RESPONSE OF RANDOMIZED SUBSETS OF RAINFALL GAUGES OVER A PARANÁ RIVER SUB-BASIN
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1 RESPONSE OF RANDOMIZED SUBSETS OF RAINFALL GAUGES OVER A PARANÁ RIVER SUB-BASIN Thais Fujita, A. P. Rudke, M. V. B. de Morais, S. A. A. Rafee, R. A. F. de Souza, R. V. A. de Souza, E. D. de Freitas, L. D. Martins, Jorge Alberto Martins International SWAT Conference in Warsaw, Poland
2 SOUTH AMERICA AMAZON RIVER BASIN DRAINAGE AREA: 7,050,000 km² (~39.51%); LENGTH: 6,992 km. LA PLATA RIVER BASIN DRAINAGE AREA: 3,170,000 km² (~17.76%); LENGTH: 4,500 km TOTAL = 57.27%
3 LA PLATA RIVER BASIN DRAINAGE AREA: 3,170,000 km²
4 LA PLATA RIVER BASIN DRAINAGE AREA: 3,170,000 km² BRAZIL (45.7%); ARGENTINA (29.7%); PARAGUAY (13.2%); BOLIVIA (6.6%); URUGUAY (4.8%).
5 LA PLATA RIVER BASIN DRAINAGE AREA: 3,170,000 km² BRAZIL (45.7%); ARGENTINA (29.7%); PARAGUAY (13.2%); BOLIVIA (6.6%); URUGUAY (4.8%). WATER DISCHARGE: 28,000 m³/s PARANÁ RIVER (3,780 km); PARAGUAY RIVER (2,620 km); URUGUAY RIVER (1,600 km).
6 LA PLATA RIVER BASIN DRAINAGE AREA: 3,170,000 km² BRAZIL (45.7%); ARGENTINA (29.7%); PARAGUAY (13.2%); BOLIVIA (6.6%); URUGUAY (4.8%). WATER DISCHARGE: 28,000 m³/s PARANÁ RIVER (3,780 km); PARAGUAY RIVER (2,620 km); URUGUAY RIVER (1,600 km).
7 HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER TRIPLE FRONTIER BRAZIL/PARAGUAY/ARGENTINA PARANÁ/IGUAÇU CONVERGENCE DRAINAGE AREA: 879,860 km² 59% PARANÁ RIVER BASIN; 29% LA PLATA RIVER BASIN. WATER DISCHARGE: 14,000 m³/s 81% PARANÁ RIVER; 50% LA PLATA RIVER.
8 HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER FEDERATIVE UNITS SÃO PAULO (24,1%); PARANÁ (20,9%); MATO GROSSO DO SUL (19,3%); MINAS GERAIS (18%); GOIÁS (16,1% ); SANTA CATARINA (1,2%); DISTRITO FEDERAL (0,4%).
9 HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER FEDERATIVE UNITS SÃO PAULO (24,1%); PARANÁ (20,9%); MATO GROSSO DO SUL (19,3%); MINAS GERAIS (18%); GOIÁS (16,1% ); SANTA CATARINA (1,2%); DISTRITO FEDERAL (0,4%). POPULATION: 65 MILLION (32%) SÃO PAULO; BRASÍLIA; GOIANIA; CAMPO GRANDE; CURITIBA.
10 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION
11 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION ITAIPU - 14,000 MW; (20%)
12 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION ITAIPU - 14,000 MW; (20%) ILHA SOLTEIRA - 3,444 MW;
13 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION ITAIPU - 14,000 MW; (20%) ILHA SOLTEIRA - 3,444 MW; FOZ DO AREIA 2,500 MW;
14 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION ITAIPU - 14,000 MW; (20%) ILHA SOLTEIRA - 3,444 MW; FOZ DO AREIA 2,500 MW; ITUMBIARA - 2,082 MW;
15 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION ITAIPU - 14,000 MW; (20%) ILHA SOLTEIRA - 3,444 MW; FOZ DO AREIA 2,500 MW; ITUMBIARA - 2,082 MW; JUPIÁ 1,551 MW;
16 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION ITAIPU - 14,000 MW; (20%) ILHA SOLTEIRA - 3,444 MW; FOZ DO AREIA 2,500 MW; ITUMBIARA - 2,082 MW; JUPIÁ 1,551 MW; PORTO PRIMAVERA 1,540 MW.
