Moving into a new era of growth -Directions and drivers

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Moving into a new era of growth -Directions and drivers"

Transcription

1 Moving into a new era of growth -Directions and drivers Peter Harbison, CAPA Centre for Aviation CAPA India Aviation Summit, Mumbai, 30 January 2018

2 Basics in uncertain times 1. Fuel prices: a threat? 2. Evolving airline trends in 2017 Long haul LCCs wide and narrowbody TheGulf carriers: regrouping? 3. The impact of new aircraft technology on route network planning and airport city pairs 4. It s now or never for Indian aviation

3 The impact of oil prices

4 Oil prices are important drivers (Brent Crude prices USD) Three months change One year change 2016/17 One month change 5 year change 2012/17 Jet fuel prices are up 15% in the past quarter, and have risen by nearly one third in the past 12 months

5 The influence of oil prices: Paxgrowth well above classic multiples Barrel price (USD) Jan-2011 = Index $ USD Passenger yield / Load Factor / Passenger growth 10% 8% 6% 4% Airline operating profit (EBIT) Passenger growth Profit Load factor Average ticket price Oil barrel price Source: CAPA Centre for Aviation, IATA

6 Long haul low cost in the ascendancy

7 5 years global int l capacity growth Seats 180% Long Haul LCC Non-LCC Non-LCC * Gulf carriers ~ m 368.2m 317.6m 50.6m m 383.2m 323.8m 59.4m m 408.2m 340.5m 67.7m m 430.9m 352.4m 78.4m m 456.8m 368.4m 88.4m m 486.4m 393.9m 92.5m Market Share Long Haul LCC Non-LCC Non-LCC * Gulf carriers ~ % 97.4% 84.0% 13.4% % 97.0% 82.0% 15.0% % 96.4% 80.4% 16.0% % 96.0% 78.5% 17.5% % 95.4% 76.9% 18.5% % 94.9% 76.9% 18.1% Seat Growth Long Haul LCC Non-LCC Non-LCC * Gulf carriers ~ % 4.1% 4.1% 2.0% % 5.7% 6.5% 5.1% % 5.9% 5.6% 3.5% % 6.5% 6.0% 4.5% % 6.7% 6.5% 6.9% Source: CAPA Centre for Aviation and OAG 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% Long haul LCCs have more than doubled market share since 2012 Long Haul = Route greater than 4,000km * Non-LCC excluding Gulf carriers ~ Gulf Carriers = EK, EY, QR & TK LCC Non-LCC Non-LCC excluding Gulf carriers

8 The new order arrives:existing fleets and orders Europe I 5,434 O 1,913 Central Asia I 117 O 17 NE Asia I 4,451 O 1,168 SE Asia has 1:1 fleet:orders I = In Service O = On Order Africa I 658 O 118 North America I 5,409 O 1,421 in service Latin America I 1,298 O 701 Middle East I 1,400 O 1,035 South Asia I 591 O 825 Pacific I 440 O 184 SE Asia I 1,449 O 1,505 in service on order South Asiahas 1.3:1 The great bulk of these are narrowbodies Source: CAPA Fleet Database Aircraft on order with delivery scheduled to 2028

9 Long haul narrow body allowing connections between smaller city pairs

10 LH LCC Narrowbody in service & on order A320 neo AirAsia Citilink GoAir HK Express IndiGo Jetstar Airways Lion Air Lucky Air Peach Scoot Thai AirAsia VietJet Air 737 MAX Lion Air SpiceJet 9 Air 24% 30% A320 neo in service ,105 on order 737 MAX in service on order Particularly important for under 5,000km connectivity Full service LCC Aircraft on order with delivery scheduled to 2028 Source: CAPA Fleet Database

11 The Super-Connectors: losing steam?

12 The Super-Connectors: losing steam? 10 Year Growth rate: 13% p/a But in 2017 growth was only 0.5% Emirates: 2.8% Qatar: 0.8% Etihad: -3.6% Turkish: 1.8% Seats ASKs Flights Emirates 159.4% 177.6% 91.5% Etihad 210.4% 296.9% 266.1% Qatar 253.3% 365.9% 185.7% Turkish 240.5% 372.8% 186.7% Seats ASKs Flights Source: CAPA Centre for Aviation and OAG

13 The Super-Connectors: Revising strategies Previously only organic long haul growth; now to network with flydubai(and s ordered at the Dubai Airshow for Emirates Maxs for flydubai) Reducing in size, dropping partnership strategy, but no new strategy yet (Temporarily?) hamstrung by blockade; strong investments, in IAG, LATAM and Cathay Pacific Uncertainty at home; reduced expansion plans; new IST airport next year

14 India s last roll of the dice

15 India s aviation industry: time is of the essence There is a narrow window of opportunity for the privatisationof Air India Policy India s government needs to establish a clear and transparent policy environment for foreign (and local) investment Infrastructure India s airports are fast running out of capacity and the replacement clock is ticking

