UK Referendum Estimated Results Timetable
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1 UK Referendum Estimated Results Timetable Your Guide to Referendum Night Here is APCO Worldwide s guide to help you track the referendum results as they come in. The results of the UK referendum on EU membership will be declared in 399 different counting areas on the night of June We have classified each area into likely 50%-55%, 55%-60% and 60%+ vote shares for the winning side assuming that the overall result in the UK is a 50/50 dead heat. Of course, it won t be. But using our table you can mark up the results as they come in, and get an early feeling for which side is doing better than predicted, and therefore whether the UK is likely to REMAIN or LEAVE. The first results declared are likely to favour the REMAIN side, with Salford the best early indicator of how the national vote will go. By 3 am UK time, with about a third of the results through, the overall picture will be close to the final outcome. (Vote estimates for England, Scotland and Wales have been adapted by APCO Worldwide from the work of Dr Chris Hanretty at the University of East Anglia and Professor Ron Johnston and colleagues at the University of Bristol. Vote estimates for Northern Ireland and Gibraltar have been generated by APCO Worldwide.) For more information, and for any media enquiries, please contact Nicholas Whyte on nwhyte@apcoworldwide.com Remain Wandsworth Sunderland Before 1 am City of London 68%R / 32%L Foyle 76%R / 24%L am West Tyrone Gibraltar Belfast 85%R / 15%L Newcastle upon Tyne Belfast East Oldham Hartlepool Swindon 44%R / 54%R Belfast West 80%R / 20%L Eilean Siar Belfast North Salford Merthyr Tydfil Strangford North Down am Stirling Islington 64%R / 36%L 68%R /32%L Stockport N. Hertfordshire Isles of Scilly Wigan Lagan Valley Denbighshire Westminster 63%R / 37%L Clackmannanshire Wrexham Norfolk Tamworth North Antrim am Oxford 70%R / 30%L Ealing Shetland Islands Lanarkshire Malvern Hills Hart Neath Port Talbot North Tyneside East Ayrshire Richmondshire Ipswich Upper Bann Nuneaton & Bedworth Tyneside Blaenau Gwent North Warwickshire Basildon Sandwell Dover
2 Remain Merton Angus Oadby & Wigston Anglesey Hyndburn Castle Point 34%R / 66%L Lambeth 72%R / 28%L Falkirk High Peak Conwy East Antrim Broxbourne am N. Lanarkshire Dundee City Lakeland Swansea Woking Lincoln Ribble Valley Rushmoor Rugby Hertsmere St. Helens Caerphilly Barrow-in- Furness Staffordshire Moorlands Antrim North Dorset Darlington Barking & Dagenham Harlow Havant Wellingborough Crawley Renfrewshire Gwynedd Bridgend Stevenage Cannock Chase Boston 32%R / 68%L am East Lothian East Renfrewshire Hammersmith & Fulham Tower Hamlets wark Camden Haringey Cambridge 62%R / 38%L 68%R / 32%L 68%R / 32%L 69%R / 31%L 71%R / 29%L Exeter Midlothian Trafford Newham St Albans Inverclyde Warwick Reading W.Dunbartonshire Perth & Kinross Enfield Sutton West Berkshire Monmouthshire Knowsley Gateshead Moray Wokingham Harrow West Oxfordshire North Ayrshire Watford Wycombe North West Leicestershire Copeland Bolton Babergh Tandridge Torfaen Eastleigh Runnymede Bracknell Forest Hastings Chelmsford Fylde Basingstoke & Deane North East Lincolnshire Gosport Peterborough Wyre Weymouth & Portland West Somerset Mid Suffolk Maidstone Barnsley Rochdale end-on-sea Telford & Wrekin New Forest Bucks Thanet Thurrock Shepway Torbay Sedgemoor Pendle Chorley North Devon Tunbridge Wells Uttlesford Charnwood Stratford-on-Avon Bury Milton Keynes Worcester Durham Colchester Chesterfield Dacorum Epsom & Ewell
