Orders and deliveries report

Transcription

1 AIRFINANCE DEALS DATABASE Orders and deliveries report Q

2 BACKLOG OVERVIEW BACKLOG WORLD BACKLOG DISTRIBUTION BY ASSET CLASS 23.7% 16.9% 3.8% Regional 11% Turboprop 5% 7.7% 2.4% Widebody 19% 1.% 6.7% Narrowbody 65% 4.3% BY CUSTOMER PROFILE Other 16% Lessor 2% Airline 64% ATR BACKLOG BY REGION AND MANUFACTURER ATR Comac Irkut MRJ Sukhoi Total Africa 6.9% % 61 1.% 8 2.% 3.4%.% 6 1.7%.%.% 15 1.% Asia % % % % % % % % % % Oceania % 4 2.8% 17.3% % % %.%.%.% % Europe % % % %.% %.%.% % % Latin America % % %.%.% 3 5.1%.%.% 5 2.5% % Middle East % 13 9.% % %.% 1.2%.%.%.% % North America % % % % % %.% % % % Russia CIS % 5 3.5% % %.% 2.3% %.% % % Not Disclosed % % % 3 7.7%.% 2 3.4% 5 1.4%.%.% % Total % 144.9% % % % % % % % BACKLOG BY CUSTOMER PROFILE No % No % No % No % No % No % No % No % No % No % Airline % % % % % % % % % % Lessor % % % % % 1 17.% %.% % % Other % % % % % 2 3.4% 5 1.4%.%.% % Comac Irkut MRJ Sukhoi BY PROGRAMME STATUS In production 34% Not in production 66%

3 BACKLOG OVERVIEW-WIDEBODY AIRCRAFT BACKLOG WORLD BACKLOG DISTRIBUTION 2.7% 21.6% 13.2% 2.% 2.4% 25.4% 23.7% 2.9% BACKLOG. WIDEBODY AIRCRAFT AIRBUS Orders BOEING Orders 1 AirAsia X 96 Emirates Singapore Airlines 79 Etihad Airways 92 3 Qatar Airways 78 FedEx 83 4 Etihad Airways 68 Qatar Airways 69 5 Emirates 68 All Nippon Airways 65 6 Delta 56 ILFC 59 7 Air Lease Corporation 5 Air Lease Corporation 53 8 Cathay Pacific 46 United Airlines 48 9 United Airlines 35 American Airlines 31 1 Asiana Airlines 32 Korean Air 3 11 JAL 31 Singapore Airlines 3 12 CASC 3 British Airways Iberia 28 Air Canada CIT Aerospace 28 EVA Air TAM Linhas Aéreas 27 Aeroflot 25 BACKLOG. AIRCRAFT IN PRODUCTION AIRBUS Orders BOEING Orders 1 Singapore Airlines 79 FedEx 83 MARKET SHARE BY MANUFACTURER 2 Emirates 68 ILFC 59 TOTAL 3 Etihad Airways 46 All Nippon Airways 42 No % No % No % 4 Qatar Airways 41 Emirates 42 Africa % 12.8% 53 2.% 5 Delta 31 Etihad Airways 37 Asia % % % 6 CASC 3 American Airlines 31 Oceania % % % 7 AirAsia X 3 United Airlines 3 Europe % % % 8 Iberia 28 Korean Air 3 Lat Am % 29 2.% % 9 TAM Linhas Aéreas 27 Air Canada 27 Mid East % % % 1 Air France-KLM Group 25 Aeroflot 25 North America % % % 11 Lufthansa 25 Air France-KLM Group 25 Russia CIS 25 2.% 4 2.8% % 12 International Airfinance Corporation 22 Air Lease Corporation 23 Not Disclosed % % % 13 Cathay Pacific 2 JAL 22 Total % % Air Lease Corporation 2 Norwegian Air Shuttle 19 ORDERS BY CUSTOMER PROFILE 15 Amedeo 2 Delta 18 Airline % % % Lessor % % % Other % % % AIRCRAFT IN PRODUCTION AIRCRAFT NOT IN PRODUCTION BACKLOG BY REGION AND MANUFACTURER IN PRODUCTION NOT IN PRODUCTION No (%) No (%) Africa % 1.2% 4 1.%.% Asia % 16.9% % 2.1% Asia Pacific % 2.4%.%.% Europe % 11.9% % 7.% Lat Am % 3.% 3.7%.% Mid East % 15.9% % 58.% North America % 3.9% % 12.7% Russia CIS 7 4.8% 4.1% %.% Not Disclosed % 13.6% % 2.2% Total % 53.2% % 52.1% ORDERS BY CUSTOMER PROFILE Airline % 73.% % 89.1% Lessor % 12.% % 8.8% Other % 15.% 1.% 2.2% 53% 47% 52% 48% WIDEBODY AIRCRAFT

