IPv6 Trends, Taiwan, Asia-Pacific and Worldwide: an update from TWNIC OPM Taipei, 21 June 2018
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1 IPv6 Trends, Taiwan, Asia-Pacific and Worldwide: an update from 2014 TWNIC OPM Taipei, 21 June
2 APNIC A global, open, stable and secure Internet that serves the entire Asia Pacific community 2
3 Thanks!
4 Back in
5 2014: Global IPv6 Capability 2.7%
6 2014: IPv6 Capability in TW 0.8%
7 Today 7
8 Today: IPv4 is nearly gone
9 Today: IPv4 is nearly gone Today s IPv4 free poll is around 1.6 /8 blocks Projected to fully exhaust within 3 years IPv4 address availability Rationing policies in AFRINIC, APNIC, LACNIC, RIPE NCC Market transfers in some regions, and between APNIC and RIPE/ARIN The time has come to move on from IPv4.
10 Today: IPv6 is growing fast Google APNIC Labs 2014
11 IPv6 routing vs IPv4 IPv6 BGP 55,000 IPv6 15,000 ASNs 8,000 15,000 IPv4 BGP 500, ,000 IPv4 ASNs 62,000 45, Source: APNIC Labs
12 Global IPv6 capability is now 18% APNIC Labs measurement system 10+ million samples per day, worldwide Measurement script (HTML5) embedded within Google Ad* Capable means has an IPv6 address % of sampled users who can fetch an IPv6 addressed web object Preference is slightly lower: 17.3% Other measures place it slightly higher at 20% Consider APNIC a low side count Lets rank the economies by IPv6 capability above and below the world average
13 Drilling down 13
14 CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42% Global Average = 18% EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
15 CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42% Global Average = 18% EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
16 CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42% Global Average = 18% EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
17 CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42% Global Average = 18% EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
18 Taiwan 25% 20% Taiwan 15% 10% 5% 0%
19 Taiwan, E Asia 25% 20% East Asia Taiwan 15% 10% 5% 0%
20 Taiwan, E Asia, Asia 25% 20% 15% Asia East Asia Taiwan 10% 5% 0%
21 Taiwan, E Asia, Asia, and the World 25% 20% 15% World Asia East Asia Taiwan 10% 5% 0%
22 Some cases 22
23 Australia, Taiwan, India, Viet Nam 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Australia Taiwan India Vietnam 0%
24 Australia 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Australia Telstra Internode 0%
25 Australia ASAS ASN-TELSTRA Telstra Pty Ltd ASAS INTERNODE-AS Internode Pty Ltd ASAS VODAFONE-AS-AP Vodafone Australia Pty Ltd ASAS MPX-AS Microplex PTY LTD ASAS TPG-INTERNET-AP TPG Telecom Limited ASAS INTERNETPRIMUS-AS-AP Primus Telecommunications 149 other ASN IPv6 IPv4
26 Australia: Telstra and Internode Telstra 464XLAT on Mobile, dualstack on Fiber Multiple APN deployment in phases, long test period iphone support delayed during rollout pending ios updates Internode dualstack on Fiber and xdsl First significant adopter of IPv6 in Australia Long tail of old CPE directly owned by customers Company acquired by iinet and subsequently TPG and run as independent ISP, but no longer prioritizing IPv6
27 India 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% India Reliance Bharti Mobile Hutchinson 0%
28 India ASAS RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited ASAS HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services ASAS ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited ASAS BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service ASAS BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 822 other ASN IPv6 IPv4
