1. Internationally acknowledged macroeconomic soundness

Transcription

1 WHY INVEST IN PERU?

2 WHY INVEST IN PERU? 1. Internationally acknowledged macroeconomic soundness 2. Friendly investment environment 3. Open trade and market access policy 4. Attractive sectors to Invest

3 MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS

4 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS Peruvian economy rise rapidly in the last decade Real GDP (aver annual var. %) Real GDP, (Variation %) GDP, (USD thousands of million ) Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru, Ministry of Economy and Finances and IMF

5 1.MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS and continue to lead regional growth allowing the GDP per capita exceeds the global average by Real GDP Forecasts for Latin America (Anual Average Variation %) GDP per capita, PPP ($ International constant prices of 2005) 16,000 Peru 5.9 Peru Chile Colombia ,000 12,000 Latin America & The Caribbean Brazil ,000 Mexico 3.4 8,000 Argentina 3.1 6,000 World Venezuela 1.5 4, Source: FMI y BM

6 1. ESTABILIDAD 1. MACROECONOMIC MACROECONÓMICA SOUNDNESS STABILITY Economic growth has been driven by rising private investment. Private Investment (Annual average variation %) Private Investment (US$ Billion) Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru and Ministry of Economy and Finance * Preliminary figure

7 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS today represents almost 22% of GDP. Total investment (% of GDP) Total investment LATAM 2012 (% of GDP) Inversión Public Investment Pública Inversión Private Investment Privada Perú Chile México Argentina Colombia Brasil Peru Chile Mexico Argentina Colombia Brazil Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru Source: International Monetary Fund and Central Reserve Bank

8 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS Peru is an attractive market for foreign investment, which Register a 12,000 millions in 2012 Foreign direct investment flow (US$ Billion) Foreign direct investment LATAM 2012 /1 (% GDP) Chile Peru Colombia LAC Brazil Mexcio Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCR) Source: IDB 1/ Peru and Chile are closing figures Source: BCR and Central Reserve Bank of Chile

9 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS Furthermore, the domestic demand is strengthening. Real domestic demand (real annual Var. % ) Imports of vehicles for private use (US$ million) Imports of domestic assets (US$ million) ,804 1, veces Times veces Times /E /E Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru and SUNAT Source: SUNAT and MEF Estimated figures 1/ Includes imports of refrigerators, lavadoras, televidores y electrodomésticos.

10 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS generating an increase in consumer markets Malls (Number per region) Mall s Sales (Millions of US$) 5,300 1,760 3 times veces Source: MEF y ACCEP E/ Cifra esperada

11 1. ESTABILIDAD 1. MACROECONOMIC MACROECONÓMICA SOUNDNESS STABILITY Complemented with a dynamic international trade Balance of Trade (US$ million) 48,000 44,000 40,000 36,000 32,000 28,000 24,000 20,000 16,000 12,000 8,000 4, Exportaciones Exports 7,714 9,091 12,809 17,368 23,830 28,094 31,019 26,962 35,565 46,268 45,639 Importaciones Imports 7,393 8,205 9,805 12,082 14,844 19,591 28,449 21,011 28,815 36,967 41,113 Balanza Trade Comercial Balance ,004 5,286 8,986 8,503 2,569 5,951 6,749 9,301 4,526 Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru

12 1. ESTABILIDAD 1. MACROECONOMIC MACROECONÓMICA SOUNDNESS STABILITY which is being diversifying, both in products and markets Traditional Exports(commodities) (Millions of US$) Main trading partners 6 veces 6 times 2002 Asia 11% Others 13% U.S.A. 26% Non-Traditional Exports (Millions of US$) 2012 Euro Zone 14% Others 22% LAC 15% Rest of Europe 21% LAC 19% 5 times U.S.A. 13% China 17% Rest of Europe 14% Euro Zone 15% Source: Central Bank of Reserve of Peru

13 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS In 2050, Peru will be one of the fastest growing economies ranking among the 30 main economies in the world Fastest growing economies 2050 Ranking Country 1 China 2 India 3 Philippines 4 Egypt 5 Malaysia 6 Peru Source: HSBC (January 2012) Economy size World ranking 2010 Ranking Country 1 USA 2 Japan 3 China 4 Germany 5 United kingdom 6 France 7 Italy 8 India 9 Brazil 10 Canada 44 Chile 46 Peru 2050 Ranking Country 1 China 2 USA 3 India 4 Japan 5 Germany 6 United kingdom 7 Brazil 8 Mexico 9 France 10 Canada 26 Peru 32 Chile