4 BACKLOG OVERVIEW-NARROWBODY AIRCRAFT BACKLOG WORLD BACKLOG DISTRIBUTION BACKLOG BY MANUFACTURER. NARROWBODY AIRCRAFT AIRBUS Orders BOEING Orders COMAC Orders IRKUT Orders 1 IndiGo 43 Southwest Airlines 256 Henan Airlines 1 Avia Capital Services 85 2 AirAsia 39 Ryanair 254 CCB Financial Leasing 5 Rostekhnologii 5 3 Lion Air 221 Lion Air 245 ICBC Leasing 45 Ilyushin Finance 5 4 ILFC 214 American Airlines 142 ABC Financial Leasing 45 Crecom Burj Resources 5 5 Easyjet 181 Air Lease Corporation 138 BOCOM Leasing 3 VEB Leasing 3 6 American Airlines 175 Norwegian Air Shuttle 136 GECAS 2 Air Excellence Aviation 21 7 Wizz Air 146 GECAS 128 Air China 2 Sberbank Leasing 2 8 Air Lease Corporation 142 United Airlines 111 BOC Aviation 2 Nordwind Airlines 5 9 Avianca 142 BOC Aviation 97 China Aircraft Leasing C 2 1 Lufthansa 136 Turkish Airlines 95 China Southern 2 11 GECAS 122 SMBC Aviation Capital 9 Sichuan Airlines 2 12 SMBC Aviation Capital 114 flydubai 86 Hainan Airlines 2 13 BOC Aviation 19 AerCap 85 Hebei Airlines 2 14 China Aircraft Leasing C 17 GOL Transportes Aereo 73 Industrial Bank Financia 2 15 Turkish Airlines 14 Aviation Capital Group 72 China Eastern 2 BACKLOG. AIRCRAFT IN PRODUCTION AIRBUS Orders BOEING Orders 1 Easyjet 51 Southwest Airlines 256 MARKET SHARE BY MANUFACTURER 2 BOC Aviation 47 Ryanair 254 Comac Irkut TOTAL 3 Delta 45 Lion Air 245 No % No % No % No % No % 4 American Airlines 45 American Airlines 142 Africa 19.3% %.% 6 1.7% 74.7% 5 Kingfisher Red 43 Air Lease Corporation 138 Asia % % 2 4.% % % 6 Lion Air 38 Norwegian Air Shuttle 136 Oceania % % %.% % 7 Spirit Airlines 37 GECAS 128 Europe % %.%.% % 8 Wizz Air 36 United Airlines 111 Lat Am % %.%.% % 9 Lufthansa 35 BOC Aviation 97 Mid East % %.%.% % 1 China Aircraft Leasing Company 33 Turkish Airlines 95 North America % % 2 4.%.% % 11 TAM Linhas Aéreas 32 SMBC Aviation Capital 9 Russia CIS 6 1.1% %.% % % 12 International Airfinance Corporation 3 flydubai 86 Not Disclosed % %.% 5 1.4% % 13 Aerospace International Group 27 AerCap 85 Total % % 5 4.6% % VietJetAir 25 GOL Transportes Aereos 73 ORDERS BY CUSTOMER PROFILE 15 Kingfisher Airlines 24 Aviation Capital Group 72 Airline % % % % % Lessor % % % % % Other % %.% 5 1.4% % BACKLOG BY REGION AND MANUFACTURER IN PRODUCTION NOT IN PRODUCTION No (%) No % AIRCRAFT IN PRODUCTION 56% 5.1% 22.% 44% 18.4%.7% 3.7% 4.1% 2.5% 6.1% AIRCRAFT NOT IN PRODUCTION 36% Irkut Comac 4% 6% 54% Comac Irkut Comac Irkut Africa % 1.5% %.9%.% 1.7% Asia % 9.5% % 14.1% 4.% 2.4% Oceania % -5.1% % 2.2% 92.%.% Europe % 17.% % 2.%.%.% Lat Am % 3.7% % 3.9%.%.% Mid East % 2.2% % 3.8%.%.% North America % 31.8% % 25.1% 4.%.% Russia CIS % 5.4% 266.%.%.% 76.4% Not Disclosed % 34.1% % 3.%.% 1.4% Total % 56.4% % 36.3% 6.% 4.1% ORDERS BY CUSTOMER PROFILE Airline % 52.2% % 5.7% 48.% 1.6% Lessor % 1.5% % 19.3% 52.% 87.9% Other % 37.3% % 3.%.% 1.4% NARROWBODY AIRCRAFT