29 India Reliance 464XLAT on mobile, MAP-T and dual stack on Cable Clean build LTE (4G) deployment went live as IPv6 Dominant after highly aggressive promotion campaign Others followed: Hutchison, Airtel, Idea Bharti Airtel Dual stack on mobile
30 Viet Nam 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Vietnam VNPT FPT 0%
31 Viet Nam ASAS FPT-AS-AP The Corporation for Financing Promoting Technology ASAS VNPT-AS-VN VNPT Corp ASAS VIETEL-AS-AP Viettel Group ASAS VIETTEL-AS-VN Viettel Corporation IPv6 IPv4
32 Viet Nam FPT PPPoE dual stack deployment on Cable and Fiber 6PE in MPLS core (RFC4798) VNPT Followed FPT after experiences integrated into national plan 6PE/6VPE and dual stack, planning move to IPv6-only (464XLAT)
33 Other cases 33
34 United Kingdom 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% United Kingdom Sky BT Orange 0%
35 United Kingdom ASAS BSKYB-BROADBAND-AS ASAS BT-UK-AS BTnet UK Regional network ASAS ORANGE-PCS ASAS OPALTELECOM-AS TalkTalk Communications Limited ASAS NTL ASAS PLUSNET UK Internet Service Provider ASAS TISCALI-UK ISP Network, UK 292 other ASN IPv6 IPv4
36 United Kingdom Sky Dualstack on Cable and Fiber In-house MAP-T for own CPE Deployment phased by CPE versions, applied nationally BT 464XLAT on mobile
37 Uruguay 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Uruguay Antel 0%
38 Uruguay ASAS Administracion Nacional de Telecomunicaciones ASAS Telefonica Moviles del Uruguay SA ASAS Techtel LMDS Comunicaciones Interactivas S.A. IPv6 IPv4
39 Malaysia 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Malaysia TMNet Maxis DIGIIX CelcomNet UMobile 0%
40 Malaysia ASAS DIGIIX-AP DiGi Telecommunications Sdn. Bhd. ASAS TMNET-AS-AP TM Net, Internet Service Provider ASAS MAXIS-AS1-AP Binariang Berhad ASAS CELCOMNET-AP Celcom Internet Service Provider ASAS TTNET-MY TIME dotcom Berhad ASAS UMOBILE-AS-AP U Mobile Sdn Bhd IPv6 IPv4
41 Back to Taiwan 41
42 Taiwan 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Taiwan TANET HINET EMOME chunghwa 0%
43 Taiwan (2018) 40% 35% 30% 25% Taiwan TANET HINET EMOME chunghwa 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
44 Taiwan ASAS EMOME-NET Mobile Business Group ASAS HINET Data Communication Business Group ASAS TAIWANMOBILE-AS Taiwan Mobile Co., Ltd. ASAS FET-TW Far EastTone Telecommunication Co., Ltd. ASAS AMBIT-AS-TW Ambit Microsystem Corporation ASAS VIBO-NET-AS Taiwan Star Telecom Corporation Limited.(Former Vibo Telecom Inc.) 51 other ASN IPv6 IPv4
45 Taiwan Recent signs of activity from two major ASN in the Chinese region of Taiwan HINET Chunghwa Telecom (Landline, FTTx, xsdl) EMOME (mobile division of Chunghwa) Representing almost 50% of Taiwanese samples Early stages of a very rapid deployment Signs of competitive tension in IPv6?
46 What s next? 46
47 How much longer? Sigmoid curves 47
48 The next five years?
49 Conclusions IPv6 deployment is happening globally Ongoing sustained and accelerating growth Evidence of competitive pressure Hard to predict where and when We have strong, developed G8/G20 economies with little or no IPv6 We have emerging Internet Economies with a lot of IPv6 A new digital divide? Lack of capital investment for deployment Lack of competitive incentive? Plan now, or pay later
50 Finally 50
51 apnic.net/survey 51
52 Next Conference conference.apnic.net/46 Call for Papers open now 52
53 Later APRICOT 2019 / APNIC 47 Daejeon, Republic of Korea 18 to 28 February 2019 APNIC 48 Chang Mai, Thailand 5 to 12 September
54 Stay in Touch! blog.apnic.net apnic.net/social 54
55 Thanks! 55
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