16 Why India needs a liberal aviation policy The vast majority of new aircraft to be based in India will be single aisle, narrowbodyaircraft Many of them will operate on routes of three to five hours and longer This creates enormous opportunities for international connections to and from smaller Indian cities, opening up new business markets Witha liberal policy, India s missed opportunity as a hub can be revitalised, as new aircraft types open up smaller gateways Source: Boeing Market Outlook 2018

17 Air India privatisation. This is the last chance It s now or never for Air India Industry s pace of change is accelerating The economy is performing strongly Overall, conditions are as good as they ll ever get In its current form there is limited prospect of growth or new employment It needs a new impetus for expansion As long as it languishes, there can be no healthy domestic market To secure the best outcome, financially and operationally, the airline should remain intact

18 CAPA Airport Capacity Saturation Index India s airports are fast running out of capacity and the replacement clock is ticking Airport Current Capacity (mn) Projected Capacity (mn) Saturation 10% CAGR Saturation 12.5% CAGR Saturation 15% CAGR Delhi FY23 FY22 FY21 Mumbai FY19 FY19 FY18 Bangalore FY27 FY25 FY24 Hyderabad FY31 FY28 FY27 Chennai FY21 FY20 FY20 Kolkata FY23 FY22 FY21 Cochin FY26 FY24 FY23 Other AAI FY22 FY21 FY21

19 Thankyou!

Commercial aviation. Market outlook, key trends driving growth and implications for airports. Dave Gamrath BCA Marketing.

Commercial aviation. Market outlook, key trends driving growth and implications for airports. Dave Gamrath BCA Marketing. Commercial aviation Market outlook, key trends driving growth and implications for airports Dave Gamrath BCA Marketing June 2014 BOEING is a trademark of Boeing Management Company. Copyright 2014 Boeing.

More information

World & Regional Capacity Analysis Ali Hajiyev

World & Regional Capacity Analysis Ali Hajiyev World & Regional Capacity Analysis Ali Hajiyev Istanbul Technical University Air Transportation Management M.Sc. Program Network, Fleet and Schedule Strategic Planning Module 3: 28 March 2016 Global Copyright

More information

INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC STATISTICS

INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC STATISTICS --PASSENGERS (IN MILLION)-- --PASSENGERS (IN MILLION)-- INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC STATISTICS APRIL-JUNE, 2016 * There are 88 scheduled international carriers - 5 Indian carriers and 83 Foreign carriers.

More information

TRANSFORMATION. Briefing. Thai Airways International PCL. 5 February 2015

TRANSFORMATION. Briefing. Thai Airways International PCL. 5 February 2015 Thai Airways International PCL 5 February 2015 TRANSFORMATION Briefing Operating Environment Environment Changes SEA was Asia s hub Middle East emerging as the new World hub Longer range aircraft technology

More information

INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC STATISTICS

INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC STATISTICS --PASSENGERS (IN MILLION)-- --PASSENGERS (IN MILLION)-- INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC STATISTICS April-June, 2017* There are 96 scheduled international carriers- 5 Indian carriers and 91 foreign carriers.

More information

Asia-Pacific Aviation: Growth and Challenges

Asia-Pacific Aviation: Growth and Challenges Asia-Pacific Aviation: Growth and Challenges A presentation to the ACI-NA International Aviation Issues Seminar Steve Martin Page 1 Page 2 Defining the Asia Pacific We ll call it GMT +5 GMT +12, minus

More information

INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC STATISTICS

INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC STATISTICS --PASSENGERS (IN MILLION)-- --PASSENGERS (IN MILLION)-- INTERNATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC STATISTICS October-December, 2016 * There are 92 scheduled international carriers - 5 Indian carriers and 87 Foreign carriers.

More information

Steve Hahn. Current Market Outlook. Director, Japan Enterprise Technology Programs. Boeing Commercial Airplanes July 2014.

Steve Hahn. Current Market Outlook. Director, Japan Enterprise Technology Programs. Boeing Commercial Airplanes July 2014. Current Market Outlook 2015 Boeing Commercial Airplanes July 2014 The statements contained herein are based on good faith assumptions and are to be used for general information purposes only. These statements

More information

Worldwide Fleet Forecast

Worldwide Fleet Forecast Worldwide Fleet Forecast Presented to: Montreal June 6, 26 DAVID BECKERMAN Director, Consulting Services Agenda State of the Industry Worldwide Fleet Regional Jets Narrowbody Jets Large Widebody Jets Freighter

More information

Future Challenges For the Indian. Market. CEO Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation. Andrew Miller. April 2006

Future Challenges For the Indian. Market. CEO Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation. Andrew Miller. April 2006 Future Challenges For the Indian Market Andrew Miller CEO Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation April 2006 Environmental Drivers Governments focus on tourism growth and regional dispersal stimulate economy

More information

Financial Results Q1 FY September 2017

Financial Results Q1 FY September 2017 Financial Results Q1 FY18 12 September 2017 2 Key Highlights Q1FY18 Net profit after tax of INR 58cr Ninth successive profitable quarter for the Group Gross debt reduced by INR 398cr and net debt almost

More information

Meeting the Demand The Battle for Asia Pacific s Airspace

Meeting the Demand The Battle for Asia Pacific s Airspace Meeting the Demand The Battle for Asia Pacific s Airspace The statements contained herein are based on good faith assumptions and are to be used for general information purposes only. These statements

More information

Global Market Forecast

Global Market Forecast Presentation by: Bob Lange SVP, Market & Product Strategy Global Market Forecast 2013-2032 Drivers for Growth Topics The Market Today & forecast (GMF) Airbus product response Air travel has proved to be

More information

John Schubert Managing Director Asia Pacific & India Marketing

John Schubert Managing Director Asia Pacific & India Marketing John Schubert Managing Director Asia Pacific & India Marketing September 2017. The statements contained herein are based on good faith assumptions are to be used for general information purposes only.

