First Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction rating rises to "Very Good" +66

Transcription

1 1 April 19, page 1 of 1 52 Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City Website: Tel: , Fax: First Quarter 19 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction rating rises to "Very Good" +66 Social Weather Stations The First Quarter 19 Social Weather Survey, conducted from March 28-31, 19, found 79% of adult Filipinos satisfied, 8% undecided, and 13% dissatisfied with the performance of Rodrigo R. Duterte as President. Compared to December 18, gross satisfaction with Pres. Duterte rose by 5 points from 74%, gross undecided fell by 3 points from 11%, and gross dissatisfaction fell by 2 points from 15% [Chart 1, Tables 1 and 2]. This gives a net satisfaction rating of +66 (% satisfied minus % dissatisfied), classified by SWS as very good. This is up by 6 points from the very good + in December 18, and ties his personal high set in June 17. The SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: +7 and above, "excellent"; +5 to +69, "very good"; +3 to +49, "good"; +1 to +29, "moderate", +9 to -9, "neutral"; -1 to -29, "poor"; -3 to -49, "bad"; -5 to -69, "very bad"; -7 and below, "execrable". Net satisfaction rating up in all areas The 6-point rise in President Duterte's net satisfaction rating from December 18 to March 19 was due to increases of 15 points in Mindanao, 7 points in the Visayas, 4 points in Balance Luzon, and 3 points in Metro Manila. Pres. Duterte s net satisfaction rating stayed excellent in Mindanao, at a new record-high +88 (92% satisfied, 5% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in March 19, up by 15 points from +73 (83% satisfied, 1% dissatisfied) in December 18. This surpassed the previous record of +87 in March 17 for this area [Chart 2]. It stayed very good in the Visayas, at +69 (81% satisfied, 12% dissatisfied) in March, up by 7 points from +62 (76% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in December. It stayed very good in Balance Luzon, at +56 (73% satisfied, 17% dissatisfied) in March, up by 4 points from +52 (69% satisfied, 17% dissatisfied) in December. pr Satisfaction with the President (media release).doc

2 1 April 19, page 2 of 1 It also stayed very good in Metro Manila, at +61 (76% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in March, up by 3 points from +58 (75% satisfied, 16% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in December. Up in rural areas Rural net satisfaction with Pres. Duterte stayed very good, at a new record-high +69 (81% satisfied, 12% dissatisfied) in March 19, up by 12 points from +57 (72% satisfied, 15% dissatisfied) in December 18. This surpassed the previous record of +67 in September 16 [Chart 3]. Urban net satisfaction also stayed very good, at +62 (77% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in March, although down by 2 points from +64 (78% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied) in December. Up in classes ABC and D Pres. Duterte s net satisfaction rating stayed very good in class ABC, at a new record-high +69 (83% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied) in March 19, up by 7 points from +62 (76% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied) in December 18. This surpassed the previous record of +66 in December 17 and June 18 [Chart 4]. It stayed very good in class D or the masa, at a new record-high +68 (% satisfied, 12% dissatisfied) in March, up by 1 points from +58 (73% satisfied, 15% dissatisfied) in December. This surpassed the previous record of +66 in June 17. It stayed very good in class E, at +58 (74% satisfied, 16% dissatisfied) in March, although down by 7 points from +65 (77% satisfied, 12% dissatisfied) in December. Up among both men and women Pres. Duterte's net satisfaction rating stayed very good among men, at +68 (81% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied) in March 19, up by 5 points from +63 (76% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in December 18 [Chart 5]. It also stayed very good among women, at +65 (78% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied) in March, up by 8 points from +57 (72% satisfied, 16% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in December.

3 1 April 19, page 3 of 1 Up in all age groups The President's net satisfaction rating rose by one grade very good to excellent among year olds, at +7 (83% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied) in March 19, up by 8 points from +62 (77% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in December 18. This ties the record-high +7 set in December 16 for this age group [Chart 6]. It also rose from very good to excellent among year olds, at +7 (81% satisfied, 11% dissatisfied) in March, up by 8 points from +62 (75% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied) in December. It stayed very good among year olds, at a new record-high +68 (% satisfied, 12% dissatisfied) in March, up by 16 points from +52 (7% satisfied, 18% dissatisfied) in December. This surpassed the previous record of +65 in December 16. It stayed very good among year olds, at +66 (81% satisfied, 15% dissatisfied) in March, up by 2 points from +64 (78% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied) in December. It also stayed very good among those 55 years old and older, at +61 (75% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied) in March, up by 2 points from +59 (73% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied) in December. Up in all educational levels Pres. Duterte's net satisfaction rating rose by one grade from very good to excellent among college graduates, at +74 (86% satisfied, 11% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in March 19, up by 9 points from +65 (78% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied) in December 18 [Chart 7]. It also rose from very good to excellent among non-elementary school graduates, at a new record-high +71 (82% satisfied, 11% dissatisfied) in March, up by 13 points from +58 (74% satisfied, 16% dissatisfied) in December. This surpassed the previous record of +68 in June 17. It stayed very good among high school graduates, at +67 (79% satisfied, 12% dissatisfied) in March, up by 5 points from +62 (75% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied) in December. It also stayed very good among elementary school graduates, at + (76% satisfied, 16% dissatisfied) in March, up by 4 points from +56 (72% satisfied, 16% dissatisfied) in December. Survey background The March 19 Social Weather Survey was conducted from March 28-31, 19 using faceto-face interviews of 1,4 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 3 each in Balance Luzon, Metro Manila, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±2.6% for national percentages, and ±5% each for Balance Luzon, Metro Manila, Visayas, and Mindanao).

