High growth markets Asia: a new chapter

Transcription

1 Ambition AXA Investor Day June 1, 2011 High growth markets Asia: a new chapter Mike Bishop CEO, AXA Asia

2 Cautionary note concerning forward-looking statements Certain statements contained herein are forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, statements that are predictions of or indicate future events, trends, plans or objectives. Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements because, by their nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Please refer to the section Cautionary statements in page 2 of AXA s Document de Référence for the year ended December 31, 2010, for a description of certain important factors, risks and uncertainties that may affect AXA s business. AXA undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information, future events or circumstances or otherwise. 2 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

3 Key messages Asian insurance markets Robust fundamentals in place for profitable growth Strong regional footprint AXA strong positioning Track record of sales growth and value creation Multi-distribution platform providing broad reach and flexibility Enviable set of Joint-Ventures and leading bancassurance network Unique operating infrastructure in place Well positioned to leverage our composite platform to become Going forward Top 3 Life & Savings international insurer by new business Leading Property & Casualty international insurer 3 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

4 Table of contents Market overview AXA in Asia: overview of our operations AXA Asia Life: a strong track record AXA Asia P&C: journey towards leadership Ambition AXA: looking ahead Summary 4 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

5 Favorable demographics and economic growth Sustained demographic growth and accelerating economic development World population, in billion Split of world GDP, based on purchasing power parity (PPP) 52% 53% 53% 52% 51% E Asia ex. Japan Other countries Source: United Nations, 2010 High savings rate 10% 14% 19% 22% 27% E Asia ex. Japan Other countries Source: IMF, October 2010 Underpenetrated insurance markets 2009 gross savings (% of GDP) 2009 GWP (% of GDP) 14% 11% 4% 44% Asia ex. Japan Source: World Bank, % 16% 12% 10% Germany France UK US 5% 1% 7% 4% 4% 3% Asia ex. Japan Source: Swiss Re, sigma No 2/2010 3% 7% 10% 8% 5% 4% Germany France UK US Property & Casualty Life & Savings 5 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

6 Growth market with huge potential Asia ex. Japan GWP, in USD billion Sustained insurance premium growth 17% CAGR Property & Casualty 266 Life & Savings E Source: AXA estimate based on Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting Asia ex. Japan is home to 52% of the global population with high demographic growth prospects Enviable economic growth and accompanying improved standards of living Highest savings rate worldwide Low insurance penetration opportunity for growing protection business Lack of state welfare / schemes Key growth drivers 6 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

7 Attractive Life & Savings new business margins Estimated new business margins Market APE (2008) AXA presence Singapore Hong Kong 45% Malaysia Indonesia Taiwan Thailand 30% Philippines China South Korea Vietnam India 15% 5% 10% 15% Estimated APE CAGR Asia s average new business margins are 2 to 3 times those in mature markets of Europe and the US Source: Boston Consulting Group analysis 7 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

8 Competitive landscape Global players footprint in Asia ex. Japan In Asia since: Overall footprint China Hong Kong India Indonesia South Korea Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Taiwan Vietnam L&S P&C L&S P&C L&S P&C L&S P&C L&S P&C L&S P&C L&S P&C L&S P&C L&S P&C L&S P&C L&S P&C AXA P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P ACE P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P P Allianz P P P P P P P P P P P P P P Prudential P P P P P P P P P P P P P AIA P P P P P P P P P P P Chartis P P P P P P P P P P P Zurich P P P P P P P P P P Manulife P P P P P P P P P HSBC P P P P P P P P P Aviva < P P P P P P P P P ING P P P P P P P P Source: Towers Watson L&S: Life & Savings P&C: Property & Casualty Despite being a late entrant to Asia, AXA has developed a strong regional presence 8 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

9 Table of contents Market overview AXA in Asia: overview of our operations AXA Asia Life: a strong track record AXA Asia P&C: journey towards leadership Ambition AXA: looking ahead Summary 9 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