More information

FLEET WATCH A review of commercial aircraft orders and deliveries for 2015

FLEET WATCH A review of commercial aircraft orders and deliveries for 2015 A review of commercial aircraft orders and deliveries for 215 AIRCRAFT ORDERS There were 2,684 commercial aircraft ordered during 215, data from Flightglobal s Fleets Analyzer shows. Together with 31 cancellations

More information

JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD. Presentation on Financial Results Q July 24, 2009

JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD. Presentation on Financial Results Q July 24, 2009 JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD Presentation on Financial Results Q1 2010 July 24, 2009 1 1 1 Agenda Domestic operating environment Jet Airways performance highlights JetLite performance highlights Outlook 2 2 2 Domestic

More information

Randy Tinseth Vice President, Marketing Boeing Commercial Airplanes July 2010

Randy Tinseth Vice President, Marketing Boeing Commercial Airplanes July 2010 CURRENT MARKET OUTLOOK Randy Tinseth Vice President, Marketing Boeing Commercial Airplanes July 2010 BOEING is a trademark of Boeing Management Company. Copyright 2010 Boeing. All rights reserved. The

More information

Airlines across the world connected a record number of cities this year, with more than 20,000 city pair connections*

Airlines across the world connected a record number of cities this year, with more than 20,000 city pair connections* 1 Airlines across the world connected a record number of cities this year, with more than 20,000 city pair connections*. This is a 1,351 increase over 2016 and a doubling of service since 1996, when there

More information

2/12/2015. Live Project Report on. Under The Mentorship of: Rahul Agarwal, Chief Pilot. Submitted By: Vijay Satappa Magdum.

2/12/2015. Live Project Report on. Under The Mentorship of: Rahul Agarwal, Chief Pilot. Submitted By: Vijay Satappa Magdum. 2/12/2015 Live Project Report on Under The Mentorship of: Rahul Agarwal, Chief Pilot. Submitted By: Vijay Satappa Magdum PGP Student Indian Institute of Management, Indore Acknowledgements This project

More information

Randy Tinseth Vice President, Marketing Boeing Commercial Airplanes

Randy Tinseth Vice President, Marketing Boeing Commercial Airplanes Randy Tinseth Vice President, Marketing Boeing Commercial Airplanes June 2017. The statements contained herein are based on good faith assumptions are to be used for general information purposes only.

More information

Latin America Aviation in 2017

Latin America Aviation in 2017 Latin America Aviation in 2017 Peter Harbison Executive Chairman, CAPA Centre for Aviation Cartagena, 11-Sep-2017 The global market Benign economic conditions have stimulated traffic growth Broadly profitable

More information

PRESENTED BY: AL WANG SENIOR MANAGER, FORECASTING & MARKET PLANNING

PRESENTED BY: AL WANG SENIOR MANAGER, FORECASTING & MARKET PLANNING EXPERT INSIGHTS AND RELIABLE INFORMATION FOR THE AVIATION INDUSTRY 28th Annual Commercial Aviation Industry Suppliers Conference March 3-5, 2014 AIRCRAFT DELIVERY AND RETIREMENT FORECASTS PRESENTED BY:

More information

Airline Current Business Environment Alex Heiter

Airline Current Business Environment Alex Heiter Airline Current Business Environment Alex Heiter Istanbul Technical University Air Transportation Management M.Sc. Program Network, Fleet and Schedule Strategic Planning Module 2: 28 March 2016 The underlying

More information

ROUTE TRAFFIC FORECASTING DATA, TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES

ROUTE TRAFFIC FORECASTING DATA, TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES ROUTE TRAFFIC FORECASTING DATA, TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES Introduction and Background COURSE OBJECTIVES Understanding how economic factors impact demand for air travel. Understanding of how changes in airline

More information

IATA ECONOMIC BRIEFING FEBRUARY 2007

IATA ECONOMIC BRIEFING FEBRUARY 2007 IATA ECONOMIC BRIEFING FEBRUARY 27 NEW AIRCRAFT ORDERS KEY POINTS New aircraft orders remained very high in 26. The total of 1,834 new orders for Boeing and Airbus commercial planes was down slightly from

More information

Certain statements in this release concerning Jet Airways future growth prospects are forward-looking statements, which involve a number of risks,

