Sydney North Shore. Information evening 14 August Regina Meani Your Technical Analyst
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1 1 CFTe, MSTA, AMT Sydney North Shore Information evening 14 August 2013
2 2
3 3 Disclaimer The information presented is general and not prepared for your specific investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Individuals should therefore discuss, with their financial planner or advisor, the merits of each recommendation for their own specific circumstances. Not all investments will be appropriate for all attendees. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. There is a risk of loss in trading and investing as well as potential for profit. Every effort has been made to ensure the reliability of the views and recommendations expressed. All charts are updated to 9-14 August 2013
4 4 Agenda *The stars from the top 20 *Are the Market Tragedies over? *Gold and Copper running together?
5 5 Top 20 Stars CSL Telstra
6 6 More than 90 years experience in the development and manufacture of vaccines and plasma protein biotherapies. With major facilities in Australia, Germany, Switzerland and the US, CSL has over 10,000 employees working in 27 countries.
7 Mountaineering 100 plus? 7 Up over 2.5 times Or 160% Up 11 times Up 23 times
8 Steeper & Steeper but 8? 1 st objective 57 47
9 Reconnecting with the Track
10 10 A provider of telecommunications and information products and services through its Australian and offshore operations. Engaged in the provision of telephone lines: national local and long distance; and international telephone calls, mobile telecommunications, data, internet and on-line, wholesale, telephone directories and pay TV.
11 Down and Across Up 100%
12 A Nice Leap
13 Run, pause, run
14 14
15 15
16 16 The Markets
17 The World on Track?? Countries Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France Germany, Greece, Hong Kong, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States
18 And Piigs might 18 Portugal Ireland Greece Italy Spain
19 Looking East 1 August
20 20
21 A 20 th Century Fit Does History Repeat? 21
22 1970 s parameters + 90 s input 22 Similar momentum
23 A new Upward Draft? 23?
24 A Chameleon? 24 Megaphones (horns)
25 Stretch after Stretch 25 objective achieved
26 26
27 In the Outer Zone 27 Data as at July 2013
28 But a mixture of times 28 Data as at July 2013
29 One step at a time 29
30 One step at a time Key juncture
31 More Time to Play
32 Off the Bottom? ?
33 33
34 Not Exactly but
35 Moving to the 90s 35 momentum similarities
36 After a 2009 style rise
37 Pushing the speed barrier months
38 38 RESOURCES QUEEN
39 Mining s Big Change 1 August ?
40 Changes Afoot? 40 1 August 2013??
41 What a Ride! Resources Index +250% 200 Industrials Index +39%
42 A Different Picture Resources Index 200 Industrials Index +54% +34%
43 Up, Up and Away But Industrials Index +25% +5% 200 Resources Index
44 And So Far this Year Industrials Index +14% 14 Feb 200 Resources Index -7%
45 45 A leading global resources company. Among the world s largest producers of major commodities, including aluminium, copper, energy coal, iron ore, manganese, metallurgical coal, nickel, silver and uranium along with substantial interests in oil and gas.
46 46 The changing of the Guard The best years are ahead A 75% increase in demand from china in the next 15 years
47 In the Zone 47
48 Not Quite but Similar experience
49 Third Fan = PLUS 49 Barrier Risk Line 30.00
50 Quite a Jump 50? $
51 51 One of the world's largest international mining groups, involved in every stage of metal and mineral production. Comprising five principal product groups: Aluminium, Copper, Diamonds & Minerals, Energy and Iron Ore Plus two support groups: Technology & Innovation and Exploration.
52 In the Comfort Zone
53 Lines of Focus Similar style
54 In the Stretch
55 55
56 1975 or 1980?? 56??
57 Into the Never Never Land?? Again??
58 Even 1980 s leftovers??
59 Top Down
60 Attempting a Rebalance? 60 Main resistance zone??
61 61 COPPER
62 Testing its comfort zone? 62 Initial target risk zone 32 years
63 Into the Breach Squeezing & Expanding?
64 Down and Across? 64?
65 65
66 A Disconnection? 66 GOLD COPPER?
67 More power to Copper 67? GOLD outperformance COPPER outperformance?
68 68 OIL that is
69 An Impressive History years
70 Some Different Similarities or the Same? but
71 At the START but
72 72 The largest producer of oil and gas in Australia and the largest independently dedicated oil and gas company. Producing around 800,000 barrels of oil equivalent each day from an extensive portfolio of facilities including six liquefied natural gas trains, five offshore platforms (one under construction) and four oil floating production storage and offloading (FPSO) vessels
73 Top or Bottom?
74 Almost a reflection Midway barrier
75 Three again 75 Pivotal stage in base 3 tests of the lows
76 Second Objective? 76 2 nd objective st objective
77 77
78 2013 Performance 78 NAB NAB+23.59% WBC+19.91% ANZ+18.85% CBA+18.89% AN Z CBA WB C
79 79 A financial services organisation with over 12,000,000 customers and 50,000 people, operating more than 1,750 stores and Service Centres globally. With businesses in New Zealand, Asia, the United Kingdom and the United States
80 On to tackle the Barriers? Consolidation Barrier zone 80
81 A Return to the Upper zone?
82 A recognition pause? 82 Resistance zone st stage base Sideways phase
83 Under Resistance? 83 Resistance zone st stage base Sideways phase
84 Preparing to launch?
85 85 Thank you for attention Charts sourced from Proview, ABS + The Chart Store
86 Please visit my website 86
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