10 AXA Asia Evolution of our operations P&C Joint-Venture in India with Bharti Enterprises Acquisition of Kyobo Auto in South Korea (Direct P&C) Completion of Winterthur acquisition Acquisition of MLC Hong Kong and MLC Indonesia Life & Savings Joint-Venture in India with Bharti Enterprises Life & Savings Joint-Venture in Malaysia with Affin Life & Savings bancassurance Joint-Venture in Indonesia with Bank Mandiri National Mutual & various operating businesses rebranded to AXA Entry into Philippines Life & Savings market via Joint-Venture with Metrobank Group Acquisition of Guardian Royal Exchange Entry into China Life & Savings market via Joint-Venture with Minmetals Acquisition of UAP Acquisition of controlling stake in National Mutual Life & Savings Joint-Venture in Thailand with Krungthai Bank Entry into Singapore Life & Savings market Buy-out of AXA APH minority interests P&C Joint-Venture with Mandiri in Indonesia 1 Acquisition of BHI Insurance in Malaysia (P&C) Life & Savings Joint-Venture with ICBC in China 2 Acquisition of Property & Casualty operations from Sime Darby in South-East Asia 1. Subject to agreement on legal documentation and regulatory approval 2. Subject to regulatory approval 10 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

11 AXA Asia Life & Savings market positioning In USD billion, group share Life & Savings insurance premiums 9.6 Taiwan South Korea Other In USD billion, group share AIA Prudential Allianz ING Manulife AXA Ageas Aviva International insurers in Asia ex. Japan Source: Credit Suisse. AXA is pro forma of the AXA APH transaction Life & Savings APE Prudential AIA Allianz ING AXA Aviva International insurers in Asia ex. Japan Source: Company disclosures. Allianz APE include Japan. AXA is pro forma of the AXA APH transaction AXA has established itself as a significant player in the Life & Savings market, although scale is disadvantaged by a lack of footprint in Taiwan and South Korea 11 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

12 AXA Asia Property & Casualty market positioning In USD billion, 100% share 2009 P&C GWP Chartis Allianz AXA Mitsui Sumitomo ACE Tokio Marine International insurers in Asia ex. Japan Source: Regulators, insurance associations, AXA estimate. AXA in Malaysia includes BHI AXA is a significant player in the Property & Casualty market 12 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

13 AXA Asia Pan regional footprint China Life & Savings APE: 19 m P&C 1 Revenues: 15 m India Life & Savings APE: 12 m P&C 1 Revenues: 86 m Thailand Life & Savings APE: 45 m P&C 1 Revenues: 40 m Malaysia Life & Savings 1 APE: 9 m P&C Revenues: 136 m South Korea Direct P&C Revenues: 354 m Hong Kong Life & Savings APE: 159 m P&C Revenues: 70 m Philippines Life & Savings APE: 7 m Singapore Life & Savings APE: 15 m P&C Revenues: 166 m Indonesia Life & Savings APE: 67 m P&C 1 Revenues: 20 m Note: all figures are based on APE are Group share 1. Not consolidated 13 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

14 AXA Asia Strong partners giving access to broad customer base Country China Indonesia Thailand India Philippines Malaysia Joint-Ventures partners ICBC 1 (Life & Savings): world largest bank by market capitalization. Over 216 m customers and 16,000 branches Minmetals (Life & Savings): large sized group dealing worldwide in development, production, trading and operation for metals and minerals Bank Mandiri (Life & Savings and P&C): largest Bank in Indonesia by assets, loans and deposits with 1,766 branches and ca. 13 m customers Krungthai Bank (Life & Savings): second largest bank in Thailand by assets with 970 branches and ca. 17 m customers UOB (P&C): leading regional bank Tisco Bank (P&C): one of the first investment banks in Thailand Bharti Enterprises (Life & Savings and P&C): leading Indian conglomerate with interests in telecom, retail, financial services, manufacturing and software with a customer base of over 130 m Metrobank (Life & Savings): second largest bank in Philippines with over 560 branches and ca. 3 m customers Affin Bank (Life & Savings and P&C): state-owned bank with 84 branches and 600k customers Life & Savings: other strategic alliances Successful stand-alone bancassurance distribution arrangements with Citibank in China, Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia 14 Ambition AXA June 1, Subject to regulatory approval Sources: Companies disclosure, AXA APH 2010 investor compendium

15 Table of contents Market overview AXA in Asia: overview of our operations AXA Asia Life: a strong track record AXA Asia P&C: journey towards leadership Ambition AXA: looking ahead Summary 15 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

