IAG results presentation. Quarter Three st October 2014

Transcription

1 IAG results presentation Quarter Three st October 2014

2 Q3 financial summary OPERATING PROFIT TOTAL UNIT REVENUE PAX UNIT REVENUE 900m (reported, pre-exceptional items) -1.9% (constant FX) -0.9% (constant FX) + 210m (reported change) -0.5% (reported, 86m FX benefit) +0.4% (reported) TRAFFIC/CAPACITY TOTAL UNIT COST EX-FUEL UNIT COST ASKs: +9.0% (reported) RPKs: +8.1% (reported) -5.7% (constant FX) -3.5% (reported, 112m FX drag) -4.5% (constant FX) -1.0% (reported) Q3 results Financial summary 2

3 Q3 operating profit drivers OPERATING PROFIT 900m (reported, pre-exceptional items) + 210m (reported change) FX - 26m Q3 net + 236m Contribution to operating profit at constant FX Q3 results Operating profit 3

4 Q3 results Cost Ex-fuel cost Fuel Fleet Capacity plan Capacity changes Network ASK by region RASK by region Product Revenue Brands 4

5 Q3 ex-fuel unit cost: further progress from Iberia EX-FUEL UNIT COST -4.5% (constant FX) -1.0% (reported) FX +3.5pts Q3 net -4.5% worse better Contribution to ex-fuel CASK at constant FX, % change Q3 cost Ex-fuel unit cost 5

6 Fuel: price tailwind offset by Dollar strength Jet fuel price ($/mt) $1,050 Key: $1,000 Current spot / hedge blended price $950 $900 $ -8.1% -2.0% $ -9.7% -3.5% $ -9.6% -1.7% $ -11.7% -6.4% $ -9.8% -3.5% fuel price headwind Effective price last year post-hedge fuel price tailwind $850 Current spot / hedge blended price spot price $810/MT $800 $750 91% 85% 72% 51% 74% hedge ratio Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 next 12 mths 2014 fuel bill scenario - 6.0bn (at $810/MT and 1.27$/ ) Q3 cost Fuel 6

7 Q3 results Cost Ex-fuel cost Fuel Fleet Capacity plan Capacity changes Network ASK by region RASK by region Product Revenue Brands 7

8 2014 capacity growth and contributions BA: Q4-14 and FY2014 capacity planned to be +3.4% and +5.8% respectively Iberia: Q4-14 and FY2014 capacity planned to be +8.5% and +3.7% respectively Vueling: Q4-14 and FY2014 capacity planned to be +21.7% and +24.9% respectively 4.9% 8.0% 9.0% 6.0% 7.1% 3.7% 6.3% 6.5% 4.1% 5.2% IAG (pro-forma: as if Vueling had been fully in the base) IAG LfL (BA + IB) Vueling contribution (reported) Iberia contribution BA contribution Vueling not in base effect Q1-14 Q2-14 Q3-14 Q Q3 fleet Capacity plan 8

9 Q4 changes: reduction in growth at BA Network changes Like-for-like changes New routes for BA include Austin, Punta Cana, and CityFlyer routes to Dublin, Florence, and Rotterdam Restored routes for Iberia are Amsterdam, Stockholm, Istanbul Montevideo, and Santo Domingo BA Q4-13 ASK +1.2pts new routes discontinued routes -0.5pts sector length -0.1pts +1.7pts aircraft gauge +1.1pts frequency/ other Q4-14 ASK +3.4% Suspended BA routes include Freetown/ Monrovia New routes for Vueling driven by Rome-Fiumicino IB frequency change driven by Mexico City, Santiago and Panama City VY frequency change driven by Paris-Madrid, Paris- Rome, and Barcelona-Tenerife IB Q4-13 ASK VY Q4-13 ASK +6.3pts restored routes +21.7pts new routes discontinued routes -0.5pts discontinued routes +0.1pts sector length sector length aircraft gauge -0.1pts +0.2pts aircraft gauge +2.7pts frequency/ other +3.1pts frequency/ other Q4-14 ASK Q4-14 ASK +8.5% +21.7% New routes are routes that were not operated in the base period -2.2pts -1.1pts Q3 fleet Capacity changes 9

10 Q3 results Cost Ex-fuel cost Fuel Fleet Capacity plan Capacity changes Network ASK by region RASK by region Product Revenue Brands 10

11 Q3 capacity and passenger unit revenue change North America +7.1% Domestic +13.0% ASK +9.0% Europe +13.5% North America +0.6% Domestic -3.6% RASK -0.9% Europe -3.9% Latin America +6.0% AMESA +6.2% Asia Pacific +10.6% Latin America -6.7% AMESA -1.1% Asia Pacific -0.6% IAG at constant FX vly Q3 network ASK & RASK by region 11

12 Q3 products: stable everywhere TOTAL UNIT REVENUE -1.9% (constant FX) -0.5% (reported, 86m FX benefit) FX +1.4pts Q3 net -1.9% Contribution to RASK at constant FX, % change Q3 product Total unit revenue 12

13 Financial performance by brand Q ( m) vly Q ( m) vly Q ( m) vly Revenue 3, % 1, % % Cost 2, % 1, % % Operating result Operating margin 15.0% +2.2pts 13.1% +6.9pts 20.7% -4.2pts Lease adjusted margin 15.2% +2.1pts 15.2% +7.0pts 23.1% -4.0pts ASK (m) 44, % 15, % 9, % RPK (m) 38, % 12, % 7, % Sector length (kms) 3, % 2, % 1, % RASK % % % CASK % % % CASK ex-fuel % % % Employee cost per ASK % % % Q3 product Brand performance 13

14 Balance sheet

15 Balance sheet: gearing marginally down Excludes IAS 19 amendments Gross debt increase as result of new fleet deliveries in BA Cash: BA 2.5bn (Dec 13: 1.9bn), Iberia 0.9bn (Dec 13: 0.7bn), Vueling 0.8bn (Dec 13: 0.5bn) m Dec 2013 Sep 2014 Adjusted equity 5,772 6,620 Gross debt 5,122 6,155 Cash, cash equivalents & interest bearing deposits 3,633 5,064 On balance sheet net debt 1,489 1,091 Gearing 21% 14% Aircraft lease capitalisation (x8) 4,212 4,456 Adjusted net debt 5,701 5,547 Adjusted gearing 50% 46% Q3 results Balance sheet 15

16 Outlook

17 Current trading Short-haul Long-haul Non-premium Stable Stable Premium Stable Stable Cargo Improving Outlook Current trading 17

18 Guidance for FY2014 Operating profit (base = 770m) Improvement in the range of 550m- 600m Fuel bill scenario 6.0bn ($810/MT and 1.27$/ ) ASK +9.3% (reported) +7.1% (pro-forma) 18

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20 Contribution heat map how it works 1 Weighting of item in current P&L at constant FX FX - 9m 2 Each shading shows yoy change in 3% bands, with neutral being +/- 1%. Whole scale is +/- 10% Darker shades are outside range 3 Effective fuel price at constant currency decreased by 4-7% 20

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