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1 BUSINESS INDEX NORTH Business, people, knowledge and work in the arctic d Bullvåg, Nord University Business Schoo ol

2 Nord Un niversity h North Center Business School CHNL

3 elevant joint research projects International Arctic Petroleum Cooperation: Barents Sea Scenarios for oil and gas. 14 chapters delivered by 28 researchers from Norway and Russia Key scenarios contributors The role of the Russian and Norwegian businesses and authorities: Contributors Reviewers Feedback/participants at workshops in Russia and Norway G U B K I N RUSSIAN STATE OIL & GAS UNIVERSITY

4

5 Project partners

6 Business Index North (BIN) us on trends, opportunities and development challenges in Arctic regions nual report next 3 years th insight and trends in business ivity, people, work, logistics, knowledge e, innovation, natural resources and cooperation in the tic get groups: Investors, politicians, authorities and ncies, academics, media, ngo s and companies interested in ue creation in the Arctic and the High North

7 SCOPE: BEAR (Barents Euro Arctic Reg gion Murmansk and Arkangelsk) ++ Core of inhabited arctic Phase 1 High potential area Phase 2 from 2017 New sea routes New energy opportunities Safetey and security challenges : The Norwegian Barents Secretariat

8 PEOPLE IN THE NORTH 8,1 % 1,666 million people

9 1,66 million in Scandinavia 1,21 million in Russia, 2,8 million in total

10 Population change last 10 years (2005=100) 108 Index 2005 = ,6 102,2 1,66 mill i Skandinavia 1,22 i Russland Norway, Sweden and Finland in total BIN area

11 Changes last 10 years in % Lapland Kainuu North Ostrobothnia Finland -7,1-2,2 4,1 6,4 Finnmark Troms Nordland Norway 2,3 3,7 6,4 11,3 Russian regions be included in 2 Norrbottens län Västerbottens län Sweden total -0,7 1,8 7,7-10,0-5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0

12 Changes and age groups Index 2005 = 100 Index 2005 = years years 19 years and below 124,3 101,7 108,4 122, ,2 101, Norway, Norway, Sweden Sweden and and Finland Finland in in in total total BIN BIN BIN area area area Problematic situation: How to make it attractive to live in the Arctic for young people? Ample space for m More people nee

13 WORK IN THE NORTH employees, 7,9 % of workforce in the Nordic countries

14 Employment Profile Less finance, services, trade, it and manufacturing More fish and forrest, defence, public sector, construction, harbour, health services 25,0 % 20,0 % 15,0 % 10,0 % 5,0 % Total BIN Area 3,4 % 1,1 % 1,3 % 2,1 % 4,1 % 4,6 % 5,5 % 6,8 % 7,7 % 9,7 % 10,0 %10,6 % 11,5 % 0,0 %

15 Net job creation last 10 Years Losses: Gains: ricity, gas, steam and air conditioning Accommodation and food blic authorities and national defence eal estate, professional, scientific and man health and social work activities Construction Education Sum area Agriculture, forestry and fishing Trade -0,2-2,5-0,2 9,3 9,0 7,8 15,3 6,6 8,6 6,2 9,5 5,7 8,3 4,5 1,4 7,0 6,7 1,4 3,1 1,1 ½ of national Job creation speed Job creation speed North 2,2 net jobs per 1000 worker/year Job creation speed No-SWE-FIN 5 net jobs per 1000 worker/year Transport and storage -4,3-4,1 Information and communication -4,4 4,1 Financial and insurance activities -6,3-2,3 Mining, quarrying, manufacturing -10,5-13,4 BIN Area -15,0-10,0-5,0 0,0 5,0 Total Finland, Norway and Sweden 10,0 15,0 20,0

16 Business in the North

17 Strong Business cycle in North Norway Demand growth

18 Gives strong turnover growth North Norway 264 Billio Nordland Norge Troms Finnmark Source: Eniro ASA and Indeks Nord Index turnover in 2005=100

19 USSIA Share of turnover from unchanged goods/services and new product innovations 0,9 "Old" products "New" products (to company and market) 100,0 14,5 7,9 8,0 80,0 60,0 60,7 New products in Sakhalin oil driven 40,0 99,1 85,5 92,1 92,0 20,0 39,3 0,0 Murmansk Arkhangelsk North-West Russia Russia Sakhalin

20 Ocean economy drives Arctic: 13 % of Norway, approx 5 % of Russian workforce Strong Russian positions Strong Norwegian positions

21 Huge potential for value creation- example of products Examples Snehvit and Goliat oil and Gas fields in Finnmark Norwegian Salmon. Sold from te north to 104 countries every week Polar bread Alvsbyn, Sweden Selling Lapland bread to France and 100 other countries Vasterbottens cheese strong branding from the North, exclusive cheese Ice hotel (Kiruna), global tourist hotspot Kalix troutroe caviar to selective restaurants Alvsbyhus (Swedish) Advanced energy efficient tree houses

22 Arctic Strategies The Arctic region is in a process of far-reaching change. Opportunities in energy production, shipping, fishing, trade, tourism, technology, bioscience, security, almost endless list. Best We need more people, jobs and innovation to make the high north attractive

23 dvice to investors: Race to the Arctic

24 Thank you Follow Business Index North Rabot hiking cottage, Okstind glacier, Nordla

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