14 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS... all, in a frame of macroeconomic stability, Peru registers the lowest inflation rate in the region CPI in Latin America: (Annual Variation %) CPI Latino America (Annual Average Variation %) Venezuela Argentina Brasil Colombia Mexico CPI Latin America: Projections up to 2013 (Annual Average Variation %) Chile Peru Source: Central Bank of Reserve of Peru, Ministry of Economy and Finances, CEPAL * Preliminary figures Peru Chile Colombia Mexico Brasil Argentina Venezuela

15 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS has maintained stable exchange rates and a level of country risk under the region average Exchange Rate in Latin America (Index, Base year 2005 = 100) JP Morgan EMBI+ Index (Basic points) Perú Brasil Brazil Chile Colombia México EMBI+ Perú Latinoamérica E-02 S-02 M-03 E-04 S-04 M-05 E-06 S-06 M-07 E-08 S-08 M-09 E-10 S-10 M-11 E-12 S F-07 J-07 N-07 A-08 A-08 D-08 A-09 S-09 J-10 M-10 S-10 F-11 J-11 O-11 F-12 J-12 O-12 M-13 Source: Central Banck of Reserve of Peru, and CEPAL

16 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS Peru maintains a healthy level of debt Public Debt Peru (% of GDP) Public Debt Latin America 2012 (% of GDP) Chile Perú Colombia México Argentina Brasil Source: Central Bank of Reserve of Peru Source: FMI. Cifra de Perú, Source BCRP

17 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS...and has accumulated international reserves for a third of the GDP Net International Reserves (US$ Billion) Net International Reserves Latin America 2012 (% GDP) As of October, 2013 Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru 45 Colombia Colombia Indonesia Mexico México India Brazil Brasil Chile Russia Rusia Korea Corea Peru Perú Thailand Tailandia Malaysia Malasia *

18 1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS The responsible economic policy granted Peru the investment grade and investors confidence. Investment grade Latin America benchmarking Countries as priority destinations for FDI (World Ranking among 21 countries) Country S&P Fitch Moody s Chile AA- A+ Aa3 Brazil 4 3 Dropped 1 position Mexico BBB BBB+ Baa1 Peru BBB+ BBB+ Baa2 Brazil BBB BBB Baa2 Peru Improved 5 positions Colombia BBB BBB- Baa3 Bolivia BB- BB- Ba3 Venezuela BB- B+ B2 Chile Without changes Argentina B- CC B3 Ecuador B B- Caa1 Source: Standard & Poor`s, Fitch Ratings and Moody s. Updated as of October 23, 2013 Source: UNCTAD (WIR 2011)

19 FRIENDLYINVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT

20 2. FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT Peru offers a favorable legal framework for foreign investment: Non discriminatory treatment: Foreign investors receive the same treatment as local investors. Unrestrictive access to most economic sectors *. Free transfer of capital. Free competition. Guarantee for Private Property. Freedom to purchase stocks from locals. Freedom to access internal and external credit. Freedom to pay royalties. Network of investments agreements and member of ICSID and MIGA. Peru participates in the Investment Committee of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) It promotes the implementation of the Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises. *Investments that require authorization: Located within 50 km in the frontier line and those destined to arms, ammunitions and explosive. Likewise, a principal local partner for investments in maritime cabotage as well as in air transport is required.

21 2. FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT Special Regimes: Legal Stability Agreements Regime whereby the Peruvian Government guarantees: INVESTORS Stability of the regulations regarding non discriminatory treatment. Stability of the income tax regime applicable to dividends. Stability to use freely the most favorable exchange rate available in the market. RECEIVING COMPANY Stability of the recruitment regimes. Stability of the regimes for the promotion of exports. Stability of the Income Tax Regime Stability of the free availability and remittance of foreign currency, dividends and royalties regime. Requirement: Minimum investment of US$ 5 million in any economic sectors. US$ 10 million for hydrocarbon and mining sectors. Validity: 10 years. Concessions: Term according to the contracts life (Max. 60 years).

22 2. FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT Special Regime: VAT Anticipated Recovery. Regime whereby the Peruvian Government grants the following benefits: Granting the return of the Value Added Tax during the pre-productive stage of the project(minimum 2-year term). Applicable to all economic sectors For agricultural activity it is not necessary to meet a minimum investment amount. For other activities the minimum investment amount is US$ 5 million. Theprojectcanbedividedintostages,phasesorsimilar.