4 1 April 19, page 4 of 1 The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population projections for 19 to obtain the national estimates. The Social Weather Survey item on public satisfaction with the President is noncommissioned. It is included on SWS's own initiative and released as a public service. The survey question on public satisfaction with the President is as follows: Maaari po bang pakisabi ninyo kung gaano kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa pagganap ng tungkulin ni RODRIGO DUTERTE bilang Presidente ng Pilipinas. Kayo ba ay lubos na nasisiyahan, medyo nasisiyahan, hindi tiyak kung nasisiyahan o hindi, medyo hindi nasisiyahan, lubos na hindi nasisiyahan, o wala pa kayong narinig o nabasa kahit na kailan tungkol kay RODRIGO DUTERTE? [ Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are with the performance of RODRIGO DUTERTE as President of the Philippines. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied, or you have not ever heard or read anything about RODRIGO DUTERTE? ]. SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: +7 and above, excellent ; +5 to +69, very good ; +3 to +49, good ; +1 to +29, moderate, +9 to 9, neutral ; 1 to 29, poor ; 3 to 49, bad ; 5 to 69, very bad ; 7 and below, execrable. SWS considers the movement from one classification to another as either an upgrade or downgrade. SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was prepared by Leo S. Laroza. #

5 1 April 19, page 5 of 1 Chart NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS: PHILIPPINES, MAY 1986 TO MAR 19 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Aug ¼ yrs. * Dec ¼ yrs. * * Jun 1999 ¾ yr. No honeymoon Jun 14 3 ¾ yrs. * +66 Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey Table 1 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS: PHILIPPINES (page 1 of 2) C. AQUINO Net* May Oct Ave Mar Oct Ave Feb Aug Sep Ave Feb Aug Sep Ave Mar Apr Nov 9 +7 Ave Apr Jul Nov Ave C. AQUINO Feb Apr Ave Ave. C. Aquino +35 RAMOS Net* Sep Dec 92 + Ave Apr Jul Sep Dec Ave Apr Aug Nov Dec Ave Mar Jun RAMOS Oct Dec Ave Apr Jun Sep Dec Ave Apr Jun Sep Dec 97 + Ave Jan Feb 98 + Mar Mar-Apr Apr Ave Ave. Ramos +38 ESTRADA Sep 98 + Nov Ave Mar Jun Oct Dec Ave Mar +5 Jul +13 Sep +19 Dec +9 Ave. +12 Ave. Estrada +33 ARROYO Net* Mar Apr May Jul Sep Nov Ave. 1 + ARROYO Mar May 2 +4 Aug Sep Nov 2 +6 Ave Mar 3-14 Jun Sep 3 +2 Nov 3-3 Ave. 3 Jan 4 +8 Feb Mar 4 +3 Jun Aug Oct 4-6 Dec 4-5 Ave Mar 5-12 May 5-33 Aug 5-23 * Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey

6 1 April 19, page 6 of 1 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS: PHILIPPINES (page 2 of 2) ARROYO Dec 5-3 Ave Mar 6-25 Jun 6-13 Sep 6-11 Nov 6-13 Ave Feb 7-4 Jun 7-3 Sep 7-11 Dec 7-16 Ave. 7-9 Mar 8-26 Jun 8-38 Jul 8-5 Sep 8-27 Dec 8-24 Ave Feb 9-32 Jun 9-31 Sep 9-38 ARROYO Dec 9-38 Ave Mar 1-53 Jun 1-17 Ave Ave. Arroyo - 7 B. AQUINO Sep 1 + Nov Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar May Aug Dec Ave B. AQUINO Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Apr Jun Ave Ave. B. Aquino +45 DUTERTE Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec 18 + Ave Mar * Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey Table 2 PUBLIC SATISFACTION WITH PRESIDENT RODRIGO DUTERTE: SEP 18 TO MAR 19 (page 1 of 2) Satisfied Undecided Dissatisfied Net* Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Total PH 7% 74% 79% 14% 11% 8% 16% 15% 13% NCR Bal. Luzon Visayas Mindanao Urban Rural ABC D E *% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Dont Know and Refused to Answer responses. Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of RODRIGO DUTERTE as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey

7 1 April 19, page 7 of 1 PUBLIC SATISFACTION WITH PRESIDENT RODRIGO DUTERTE: SEP 18 TO MAR 19 (page 2 of 2) Satisfied Undecided Dissatisfied Net* Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Total PH 7% 74% 79% 14% 11% 8% 16% 15% 13% Men Women Some Elem Some HS Some Voc/Coll Coll. Grad *% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Dont Know and Refused to Answer responses. Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of RODRIGO DUTERTE as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat Chart 2 First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE: BY AREA, SEP 16 TO MAR Mindanao, +88 Visayas, +69 NCR, +61 Bal. Luzon, +56 Total PH NCR Luz Bal Vis Min Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey

8 1 April 19, page 8 of 1 Chart 3 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE: BY LOCALE, SEP 16 TO MAR Rural, +69 Urban, +62 Total PH Urban Rural Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey Chart 4 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE: BY CLASS, SEP 16 TO MAR D, +68 ABC, +69 E, +58 Total PH ABC D E Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey

9 1 April 19, page 9 of 1 Chart 5 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE, BY SEX, SEP 16 TO MAR Men, +68 Women, +65 Total PH Men Women Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey Chart 6 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE, BY AGE GROUP, SEP 16 TO MAR , , , , , +61 Tot PH Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey

10 1 April 19, page 1 of 1 Chart 7 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE, BY EDUCATIONAL LEVEL, SEP 16 TO MAR Coll Grad, +74 Some Elem, +71 Some Coll, +67 Some HS, + Some Voc/ Total Some Some Coll. PH Elem HS Coll. Grad Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar Jun Sep Dec Ave Mar First Quarter 19 Social Weather Report March 28-31, 19 National Survey