Certain statements in this release concerning Jet Airways future growth prospects are forward-looking statements, which involve a number of risks, Certain statements in this release concerning Jet Airways future growth prospects are forward-looking statements, which involve a number of risks, and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ

More information

20-Year Forecast: Strong Long-Term Growth

20-Year Forecast: Strong Long-Term Growth 20-Year Forecast: Strong Long-Term Growth 10 RPKs (trillions) 8 Historical Future 6 4 2 Forecast growth annual rate 4.8% (2005-2024) Long-Term Growth 2005-2024 GDP = 2.9% Passenger = 4.8% Cargo = 6.2%

More information

THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ROUTE DEVELOPMENT SETTING THE SCENE MODULE 1

THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ROUTE DEVELOPMENT SETTING THE SCENE MODULE 1 THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ROUTE DEVELOPMENT SETTING THE SCENE THE FUNDAMENTALS OF ROUTE DEVELOPMENT Mike St Laurent Vice President, Consulting - ASM ASM BACKGROUND Global consultancy founded in 1993 to provide

More information

current market outlook

current market outlook current market outlook Randy Tinseth Vice President, Marketing Boeing Commercial Airplanes June 2011 The statements contained herein are based on good faith assumptions and provided for general information

More information

AIRASIA BERHAD 21 ST ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING

AIRASIA BERHAD 21 ST ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING AIRASIA BERHAD 21 ST ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING 4 JUNE 2014 1 2 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS 3 2013 Overview Malaysia 5.11 Revenue (billion) Operating Profit (billion) 1.03 Net Profit (billion) 0.79 +3% 4.95 1.01-2%

More information

Financial Results Q3 FY February 2016

Financial Results Q3 FY February 2016 Financial Results Q3 FY17 03 February 2016 2 Agenda Key performance highlights Jet Airways performance highlights 3 Key highlights Net profit after tax of INR 156.3 crores - Seventh successive profitable

More information

Aviation industry outlook

Aviation industry outlook Euro Aviation ICT Forum Thursday 29 October, 2015 Divani Caravel Hotel, Athens Aviation industry outlook Jonathan Wober, Chief Financial Analyst The leading independent supplier of global aviation knowledge

More information

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism Airport Forum. Jetstar Presentation 8 March 2011

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism Airport Forum. Jetstar Presentation 8 March 2011 資料 5 Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism Airport Forum Jetstar Presentation 8 March 2011 Welcome to Jetstar Jetstar is the leading Asia Pacific LCC Continuously profitable since 2004

More information

Global Airline Capacity Winter 2013/14 Boeing Commercial Airplanes

Global Airline Capacity Winter 2013/14 Boeing Commercial Airplanes Global Airline Capacity Winter 2013/14 Boeing Commercial Airplanes Istanbul Technical University Air Transportation Management M.Sc. Program BOEING is a trademark of Boeing Management Company. Network,

More information

Gregg Gildemann Market Analysis

Gregg Gildemann Market Analysis Gregg Gildemann Market Analysis Boeing Commercial Airplanes 20 February 2018 The statements contained herein are based on good faith assumptions are to be used for general information purposes only. These

More information

Jet Airways (India) Ltd. Presentation on Financial Results Q3 FY th January 2008

Jet Airways (India) Ltd. Presentation on Financial Results Q3 FY th January 2008 Jet Airways (India) Ltd. Presentation on Financial Results Q3 FY08 28 th January 2008 1 1 1 Agenda Performance highlights Q3 FY08 Apr - Dec FY08 Outlook JetLite performance highlights 2 2 2 Performance

More information

Happy Jetting. A Conversation With Dave Barger, President And Chief Executive Officer, JetBlue Airways, Page 14.

Happy Jetting. A Conversation With Dave Barger, President And Chief Executive Officer, JetBlue Airways, Page 14. A MAGAZINE FOR AIRLINE EXECUTIVES 2009 Issue No. 2 Taking your airline to new heights Happy Jetting A Conversation With Dave Barger, President And Chief Executive Officer, JetBlue Airways, Page 14. 11

More information

Financial Results Q2 FY December 2017

Financial Results Q2 FY December 2017 Financial Results Q2 FY18 07 December 2017 2 Key Highlights Q2FY18 Net profit after tax of INR 71cr Ten successive profitable quarters for the Group Net debt reduced during the quarter by INR 194cr Continued

More information

Aviation Updates. Mr. John Schubert. Managing Director, Marketing-Asia Pacific & India

Aviation Updates. Mr. John Schubert. Managing Director, Marketing-Asia Pacific & India Aviation Updates Mr. John Schubert Managing Director, Marketing-Asia Pacific & India Market Update The statements contained herein are based on good faith assumptions are to be used for general information

More information

Aero Expo 2016 Civil Aviation Convention & Exhibition Enhancing Regional & Remote Connectivity. November 18 th, 2016.