5 BACKLOG OVERVIEW - REGIONAL AIRCRAFT BACKLOG WORLD BACKLOG DISTRIBUTION AIRCRAFT IN PRODUCTION 39.6% 12.8% 6.8% Sukhoi 3% 22% 2.7% 15.4%.4% 17.4% 2.2% 48% AIRCRAFT NOT IN PRODUCTION MRJ 24% 2% Comac MRJ Sukhoi BACKLOG BY REGION AND MANUFACTURER TOTAL IN PRODUCTION Comac MRJ Sukhoi Total Sukhoi Total No % No % No % No % No % No % No % No % No % No % Africa 3.9% 3 1.2%.%.%.% 6.4% 3 2.%.%.% 3.4% Asia % % % % % % 4 2.7% 16 5.% % % Oceania % % %.%.% % % %.% % Europe %.% %.% % % % % % % Lat Am.%.% 3 5.1%.% 5 2.5% %.%.% 5 2.5% 5.7% Mid East %.% 1.2%.%.% % % 1.3%.% % North America % 5 2.% % % % % % % % % Russia CIS %.% 2.3%.% % %.% 2.6% % % Not Disclosed %.% 2 3.4%.%.% % % 2 6.2%.% % Total % % % % % % % 22 3.% 674 ORDERS BY CUSTOMER PROFILE Airline % % % % % % % % % % Lessor % % 1 17.%.% % % -6-4.% % % % Other % % 2 3.4%.%.% 6 3.7% % 2 6.2%.% 47 7.% 29% Comac 27% REGIONAL AIRCRAFT