3 Remain Aberdeen City Newry and Armagh Down Edinburgh 67%R / 33%L 72%R / 28%L 72%R / 28%L Cheltenham Barnet Orkney Islands Greenwich Fermanagh and Tyrone West Lothian East Dunbarton East Londonderry Redbridge Taunton Deane Powys Dumfries & Galloway Rhondda Cynon Taf Forest of Dean Gedling Carlisle Somerset Flintshire Kingston upon Hull Surrey Heath Corby Dartford Redcar & Cleveland Scarborough Dudley Melton Walsall King s Lynn & West Norfolk Rochford am Fife Brent Hams Rossendale Epping Forest Erewash Halton Purbeck Carmarthenshire Three Rivers Newport Portsmouth Preston Lancaster Newark & Sherwood Bournemouth Burnley Suffolk Coastal Derbyshire am Cardiff Lewisham Mid Ulster Brighton & Hove 64%R / 36%L Elmbridge Waltham Forest Scottish Borders Cambridgeshire York Ceredigion Argyll & Bute Norwich Harrogate The Vale of Glamorgan Lewes Stroud Chiltern Mole Valley Wirral Waverley ampton Rushcliffe Croydon East Riding of Yorkshire Solihull Allerdale Daventry Gloucester Ribble Mid Devon Stafford Northumberland Bromley Pembrokeshire Ryedale Sevenoaks West Dorset E.Hertfordshire Bedford Mendip Craven Hambleton Newcastleunder-Lyme Horsham Canterbury Test Valley Eden Birmingham West Lancashire Torridge Rotherham Wyre Forest Ashfield St. Edmundsbury Lichfield Bassetlaw East Staffordshire Bolsover Rother Ashford Redditch Middlesbrough Stoke-on-Trent Wakefield Wolverhampton Broadland Selby Brentwood Bromsgrove Tonbridge & Malling East Hampshire Huntingdonshire Eastbourne Fareham Blackburn with Darwen Tendring Havering Staffordshire Forest Heath Breckland Mansfield Blackpool Swale Doncaster 34%R / 66%L 37%R / 63%L Derbyshire Dales Mid Sussex
4 Remain am Hackney 70%R / 30%L Vale of White Horse Kingston upon Thames S. Oxfordshire Welwyn Hatfield Sheffield North East Derbyshire Stockton-on-Tees Kirklees Aylesbury Vale Warrington Teignbridge Chichester Christchurch Braintree Spelthorne N.Lincolnshire Bexley Poole East Dorset Great Yarmouth Isle of Wight 35%R / 65%L Wiltshire Tewkesbury Broxtowe 5-6 am Richmond Upon Thames Manchester Glasgow City 63%R / 37%L 67%R / 33%L Leeds Ayrshire Kensington & Chelsea Aberdeenshire Highland Liverpool Amber Valley East Cambridgeshire Slough Hounslow Guildford East Devon Tameside Derby S.Gloucestershire Calderdale Coventry Reigate & Banstead Central Bedfordshire North Kesteven Wychavon West Lindsey West Devon Luton Plymouth Gravesham Holland Kettering North Norfolk Fenland 35%R / 65%L 35%R / 65%L 32%R / 68%L Hillingdon Blaby Cheshire West & Chester Bradford Cotswold Bristol 63%R / 37%L Leicester Rutland Cherwell Maldon East Lindsey Windsor & Maidenhead Nottingham Northamptonshire Shropshire Wealden East Northamptonshire Arun Waveney After 6 am Bath & NE Somerset Winchester Sefton Worthing North Somerset Cheshire East Harborough Medway Hinckley & Bosworth Cornwall Northampton Herefordshire Kesteven Adur