23 2. FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT A steady tax regime: Tax Applicable Rate INCOME Corporate profits 30.0% Agriculture, agribusiness and aquaculture 15% Dividends 4.1% Royalties 30.0% Interest rate on loans from abroad 4.9% Value Added Tax (VAT) 18% Financial Transactions Tax 0.005% Temporary to net assets, applicable to the excess of S/ %

24 2. FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT Continuous effort to facilitate the establishment and operation of business Peru ranks second in the region in the improvement of business regulations. Venezuela Colombia Ecuador 139 Peru Chile Guyana Argentina Paraguay 103 Uruguay 89 Surinam 164 Brazil 130 Bolivia 155. Doing Business 2013 Position Country 1 Chile 2 Peru 3 Colombia 4 Uruguay 5 Paraguay

25 2. FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT Investment Agreements Peru has signed and currently in force Agreements for the Promotion and Reciprocal Protection of Investment and Trade Agreements of further scope that includes investment chapters that underpin our liberalization policy. Australia China* Korea* Malaysia Singapore* Thailand Japan * Trade agreements Canada* United States* Cuba El Salvador Argentina Bolivia Chile* Colombia Ecuador Paraguay Venezuela Germany Belgium and Luxemburg Denmark Spain Finland France Netherlands Iceland* Italy Liechtenstein* Norway Portugal United Kingdom Czech Republic Romania Sweden Switzerland* It has also signed agreements to avoid double taxation with Andean Community, Brazil, Chile and Canada.

26 OPENTRADE AND MARKET ACCESS POLICY

27 3. OPEN TRADE AND MARKET ACCESS POLICY An open trade policy sustained over time Evolution of nominal and effective tariff; and tariff dispersion Dispersión Arancelaria Arancel Nominal Arancel Efectivo 1_/ Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic. Notes: 1) Affective Tariff= (Amount of total revenue Avaloren CIF / Total Amount of CIF Imports)*100. 2)Tariff Dispersion= Standard Deviation 2004 Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Dic Feb

28 3. FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT Reduced tariff structure with low tariff dispersion LEVELS OF ADVALOREM TARIFF LINES 2/ NUMBER PROPORTION (%) 0 4, % 6% 2, % 11% % Total 7, % EFFECTIVE AVERAGE TARIFF % 3.2 EFFECTIVE TARIFF % 1.1 STANDARD DEVIATION % 3.8 2/ Sub-tariff of Chapter 98 Goods with special treatment of duties tariff Source: SUNAT MEF

29 OPEN TRADE AND MARKET ACCESS POLICY Working to become a globalized economy, with preferential access to the world s largest markets These countries stand for enlarged market of over 4 billion people with a joint GDP over US$ 56 billion 96% of Peruvian exports Agreements in force Agreements to become effective Agreements under negotiations

30 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIESIN ATTRACTIVESECTORS

31 AGRIBUSINESS SECTOR Natural greenhouse. High agricultural yields: Sugarcane (2nd), Asparagus, Olives (3rd), Artichokes (4th), Grapes (6th) and Avocado(11th). Seasonal windows in major markets. The 100,000 ha of land currently devoted to agricultural exports are expected to double as a result of large agricultural irrigation and expansion existing projects. More than US$ billion in exports of fresh and processed products to more than 145 countries. Organic and Natural Products with high export potential.

32 AGRIBUSINESS SECTOR Agricultural Exports (FOB US$ Million) Agricultural exports according to Target Market Tradicionales Traditional No Non Tradicionales traditional Total Total 3,165 4,503 4,122 USA. 27% Germany 10% ,126 1,339 1,794 1,973 2,599 2,461 France 3% Others 27% United Kingdom 4% Bélgium 4% Colombia 5% Spain 6% Ecuador 5% Netherlands 9% Source: ADEX Data Trade., BCRP.

33 FISHING SECTOR Extensive fishing coastline (3,080 km) and "bodies of water" which offer favorable conditions for the development of marine and continental aquaculture. First worldwide exporter of fish oil. Distribution of Peruvian fish products to over 100 countries. Tendency to product diversification.