6 BACKLOG OVERVIEW-REGIONAL AIRCRAFT BACKLOG BACKLOG BY MANUFACTURER. REGIONAL AIRCRAFT Backlog Comac Backlog Backlog MRJ Backlog Sukhoi Backlog 1 Republic Airlines 4 Joy Air 5 Skywest Airlines 16 Skywest Airlines 1 Kartika Airlines 3 2 Macquarie AirFinance 4 Merpati Nusantara Airlines 4 ILFC 5 Trans States Airlines 5 Pearl Aircraft Corporation 3 3 Ilyushin Finance 32 Shanghai Financial Leasing 3 Air Costa 5 JAL 32 Utair 24 4 Lufthansa 3 ICBC Leasing 3 Republic Airlines 49 Eastern Air Lines 2 Ilyushin Finance 2 5 Air Nostrum 25 Chengdu Airlines 29 FlyBe 44 Air Mandalay 6 CityJet 15 6 Lease Corporation Internationa 2 Shenzhen Financial Leasing 2 American Airlines 36 Orient Thai Airlines 12 7 China Express Airlines 2 Hebei Airlines 1 Azul Linhas Aereas 3 Yamal Airlines 1 8 American Airlines 18 Shandong Airlines 1 Aircastle 25 Aviotech 1 9 Al Qahtani Aviation Company 16 Merkukh Enterprises 9 JetBlue 24 Finance Leasing Company 1 1 AirBaltic 13 Xiamen Airlines 6 United Airlines 23 Sky Aviation 9 11 Braathens Regional 1 Shanghai Airlines 5 Hainan Airlines 22 Blue Panorama Airlines 8 12 Gulf Air 1 Myanma Airways 2 KLM Cityhopper 17 Bek Air 7 13 Korean Air 1 Aldus Aviation 16 Transaero 6 14 Odyssey Airlines 1 JAL 15 Willis Lease 6 15 Delta 7 ICBC Leasing 1 Interjet 5 Air Nostrum Lufthansa China Express Airlines American Airlines Odyssey Airlines Gulf Air Delta Felix Airways PrivatAir Braathens Regional Adria Airways Skywest Airlines Republic Airlines FlyBe American Airlines JetBlue United Airlines Hainan Airlines KLM Cityhopper Aldus Aviation JAL Colorful Guizhou Airlines Corporate Owner Suzuyo Azal Kartika Airlines Pearl Aircraft Corporation Utair Ilyushin Finance CityJet Orient Thai Airlines Yamal Airlines Aviotech Finance Leasing Company Sky Aviation Blue Panorama Airlines Bek Air Transaero Willis Lease Interjet BACKLOG BY MANUFACTURER. REGIONAL AIRCRAFT (IN PRODUCTION) Backlog Backlog Sukhoi Backlog 1 Air Nostrum 25 Skywest Airlines 6 Kartika Airlines 3 2 Lufthansa 2 Republic Airlines 49 Pearl Aircraft Corporation 3 3 China Express Airlines 2 FlyBe 44 Utair 24 4 American Airlines 18 American Airlines 36 Ilyushin Finance 2 5 Odyssey Airlines 1 JetBlue 24 CityJet 15 6 Gulf Air 1 United Airlines 23 Orient Thai Airlines 12 7 Delta 7 Hainan Airlines 2 Yamal Airlines 1 8 Felix Airways 6 KLM Cityhopper 17 Aviotech 1 9 PrivatAir 5 Aldus Aviation 16 Finance Leasing Company 1 1 Braathens Regional 5 JAL 15 Sky Aviation 9 11 Adria Airways 1 Colorful Guizhou Airlines 5 Blue Panorama Airlines 8 12 Corporate Owner 4 Bek Air 7 13 Suzuyo 3 Transaero 6 14 Azal 2 Willis Lease 6 15 Interjet 5 REGIONAL AIRCRAFT

7 BACKLOG OVERVIEW-TURBOPROP MARKET BACKLOG WORLD BACKLOG DISTRIBUTION 14.9% 18.1% 8.5% 2.1% 8.5% 9.% 2.1% MARKET SHARE BY MANUFACTURER ATR TOTAL No % No % No % Africa % 5 9.8% % Asia %.% 17 9.% Oceania 4 2.8%.% 4 2.1% Europe % 1 2.% % Lat Am %.% % Mid East 13 9.% 4 7.8% % North America % % % Russia CIS 5 3.5%.% 4 2.1% Not Disclosed % % % Total % % 188 BACKLOG BY CUSTOMER PROFILE Airline % % % Lessor % 1 2.% % Other % % % AIRCRAFT IN PRODUCTION Nordic Aviation Capital Dubai Aerospace Enterprise Lion Air Cebu Pacific Binter Canarias Air New Zealand JAL Braathens Regional Air Madagascar Bangkok Airways Myanma Airways Nordstar Airlines Garuda Indonesia Bahamasair Afrijet WestJet Encore Jazz Air WestJet GECAS Horizon Air Eurolot Arik Air Island Air Falcon Aviation Services Air Cote d'ivoire 26% ATR 74% BACKLOG. TURBOPROP AIRCRAFT ATR Orders Orders 1 Nordic Aviation Capital 34 WestJet Encore 13 2 Dubai Aerospace Enterprise 2 Jazz Air 8 3 Lion Air 19 WestJet 4 4 Cebu Pacific 16 GECAS 4 5 Binter Canarias 1 Horizon Air 3 6 Air New Zealand 9 Eurolot 3 7 JAL 8 Arik Air 3 8 Braathens Regional 7 Island Air 2 9 Air Madagascar 6 Falcon Aviation Services 2 1 Bangkok Airways 5 Air Cote d'ivoire 1 11 Myanma Airways 5 12 Nordstar Airlines 5 13 Garuda Indonesia 4 14 Bahamasair 4 15 Afrijet 4 TURBOPROP AIRCRAFT