Aero Expo 2016 Civil Aviation Convention & Exhibition Enhancing Regional & Remote Connectivity. November 18 th, 2016. KNOWLEDGE PARTNER Aero Expo 2016 Civil Aviation Convention & Exhibition Enhancing Regional & Remote Connectivity November 18 th, 2016 Presented To: Shri Ashok Gajapathi Raju Pusapati Hon ble Minister of

More information

AIRPORT RETAILING IN INDIA: A STUDY OF GROWTH AND OPPORTUNITIES

AIRPORT RETAILING IN INDIA: A STUDY OF GROWTH AND OPPORTUNITIES AIRPORT RETAILING IN INDIA: A STUDY OF GROWTH AND OPPORTUNITIES Research Scholar Swami Ramanand Teerth Marathwada University, Nanded (MS) (INDIA) Airport retailing is a way forward for retailers around

More information

Growing Horizons Global Market Forecast

Growing Horizons Global Market Forecast Growing Horizons Global Market Forecast 2017-2036 John Leahy Chief Operating Officer, Customers Global Market Forecast 2017: Highlights World Fleet Forecast 2016 2036 RPK (trillions) 7.0 16.5 vs. GMF16

More information

2019 Airline Economics Growth Frontiers Dublin. Steven F. Udvar-Házy Executive Chairman

2019 Airline Economics Growth Frontiers Dublin. Steven F. Udvar-Házy Executive Chairman 2019 Airline Economics Growth Frontiers Dublin Steven F. Udvar-Házy Executive Chairman January 21, 2019 Forward Looking Statements Statements in this presentation that are not historical facts are hereby

More information

JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD. Presentation on Financial Results Q2 FY10

JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD. Presentation on Financial Results Q2 FY10 JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD Presentation on Financial Results Q2 FY10 October 27, 2009 1 1 1 Agenda Domestic operating environment Jet Airways performance highlights JetLite performance highlights Outlook 2 2

More information

Quarterly Aviation Industry Performance

Quarterly Aviation Industry Performance Quarterly Aviation Industry Performance ALAFCO Aviation Lease and Finance Company K.S.C.P. Quarterly Aviation Industry Performance 3Q17 (Updated November 17) Prepared by: Strategic Planning department

More information

Financial Results Q2 FY November 2016

Financial Results Q2 FY November 2016 Financial Results Q2 FY17 11 November 2016 2 Agenda Key performance highlights Jet Airways performance highlights 3 Key highlights Net profit after tax of INR 84.9 crores - Sixth successive profitable

More information

Global Market Forecast Presented by: JOHN LEAHY COO, Customers

Global Market Forecast Presented by: JOHN LEAHY COO, Customers Global Market Forecast 2012-2031 Presented by: JOHN LEAHY COO, Customers Global Market Forecast 2012: Highlights GMF 2012 key numbers and 20-year change World Fleet Forecast 2011 2031 % Change RPK (trillions)

More information

Introduction to Fleet Planning Dr. Peter Belobaba and Ali Hajiyev

Introduction to Fleet Planning Dr. Peter Belobaba and Ali Hajiyev Introduction to Fleet Planning Dr. Peter Belobaba and Ali Hajiyev Istanbul Technical University Air Transportation Management M.Sc. Program Network, Fleet and Schedule Strategic Planning Module 7: 29 March

More information

Financial Results Q2 FY December 2017

Financial Results Q2 FY December 2017 Financial Results Q2 FY18 07 December 2017 2 Key Highlights Q2FY18 Net profit after tax of INR 71cr Ten successive profitable quarters for the Group Net debt reduced during the quarter by INR 194cr Continued

More information

Industry perspective Current Market Outlook

Industry perspective Current Market Outlook Industry perspective Current Market Outlook Sam Bolooki Director International Business Development & Programs Boeing Global Air Traffic Management Oct. 2013 Agenda Aviation industry 20-year commercial

More information

Financial Results Q3FY February

Financial Results Q3FY February Financial Results Q3FY18 14 February Key Highlights Q3FY18 Net profit after tax of INR 186cr Eleven successive profitable quarters for the Group Operating revenue increased by 10.2% and PLF% by 4.4pts

More information

Quarterly Aviation Industry Performance

Quarterly Aviation Industry Performance Quarterly Aviation Industry Performance ALAFCO Aviation Lease and Finance Company K.S.C.P. Quarterly Aviation Industry Performance (March - June 17) Prepared by: Strategic Planning department 1 Quarterly

More information

Designing Hubs : Market Outlook, Opportunities and Challenges

Designing Hubs : Market Outlook, Opportunities and Challenges Designing Hubs : Market Outlook, Opportunities and Challenges Sukru Nenem Strategic Planning and Investments Manager Turkish Airlines Inc. and 1st Year Phd Candidate, University of Westminster mnenem@thy.com

More information

Dubai Airshow 2013 Business Aviation Market Update

Dubai Airshow 2013 Business Aviation Market Update Dubai Airshow 2013 Business Aviation Market Update Rob Wilson, President, Business & General Aviation MEBAA General Assembly November, 2013 2013 Business Aviation Outlook 27th year of survey, 22nd public

More information

ANA Group Announces Its Fiscal Year 2019 Flight Schedule

ANA Group Announces Its Fiscal Year 2019 Flight Schedule ANA NEWS ANA Group Announces Its Fiscal Year Flight Schedule ANA plans to accelerate growth by expanding its international network. New state-of-the-art aircraft will be introduced to further improve passenger

