Survey: 2018 General Election
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- Giles Greer
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1 Contact: Tom Swiss (773) October 2, 2017 Survey: 2018 General Election CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 13-question poll for Liberty Principles PAC on Monday, October 2, statewide regarding political preferences between Republican and Democratic candidates with 517 respondents. Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely 2018 General Election voters. The margin of error for this poll is +/- 4.40% at the 95% confidence interval. Q1: How likely are you to vote in next year s election for Governor? Q1: Vote Probability Result Percent Very Likely % Likely % Unlikely 6 1.2% Very Unlikely % Q2: If the election were held today, would you vote to re-elect Gov. Bruce Rauner or is it time to give someone else a chance? Q2: Re-elect Result Percent Bruce Rauner % Someone else % Undecided % Ogden & Fry, LLC W. Fry St. - Chicago (312) Page 1
2 Q3: When thinking about the Governor's election in 2018, are you more likely to vote for the Democrat nominee or the Republican nominee? Q3: Generic Result Percent Very likely Democrat % Somewhat likely Democrat % Somewhat likely Republican % Very likely Republican % Undecided % Q4: If the election for Governor was held today, would you vote for Governor Bruce Rauner or Q4: Rauner vs Pritzker Result Percent Bruce Rauner % JB Pritzker % Undecided % Q5: If the election for Governor was held today, would you vote for Governor Bruce Rauner or Q5: Rauner vs Kennedy Result Percent Bruce Rauner % Chris Kennedy % Undecided % Ogden & Fry, LLC W. Fry St. - Chicago (312) Page 2
3 Q6: If the election for Governor was held today, would you vote for Republican Jeanne Ives or Q6: Ives vs Pritzker Result Percent Jeanne Ives % JB Pritzker % Undecided % Q7: If the election for Governor was held today, would you vote for Republican Jeanne Ives or Q7: Ives vs Kennedy Result Percent Jeanne Ives % Chris Kennedy % Undecided % Q8: If the election for Governor was held today, would you vote for Republican Kyle McCarter or Q8: McCarter vs Pritzker Result Percent Kyle McCarter % JB Pritzker % Undecided % Ogden & Fry, LLC W. Fry St. - Chicago (312) Page 3
4 Q9: If the election for Governor was held today, would you vote for Republican Kyle McCarter or Q9: McCarter vs Kennedy Result Percent Kyle McCarter % Chris Kennedy % Undecided % Q10: If the election for Governor was held today, would you vote for Republican Dan Proft or Q10: Proft vs Pritzker Result Percent Dan Proft % JB Pritzker % Undecided % Q11: If the election for Governor was held today, would you vote for Republican Dan Proft or Q11: Proft vs Kennedy Result Percent Dan Proft % Chris Kennedy % Undecided % Ogden & Fry, LLC W. Fry St. - Chicago (312) Page 4
5 Q12: If the election for Governor was held today, would you vote for Republican Bill Brady or Q12: Brady vs Pritzker Result Percent Bill Brady % Chris Kennedy % Undecided % Q13: If the election for Governor was held today, would you vote for Republican Bill Brady or Q13: Brady vs Kennedy Result Percent Bill Brady % Chris Kennedy % Undecided % METHODOLOGY Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency. Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For this survey, voters were randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 General Elections. Ogden & Fry, LLC W. Fry St. - Chicago (312) Page 5