34 FISHING SECTOR Fishery Exports (FOB US$ Million) Fishing exports according to Target Market Consumo Indirect Humano human Indirecto consumption (CHI) (IHC) Consumo Direct humano consumption Directo (CHD) (DHC) Total 3,302 3,146 China 32% 2,526 2,419 2,201 1,960 1,626 1,768 1,381 1,056 1,026 Canada 3% Others 27% Taiwan 3% Denmark 4% Chile 4% Spain 5% Germany 9% USA 7% Japan 6% Source: BCRP, Adex Data Trade

35 TEXTILE SECTOR Recognized quality of Peruvian pima cotton, considered one of the most quoted and thin strands of the world. Leading producer of the finest fibers of South American camelids: alpaca and vicuña. Extensive textile tradition, promotes professionalism and training of the workforce. International recognition as "full package" supplierofthebestbrandsintheworld. Strong growth trend in exports of textiles and clothing industry: At the end of 2012, exports amounted to US$ 2,170 million, 9% more than exports in 2011.

36 TEXTILE SECTOR 2,500 Textile - Apparel Exports (FOB US$ Million) Main Destination Markets for Textile and Apparel Exports ,000 1,500 1,000 APPAREL TEXTIL ARGENTINA 2% GERMANY 2% BOLIVIA 2% ITALY 3% CHILE 4% OTHERS 12% VENEZUELA 32% COLOMBIA 4% BRAZIL 5% ECUADOR 4% UNITED STATES 30% Source: ADEX DataTrade, Customs.

37 MINING SECTOR Polymetallic country, second in world copper reserves, third in zinc, and first in silver % of the land is subject of mining concessions, and only 1.09% of the land is taken for mining exploration and exploitation. In the world: Second largest producer of copper and silver and 3rd of tin and zinc. In Latin America: 1st producer of gold, zinc, tin and lead. And 2nd of copper, silver and molybdenum. In 2012 metal exports totaled US$ million, representing 56.79% of total national exports. Peruisoneofthefew countriesintheworldwith non-metallic mineral deposits, including diatomite, bentonite, limestone and phosphate.

38 MINING SECTOR 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Others Molybdenum Iron Lead Copper Mining Exports (FOB US$ Million) Refined sivler Tin Zinc Gold Mining exports according to Target Market USA 5.72% Korea 5.69% Germany 3.88% Japan 7.40% Canada 12.79% India 3.61% Brazil 2.67% Spain 2.66% Belgium 1.19% Others 9.31% China 23.55% Marroco 0.11% Switzerland 21.43% Source: Adex DataTrade, MINEM, Customs.

39 ENERGY SECTOR Great energy potential: The wide availability of water resources and natural gas has enabled to meet the growing electricity demand in the country. In 2012, 87.2% of the population had access to electricity. The 2012 energy matrix, comes mostly from renewable energy (about 56% of energy production is hydroelectric, 43.5% is based on natural gas and 0.5% with other renewable sources). Resources to be discovered and exploited: There are other renewable energy sources to be explored such as solar, wind, biomass and geothermal sources. Power projects portfolio to be invested is over US$ billion until The main economic groups of power generation are: Endesa, GDF Suez, IC Power and Duke Energy.

40 ENERGY SECTOR Energy production per type of energy resource, Electricity Production by type of generation 2% 0% 41% 1% 0% 0% 56% Water Natural Gas D2 - Residual Coal Bagasse Biogas Thermoelectric 43.54% Hydroelectric 54.63% Renewable 1,83% Solar 0.16% Hydroelectric 1,23% (< 20 MW) Bagasse 0.36% Biogas 0.08% Solar Source: COES Source: COES Electricity production in 2012 totaled 37, GWh, 5.97% higher than in 2011 (35, GWh).

41 PETROCHEMICAL SECTOR In 2012, natural gas production totaled 418,795 million cubic feet, driven by growing demand from power plants, increased consumption of vehicular (VNG), domestic and commercial natural gas. Peru is the only sustainable source of natural gas in the South American Pacific area. Peru has oil fields that have not been explored (29.97 million ha), making it a potential petrochemical hub. The petrochemical industry integrates with the production of natural gas and other liquid hydrocarbons, giving it a significant added value. Among the products produced by the Final Petrochemical Industry are fertilizers, plastics and detergents. Investment opportunities for US$ billion for the construction of 3 ammonia plants, 2 ammonium nitrate plants, 2 urea plants and one ethylene plant.