More information

Airline Performance and Capacity Strategies Dr. Peter Belobaba

Airline Performance and Capacity Strategies Dr. Peter Belobaba Airline Performance and Capacity Strategies Dr. Peter Belobaba Istanbul Technical University Air Transportation Management M.Sc. Program Network, Fleet and Schedule Strategic Planning Module 18 : 13 March

More information

AerCap Holdings N.V. Aengus Kelly, CEO. January 2017

AerCap Holdings N.V. Aengus Kelly, CEO. January 2017 AerCap Holdings N.V. Aengus Kelly, CEO January 2017 Industry Update Looking Back PASSENGER TRAFFIC GROWTH Air traffic growth in 2016 remained robust, short-haul at 5.6% and long-haul at 6.4% 1 CHINA SLOWING

More information

AerCap Holdings N.V. April 11, 2015

AerCap Holdings N.V. April 11, 2015 AerCap Holdings N.V. April 11, 2015 Disclaimer Incl. Forward Looking Statements & Safe Harbor This presentation contains certain statements, estimates and forecasts with respect to future performance and

More information

Airport forecasting is used in master planning to guide future development of the Airport.

Airport forecasting is used in master planning to guide future development of the Airport. Airport Forecasts Airport forecasting is used in master planning to guide future development of the Airport. 4.1 INTRODUCTION Airport forecasting ensures development is appropriate for passengers, ground

More information

JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD. Presentation on Financial Results Q4 FY08

JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD. Presentation on Financial Results Q4 FY08 JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD Presentation on Financial Results Q4 FY08 June 24, 2008 1 1 1 Agenda Domestic operating environment Jet Airways performance highlights JetLite performance highlights Consolidated Jet

More information

MRO Market Update & Industry Trends

MRO Market Update & Industry Trends January 25-26, 2017 Cancun, Mexico Presented by: Jonathan M. Berger Vice President ICF jberger@icf.com MRO Market Update & Industry Trends 0 Today s Agenda Fleet & MRO Forecast 2016: What a long strange

More information

Aircraft industry takes off while air transport remains grounded

Aircraft industry takes off while air transport remains grounded Aircraft industry takes off while air transport remains grounded Ludovic Subran, Chief Economist Aéronautique: l industrie en mode supersonique, le transport en mode planeur Yann Ludovic Subran, Lacroix,

More information

Aviation Performance in NSW

Aviation Performance in NSW Aviation Performance in NSW 2015-16 November 2016 This report by Tourism Futures International for Destination New South Wales reviews the operating environment and aviation performance of Sydney and NSW

More information

JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD. Financial Results Q1 FY09

JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD. Financial Results Q1 FY09 JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD Presentation on Financial Results Q1 FY09 July 29, 2008 1 1 1 Agenda Domestic operating environment Jet Airways performance highlights JetLite performance highlights Outlook 2 2 2 Domestic

More information

Key Highlights Q4FY18

Key Highlights Q4FY18 Key Highlights Q4FY18 Net loss after tax of INR 1,040cr Q4FY18 results adversely impacted on account of: Year-on-Year impact of increase in fuel prices of INR 366 crores; Mark-to-market adjustment due

More information

Dubai Air Show The IBA Review. Summary of Orders by Segment. Summary of Orders by OEM

Dubai Air Show The IBA Review. Summary of Orders by Segment. Summary of Orders by OEM Dubai Air Show 2017 The IBA Review As the aviation industry continues to face critical challenges amidst rising costs and increased global political and economic volatility, the focus shifts to the Middle

More information

UNDERSTANDING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AIR TRANSPORTATION AND TOURISM

UNDERSTANDING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AIR TRANSPORTATION AND TOURISM UNDERSTANDING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AIR TRANSPORTATION AND TOURISM Part 1: Global Trends and Policies Prepared for: Standing Committee for Economic and Commercial Cooperation of the Organization of

More information

Asia Pacific Aviation

Asia Pacific Aviation Asia Pacific Aviation EMBRACING FUTURE CHALLENGES Andrew Herdman Director General Association of Asia Pacific Airlines Overview Asia Pacific aviation Industry trends & outlook Evolving business strategies

More information

JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD. Presentation on Financial Results Q3 2012

JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD. Presentation on Financial Results Q3 2012 JET AIRWAYS (I) LTD Presentation on Financial Results Q3 2012 20.01.2012 1 1 1 Domestic operating environment 2 2 2 Domestic industry. 8.00 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 Q3 12 vs Q3 11 Industry capacity 17%

More information

2012 Result. Mika Vehviläinen CEO

2012 Result. Mika Vehviläinen CEO 2012 Result Mika Vehviläinen CEO 1 Agenda Market environment in Q4 Business performance and strategy execution Outlook Financials 2 Market Environment According to IATA, Global air travel continues to

More information

Introduction: Airline Industry Overview Dr. Peter Belobaba Presented by: Alex Heiter & Ali Hajiyev