5 Index of Counting Areas Aberdeen City (Scot) Aberdeenshire (Scot) Adur (SE) Allerdale (NW) Amber Valley (E Mid) Anglesey (Wal) Angus (Scot) Argyll & Bute (Scot) Arun (SE) Ashfield (E Mid) Ashford (SE) Aylesbury Vale (SE) Babergh (East) Barking & D ham (Lon) Barnet (Lon) Barnsley (Yor) Barrow-in-Furness (NW) Basildon (East) Bas stoke & Deane (SE) Bassetlaw (E Mid) Bath & NE So t (SW) Bedford (East) Belfast East (N Ire) Belfast North (N Ire) Belfast (N Ire) Belfast West (N Ire) Bexley (Lon) Birmingham (W Mid) Blaby (E Mid) Blackburn + D n (NW) Blackpool (NW) Blaenau Gwent (Wal) Bolsover (E Mid) Bolton (NW) Boston (E Mid) Bournemouth (SW) Bracknell Forest (SE) Bradford (Yor) Braintree (East) Breckland (East) Brent (Lon) Brentwood (East) (80/20) (32/68) Bridgend (Wal) Brighton & Hove (SE) Bristol (SW) Broadland (East) Bromley (Lon) Bromsgrove (W Mid) Broxbourne (East) Broxtowe (E Mid) Burnley (NW) Bury (NW) Caerphilly (Wal) Calderdale (Yor) Cambridge (East) Camden (Lon) Cannock Ch (W Mid) Canterbury (SE) Cardiff (Wal) Carlisle (NW) Carmarthenshire (Wal) Castle Point (East) Central Beds (East) Ceredigion (Wal) Charnwood (E Mid) Chelmsford (East) Cheltenham (SW) Cherwell (SE) Cheshire East (NW) Cheshire W & C r (NW) Chesterfield (E Mid) Chichester (SE) Chiltern (SE) Chorley (NW) Christchurch (SW) City of London (Lon) Clackm shire (Scot) Colchester (East) Conwy (Wal) Copeland (NW) Corby (E Mid) Cornwall (SW) Cotswold (SW) Coventry (W Mid) (63/37) (71/29) (34/66) Craven (Yor) Crawley (SE) Croydon (Lon) Dacorum (East) Darlington (NE) Dartford (SE) Daventry (E Mid) Denbighshire (Wal) Derby (E Mid) Derbyshire Da (E Mid) Doncaster (Yor) Dover (SE) Dudley (W Mid) Dumfries & G y (Scot) Dundee City (Scot) Durham (NE) Ealing (Lon) East Antrim (N Ire) East Ayrshire (Scot) East Cambs (East) East Devon (SW) East Dorset (SW) East Dunbarton (Scot) East Hampshire (SE) East Herts (East) East Lindsey (E Mid) East Londond y (N Ire) East Lothian (Scot) East Northants (E Mid) East Renfrew (Scot) East Riding (Yor) East Staffs (W Mid) Eastbourne (SE) Eastleigh (SE) Eden (NW) Edinburgh (Scot) Eilean Siar (Scot) Elmbridge (SE) Enfield (Lon) Epping Forest (East) Epsom & Ewell (SE) Erewash (E Mid) (62/38) (72/28)
6 Exeter (SW) Inverclyde (Scot) Newcastle / Tyne (NE) Falkirk (Scot) Ipswich (East) Newc le/lyme (W Mid) Fareham (SE) Isle of Wight (SE) Newham (Lon) Fenland (East) (32/68) Isles of Scilly (SW) Newport (Wal) Ferm h S Tyrone (N Ire) Islington (Lon) Newry & Arm (N Ire) (67/33) Fife (Scot) Kensington & Ch (Lon) North Antrim (N Ire) Flintshire (Wal) Kettering (E Mid) North Ayrshire (Scot) Forest Heath (East) (37/63) King s L & W N k (East) North Devon (SW) Forest of Dean (SW) Kingston / Hull (Yor) North Dorset (SW) Foyle (N Ire) (76/24) Kingston / Tha (Lon) North Down (N Ire) Fylde (NW) Kirklees (Yor) North E Derbs (E Mid) Gateshead (NE) Knowsley (NW) North East Lincs (Yor) Gedling (E Mid) Lagan Valley (N Ire) North Herts (East) Gibraltar (SW) (85/15) Lambeth (Lon) (72/28) North Kesteven (E Mid) Glasgow City (Scot) (67/33) Lancaster (NW) North Lanarks (Scot) Gloucester (SW) Leeds (Yor) North Lincs (Yor) Gosport (SE) Leicester (E Mid) North Norfolk (East) Gravesham (SE) (35/65) Lewes (SE) North Somerset (SW) Great Yarmouth (East) (35/65) Lewisham (Lon) (64/36) North Tyneside (NE) Greenwich (Lon) Lichfield (W Mid) North Warks (W Mid) Guildford (SE) Lincoln (E Mid) North W Leics (E Mid) Gwynedd (Wal) Liverpool (NW) Northampton (E Mid) Hackney (Lon) (70/30) Luton (East) Northumberland (NE) Halton (NW) Maidstone (SE) Norwich (East) Hambleton (Yor) Maldon (East) Nottingham (E Mid) Hamm th & F m (Lon) Malvern