Regional outlook Sub-Saharan Africa 24/11/2015. Share commodities in good exports. Share commodities in goods imports
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1 Table 1: Economic structure indicators Number of Inhabitants (m.) Size of the economy (in USD bn.) Size of the economy (% of world GDP) Share commodities in good exports Share commodities in goods imports Angola n.a. Benin Botswana Burundi Cameroon Cape Verde Chad n.a. n.a. Comoros n.a. n.a. Congo (Democratic Republic) n.a. n.a. Congo Djibouti n.a. n.a. Equatorial Guinea n.a. n.a. Eritrea n.a. n.a. Ethiopia Gabon n.a. n.a. Gambia Ghana Guinea n.a. n.a. Guinea-Bissau n.a. n.a. Ivory Coast Kenya Lesotho n.a. n.a. Liberia n.a. n.a. Madagascar Malawi Mali n.a. n.a. Mauritania Mauritius Mozambique Namibia Niger Nigeria Rwanda Sao Tome & Principe Senegal Sierra Leone n.a. n.a. South Africa South Sudan n.a. n.a. Swaziland n.a. n.a. Tanzania Togo Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe n.a Sub-Saharan Africa n.a. 1, n.a. n.a. Source: IMF, Worldbank
2 Table 2: External position indicators Current account balance Net FDI (% of GDP) Import cover (months) Gross foreign debt FX regime (anchor currency) Angola Stabilized arrangement (USD) Benin Conventional peg (EUR) Botswana Crawling peg (currency basket) Burundi Stabilized arrangement (USD) Cameroon Conventional peg (EUR) Cape Verde Conventional peg (EUR) Chad Conventional peg (EUR) Comoros Conventional peg (EUR) Congo (Democratic Republic) Stabilized arrangement (USD) Congo Conventional peg (EUR) Djibouti Currency board (USD) Equatorial Guinea n.a. 4.1 n.a. Conventional peg (EUR) Eritrea Conventional peg (USD) Ethiopia Crawling like arrangement (USD) Gabon Conventional peg (EUR) Gambia Other managed arrangement Ghana Floating Guinea n.a. n.a. n.a. Stabilized arrangement (USD) Guinea-Bissau -1.2 n.a. n.a. n.a. Conventional peg (EUR) Ivory Coast Conventional peg (EUR) Kenya Floating Lesotho Conventional peg (ZAR) Liberia Other managed arrangement (USD) Madagascar Floating Malawi Floating Mali Conventional peg (EUR) Mauritania Other managed arrangement Mauritius Floating Mozambique Floating Namibia Conventional peg (ZAR) Niger Conventional peg (EUR) Nigeria Other managed arrangement (USD) Rwanda Other managed arrangement Sao Tome & Principe Conventional peg (EUR) Senegal Conventional peg (EUR) Sierra Leone Floating South Africa Floating South Sudan n.a. n.a. Conventional peg (USD) Swaziland Conventional peg (ZAR) Tanzania Floating Togo Conventional peg (EUR) Uganda Floating Zambia Floating Zimbabwe No separate legal tender Sub-Saharan Africa -4.1 n.a. n.a not applicable Source: IMF, Worldbank, EIU
3 Table 3: Indicators of economic performance & macroeconomic policy GDP growth (%) Inflation (%) Gross national savings Fixed investment Credit to the private sector Credit to the private sector real growth (% yoy) Budget balance Primary balance Government debt (gross) Export to China (% of export) Angola % Benin % Botswana % Burundi % Cameroon % Cape Verde % Chad % Comoros % Congo (Democratic Republic) % Congo % Djibouti % Equatorial Guinea n.a % Eritrea % Ethiopia % Gabon % Gambia % Ghana % Guinea n.a % Guinea-Bissau n.a % Ivory Coast % Kenya % Lesotho % Liberia n.a. n.a % Madagascar % Malawi % Mali % Mauritania % Mauritius % Mozambique % Namibia % Niger % Nigeria % Rwanda % Sao Tome & Principe % Senegal % Sierra Leone % South Africa % South Sudan n.a. n.a n.a. Swaziland % Tanzania % Togo % Uganda % Zambia % Zimbabwe % Sub-Saharan Africa n.a. n.a n.a. Middle East & North Africa n.a. n.a n.a. Advanced Economies n.a. n.a n.a. Emerging & Developing Economies n.a. n.a n.a. EU n.a. n.a n.a. Euro Area n.a. n.a n.a. G7 Countries n.a. n.a n.a. Source: IMF, Worldbank, EIU
