MONTROSE REGIONAL AIRPORT APRIL 12, 2016

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1 MONTROSE REGIONAL AIRPORT APRIL 12, 2016

2 AGENDA READY FOR TAKE OFF WHAT ARE WE GOING TO DO TODAY? Introductions Why conduct an airport master plan? Master Plan Process Deliverables Schedule Identify Goals of the Airport Master Plan Next Steps

3 AIRPORT MASTER TEAM INTRODUCTIONS Consultant Team Nick Rollo Keith O Connor Chris Pomeroy Alex Tweedle Dan Cohn Technical Advisory Committee Country Commissioners Airport Staff Airport Advisory Board

A Property Map Eligible for FAA and CDOT funding AGIS survey/ealp/paper ALP

4 AIRPORT MASTER PLANNING Why conduct an airport master plan? Meet FAA requirements to maintain current: Airport Layout Plan (ALP) Exhibit A Property Map Eligible for FAA and CDOT funding AGIS survey/ealp/paper ALP Changes in FAA design criteria - 13a Opportunities to generate airport revenue Shape the future

5 AIRPORT MASTER PLANNING Why conduct an airport master plan? The time is now! Record activity level Increased service Constrained facilities

6 PROCESS Three phase approach 16 to 18 months to complete Stakeholder & public involvement WE ARE HERE

7 PROCESS PHASE I Phase I Goals & Objectives Inventory of Existing Conditions Forecast of Aviation Demand

8 PROCESS PHASE II Phase II Facility Requirements Alternatives Development Select Preferred Alternative

9 PROCESS PHASE III Phase III Implementation Plan Paper ALP Approval AGIS Completion

AIRPORT MASTER PLANNING What is the result of

demand Near & long term preferred development

10 AIRPORT MASTER PLANNING What is the result of the airport master plan? Technical Report Goals & Objectives Inventory of existing conditions Forecast of aviation demand Near & long term preferred development Preliminary environmental review Realistic CIP/implementation plan

drawing Inner portion of the approach surface

11 AIRPORT MASTER PLANNING What is the result of the airport master plan? AGIS Survey/eALP Aerial and topography Paper ALP ALP drawing Terminal aerial plan Airport airspace drawing Inner portion of the approach surface drawing Runway departure surface drawing On/off airport land use drawing Property Map

12 AIRPORT MASTER PLAN SCHEDULE INITIATION INVENTORY EXISTING CONDITIONS AVIATION FORECASTS DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR FACILITY REQUIREMENTS ALTERNATIVES DEVELOPMENT & EVAL AIRPORT PLANS WE ARE HERE IMPLEMENTATION PLAN REPORTS & DOCUMENTATION PUBLIC MEETINGS DELIVERABLE MEETINGS

13 COMMERCIAL AVIATION FORECAST Forecast of Aviation Demand Backbone of the Master Plan Review Historical Activity: MTJ Service Areas Approximately 73% of all MTJpassengers outside the airport service area Historically approximately 45% of annual traffic occurs in Q1

14 COMMERCIAL AVIATION FORECAST Enplanements Historical Enplanements 120, ,000 84,701 80,000 60,000 40,000 73,320 80,173 86,728 MTJ Enplanements increased by approximately 21% between 2011 and 2015, making 2015 a record year at MTJ 102,637 20,

15 COMMERCIAL AVIATION FORECAST Departing Seats Historical Departing Seats 160, , , , ,000 80,000 60,000 40, , , ,209 MTJ Seat Capacity has increased at MTJ by 10% between 2011 and ,941 20,

16 COMMERCIAL AVIATION FORECAST Historical Load Factor 80.0% MTJ Load Factor performance illustrates that demand has been keeping pace with the incremental capacity growth at MTJ 70.0% 65.8% 73.1% 70.3% 71.6% 72.8% Load Factor (%) 60.0% 50.0% 40.0%

17 COMMERCIAL AVIATION FORECAST Commercial Aviation Forecast Reviewed various forecasting methodologies including the following: Correlation of MTJenplanements growth to population and per capita income in Montrose County and US Share of MTJenplanements as a percentage of US national enplanements Correlation of MTJenplanements growth rate to FAA Northwest Mountain Region growth rate Correlation of MTJenplanements growth rate to CO Western Slope airports growth rate

