SEA for oil and gas development in Southern Africa is it effective? Bryony Walmsley Southern African Institute for Environmental Assessment

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1 SEA for oil and gas development in Southern Africa is it effective? Bryony Walmsley Southern African Institute for Environmental Assessment

2 Outline Key environmental and social issues Current interest in offshore oil and gas Legislative framework Current SEA practice What more needs to be done?

3 Ocean currents are key ecosystem and economic drivers Warm Agulhas current flows south down East coast of Africa Cold Benguela current flows up West coast of Africa

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5 Social and economic issues WIO supports the world s largest prawn fishery Major tuna and pelagic fishing industry Tourism: Beach-based Sport fishing Eco-tourism activities Adventure sports Diamond mining Shipping Area includes some of the poorest and most aid-dependent countries in the world e.g. Tanzania, Madagascar and some middle-income countries e.g. South Africa, Seychelles and Mauritius Chronic energy poverty in many countries: Hampers economic development Increases aid-dependency Increased reliance on environmentally damaging energy sources such as charcoal and wood Slow uptake of renewable energy solutions High HIV prevalence and new infection rates

6 No data No data No data No data No data <10,000 10,000-50,000 50, ,000 4,231 new infections in SSA per day in 2012, 24% of which were in SA. 3,170 deaths per day >100,000 0 N Kilometre s

7 Petroleum exploration & production

8 Current oil and gas situation Global reliance on oil and gas will continue to drive emerging economies Southern Africa is strategically placed and politically relatively stable Political support Offshore oil and gas Onshore: shale gas Angola is 3 rd largest producer of oil in Africa Mozambique is largest producer of natural gas 4 of the 5 biggest oil and gas discoveries were off the Mozambican coast in 2012

9 Legal framework International laws: UNCLOS and MARPOL provide the legal basis for developing international rules for the prevention of pollution from offshore activities and regarding liability and compensation in the case of accidents No such regime has been established yet Do not provide a comprehensive vision for environmental management and protection No international convention sets standards under which States can issue drilling and production permits Regional laws and initiatives: 1996 SADC Protocol on Energy UNEP Seas Programme (1974) 1992 UN-GEF International Waters programme Benguela Current Large Marine Ecosystem SEA Scoping Abidjan (Atlantic) and Nairobi (Indian Ocean) Conventions

10 National SEA requirements Country SEA required EMF EA of PPPs DRC Angola Namibia Yes South Africa Yes Mozambique Tanzania Yes Mauritius Yes Seychelles Madagascar Yes

11 Current SEA practice Country SEAs DRC None Angola BCLME scoping study Namibia BCLME scoping study South Africa BCLME scoping study Mozambique SEA for coastal development Tanzania SEA of oil and gas sub-sector (ToR 2012) Mauritius? Seychelles None Madagascar None

12 BCLME SEA scoping Initial understanding of drivers, pressures, and response options (basic scenarios) Understand relevant strategic frameworks (vision, laws) rapidly assess alignment i.e. opportunities/ constraints Initial public consultation Identify key I&APs, preliminary understanding of their issues, concerns and expectations Identify linkages to be studied in more detail in the SEA Identification of possible risks and/or fatal flaws Clarify scope of work for SEA (geographic boundaries, time horizons, budget, methodology, reporting, sequencing, etc) Identify expertise needed on the SEA Team

13 Key drivers Oil and gas exploration and production Seabed mining: diamonds, phosphate? Industrialisation Coastal mining Shipping, ports and trade Fishing Catchment development Coastal towns and resorts Coastal and marine tourism Mariculture Climate change

14 SEA and SEMP inputs and expected pathways to influence PPP & Projects

15 Conclusions International, regional and national environmental regulatory frameworks are weak Inadequate institutional capacity Increased risk of corruption due to scale of revenues resource curse Offshore developments cannot be viewed in isolation there are significant associated downstream developments Individual EIAs fail to grasp the big picture SEA provides decision-makers with a more holistic view of the direct, indirect, cumulative, synergistic and antagonistic effects of developments within and across sectors SEAs are not used enough yet to be effective Is the scope of a typical SEA too great to be useful?

16 Recommendations To improve environmental governance: Formulate and implement international standards Promote regional integration, cooperation and harmonisation of laws and standards Revise/improve national environmental legislation to include SEA Scale up SEA capacity building programmes for all role players: Regulatory authorities Consultants R&D institutions Develop sector or area management plans ( hub ) based on SEAs to: Protect critical habitats and high value conservation areas and important ecosystem services; Establish no go areas to protect other economically important sectors and environments; Understand trans-boundary impacts; To promote sustainable development within sector or area (hub)

17 THANK YOU