8 DELIVERIES OVERVIEW DELIVERIES GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION BY ASSET CLASS 25.9% 17.4% 1.5% Widebody 23% Turboprop 12% 8.8% 17.4% Regional 11% 1.5% 19.% 8.4% Narrowbody 54% BY CUSTOMER PROFILE Other 2% 25 2 Lessor 24% ATR DELIVERIES BY REGION AND MANUFACTURER ATR Sukhoi Total Africa.% 1 2.6% 5 2.7% 1 5.3%.%.% 7 1.5% Asia % % % 2 1.5% 2 5.4%.% % Oceania % % %.% %.% % Europe % % % % 4 1.8%.% % Latin America % 2 5.1% 7 3.8%.% 4 1.8% % 4 8.4% Middle East % 3 7.7% %.%.%.% % North America % 4.% % % %.% % Russia CIS.%.% 4 2.2%.%.% % 7 1.5% Not Disclosed.%.%.%.% 1 2.7%.% 1.2% Total % % % 19 4.% % 7 1.5% 478 No % No % No % No % No % No % No % Airline % % % % % 7 1.% % Lessor % % % %.%.% % Other 5 2.6%.% 4 2.2%.% 1 2.7%.% 1 2.1% Sukhoi 37 (63.3%) DELIVERIES IN CAPE TOWN COUNTRIES 158 (32.6%) DELIVERIES IN G8 COUNTRIES 19 (22.5%) DELIVERIES IN BRICS COUNTRIES Airline 74%

9 DELIVERIES OVERVIEW-WIDEBODY AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES 68 (6.2%) DELIVERIES IN CAPE TOWN COUNTRIES BREAKDOWN BY MANUFACTURER BREAKDOWN BY CUSTOMER TYPE 32 (28.3%) DELIVERIES IN G8 COUNTRIES Airline 1% 12 (1.6%) DELIVERIES IN BRICS COUNTRIES 45% 55% GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION 17.% 18.8% 1.8% 4 2.7% 25.% 22.3% 7.1% 35 3 A % A35 1 A38 AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES BY MANUFACTURER TOTAL No % No % No % Africa.% 3 4.8% 3 2.7% Asia % % % AVERAGE PRODUCTION RATES Oceania 5 1.% 3 4.8% 8 7.1% Europe % % % A33 A35 A Lat Am 3 6.% 3 4.8% 6 5.4% No % No % No % No % No % No % No % Mid East % % % Average (PM) North America 5 1.% % % Oct % % 2 25.% 1 2% 1 5.% % % Russia CIS.% 2 3.2% 2 1.8% Nov 1 3.3% % % 4 8% 1 5.% % % Not Disclosed.%.%.% Dec % % % %.% % % Total % % 112 Total % 9 18.% 8 16.% 5 8% 2 3% 21 34% 34 55% Airline 35 7.% % % Airline 2 6.6% % 8 1.% 5 1% 2 1.% % % Lessor 15 3.% 6 9.7% % Lessor % %.% %.% 2 9.5% % Other.%.%.% Other.%.%.% %.%.%.% 777 WIDEBODY AIRCRAFT

10 DELIVERIES OVERVIEW-NARROWBODY AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES 174 (67.2%) DELIVERIES IN CAPE TOWN COUNTRIES BREAKDOWN BY MANUFACTURER BREAKDOWN BY CUSTOMER TYPE 8 (3.9%) DELIVERIES IN G8 COUNTRIES 82 (31.7%) DELIVERIES IN BRICS COUNTRIES GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION 46% 54% Airline 7% Lessor 28% Other 2% 27.% 15.4%.8% 9.3% AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES BY MANUFACTURER TOTAL No % No % No % Africa.% 2 1.7% 2.8%.8% 3.5% North America Mid East Asia Pacific Russia CIS Asia % % % AVERAGE PRODUCTION RATES 15.4% 27.8% Oceania % 36 3.% % Europe % % % A319 A32 A Lat Am % 4 3.3% % No % No % No % No % No % No % Mid East 8 5.8% 1.8% 9 3.5% Average (PM) North America % % 7 27.% Oct 2 5.4% % % % % % Russia CIS.% 2 1.7% 2.8% Nov.% % %.% % % Not Disclosed.%.%.% Dec.% % % % % % Total % % 259 Total 2 1.4% % % 3 2.5% % % Airline % % % Airline 2 1.% % 41 75% % % 1 9.9% Lessor % % % Lessor.% % 14 25% % % 1 9.1% Other.% 4 3.3% 4 1.5% Other.%.% %.% 4 3.8%.% A319 A32 A NARROWBODY AIRCRAFT

