Future Café Climate Change

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1 Joint Annual Conference & General Assembly 2011 Perspectives for the Future of the North Sea Region Future Café Climate Change Michael Glotz-Richter, Senior Project Manager Sustainable Mobility, Free Hanseatic City of Bremen

2 Joint Annual Conference & General Assembly 2011 Perspectives for the Future of the North Sea Region 2 meters above sea level Michael Glotz-Richter, Senior Project Manager Sustainable Mobility, Free Hanseatic City of Bremen

3 Development of the global near-surface temperatures Source: (as from Dez. 2010)

4 Shrinking of the Trift-glacier (Alpes /CH) Quelle: Abruf Dez. 2010

5 Arctic Ice-Cover, Sept and Sept Source: WBGU: Solving the climate dilemma: The budget approach, Berlin 2009, p.12; cf.

6 Sea level risks / North Sea Picture: Frankfurter Rundschau online Development of the North Sea level at Cuxhaven (cm above NN) Source: Generalplan Küstenschutz Schleswig-Holstein

7 To prevent the most severe impacts of climate change, the scientific evidence shows that the world needs to limit global warming to no more than 2ºC above the pre-industrial temperature. That is just 1.2 C above today's level.

8 Potential paths to the 2 C-target including emission trading (at 33 percent likelihood of target missing) Source: WBGU: Solving the climate dilemma: The budget approach, Berlin 2009, p.5; cf.

9 Source: A Roadmap for moving to a competitive low carbon economy in 2050 / EC COM(2011) 112 final

10 CO 2 -emissions by sectors CO 2 -emissions by sectors ( ) transport Energy sector households industry

11 Towards post-fossil economy

12 Dependence on oil

13 Dependence on oil 110,44 $ / barrel ( )

14 2050: 2 tons CO2 per capita world-wide

15 The climate challenge 2050 Total 2,000 kg CO 2 Insgesamt kg CO2 Private consumption 900 kg CO 2 transport 300 kg CO 2 heating Heizung car MIV 100 kg transp. 100 kg air - PT 100 kg ÖV Sonst. other Source: Schallaböck:/ WBGU 100 kg =42 l gasoline Nach aktuellen WBGU-Daten stehen weltweit pro Kopf und Jahr im Zeitraum etwa kg CO2 zur Verfügung, sowie im Zeitraum etwa 300 kg, oder im Gesamtzeitraum rd kg, um das 2 C-Klimaziel zu halten. Zum Vergleich: 1 l Benzin entspricht etwa 2,37 kg CO2, 1 l Diese l, Kerosin oder Heizöl etwa 2,65 kg CO2.

16 Conclusions / Questions

17 Challenge and chance! Export of products and ideas Sharpening the profile of NSR as innovation region Car-Sharing on EXPO 2010 Shanghai e.g. offshore wind energy

18 Questions Are we moving the deck-chairs on the Titanic? How much greenwashing do we have? Does the NSR program set the appropriate priorities?

19 Proposal Mandatory (+ independent) Climate Impact Check necessary for NSR Interreg proposals Thanks for your attention

20 Number of trips: purpose and mode Trips by -purpose -mode (number of trips) Source: Schallaböck (Wuppertal Institute) / DIW

21 CO2 impacts example 1: air travel (Germany - all passenger transport)

22 Mileage travelled: purpose and mode Trips by -purpose -mode (mileage travelled - domestic) Source: Schallaböck (Wuppertal Institute) / DIW

23 Mileage travelled: purpose and mode Trips by -purpose -mode (mileage travelled -incl internation al travel) Source: Schallaböck (Wuppertal Institute) / DIW

24 Source: Schallaböck (Wuppertal Institute) / DIW CO2-emission: purpose and mode Trips by -purpose -mode (CO2 impacts)

25 CO2 impacts example 2: walking (Germany - all passenger transport)

26 Number of trips: purpose and mode Trips by -purpose -mode (number of trips) Source: Schallaböck (Wuppertal Institute) / DIW

27 Mileage travelled: purpose and mode Trips by -purpose -mode (mileage travelled - domestic) Source: Schallaböck (Wuppertal Institute) / DIW

28 Mileage travelled: purpose and mode Trips by -purpose -mode (mileage travelled -incl internation al travel) Source: Schallaböck (Wuppertal Institute) / DIW

29 Source: Schallaböck (Wuppertal Institute) / DIW CO2-emission: purpose and mode Trips by -purpose -mode (CO2 impacts)

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