16 AXA Asia Life Portfolio of businesses at different stages of development STAGE OF DEVELOPMENT Well established Strong market share and profit generating Subscale Developed markets but subscale operations BUSINESSES Hong Kong Indonesia Thailand Philippines Singapore Malaysia 2010 APE Well established 86% Subscale 5% Developing 10% Developing Fast growing markets where we have limited market share and are developing a path to significance India China Total 1 : Euro 325 million 1. Malaysia is not consolidated APE for Malaysia was Euro 9 million on a Group share basis 16 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

17 AXA Asia Life Competitive and comprehensive product range Comprehensive business range High proportion of regular premiums 2010 APE by business 2010 APE by premium mix Unit-Linked & Other 1 47% G/A Protection & Health 50% Regular Premiums 94% Single Premiums 6% G/A Savings 3% Total: Euro 325 million (of which Group business: 11%) Total: Euro 325 million 1. Of which Unit-Linked: Euro 148 million, Other: Euro 5 million Diversified product mix to meet different needs of target segments Premium mix reflects nature of the bancassurance relationships, which are predominantly Joint-Ventures 17 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

18 AXA Asia Life A more diversified and balanced distribution model Other 3% AXA AXA Salaried sales force 10% Other 8% Salaried sales force 7% Bancassurance 20% Brokers 12% Agency 55% Bancassurance 30% Agency 38% Brokers - IFAs 17% Source: AXA APH Total APE: Euro 325 million Other 10% AIA Other 8% Prudential Direct marketing 8% Bancassurance 8% Agency 73% Bancassurance 26% Agency 66% Total ANP: USD 2,025 million Total Asia APE: 1,501 million Source: AXA estimate based on NBV and NBV margin by channel disclosed by the company Source: Annual report 18 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

19 AXA Asia Life Strong and sustained sales momentum In Euro million Strong APE growth outpacing industry leaders CAGR APE growth 23% CAGR % AXA 39% % % Prudential 15% pro 2 forma AIA 8% Hong Kong South-East Asia India & China 1. Change on a comparable basis, before AXA APH transaction 2. Pro forma of the AXA APH transaction Source: annual reports AXA and Prudential: APE change on a comparable basis AIA: ANP change on a reported basis. USD evolution against Asian currencies in 2010 unknown 19 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

20 AXA Asia Life Continued focus on accelerating value creation In Euro million 30% CAGR NBV growth by country pro 2 forma Hong Kong South-East Asia India & China CAGR % 67% 17% Value creation drivers Strong product pricing discipline Leverage best of breed products across the region Attained scale in key markets and disciplined expense management Successful execution of low cost channels like direct marketing 1. Change on a comparable basis, before AXA APH transaction 2. Pro forma of the AXA APH transaction 20 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

21 AXA Asia Life High efficiency of New Business investment Investment efficiency: New Business investment / NBV 41% 35% 37% In Euro million New Business Value before investment New Business investment New Business Value (NBV) 2010 payback period of 3 years 21 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

22 AXA Asia Life Sustainably high new business margins NBV / APE New Business margin 2010 margin by business 54% 61% 59% 69% 48% 48% G/A Protection & Health G/A Savings Unit-Linked & Other New Business IRR 2010 IRR by business 41% 43% 52% 57% 41% 45% G/A Protection & Health G/A Savings Unit-Linked & Other 22 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

23 AXA Asia Life Underlying earnings Strong earnings in Hong Kong and South-East Asia more than offsetting losses related to developing markets In Euro million Underlying earnings In Euro million Underlying earnings Hong Kong South-East Asia India & China In our portfolio approach, earnings in South-East Asia offset losses experienced in developing markets 1. Before AXA APH transaction. Pro forma of the AXA APH transaction, AXA Asia Life 2010 underlying earnings would be Euro 259 million 23 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

24 AXA Asia Life A common operating platform - a competitive advantage Regional Target Operating Model: Provides common platform and capability to all our businesses Key enabler in developing integrated AXA platform KEY MILESTONES 2010 Common software platform for all AXA Asia Life entities Single product suite across all geographies 2011 Standardized processes allow centralization of back office China operations center set up for the business sourced in Hong Kong and Singapore 2012 Complete convergence of all legacy systems Complete deployment of key peripheral systems 24 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