Introduction: Airline Industry Overview Dr. Peter Belobaba Presented by: Alex Heiter & Ali Hajiyev Introduction: Airline Industry Overview Dr. Peter Belobaba Presented by: Alex Heiter & Ali Hajiyev Istanbul Technical University Air Transportation Management M.Sc. Program Network, Fleet and Schedule

More information

Financial Results Q3 FY16

Financial Results Q3 FY16 Financial Results Q3 FY16 6 February 2016 Agenda Key performance highlights Jet Airways performance highlights JetLite performance highlights 2 Key highlights Highest ever quarterly and period profit Jet

More information

State of the Aviation Industry

State of the Aviation Industry State of the Aviation Industry Presentation to the ACI Airport Economics & Finance 10 th 11 th February London, United Kingdom Laurie N. Price Director of Aviation Strategy Mott MacDonald Aviation Current

More information

AIRPORT MODERNISATION IN INDIA By K Roy Paul Secretary, Ministry of Civil Aviation, India and Chairman, Air-India Limited

AIRPORT MODERNISATION IN INDIA By K Roy Paul Secretary, Ministry of Civil Aviation, India and Chairman, Air-India Limited - 1 - AIRPORT MODERNISATION IN INDIA By K Roy Paul Secretary, Ministry of Civil Aviation, India and Chairman, Air-India Limited With phenomenal growth in air traffic, the importance of air transport in

More information

QANTAS HALF YEAR 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS 1

QANTAS HALF YEAR 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS 1 QANTAS HALF YEAR 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS 1 Key points: Underlying Profit Before Tax: $367 million Statutory Profit After Tax: $206 million Transformation benefits: $374 million Comparable unit cost reduction:

More information

ALAFCO Aviation Lease And Finance Co. KSCC

ALAFCO Aviation Lease And Finance Co. KSCC Information MEMORANDUM ALAFCO Aviation Lease And Finance Co. KSCC Mr. Abulqasim Abdulghaffar Redha Acting Chief Executive Officer The 5th Forum for Listed Companies and Analysts Kuwait 20 May 2013 Why

More information

ASEAN Single Aviation Market Agreement

ASEAN Single Aviation Market Agreement ASEAN Single Aviation Market Agreement CAREC Aviation Workshop, Singapore 6 April 2017 Brendan Sobie Chief Analyst and Southeast Asia Chief Representative CAPA Centre for Aviation Contents ASEAN-SAM background

More information

AACO Fuel Forum. Luis Felipe de Oliveira (IATA) Dubai, August 20 th, Presented by. Regional Head Airport Infrastructure and Fuel

AACO Fuel Forum. Luis Felipe de Oliveira (IATA) Dubai, August 20 th, Presented by. Regional Head Airport Infrastructure and Fuel AACO Fuel Forum Dubai, August 20 th, 2013 Presented by Luis Felipe de Oliveira (IATA) Regional Head Airport Infrastructure and Fuel Air transport is critical to the global economy We are a US$ 594 billion

More information

Airline financial performance

Airline financial performance Airline financial performance 30 March 2017 Brian Pearce Chief Economist, IATA www.iata.org/economics Airline Industry Economics Advisory Workshop 2016 1 The air transport paradox Source: McKinsey presentation

More information

Airbus market forecast for India. Presented by Joost van der Heijden Head of Airline Marketing India, South-East Asia, Japan & Africa

Airbus market forecast for India. Presented by Joost van der Heijden Head of Airline Marketing India, South-East Asia, Japan & Africa Airbus market forecast for India Presented by Joost van der Heijden Head of Airline Marketing India, South-East Asia, Japan & Africa The Airbus product line A380 Family A350 Family A330 Family A320 Family

More information

ANA s Growth Strategy

ANA s Growth Strategy ANA s Growth Strategy Shinya Katanozaka Member of the Board of Directors, Senior Executive Vice President All Nippon Airways Co., Ltd. January 08, 2013 ANA s History 2 Rising to the Challenges ~ Always

More information

Market Outlook. Michael Warner, Director Market Analysis. Boeing Commercial Airplanes October October 7 10, 2012 Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Market Outlook. Michael Warner, Director Market Analysis. Boeing Commercial Airplanes October October 7 10, 2012 Atlanta, Georgia, USA Market Outlook Michael Warner Director, Market Analysis Boeing Commercial Airplanes October 2012 Agenda Aviation environment Current products Product strategy & development 2012 719 net orders through

More information

Why choose Airline Media?????