17 ILHA SOLTEIRA 1,195 km² BARRETO CANAL JUPIÁ 330 km²
18 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION ITAIPU - 14,000 MW; ILHA SOLTEIRA - 3,444 MW; FOZ DO AREIA 2,500 MW; ITUMBIARA - 2,082 MW; JUPIÁ 1,551 MW; PORTO PIRMAVERA 1,540 MW. NATIONAL PRODUCTION vs. NATIONAL CONSUMPTION 75% vs. 30%
19 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION SUITABLE AREAS FOR SUGAR CANE PLANTATION
20 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION SUITABLE AREAS FOR SUGAR CANE PLANTATION FERTILE SOIL
21 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION SUITABLE AREAS FOR SUGAR CANE PLANTATION FERTILE SOIL/FLAT GROUND
22 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION SUITABLE AREAS FOR SUGAR CANE PLANTATION FERTILE SOIL/FLAT GROUND BIOMASS
23 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION SUITABLE AREAS FOR SUGAR CANE PLANTATION FERTILE SOIL/FLAT LAND BIOMASS 50% ETHANOL (LIGHT FLEET FUEL); 8% ELETRICITY (SUGAR CANE BURNOUT)
24 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION SUITABLE AREAS FOR SUGAR CANE PLANTATION WATER WITHDRAWAL
25 IMPORTANCE OF HIDROGRAFIC REGION OF PARANÁ RIVER APTITUDE IN HYDROELETRIC ENERGY GENERATION SUITABLE AREAS FOR SUGAR CANE PLANTATION WATER WITHDRAWAL 54% IRRIGATION; 23% MUNICIPALITIES; 17% INDUSTRY; 6% LIVESTOCK.
26 MANAGEMENT TOOLS FOR PARANÁ RIVER BASIN HYDROLOGICAL MODELS; CLIMATE MODELS;
27 MANAGEMENT TOOLS FOR PARANÁ RIVER BASIN HYDROLOGICAL MODELS; CLIMATE MODELS; AVAILABILITY OF DATA
28 MANAGEMENT TOOLS FOR PARANÁ RIVER BASIN HYDROLOGICAL MODELS; CLIMATE MODELS; AVAILABILITY OF DATA PRECIPITATION
29 GAPS AND QUESTIONS OF PARANÁ RIVER BASIN NATIONAL INVENTORY DATABASE
30 GAPS AND QUESTIONS OF PARANÁ RIVER BASIN NATIONAL INVENTORY DATABASE RAINFALL GAUGES
31 GAPS AND QUESTIONS OF PARANÁ RIVER BASIN NATIONAL INVENTORY DATABASE RAINFALL GAUGES NON-HOMOGENEOUS SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION;
32 GAPS AND QUESTIONS OF PARANÁ RIVER BASIN NATIONAL INVENTORY DATABASE RAINFALL GAUGES NON-HOMOGENEOUS SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; LACK OF LONG TIME SERIES; AVALIABLE DATA YEARS NUMBER OS PRECIPITATION GAUGES
33 GAPS AND QUESTIONS OF PARANÁ RIVER BASIN NATIONAL INVENTORY DATABASE RAINFALL GAUGES NON-HOMOGENEOUS SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; LACK OF LONG TIME SERIES; AVALIABLE DATA YEARS NUMBER OS PRECIPITATION GAUGES
34 GAPS AND QUESTIONS OF PARANÁ RIVER BASIN NATIONAL INVENTORY DATABASE RAINFALL GAUGES NON-HOMOGENEOUS SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; LACK OF LONG TIME SERIES; DISCONTINUTIES.
35 GAPS AND QUESTIONS OF PARANÁ RIVER BASIN NATIONAL INVENTORY DATABASE RAINFALL GAUGES NON-HOMOGENEOUS SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; LACK OF LONG TIME SERIES; DISCONTINUTIES.