42 PETROCHEMICAL SECTOR Millon of cubic feet (MMPC) 450, , , , , , , ,000 50,000 0 Source: Petroperu Controlled Natural Gas Production, , , , , ,795 2,008 2,009 2,010 2,011 2, , , , , , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Imported products derived from Methane (CIF Thousand US$) Source: Adex Data Trade Urea Nitrato Ammonium de Amonio nitrate para for mining uso minero use Nitrato Ammonium de Amonio nitrate para for other los demás uses usos Sulfato Sulphate de Amonio Nitrato Ammonium de Amonio nitrate para for agribusiness uso agrícolause 185, ,479 40,381 37,279 25,335

43 TOURISM SECTOR Important cultural destination for archaeological sites of the Inca and pre-inca cultures. Machu Picchu was voted one of the New 7 Wonders of the World. Diversity of natural settings. Destination for bird and orchid watchers. Lima is considered the gastronomic capital of Latin America. Important investment by internationally renowned hotel chains. Increased connectivity of the Peruvian air market with increased weekly frequencies in international flights to allow more connections and destinations, with more and better travel options. Investment Opportunities in the 8 priority destinations: Northern Beaches, Amazon River, Amazonas, Kuelap, Moche Route, Lima, Nazca, Paracas, Colca Valley and Puno-Lake Titicaca.

44 TOURISM SECTOR Tourist arrivals (Thousands of people) Tourist Arrivals by region of origin ,846 2,598 2,299 2,140 2,058 1,916 1,571 1,721 1,350 1,064 1,136 Central America, 1.5% Oceanía, 1.4% Asia, 4.1% Europe, 17.5% North America, 19.7% Africa, 0.2% South America 55.6% Source: MINCETUR

45 REAL ESTATE The average growth in the period January- December 2012 of the Construction GDP is 15.17%. The significant growth of the economy is driving increased demand for housing, shopping centers, commercial offices, hotels and recreational or vacation homes(second home). The housing shortage affects 20% of households. There are several housing finance programs, subject to economic conditions and the level of household income, Techo Propio, Fondo Mi Vivienda and Commercial Banking. Mortgage Loans grew at an average annual rate of 23.8% in the course of the last five years ( ).

46 REAL ESTATE National Housing Deficit (2010) Mortgage Loans provided by the Financial System (Million of New Soles) * Deficit qualitative 1,470,947 79% Deficit quantitative, 389,745 21% Source: Censo INEI 2007 (*) Includes loans in Nuevos Soles and Dollars Source: Superintendency of Banking and Insurance The Quantitative Deficit is the difference between the number of households (families) and housing. The qualitative deficit is associated with quality of housings in accordance with preset minimum standards, which are: availability of public services, quality of materials used in the construction of the housing and overcrowding level. Source: Ministry of Housing

47 SERVICES - OUTSOURCING The lowest labor costs per operator in Latin America (US$ 270), a factor that accounts for 60% of operating costs in contact centers. Presently, contact centers represent 23,063 positions generating 36,479 direct jobs. In 2012 exports grew by 12%. Exports of services from contact centers, data processing, computer application and programs and the likes are not subject to VAT. Availability of technology requirements and low real estate costs. The implementation of the Data Protection Act(passed in 2011) will strengthen the position of companies in the sector and will open new opportunities for the generation of larger business concerns.

48 SERVICES - OUTSOURCING Export of Services from Contact Centers Major Markets 2012 Contact Centers Main business sectors covered in 2012 Others 15.75% Telecommunication Telecomunicaciones 81% South America 26.96% Bank Banca, and servicios financial financieros servicesy Retail 41% 75% Health Salud 31% Central America 1.13% North America 5.65% Europe 50.51% Utilities Industry and Industria Mass y Gran consumption Consumo IT IT Government Gobierno Tourism Turismo and y hospitalidad hospitality 25% 22% 19% 19% 9% Medios de comunicación Media 3% Education Educación 3% Source: Survey and Standardization of Data Export Services 2012 Source: Survey and Standardization of Data Export Services 2012

49 TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE Peru has prioritized the development of transport infrastructure (road, rail, port and airport) to increase competitiveness and set up a logistics hub that integrates Latin America, with the Asia Pacific economic region. With this in mind, the commitments for investment in concessions of the sector, around US$ 7.3 billion, generating its modernization, with a reduction in logistics costs and driving, through the FTA, Peru's integration with global markets on a scale of greater competitiveness. The developed infrastructure will be complemented by new investments planned towards 2016, by the MTC, having planned projects over US$ 17.7 billion (Public Works and PPA), which represents significant investment opportunities for contractors and operators.

50 TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE New investment foreseen in transport infrastructure to 2016 Infrastructure US$ million Vial 11,421.00* Railways 5, Airports Ports Waterways Total 17, Source : MTC (*) Includes public works and concessions, execution of 7,270 km of road pavimentada, asfaltado del 85% de la Red Vial Nacional, pavimentado del 100% de la Longitudinal de la Sierra, y la construcción y rehabilitación de 1000 puentes.

51