Hills (W Mid) Nuneaton & B (W Mid) Harborough (E Mid) Manchester (NW) (63/37) Oadby & W n (E Mid) Haringey (Lon) (69/31) Mansfield (E Mid) Oldham (NW) Harlow (East) Medway (SE) Orkney Islands (Scot) Harrogate (Yor) Melton (E Mid) Oxford (SE) (70/30) Harrow (Lon) Mendip (SW) Pembrokeshire (Wal) Hart (SE) Merthyr Tydfil (Wal) Pendle (NW) Hartlepool (NE) Merton (Lon) Perth & Kinross (Scot) Hastings (SE) Mid Devon (SW) Peterborough (East) Havant (SE) Mid Suffolk (East) Plymouth (SW) Havering (Lon) Mid Sussex (SE) Poole (SW) Herefordshire (W Mid) Mid Ulster (N Ire) Portsmouth (SE) Hertsmere (East) Middlesbrough (NE) Powys (Wal) High Peak (E Mid) Midlothian (Scot) Preston (NW) Highland (Scot) Milton Keynes (SE) Purbeck (SW) Hillingdon (Lon) Mole Valley (SE) Reading (SE) Hinckley & B th (E Mid) Monmouthshire (Wal) Redbridge (Lon) Horsham (SE) Moray (Scot) Redcar & Cleve d (NE) Hounslow (Lon) Neath Port Talb (Wal) Redditch (W Mid) Huntingdonshire (East) New Forest (SE) Reigate & B stead (SE) Hyndburn (NW) Newark & Sh d (E Mid) Renfrewshire (Scot)
7 Rhondda Cyn T (Wal) Somerset (SW) Trafford (NW) Ribble Valley (NW) Staffs (W Mid) Tunbridge Wells (SE) Richmond / Th (Lon) Tyneside (NE) Upper Bann (N Ire) Richmondshire (Yor) ampton (SE) Uttlesford (East) Rochdale (NW) end / Sea (East) Vale White Horse (SE) Rochford (East) wark (Lon) Wakefield (Yor) Rossendale (NW) Spelthorne (SE) Walsall (W Mid) Rother (SE) St Albans (East) Waltham Forest (Lon) Rotherham (Yor) St. Edmundsbury (East) Wandsworth (Lon) Rugby (W Mid) St. Helens (NW) Warrington (NW) Runnymede (SE) Stafford (W Mid) Warwick (W Mid) Rushcliffe (E Mid) Staffs Mid (W Mid) Watford (East) Rushmoor (SE) Stevenage (East) Waveney (East) Rutland (E Mid) Stirling (Scot) (64/36) Waverley (SE) Ryedale (Yor) Stockport (NW) Wealden (SE) Salford (NW) Stockton-on-Tees (NE) Wellingb gh (E Mid) Sandwell (W Mid) Stoke / Trent (W Mid) Welwyn Hatfield (SE) Scarborough (Yor) Strangford (N Ire) West Berkshire (SE) Scottish Borders (Scot) Stratford / Av (W Mid) West Devon (SW) Sedgemoor (SW) Stroud (SW) West Dorset (SW) Sefton (NW) Suffolk Coastal (East) West Dunbarton (Scot) Selby (Yor) Sunderland (NE) West Lancashire (NW) Sevenoaks (SE) Surrey Heath (SE) West Lindsey (E Mid) Sheffield (Yor) Sutton (Lon) West Lothian (Scot) Shepway (SE) Swale (SE) West Oxfordshire (SE) Shetland Islands (Scot) Swansea (Wal) West Somerset (SW) Shropshire (W Mid) Swindon (SW) West Tyrone (N Ire) Slough (SE) Tameside (NW) Westminster (Lon) (63/37) Solihull (W Mid) Tamworth (W Mid) Weymouth & P d (SW) Antrim (N Ire) Tandridge (SE) Wigan (NW) Ayrshire (Scot) Taunton Deane (SW) Wiltshire (SW) Bucks (SE) Teignbridge (SW) Winchester (SE) Cambs (East) Telford & Wr (W Mid) Windsor & M head (SE) Derbs (E Mid) Tendring (East) (34/66) Wirral (NW) Down (N Ire) (72/28) Test Valley (SE) Woking (SE) Gloucs (SW) Tewkesbury (SW) Wokingham (SE) Hams (SW) Thanet (SE) Wolver pton (W Mid) Holland (E Mid) (35/65) Vale of Glam (Wal) Worcester (W Mid) Kesteven (E Mid) Three Rivers (East) Worthing (SE) Lakeland (NW) Thurrock (East) Wrexham (Wal) Lanark (Scot) Tonbridge & M (SE) Wychavon (W Mid) Norfolk (East) Torbay (SW) Wycombe (SE) Northant (E Mid) Torfaen (Wal) Wyre (NW) Oxfordshire (SE) Torridge (SW) Wyre Forest (W Mid) Ribble (NW) Tower Hamlets (Lon) York (Yor)
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