36 GAPS AND QUESTIONS OF PARANÁ RIVER BASIN NATIONAL INVENTORY DATABASE RAINFALL GAUGES NON-HOMOGENEOUS SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; LACK OF LONG TIME SERIES; DISCONTINUTIES. WHAT IS THE OPTIMAL RAIN GAUGE DENSITY?
37 GAPS AND QUESTIONS OF PARANÁ RIVER BASIN NATIONAL INVENTORY DATABASE RAINFALL GAUGES NON-HOMOGENEOUS SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; LACK OF LONG TIME SERIES; DISCONTINUTIES. WHAT IS THE OPTIMAL RAIN GAUGE DENSITY?
38 IVAÍ RIVER BASIN DRAINAGE AREA: 36,587 km²; LENGTH: 680 km; WATER DISCHARGE: m³/s; POPULATION: ~1,400,000; ALTIMETRIC PROFILE:
39 IVAÍ RIVER BASIN S RAIN GAUGE NETWORK AVAILABLE NETWORK: 175 RAIN GAUGES;
40 IVAÍ RIVER BASIN S RAIN GAUGE NETWORK AVAILABLE NETWORK: 175 RAIN GAUGES; OPTIMAL READING PERIOD: ;
41 IVAÍ RIVER BASIN S RAIN GAUGE NETWORK AVAILABLE NETWORK: 175 RAIN GAUGES; OPTIMAL READING PERIOD: ; SWAT: ; WARM UP: 3 YEARS; SIMULATION:
42 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS;
43 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT: 100
44 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
45 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
46 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
47 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
48 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
49 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
50 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
51 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
52 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
53 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
54 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT:
55 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT: STATIONS
56 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT: PERFORMACE COMPARISON WITH BASE SCENARIO. 175 STATIONS
57 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 12 DENSITY SCENARIOS; RANDOMIZED GAUGE ARRANGEMENT: PERFORMACE COMPARISON WITH BASE SCENARIO. Streamflow [m³/s] Rainfall [mm/day]
58 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS PEARSON CORRELATION WITH THE BASE SCENARIO HIGH SIMILARITIES STREAMFLOW PREDICTIONS OBTAINED WITH DECREADING NUMBER OF STATIONS IN THE ARRENGEMENTS
59 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS PEARSON CORRELATION WITH THE BASE SCENARIO LINEAR BEHAVIOR STREAMFLOW PREDICTIONS OBTAINED WITH DECREADING NUMBER OF STATIONS IN THE ARRENGEMENTS
60 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS PEARSON CORRELATION WITH THE BASE SCENARIO LINEAR BEHAVIOR SEVERELY REDUCED BEHAVIOR STREAMFLOW PREDICTIONS OBTAINED WITH DECREADING NUMBER OF STATIONS IN THE ARRENGEMENTS
61 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 1,219 km²/gauge GAUGE/1000km² SUFFICIENT TO REPRESENT PRECIPITATION DISTRIBUTION STREAMFLOW PREDICTIONS OBTAINED WITH DECREADING NUMBER OF STATIONS IN THE ARRENGEMENTS
62 209 km²/gauge GAUGE/1000km² RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS 36,587 km²/gauge GAUGE/1000km² 365 km²/gauge GAUGE/1000km² 1,219 km²/gauge GAUGE/1000km² STREAMFLOW PREDICTIONS OBTAINED WITH DECREADING NUMBER OF STATIONS IN THE ARRENGEMENTS
63 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS PRELIMINARY APPROACH FOR THE IVAÍ CATCHMENT 209 km²/gauge GAUGE/1000km² 36,587 km²/gauge GAUGE/1000km² 365 km²/gauge GAUGE/1000km² 1,219 km²/gauge GAUGE/1000km² STREAMFLOW PREDICTIONS OBTAINED WITH DECREADING NUMBER OF STATIONS IN THE ARRENGEMENTS
64 RANDOMIZED NETWORK SCENARIOS NEXT STEPS: MODEL CALIBRATION/VALIDATION; REMAKE ALL THE RESULTS; APPLY TO OTHER PARANÁ RIVER WATERSHEDS; COMPARE THEIR BEHAVIOUR; TRANSLATE THIS INFORMATION FOR WATER RESOURCES MANAGERS. STRATEGICALLY IMPORTANT BASIN: ENERGY AND ECONOMY; NATIONAL SECURITY.
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