11 DELIVERIES OVERVIEW-REGIONAL AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES 24 (44.4%) DELIVERIES IN CAPE TOWN COUNTRIES 32 (59.3%) DELIVERIES IN G8 COUNTRIES BREAKDOWN BY MANUFACTURER 17% Comac 2% BREAKDOWN BY CUSTOMER TYPE Lessor 6% Other 2% 13 (24.1%) DELIVERIES IN BRICS COUNTRIES Sukhoi 13% GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION 68% Airline 92% 5.7% 13.2% 49.1% 3.8% 11.3% % 25 2 E17s AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES BY MANUFACTURER Sukhoi TOTAL No % No % No % No % Africa.%.%.%.% Asia.% 2 5.4%.% 2 3.8% Oceania.% %.% % Europe % 4 1.8%.% % Lat Am.% 4 1.8% % % Mid East % %.% % AVERAGE PRODUCTION RATES North America.%.% % 3 5.7% Russia CIS.%.%.%.% E17s E19s CRJ7s CRJ9s CRJ1s Not Disclosed.% 1 2.7%.% 1 1.9% No % No % No % No % No % Total 9 17.% % % 53 Total % %.% % % Airline % % 7 1.% % Airline 22 1.% %.% 6 1.%.% Lessor %.%.% 3 5.7% Lessor.%.%.%.% 3 1.% Other.% 1 2.7%.% 1 1.9% Other.% 1 8.3%.%.%.% E19s CRJ7s CRJ9s CRJ1s REGIONAL AIRCRAFT

12 DELIVERIES OVERVIEW-TURBOPROP AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES 41 (69.5%) DELIVERIES IN CAPE TOWN COUNTRIES 14 (23.7%) DELIVERIES IN G8 COUNTRIES BREAKDOWN BY MANUFACTURER de Havilland of DornierXian Canada 2% 2% 5% 8% BREAKDOWN BY CUSTOMER TYPE 2 (3.4%) DELIVERIES IN BRICS COUNTRIES 17% Lessor 37% GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION ATR 66% Airline 63% 18.4% 28.6% 28.6% 4.1% 4.1% 6.1% 1.2% ATR72s AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES BY MANUFACTURER ATR TOTAL No % No % No % Africa 1 2.6% 1 1.% 2 4.1% Asia % 2 2.% % Oceania %.% 5 1.2% Europe % 2 2.% % Lat Am 2 5.1%.% 2 4.1% Mid East 3 7.7%.% 3 6.1% AVERAGE PRODUCTION RATES North America 4 1.3% 5 5.% % Russia CIS.%.%.% ATR42s ATR72s Not Disclosed.%.%.% No % No % No % Total % 1 2.4% 49 Total 4 1.3% % 1 1.% Airline % 1 1.% % Airline 1 25.% % 1 1.% Lessor %.% % Lessor 3 75.% %.% Other.%.%.% Other.%.%.% ATR42s ATR Q4s Q4s TURBOPROP AIRCRAFT

13 DEALS DATABASE SUBSCRIPTIONS: Chris Welding Account Manager DEALS DATABASE CONTENT: Michael Duff The Airline Analyst Tel: +44 () Euromoney Institutional Investor PLC 8 Bouverie Street London EC4Y 8AX United Kingdom mduff@theairlineanalyst.com Tel: +44 () Euromoney Institutional Investor PLC 8 Bouverie Street London EC4Y 8AX This report is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation of any particular strategy. This article contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Airfinance Journal. The information contained is a result of the research in different sources, and desipte the efforts made, there could be inaccuracies or typological errors in the content. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of the publisher.