Why choose Airline Media????? INFLIGHT MAGAZINES Did this question just pop up in you head?? Why choose Airline Media????? Because. Reach high net worth captive customers for distraction free viewing of your ads for 1 5 hrs Studies

More information

AIR TRAVEL AND ITS POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THE SAARC REGION

AIR TRAVEL AND ITS POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THE SAARC REGION AIR TRAVEL AND ITS POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THE SAARC REGION Amal S. Kumarage Professor of Civil Engineering, University of Moratuwa Chairman, National Transport Commission Sri Lanka Seminar, University

More information

Forecasting ina cyclical industry

Forecasting ina cyclical industry DAY 1: WEDNESDAY 18 APRIL 2012 Strategies and Tools for Forecasting ina cyclical industry Mario Formica, Vice President Strategic Marketing & AirlineStudies ATR at a glance The role of regional air transport

More information

ETIHAD AIRWAYS ANNOUNCES ORDER FOR UP TO 117 AIRBUS AIRCRAFT

ETIHAD AIRWAYS ANNOUNCES ORDER FOR UP TO 117 AIRBUS AIRCRAFT Sunday 17 November, 2013 ETIHAD AIRWAYS ANNOUNCES ORDER FOR UP TO 117 AIRBUS AIRCRAFT Major purchase to accommodate growth, increase efficiency and refresh fleet First order of new generation A320neo family

More information

AACO Members Quick Facts 2013

AACO Members Quick Facts 2013 2014 AACO Members Quick Facts 2013 Member Airlines 32 Billion $ Revenue (+10.0% over 2012) 49.5 Million Passengers Carried (+7.5% over 2012) 153 Million Tonnes of Cargo (+11.6% over 2012) 4.8 Destinations

More information

Gorham PMA Conference San Diego, CA March, 2016

Gorham PMA Conference San Diego, CA March, 2016 Gorham PMA Conference San Diego, CA 21-23 March, 2016 Presented by: Michael J. Howard Principal ICF International mhoward@icfi.com PMA Forecast and Market Trends 0 Today s Agenda MRO Forecast Meet the

More information

Africa, Airbus; A vision of the future

Africa, Airbus; A vision of the future Africa, Airbus; A vision of the future Addis Ababa March 13 th, 2013 Image: DSK Source: Global Insight, United Nations, Airbus GMF Africa Real GDP Urban population Intra-regional & domestic Inter-regional

More information

J.P. Morgan 2019 Global Emerging Markets Corporate Conference. Miami, February 2019

J.P. Morgan 2019 Global Emerging Markets Corporate Conference. Miami, February 2019 J.P. Morgan 2019 Global Emerging Markets Corporate Conference Miami, February 2019 This presentation may include forward-looking comments regarding the Company s business outlook and anticipated financial

More information

Aviation Performance in NSW

Aviation Performance in NSW Aviation Performance in NSW 2017-18 This report by Tourism Futures International for Destination New South Wales reviews the operating environment and aviation performance of Sydney and NSW over 2017 and

More information

Air Connectivity and Competition

Air Connectivity and Competition Air Connectivity and Competition Sainarayan A Chief, Aviation Data and Analysis Section, ATB Concept of Connectivity in Air Transport Movement of passengers, mail and cargo involving the minimum of transit

More information

Retirements and Inductions How are Fleet Demographics Changing?

Retirements and Inductions How are Fleet Demographics Changing? Retirements and Inductions How are Fleet Demographics Changing? Aviation Week Network: Aero-Engines Americas February 1, 218: Fort Lauderdale, USA TODAY S AGENDA Historic Commercial Air Transport Fleet

More information

Investor Presentation

Investor Presentation Investor Presentation ICR XChange January 17, 2008 Forward-Looking Statements Some of the statements in this presentation constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements relate to expectations,

More information

For personal use only

For personal use only QANTAS GROUP MARKET UPDATE SYDNEY, 5 December 2013: The Qantas Group today announced a market update, accelerated cost reductions and a capital expenditure and structural review, in response to fundamentally

More information

UBM Travel Brands. Events & Conferences. Data, Consultancy & Training. Media & Digital

UBM Travel Brands. Events & Conferences. Data, Consultancy & Training. Media & Digital UBM Travel Brands Events & Conferences Data, Consultancy & Training Media & Digital Why is Air Transport is Important? Aviation transports 2.7 billion passengers annually Aviation generates 33 billion

More information

Cathay Pacific Airways 2012 Analyst Briefing 28 June 2012

Cathay Pacific Airways 2012 Analyst Briefing 28 June 2012 Cathay Pacific Airways 2012 Analyst Briefing 28 June 2012 1 Airline Strategy Grow our international network, expand frequencies and further develop Hong Kong as one of the world s leading aviation hubs

More information

Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2018 Emerging Markets Corporate Credit Conference. Miami, May 2018

Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2018 Emerging Markets Corporate Credit Conference. Miami, May 2018 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2018 Emerging Markets Corporate Credit Conference Miami, May 2018 This presentation may include forward-looking comments regarding the Company s business outlook and anticipated

More information

Industry Monitor The EUROCONTROL bulletin on air transport trends

Industry Monitor The EUROCONTROL bulletin on air transport trends EUROCONTROL 2010 Issue N 118. 30/04/10 Industry Monitor The EUROCONTROL bulletin on air transport trends European air traffic increased by 1.6% in March International air traffic grew 9% during the first

More information

on the Europe-Asia market

on the Europe-Asia market The impact of the expansion of Dubai International Airport and EMIRATES on international airline competition. Dr. Christoph Brützel The impact of EMIRATES growth strategy on the Europe-Asia market the

More information