Component SOCIAL VULNERABILITY, CLIMATIC CHANGE AND FLOODS

Transcription

1 AIACC LA 6: Component SOCIAL VULNERABILITY, CLIMATIC CHANGE AND FLOODS Dra. Claudia E. Natenzon, Lic. Silvia González, Lic. Elvira Gentile, Lic. Diego Ríos y Srta. Cecilia Boudín PIRNA FFyL UBA

2 Social Vulnerability in Relation to:. Identification of people (number of) that can be affected in a direct way (located between the sea leavel and metres).. Elaboration of a social vulnerability index (SVI) for the area in study.. Analysis of land use and inventory of goods/infrastructure that could be affected directly.. Case studies: La Boca/ Avellaneda and Gral. Lavalle.

3 . Number of people living in the area of possible affectation: AMBA Sector. Source: Preliminar Data, from INDEC Remainder units: 8.Ensenada,9.Berisso, 0.Magdalena,.Punta Indio,.Chascomús,.Castelli,.Tordillo,.Gral. Lavalle y 6.La Costa Political-administrative Units. Tigre. San Miguel. Hurlingham. Tres de Febrero. San Martín 6. San Fernando 7. San Isidro 8. Vicente López 9. Capital Federal 0. La Matanza. Ezeiza. Esteban Echeverría. Lomas de Zamora. Lanús. Avellaneda 6. Quilmas 7. Berazategui TOTAL of AMBA Inhabitants (CNP 99)

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5 . Social Vulnerability Index The SVI is a statistical evaluation for a preliminary identification of administrative units with a conjunction of indicative features that allow us to characterize high social vulnerability situations. The selection of indicators is a result of the relationship between the representativeness of basic social, demographic and economic aspects, and the availability, free of charge of the data.

6 The indicators have been clustered into sub-indexes: a. demographic indicators b. conditions of life indicators c. work/ production/ consumption indicators

7 a. Demographic Indicators: Total population Population's density Index of potential dependence: the young Index of potential dependence: the elderly

8 a. Demographic Indicators :

9 a. Demographic Indicators : Administrative units of the area in study Total population Population density (inhab/km) Index of potential dependence: the young Index of potential dependence: the eldery DEMOGRAPHIC SUB -INDEX Avellaneda Berazategui 0 Capital Federal Esteban Echeverria General San Martin General Sarmiento La Matanza La Plata 0 Lanus Moron Tres de Febrero Vicente Lopez

10 b. Conditions of Life Indicators: Population s % in homes with unsatisfied basic needs (NBI). % of homes with boss woman Total rate of infantile mortality Population s % without access to health services

11 b. Condition of Life Indicators:

12 b. Conditions of Life Indicators: Component of social vulnerability, climatic change and floods, Advance Report of the Project AIACC LA6. Administrative units of the area in study Population in NBI homes (%) Woman boss homes (%) Infantile Mortality Rate Population without health service (%) LIFE CONDITIONS SUB-INDEX Avellaneda Berazategui Berisso Castelli Ensenada Esteban Echeverria General San Martin General Sarmiento La Matanza La Plata Lanus Lomas de Zamora Quilmes San Fernando 6 Tigre Tres de Febrero

13 c. Work, Production, Consumption Indicators: Unemployment Rate Valor agregado bruto total Total of registred cars rate % of salaried of years or more, without previsional taxes.

14 c. Work, Production, Consumption:

15 c. Work, Production, Consumption Indicators: Administrative units of the area in study Unenployment rate Total production brute value ($) Salaried ( y. &+) without previsional Total registred cars rate WORK/ PRODUCTION/ CONSUMPTION SUB -INDEX Berazategui Berisso Ensenada Esteban Echeverria General Sarmiento 6 La Costa 7 La Matanza Quilmes San Fernando Tigre

16 . Soil Uses, Goods and Infrastructure Exposed Soil Uses Category Urban / Residential Area Area of Security Industrial Area Recreation Area Green Space Port Area Traffic and Transport Services Agricultural Area * Public Office * Social Security * Helth Center * Education * Residential * Segurity (Military, police, etc.) * Industrial Park * Isolated Industry * Sport * Cultural Activity * Outdoor activity * Squares and parks * Ports * Route and main access * Train * Busses (comunal) * Airport * Electricity * Water * Telephon * Gas * Agriculture * Cattle raising

17 . Case studies Issues under consideration: a. Current situation ( normal ) of social vulnerability b. Social vulnerability in disasters c. Proposal of strategies to diminish the vulnerability, and to mitigate the impacts d. Real conditions to carry out that proposal (a, b, c, comparison = range of capacities to cope the disaster cycle consequence of climatic change)