ATC Global 2014 EUROCONTROL WORKSHOP Towards GLOBAL ATFM 18 September Ken Mclean Director SFO IATA Singapore

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1 ATC Global 2014 EUROCONTROL WORKSHOP Towards GLOBAL ATFM 18 September 2014 Ken Mclean Director SFO IATA Singapore

2 APAC Growth Outline Current Situation Airlines and ATFM Air Traffic Flow Management why? ATFM How? 2

3 Growth of Aviation in Asia Pacific 3

4 Effect of Congestion on Regional Economy % Overall Aviation contribution to Regional GDP Without enhancements, the current infrastructure in Asia Pacific cannot meet the projected future demand * ASBU-0: Aviation System Block upgrade - 0 4

5 Current Situation Many key airports operate at near full capacity Long term NOTAMs on arrival delay Lack of timely information for long haul flights Air navigation service capabilities vary Asia-Pacific is forecasted to be the world s fastest growing region for air transport over the next 20 years Air transport connectivity is a critical link to markets and a generator of wealth There is a close link between GDP growth and air travel demand 5

6 ANSP ISSUES Some Airports Insufficiently Utilized No linkage to ATFM ATM Inefficiency Uncoordinated Natural focus on domestic, rather than regional integration and efficiency 6

7 User issues Major Airlines reported increased sector times in most major routes Key airport capacity challenged and largely underutilizing potential capacity Major air routes busier Airlines costs increasing Air-Ground mismatch = Unused costly technology ATM investment in near term upward of USD2b in APAC 7

8 Airlines & ATFM We need to deliver our passengers and cargo to their destinations without disruption We need: Predictability To connect passengers with their ongoing flights Fuel and cost efficient flight profiles To have a say in decisions that effect our operations 8

9 Predictability Allows us to build achievable schedules Allows us to load the appropriate fuel weight Every kilo of extra fuel offsets cargo and passenger capacity We may have to offload passengers and cargo to carry extra fuel It costs fuel to carry fuel Predictable direct sectors are 4-6% more efficient than tactical direct sectors Collaborative approach allows us to help the system 9

10 Predictability Creates planned workload for controllers Allows strategic management of traffic with less tactical intervention Vectoring low and slow huge increase in fuel burn Less Tactical intervention = reduced workload and increased capacity for planning Appropriate support tools and training 10

11 ATFM Why?? Asia/Pacific has no central ATM authority so what is needed are multi-fir solutions APAC Seamless ATM plan developed and accepted at APANPIRG 24 11

12 Benefits ATFM Why? + Enhanced ATM system safety + Increased predictability + Increased situational awareness + Reduced fuel burn and operating costs + Effective management of irregular operations and unforeseen events - An ATFM system for an airspace which has no capacity restrictions or flow requirements, ultimately becomes a limit to traffic flow and increase costs 12

13 APAC Sub Regional ATFM Why? ATFM identified as a Critical element for Seamless Operations (ASBU 0-NOPS) To manage current and forecast activity for our region multi FIR linked-up solutions are required ATFM an opportunity to develop collaborative management of airspace associated with key regional flows ATFM is a tool that provides efficiency, predictability and capacity for both Users and ANSPs 13

14 APAC Sub Regional ATFM Why? Many States have plans or implemented flow management These systems need to be linked to provide an opportunity for information sharing and CDM Allow operational decision making on a Network basis Coordinate Traffic management initiatives to optimize Network efficiency 14

15 APAC sub regional ATFM Why? APAC (particularly SEA ) relatively small FIRs with low transit flight times = knock on effect Restrictions in FIR (a) push the problem to FIR (b) We need to manage flows collaboratively with shared information and decisions Centralized Flow Management for the region ideal - BUT CFMU not practical for our whole region in the near term How to proceed? 15

16 IATA project ICAO agreement IATA funded a project to: establish regional Baseline identify workable options - ATFMSG/4 (Dec 2014) Provide a framework to focus discussion and planning for sub regional ATFM Implementation is now the focus 16

17 17 September, 2014

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