How stable or variable is the climate of Amazonia?

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1 How stable or variable is the climate of Amazonia? Frank Mayle Mitch Power Bronwen Whitney University of Edinburgh Mark Bush Florida Institute of Technology Paul Baker, Sheri Fritz etc etc etc Glacial-interglacial climate change The last glacial period The Holocene High-frequency oscillations & teleconnections 1

2 Temperature Carbon dioxide Precipitation Temporal patterns Spatial patterns Drivers Palaeoclimate proxies Pollen Diatoms Stalagmites/stalactites Ice-cores Charcoal 2

3 Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) 21,000 years ago Sea-level 120 m below present CO ppm Temperature 3

4 LGM ca. 5 C colder Only 2 records from Amazon interior! Andean taxa move downslope m Podocarpus Drimys Alnus Weinmannia Hedyosmum Reduced greenhouse effect due to low atm CO 2? More frequent polar incursions associated with expanded ice-sheets? Was cooling synchronous across Amazonia? Modified ecoregion map Olson et al., 2000 Precipitation 4

5 Precipitation during the LGM Only 2 records from Amazon interior! Amazon Fan Pata Porto Velho Forested Amazon Basin (Haffer was wrong!) Titicaca Chaplin Speleothems Similar to present Salar de Uyuni La Gaiba Much higher than present Lower than present Modified ecoregion map Olson et al.,

6 Precipitation during the LGM Titicaca Similar to present Salar de Uyuni Much higher than present Lower than present Modified ecoregion map Olson et al., 2000 Umayo satellite image Lake Titicaca 6

7 Salar de Uyuni 130 m deep at the LGM Baker et al., 2001 Salar de Uyuni drill core sedimentology Salts (halite) Lacustrine Muds Courtesy of Sheri Fritz 7

8 Salar de Uyuni Wet dry cycles 130 m deep lake at the LGM Holocene Eemian Lake Salt pan Courtesy of Sheri Fritz Precipitation during the LGM Titicaca Similar to present Salar de Uyuni La Gaiba Much higher than present Lower than present Modified ecoregion map Olson et al.,

9 Laguna La Gaiba Precipitation during the LGM Titicaca Chaplin Similar to present Salar de Uyuni La Gaiba Much higher than present Lower than present Modified ecoregion map Olson et al.,

10 Noel Kempff Mercado National Park, NE Bolivia Laguna Chaplin Mayle et al. (2000) Science 290, Outline NKMNP Burbridge et al. (2004) Quaternary Research 61, Delta 13 C TOC vs. PDB Wet? 150 LGM

11 Speleothems & travertines, caatinga, NE Brazil LGM Wang et al., 2004 Nature, 432 Auler et al., 2004 JQS, 19 Ice-Age Amazonia was both wet and dry! But Amazon remained forested! 20,000-yr periodicity correlates with the precession orbital cycle change in seasonal amplitude of insolation change in strength of South American summer monsoon LGM Bush et al.,

12 The Holocene Early-Mid Holocene aridity Arid episode between 9 & 3 ka BP Ecotonal areas Modified ecoregion map Olson et al.,

13 Lake Titicaca Umayo satellite image Mid-Holocene lowstand ca. 8,000 to 3,000 yrs ago 90 m below present 6,000 years ago (shown by seismic data) Mid Holocene aridity Delta 13 C TOC vs. PDB

14 Early-mid Holocene aridity Biomass burning 21,000 yr BP to present Northern Bolivia, Sep 14 th 2004 Courtesy of Yadvinder Malhi 14

15 High-frequency climatic oscillations & inter-hemispheric teleconnections Holocene record of Lake Titicaca Baker et al., 2005, JQS, 20 Centennial-scale fluctuations in organics Tipping points?? Correlate with North Atlantic SST fluctuations 15

16 Salar de Uyuni Wet dry cycles Synchronous with North Atlantic sea-surface temp oscillations Tipping points?? Holocene Eemian Lake Salt pan Courtesy of Sheri Fritz Speleothems caatinga, NE Brazil Wang et al., 2004, Nature, 432 Millennial-scale glacial pluvial phases Synchronous with: Cold episodes in Greenland & North Atlantic Decreased river runoff in Cariaco Basin Weak East Asian summer monsoon 16

17 Salar de Uyuni Glacial-Holocene transition Wet period synchronous with North Atlantic Younger Dryas cold period? Lake Salt pan Courtesy of Sheri Fritz Laguna La Gaiba Correlative with European Younger Dryas cooling? 17

18 Conclusions The orbital 20-kyr precession cycle drives longterm Amazon climate change via changes to seasonal amplitude of insolation contrasts with 100-kyr eccentricity cycle in mid-high latitudes Short-term (centennial/millennial-scale) climatic variations inter-hemispheric connections Amazonia s climate has never been stable!! Stable Holocene climate in Oxford but high amplitude climate change during Holocene in Amazonia Mid-Holocene aridity best analogue for future mid-21 st C Amazon?? Questions please 18

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