25 AXA Asia Life Focus on Hong Kong Strong competitive position In Euro million APE growth accelerated in 2010 #5 Life & Savings insurer +25% 9.1% market share ranking and market share by in-force premiums Change on a comparable basis Sustained growth in agency numbers Distribution Strengthened Citibank partnership Leveraged traditional brokers to enter investment-linked sector Products Dividend Innovative products: RMB denominated endowment and multiple critical illness claim policy Since 2007, Hong Kong generated average dividends of Euro 179 million per year 25 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

26 AXA Asia Life Focus on Indonesia Very strong competitive position In Euro million Excellent APE growth #2 Life & Savings insurer 49% CAGR 12.4% market share (up from 6% in 2008) ranking and market share by new business premiums Change on a comparable basis Distribution Joint-Venture with market leader Bank Mandiri offers significant further potential Takaful insurance recently launched through Syariah branches Highly profitable telemarketing business developed in 2008 contributing 18% of sales in 2010 Earnings & Dividend Indonesian franchises have collectively been earnings positive since 2005 (2nd year of operation of the bancassurance Joint-Venture) and generated dividends since Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

27 AXA Asia Life Focus on China Excellent APE growth following geographic expansion In Euro million Joining forces with ICBC 1 68% CAGR 19 Change on a comparable basis million individual customers 16,232 domestic branches World largest bank by market value Subscale despite strong growth Balanced distribution model with 4 key channels including unique AXA adviser channel Despite strong growth, current market share is 0.1% ICBC Joint-Venture will enable us to change paradigm Existing geographic footprint provides access to more than 5,000 of ICBC branches Key focus will be to implement our successful bancassurance model in these branches while expanding our reach to cover the remaining branches Our ambition is to become the #1 foreign insurance Joint-Venture in China by Subject to regulatory approval 27 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

28 AXA Asia Life Delivery of stakeholders commitments Within the AXA APH group our Ambition 2012 vision was to be the Preferred Company and to achieve real significance in Asia Overarching goal: More than double our Asia enterprise value to A$16 bn Ambition 1 Ambition 2 Ambition 3 Ambition 4 Ambition 5 Ambition 6 Value of new business Annualized premium income New business index Cost efficiency Customer and distributor satisfaction People Double the value of new business to A$720 m Double annualized premium income to A$5.5 bn Double new business index to A$1,588 m Reduce cost to income ratio Hong Kong<20% Asia (ex HK)<60% Improve customer satisfaction to top quartile against competitors and increase distribution satisfaction by 25% Improve employee engagement to top quartile against external benchmark Note: All measures and metrics are based on the AXA APH group accounting standards. Please refer to AXA APH disclosures for further information and definitions 28 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

29 AXA Asia Life Delivery of financial commitments We are on track for early achievement of most of our Ambition 2012 goals P P P 1 1 P X P 1. Cost income ratio Note: All measures and metrics are based on the AXA APH group accounting standards. Please refer to AXA APH disclosures for further information and definitions 29 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

30 Table of contents Market overview AXA in Asia: overview of our operations AXA Asia Life: a strong track record AXA Asia P&C: journey towards leadership Ambition AXA: looking ahead Summary 30 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

31 AXA Asia P&C Increasing share of maturing and developing businesses STAGE OF DEVELOPMENT Well established Maintain profitable growth BUSINESSES Hong Kong Singapore Malaysia In Euro million 2010 P&C revenues 2 Well established 70% Subscale Developed markets but subscale operations Thailand 1 Indonesia 1 Subscale 11% Developing Continue to grow and gain significance profitably India 1 China 1 Total 2 : Euro 533 million Developing 19% 1. Not consolidated 2. Includes non-consolidated entities. Consolidated AXA Asia P&C revenues were Euro 372 million in Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

32 AXA Asia P&C Accelerated footprint expansion Strong top line growth Organic and inorganic growth In Euro million Consolidated revenues Established strong positions in private motor market in Singapore, Hong Kong and Malaysia % CAGR Accelerated the contribution of new profitable business lines: retail nonmotor, health Acquired BHI in 2010 to double footprint in Malaysia and gain critical size Entered India with strong growth and started development in China Change on a comparable basis 32 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