6 CROSSTABS Respondents by Gender Gender Result Percent Female % Male % Unknown 1 0.2% Respondents by Age Age Group Result Percent % % % % Unknown % Respondents by City ABINGDON 1 FLAT ROCK 1 MURRAYVILLE 1 ALGONQUIN 2 FLORA 1 Naperville 5 ALSIP 3 FLOSSMOOR 1 NASHVILLE 1 ALTAMONT 1 FOREST PARK 3 NORMAL 4 ALTON 4 FORSYTH 2 NORTHBROOK 2 Anna 1 FOX RIVER GROVE 2 NORTHFIELD 1 Antioch 1 FRANKFORT 2 NORTHLAKE 1 ARLINGTON HEIGHTS 1 FREDERICK 1 OAK FOREST 1 ATKINSON 1 GALESBURG 1 OAK LAWN 2 AURORA 4 GENESEO 1 OAK PARK 5 BARRINGTON 1 Geneva 1 OAKWOOD 1 Bartonville 1 GEORGETOWN 1 ORLAND PARK 4 Batavia 2 GIBSON CITY 1 OTTAWA 2 BATH 1 GLADSTONE 1 PALATINE 1 Ogden & Fry, LLC W. Fry St. - Chicago (312) Page 6
7 BEAVERVILLE 1 GLEN CARBON 1 PALOS HEIGHTS 2 BEECHER 1 GLENVIEW 2 PANA 1 BELLE RIVE 1 GODFREY 2 PARIS 1 Belleville 1 GOLCONDA 1 PARK FOREST 1 Bellevue 1 GRANITE CITY 2 PARK RIDGE 2 BELVIDERE 1 GRANT PARK 1 PEARL 1 Bensenville 1 Grayslake 3 PEKIN 1 Benton 2 Gurnee 1 Peoria 3 BERWYN 3 Hainesville 1 PETERSBURG 1 BETHALTO 4 HARRISBURG 2 PIASA 1 Bloomingdale 1 HARVARD 1 PIPER CITY 1 BLOOMINGTON 8 HIGHLAND 3 PITTSFIELD 1 BLUE ISLAND 2 Highland Park 2 PLAINFIELD 3 BOLINGBROOK 2 HILLSIDE 1 PRINCETON 1 BOURBONNAIS 2 HOFFMAN ESTATES 3 RICHMOND 1 BRIGHTON 1 HOMEWOOD 1 RIVER FOREST 1 CALHOUN 1 HOPEDALE 1 RIVERDALE 1 CALUMET CITY 3 HUNTLEY 2 Riverton 1 CALUMET PARK 1 ILLINOIS CITY 1 ROBBINS 2 CANTON 1 INDIAN HEAD PARK 1 ROCK CITY 1 CARBONDALE 2 INDIANOLA 1 ROCK FALLS 3 CARLINVILLE 1 JACKSONVILLE 1 ROCK ISLAND 1 CARRIER MILLS 1 JERSEYVILLE 1 ROCKFORD 9 CARTERVILLE 2 JOHNSBURG 1 Roselle 3 CARY 3 JOLIET 5 Salem 1 CASEY 1 KANKAKEE 1 SANDWICH 1 CHANNAHON 2 KEWANEE 2 SAVANNA 1 CHICAGO 93 KINGSTON 1 SCHAUMBURG 1 CHICAGO HEIGHTS 4 LA GRANGE 5 SCHELLER 1 CHICAGO RIDGE 1 LA GRANGE PARK 1 SHABBONA 1 Chillicothe 1 LAHARPE 1 SHERIDAN 1 CICERO 1 Lake Barrington 1 SHIPMAN 1 CLAREMONT 1 Lake Forest 1 SILVIS 2 COAL VALLEY 2 Lake Villa 1 Sleepy Hollow 1 Ogden & Fry, LLC W. Fry St. - Chicago (312) Page 7
8 COLLINSVILLE 4 LANSING 1 SOUTH BELOIT 2 Columbia 1 LASALLE 2 South Elgin 1 CORDOVA 1 LAWRENCEVILLE 2 SPRING GROVE 1 RY CLUB HILLS 1 LE ROY 1 Springfield 4 CREAL SPRINGS 1 Libertyville 2 St Charles 5 CREST HILL 1 Lincolnshire 1 STAUNTON 2 CRETE 1 LOCKPORT 1 STEGER 1 CRYSTAL LAKE 4 Lombard 2 STERLING 2 CUBA 1 Long Grove 1 STREAMWOOD 1 DANVILLE 4 LOUISVILLE 1 Sugar Grove 2 DECATUR 7 LOVES PARK 2 SYCAMORE 1 Deerfield 1 LYONS 2 TAYLOR RIDGE 1 DEKALB 1 MACOMB 2 TAYLORVILLE 1 DES PLAINES 5 MADISON 1 TINLEY PARK 4 DIETERICH 1 MANHATTAN 1 VERONA 1 DIXON 1 MANTENO 2 WALTONVILLE 1 Downers Grove 3 Mapleton 1 WATAGA 1 DUNDAS 1 MARION 1 Waterloo 1 EARLVILLE 2 MARK 2 WATSEKA 1 EAST ALTON 1 MARSHALL 2 Waukegan 3 EAST MOLINE 1 MARTINTON 1 WENONA 1 EAST PEORIA 2 MASON CITY 1 WESTCHESTER 1 EAST ST LOUIS 1 MATHERVILLE 1 Westmont 1 EDWARDSVILLE 5 MCHENRY 3 WESTVILLE 1 EFFINGHAM 1 MCLEANSBORO 1 Wheaton 3 Elburn 1 METAMORA 2 WHEELER 1 ELDORADO 1 MILAN 1 WHEELING 1 Elgin 5 MOKENA 1 Williamsville 1 ELIZABETH 1 MOLINE 3 WILLOW SPRINGS 1 ELK GROVE VILLAGE 1 MONTICELLO 1 WINNEBAGO 1 Elmhurst 2 MORO 1 WONDER LAKE 1 ELMWOOD PARK 1 MORRISON 1 Wood Dale 1 ERIE 1 MOUNT PROSPECT 1 Woodridge 1 EVANSTON 8 MT ZION 1 WOODSTOCK 1 EVERGREEN PARK 1 MT. VERNON 3 WORDEN 1 Ogden & Fry, LLC W. Fry St. - Chicago (312) Page 8
9 FARMINGTON 1 Mundelein 1 Ogden & Fry, LLC W. Fry St. - Chicago (312) Page 9
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