % Neutral India 298, % 329, % Positive National Total 9,611, % 10,019, % Positive 1,600,000 Key Highlights Thailand continues to decline following a neutral 2016 and is down to 2011 movement volumes. 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000, ,000 China outbound is performing strongly with 15.2% growth over the two years. 600, , ,000 0 New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India YE 16 Country YE 17 Country 5 year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
11 Monthly changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian s May 2017 This section displays the performance of the top destinations Australian s are travelling to comparing February 2016 to May 2017 Destination Year end change Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 105, % 118, % Positive Indonesia 107, % 99, % Negative USA 84, % 92, % Positive UK 47, % 51, % Positive Thailand 45, % 47, % Positive China 34, % 46, % Positive Singapore 30, % 32, % Positive Japan 30, % 33, % Positive Fiji 27, % 28, % Positive India 25, % 29, % Positive National Total 805, % 867, % Positive 140,000 Key Highlights Indonesia retreats from a record growth month in 2016 but still grew on 2015 numbers by 9.6%. China achieves record growth of 34.6% for the month. 120, ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India 16 Country 17 Country 5 year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
12 Reasons to travel to popular international destinations by Australian s May 2017 This section displays the performance of the popular destinations visited by Australian s by reason of travel in May % Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey New Zealand 37.0% 34.0% 21.1% 7.9% Indonesia 85.3% 6.8% 4.3% 3.6% USA 64.4% 14.3% 10.9% 10.4% UK 53.2% 30.6% 10.5% 5.8% Thailand 76.4% 10.9% 5.9% 6.7% China 43.0% 30.6% 19.3% 7.1% Singapore 49.1% 17.0% 23.4% 10.6% Japan 71.9% 12.3% 10.8% 5.0% Fiji 75.4% 12.0% 4.9% 7.7% India 29.1% 53.2% 10.7% 7.1% National Total 59.6% 21.7% 11.1% 7.6% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
13 Airlines Introduction This snapshot provides the market share of each airline for international travel. Information is sourced directly from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development. Department Summary: Fifty-eight international airlines operated scheduled services to/from Australia during April 2017 (includes five dedicated freight airlines but excludes airlines operating only via code share arrangements). Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, April 2017
14 Monthly Share of passengers carried Apr-16 Apr-17 Airline activity - Month End April 2017 This snapshot displays the market share of each airline for international travel for the month of April Qantas Airways 16.2% 16.5% Jetstar 10.0% 8.9% Emirates 9.1% 8.3% Singapore Airlines 8.1% 7.9% Air New Zealand 7.1% 6.7% Virgin Australia 6.0% 5.8% Cathay Pacific Airways 5.2% 5.0% AirAsia X 3.5% 4.3% Etihad Airways 2.8% 3.2% Thai Airways International 2.5% 2.8% Etihad Airways, 3.2% Thai Airways International, 2.8% This information from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development presents statistical information on the scheduled operations of international airlines operating into/out of Australia. Air New Zealand, 6.7% AirAsia X, 4.3% Cathay Pacific Airways, 5.0% Virgin Australia, 5.8% Qantas Airways, 16.5% Jetstar, 8.9% Singapore Airlines, 7.9% Emirates, 8.3% Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, April 2016 and April 2017
15 Year End share of passengers carried March -16 Year End share of passengers carried April - 17 Airline activity Year End April 2017 This snapshot displays the market share of each airline for international travel of Year end April Qantas Airways 15.9% Qantas Airways 15.8% Jetstar 9.4% Jetstar 9.3% Emirates 9.3% Emirates 8.6% Singapore Airlines 8.5% Singapore Airlines 8.1% Virgin Australia 7.1% Air New Zealand 6.6% Air New Zealand 7.1% Virgin Australia 6.0% Cathay Pacific Airways 5.2% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.7% AirAsia X 3.3% AirAsia X 4.1% Etihad Airways 3.0% Etihad Airways 3.2% Malaysia Airlines 2.8% China Southern Airlines 2.9% Others 28.3% Others 30.7% Qantas Airways, 15.8% This information from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development presents statistical information on the scheduled operations of international airlines operating into/out of Australia. China Southern Airlines, 2.9% Others, 30.7% Jetstar, 9.3% Emirates, 8.6% Etihad Airways, 3.2% AirAsia X, 4.1% Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.7% Virgin Australia, 6.0% Air New Zealand, 6.6% Singapore Airlines, 8.1% Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, April 2016 and April 2017
16 For further information please contact: Dean Long AFTA s National Manager Strategy and Policy E: Dean.Long@afta.com.au Ph: AFTA Travel Trends Report 2017
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