Challenges to a Sustainable Society in Japan

Transcription

1 Challenges to a Sustainable Society in Japan 18 NOV 2007 Yasumitsu Watanabe Shimizu Corporation 1

2 CONTENTS 1 Construction Market in Japan 2 Recent Climate Change 3 Predicted Natural Disasters and Countermeasures 4 Contractor s Contribution to a Sustainable Society 2

3 3 1. Construction Market in Japan

4 Construction Investment in Japan 4 Const.Investm ent(bil. ) Total Investment New Construction Re-build Fiscalyear Maintenance

5 Overseas Market for Japanese Contractors Others Middle East (bil. ) America Europe Asia year

6 Loop Highways in Tokyo Big Domestic Project (1) Tokyo Yokohama 150km 6

7 Linear Shinkansen Big Domestic Project (2) NAGANO Experimental Line OSAKA NARA LINEAR CHUO-SHINKANSEN NAGOYA 500km TOKYO 7 TOKYO OSAKA

8 Big Domestic Project (3) Radioactive Waste Disposal Low Level Waste High Level Waste m 300m Const. Budget : 1 bil. 2025~2100 Const. Budget 12 bil. 8

9 9 2. Recent Climate Change

10 Natural Damage Risk in the World Metropolis Risk Index San Francisco Chicago 100 Mexico City Los Angeles Lima New York Washington Miami London Pari Sao Paulo Buenos Aires Frankfurt Berlin Istanbul Madrid Milan Athens Teheran Alexandria Baghdad Cairo Johannesburg Natural Disaster Housing Fragility Economic Magnitude Hong Kong Beijing Seoul Derry Dacca Shanghai Hong Kong Bangladesh Taibai Singapore Jakarta Tokyo Yokohama Osaka Kobe Kyoto 92 Sydney

11 Earthquake and Tsunami Disasters (1) 8 Europe Others NUM BER OF EVENTS America Asia 0 11 Events with more than 1000 casualties

12 Earthquake and Tsunami Disasters (2) Europe 12%(3) Others 8%(2) Europe 7% (42,300) Others 1% (4,866) America 16%(4) Asia 64%(16) Ratio of events Total : 25 America 10% (62,392) Asia 82% (496,656) Ratio of casualties Total : 552,181 12

13 13 Number of Earthquakes in the World Above 7 Above Num berofevents (More than M6) Num ber ofevents imore than M6j Magnitude Above 6 and 7 Num Num berofevents ofevents (More than M7) imore than M7j

14 The Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake (1) :46am M7.3, Dead : 6,434 Lost : 62 bil

15 The Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake (2) Shear Failure in Pier Quay Movement by Liquefaction 15

16 16 The Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake (CG)

17 The Niigata-ken Chuetsu Earthquake :56 M6.8, Dead : 14 Lost : 19 bil. Dam Up by Landslide Derailing of Shinkansen 17

18 Tsunami at Banda Aceh :58am M9.2, Dead : 220,000 18

19 19 Flood Disaster Number ofevent 5 years average (year) Events of heavy rain (more than 50mm/h) Num ber of events Number ofevents(num ber)

20 iyearj floodwd area ihaj Damage by Flood density of flood damage flooded area loss of money Loss of loss mof oney( moneyi\ 10bil.) 10bil.j Intensity of flood damage(\ Intensity of flood dam age( mil./ha) Flooded area (ha)

21 Floods at Omaru River ,790m 3 /sec ,300m 3 /sec 21 Design Flood Discharge : 4,400m 3 /sec (Return period : 200years)

22 3. Predicted Natural Disasters and Countermeasures 22

23 Predicted Coming Earthquake Tokyo Hiroshima Osaka Nagoya Shizuoka Suruga Trough Tokai Continental Plates Nankai Tonankai Nankai Trough Philippine Sea Plate 23

24 Damage Estimation of Tokyo Earthquake Assumption : M7.3/Winter/18:00/Wind Velocity 15m/s Burned House Economical Loss 70 bil. Direct Loss Building Others 35 bil. 7 bil. Indirect Loss Manufacture 24 bil. Time, opportunity 4 bil. Dead 11,000 24

25 History of Seismic Design Codes Building Eearthquake Bridge Static Lateral Force 1923/M7.9 Great Kanto Static Lateral Force Quality & Quantity of Wall Shear Reinforcement Detail Ductility Design Limit Strength Design 1948/M7.1 Fukui 1964/M7.5 Niigata 1968/M7.9 Tokachi Offshore 1978/M7.4 Miyagi-ken Offshore 1995/M7.3 Hyogo-ken Nambu Liquefaction Assessment Modified Static Lateral Force Dynamic Analysis (Recommended) Elastic & Ductility Design 25

26 Aseismic Reinforcement - Building - Strength Ductility Response Tokyo Institute of Technology 26 Osaka Chuo Kokaido

27 Aseismic Reinforcement - Bridge - Steel Plate Bandage Katsushika Harp Bridge 27

28 Aseismic Reinforcement -Earth Dam - 28 Yamaguchi Dam Dike Width 7.3m 10m Dike Volume 1.4 mil.m mil.m 3

29 Aseismic Reinforcement - Cultural Property - The Edo Castle Nakanomon gate 29

30 Tsunami (1) 30 Tsunami Simulation

31 Tsunami (2) 31 Refuge Simulation

32 Flood in Urban Area (1) Who controls the flood governs the nation Kanda River 32

33 Flood in Urban Area (2) Underground River Plan Drain pump Tokyo Bay River Intake shaft Intake shaft Underground river 33

34 Flood in Urban Area(3) Imaigawa Retention Resovoir 34 Retention Resovoir beneath the Road ID 10.8m L=2000m Capacity 180,000m 3

35 4. Contractor or s Contribution to a Sustainable Society 35

36 CONTENTS 4.1 Contractor s Ecology Mission 4.2 Clean Energy Business LNG Power Station Wind Power Station Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion 4.3 Clean Development Mechanism 36

37 Ecology Mission in SHIMIZU CO2 6% 37

38 Clean Energy Business/LNG Natural Gas Chain in the World America 84.2 Europe Russia American Market Europe Market 96.2 Asian Market Latin American Africa Middle East Oceania 57.7 Pipe Line LNG 38

39 Clean Energy Business/Wind Farm Wind turbine turnkey projects Planning Project Design Construction Operation Misaki Wind Park Shimizu's wind turbine engineering tools. 39

40 Clean Energy Business / OTEC Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion NH4(GAS) TURBINE GENERATOR EVAPORATOR CONDENSOR NH4(Luquid) Pilot NAUL 40 Thermal Difference btw. Surface & 1000m deep

41 Clean Development Mechanism Ukraine :Japanese CDM Project Macedonia Georgia Armyanskaya Uzbekistan China Jordan Vietnam Thailand Malaysia Indonesian Developed Country Government Power Company,etc SELL Credited Company CREDIT Money Technology Developing Country Emission Credit Reduction Greenhouse GAS Reduction enterprise 41

42 Europe Japan Sometimes Competitors Sometimes Collaborators for a Sustainable Society 42 Shimizu Corporation