4 Table 4: Indicators of demographic transition Population growth (%) Per capita GDP growth (%) Fertility Mortality Net secondary school enrolment (%) 05-'14 05-'14 10-'14 10-'14 11 Angola Benin Botswana Burundi Cameroon Cape Verde Chad n.a. Comoros Congo (Democratic Republic) n.a. Congo n.a. Djibouti Equatorial Guinea n.a. Eritrea Ethiopia n.a. Gabon n.a. Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau n.a. Ivory Coast n.a. Kenya Lesotho Liberia Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius n.a. Mozambique Namibia n.a. Niger Nigeria n.a. Rwanda n.a. Sao Tome & Principe Senegal n.a. Sierra Leone South Africa n.a. South Sudan n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Swaziland Tanzania Togo n.a. Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe n.a. Source: Worldbank
5 Table 5: Economic indicators - income level GDP per capita, nominal (USD) GDP per capita, nominal at PPP (USD) Country % of SSA average Angola 5,304 7, Benin 820 1, Botswana 7,233 17, Burundi Cameroon 1,410 3, Cape Verde 3,584 6, Chad 1,236 2, Comoros 899 1, Congo (Democratic Republic) Congo 3,171 6, Djibouti 1,692 3, Egypt 3,304 10, Equatorial Guinea 19,960 36, Eritrea 590 1, Ethiopia 620 1, Gabon 11,484 20, Gambia 427 1, Ghana 1,473 4, Guinea 557 1, Guinea-Bissau 639 1, Ivory Coast 1,460 3, Kenya 1,420 3, Lesotho 1,162 2, Liberia Madagascar 453 1, Malawi 344 1, Mali 766 1, Mauritania 1,403 4, Mauritius 9,999 18, Mozambique 630 1, Namibia 6,188 10, Niger 469 1, Nigeria 3,300 6, Rwanda 712 1, Sao Tome & Principe 1,707 3, Senegal 1,079 2, Sierra Leone 773 2, South Africa 6,483 13, South Sudan 1,256 2, Swaziland 3,994 9, Tanzania 1,029 2, Togo 657 1, Uganda 713 1, Zambia 1,772 4, Zimbabwe 1,043 2, Source: IMF WEO
6 Table 6: Economic indicators - period averages GDP growth (%) Inflation (%) Budget balance (% GDP) Government debt (gross, % GDP) Current account deficit (% GDP) Angola Benin Botswana Burundi Cameroon Cape Verde Chad Comoros Congo (Democratic Republic) Congo Djibouti Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Ethiopia Gabon Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Ivory Coast Kenya Lesotho Liberia n.a Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania n.a Mauritius Mozambique Namibia Niger Nigeria Rwanda Sao Tome & Principe Senegal Sierra Leone South Africa South Sudan n.a. n.a n.a n.a n.a n.a Swaziland Tanzania Togo Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe n.a n.a n.a Sub-Saharan Africa Middle East & North Africa Advanced Economies Emerging & Developing Economies EU Euro Area G7 Countries Source: IMF WEO
7 Table 7: Overview of Z-scores by country for enabling environment F&A value chain development Agricultural value added Trade Policy Infrastructure Property rights Fin Services avg Agriculture R&D Trading Across Borders Indicator Africa Infrastructure Development Index indicator Registering Property Indicator Credit to agriculture (share of total credit) and loans from commercial banks (% GDP) Agricultural R&D spending (2011 PPP m USD) agricultural expenditure (% total outlays); agricultural policy cost indicator; regulatory quality indicator Business linkages State of cluster development indicator Ease of Doing Business indicator Country % GDP Z-score Z-score Z-score Z-score Z-score Z-score Z-score Z-score Overall score Mauritius South Africa Seychelles n.a Rwanda Cabo Verde Namibia Botswana Ghana Gambia n.a Kenya Zambia Lesotho Burkina Faso n.a n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a Mozambique Tanzania Sao Tome & Principe n.a. n.a n.a Senegal Uganda Mali Swaziland Ethiopia Côte d'ivoire Comoros n.a n.a Benin Malawi Sudan n.a Togo n.a Cameroon n.a Equatorial Guinea n.a n.a n.a Liberia n.a Gabon Nigeria Guinea Sierra Leone Madagascar Niger n.a n.a Guinea-Bissau n.a Angola n.a n.a Burundi Zimbabwe D.R. Congo n.a Congo n.a Central African Rep n.a Chad Eritrea n.a South Sudan n.a n.a n.a n.a Source: Rabobank Share of agriculture in economy Standards & Regulations avg Ease of Doing Business Enabling factors - overall
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9 Figure 5: Sub-Saharan Africa s agro-ecological zones Source: FAO, Rabobank
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