18 COMMERCIAL AVIATION FORECAST Commercial Aviation Forecast Findings No statistical correlation between population and/or per capita income to MTJ enplanement No statistical correlation between MTJenplanements to national trends Comparable ( ) 10 year CAGR for Enplanements MTJ2.4% Northwest Mountain Region 1.5% CO Western Slope airports (MTJ, GJT, DRO, GUC, TEX) 2.5% *CAGR = Compound Average Annual Growth

19 COMMERCIAL AVIATION FORECAST Commercial Aviation Forecast Recommended Forecast Preferred forecast growth rate for MTJenplanements during the planning horizon of is 1.5% CAGR Equal to Northwest Mountain Region s 10 year CAGR This is a conservative forecast of future enplanements at MTJ MTJhas, and will continue to, gain additional traffic from TEXand GUC 5 year (2020) enplanement forecast is 8.6% higher than the TAF(110,732 vs. 101,969) 10 year (2025) enplanement forecast is 14.7% higher than the TAF(119,466 vs. 104,144) Within the acceptable range to be considered consistent with the TAF *TAF = FAA Terminal Area Forecast

20 COMMERCIAL AVIATION FORECAST Enplanement Forecast ,000 MTJ enplanements are projected to grow from approximately 104,000 in 2016 to 139,000 in ,000 Historical Forecast 125, ,000 75,000 TAF NW Mountain Enpl. Growth Driven CO Western Slope Enpl. Growth Driven Population Driven Personal Income Per Capita 50,000

21 COMMERCIAL AVIATION FORECAST Operations Forecast ,000 MTJ air carrier operations are projected to grow from approximately 4,000 in 2016 to 4,900 in ,000 Historical Forecast 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 TAF MTJ Air Carrier Operations Forecast 1,000

22 COMMERCIAL AVIATION FORECAST Forecast Enplanements & Operations vs. FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF) Year Airport Forecast (AF) Terminal Area Forecast (TAF) AF/TAF % Difference Passenger Enplanements Base Year ,637 99, % Base Year + 5 yrs , , % Base Year + 10 yrs , , % Base Year + 15 yrs , , % Base Year + 20 yrs , , % Commercial Operations Base Year ,764 5, % Base Year + 5 yrs ,252 5, % Base Year + 10 yrs ,469 5, % Base Year + 15 yrs ,697 6, % Base Year + 20 yrs ,888 6, %

23 AIRSIDE ISSUES BOUNDARY SURVEY POTENTIAL FUTURE AVIATION DEVELOPMENT RPZ LAND ACQUISITION PAVEMENT RUTTING IMPROVED SOUTH GA ACCESS

ENTRANCE WITH SIGNAL TERMINAL EXPANSION AREA ANALYZE CURBSIDE

24 TERMINAL AREA ISSUES COMMERCIAL APRON EXPANSION FBO DEVELOPMENT FUTURE FBO GROUND ACCESS RELOCATE RENTAL CAR WASH RELOCATE AIRPORT ENTRANCE WITH SIGNAL TERMINAL EXPANSION AREA ANALYZE CURBSIDE ACCESS IMPROVEMENTS FUTURE RENTAL CAR WASH & PARKING IMPROVED WAYFINDING

25 GOALS & OBJECTIVES VISIONING Visioning Session Interactive discussion with audience to provide input on Master Plan goals & objectives Make no little plans. They have no magic to stir men s blood and they themselves will not be realized. Daniel Burnham Planner and Architect

26 GOALS & OBJECTIVES VISIONING Questions to Consider What are the best things about Montrose Regional Airport? What is your future vision of the: Ground Access & Front Door Terminal Building Airfield Air Service General Aviation Development What can be improved?

27 NEXT STEPS Coordination with FAA & CDOT Finalize Working Paper #1 Goals & Objectives Inventory of Existing Conditions FAA Approval Forecast of Aviation Demand Next Stakeholder Meeting June 21 st Present Findings from Facility Requirements Charrette for Development Alternatives

28 THANK YOU

MONTROSE REGIONAL AIRPORT

MONTROSE REGIONAL AIRPORT FEBRUARY 25, 2016 DRAFT AGENDA READY FOR TAKE OFF WHAT ARE WE GOING TO DO TODAY? Introductions Why conduct an airport master plan? Master Plan Process Deliverables Schedule Identify