33 AXA Asia P&C Well balanced product mix to meet growing insurance needs Diversified product mix Segmented product offering Commercial nonmotor 43% Commercial motor 13% Personal motor 37% Personal non-motor 10% Covering a wide range of insurance needs, from individuals to small, mid-size and large businesses Strengthened motor platform through increased product and service offerings Industrialized approach to efficiently target the growing SME markets 2010 consolidated revenues: Euro 372 million Built health platform to accompany growing needs of customers 33 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

34 AXA Asia P&C Improving profitability driven by higher selectivity Improving New Business profitability Active technical management More selectivity in commercial lines Current year combined ratio Price increases and strong claims management in motor 98.0% 97.5% 96.2% Shift of portfolio mix towards more profitable business lines such as personal non-motor and health Single IT platform to foster efficiency Single back-end system to manage products, process business and handle claims Implementing new single front-end dedicated to intermediaries and partners allowing greater automation and ease to do business resulting in lower operating costs, 24/7 availability and greater differentiation Faster time to market when it comes to new market entry Consolidated entities 34 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

35 Table of contents Market overview AXA in Asia: overview of our operations AXA Asia Life: a strong track record AXA Asia P&C: journey towards leadership Ambition AXA: looking ahead Summary 35 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

36 Ambition AXA A differentiated composite model AXA Asia Life Strong market position in 4 of the 8 markets Strong bancassurance capability and equity partnerships with leading retail banks in South-East Asia Multi-distribution capability providing broad reach and flexibility as markets evolve Provide superior service to customers and distributors AXA Asia P&C Within top 3 global P&C international players in Asia already, with strong positions in Singapore, Malaysia and Hong Kong Our ambition: AXA Asia Top 3 Life & Savings international insurer in Asia by new business Leading Property & Casualty international player in Asia ONE AXA Asia : ONE customer view ONE brand ONE shared services / operating platform Strong distribution partnerships in Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia Shared insurance platform already in place 36 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

37 Ambition AXA A clear strategy to realize AXA aspirations Integrated AXA platform Access to the same comprehensive product suite for all entities and channels Best-in-class time to market Life Single view of customers for enhanced servicing and sales Strong unified brand across the region P&C Industry leading levels of operational efficiency Health Rapid deployment in greenfield start-up Unique ability to acquire and integrate businesses 37 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

38 Ambition AXA AXA Asia Life In Euro million At constant scope APE Double our top line 584 x 2 Our strategic imperatives Sustain growth in Hong Kong Emergence of at least one other market to achieve similar scale to Hong Kong 1. Pro forma of the AXA APH transaction In Euro million At constant scope E while increasing profitability x 2 Change the paradigm in China Achieve scale in Singapore and Malaysia Achieve full potential in India profitably and sustainably NBV Underlying earnings E x Support organic growth with external opportunities to achieve scale Build top class team through recruitment and retention of talents Re-engineer operating platforms and capabilities 1. Pro forma of the AXA APH transaction E 38 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

39 Ambition AXA AXA Asia P&C In Euro million At constant scope Revenues Double our top line 372 x 2 Our strategic imperatives to gain leadership position Enhance products and services offer to accompany growing customer needs In Euro million At constant scope while increasing profitability Current year combined ratio Underlying earnings E E 10 96% < 95% x 3 (vs. 2009) Accelerate growth by widening distribution reach and joining forces with Life entities Leverage further the regional platform to enhance efficiency and optimize expense management Continue to improve profitability through reinforced underwriting discipline and claims management Build a winning team through recruitment and talent development E 39 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

40 Table of contents Market overview AXA in Asia: overview of our operations AXA Asia Life: a strong track record AXA Asia P&C: journey towards leadership Ambition AXA: looking ahead Summary 40 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011

41 Key messages Asian insurance markets Robust fundamentals in place for insurance growth Strong regional footprint AXA strong positioning Track record of sales growth and value creation Multi-distribution platform providing broad reach and flexibility Enviable set of Joint-Ventures and leading bancassurance network Unique operating infrastructure in place Well positioned to leverage our composite platform to become Going forward Top 3 Life & Savings international insurer by new business Leading Property & Casualty international insurer 41 Ambition AXA June 1, 2011