Approaching the American Age

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1 Approaching the American Age The End of the (Old) World Commodities and Countries Peter Zeihan Kamblach Feeds March 3, 2016

2 Understanding American Success: European Wars that Impacted Food Production/Transport Spanish-Portuguese War Anglo-Spanish War Fourth Anglo-Dutch War Austro-Turkish war Russo-Turkish War Russo-Swedish War Theater War Haitian Revolution Polish-Russian War War of the First Coalition War in the Vendee Kosciuszko Uprising Persian Expedition Anglo-Spanish War Irish Rebellion War of the Second Coalition War of the Oranges Second War of Haitian Independence Emmet s Insurrection War of the Third Coalition First Serbian Revolution Castle Hill rebellion Russo-Persian War First Egyptian Revolution Franco-Swedish War War of the Fourth Coalition Russo-Turkish War Ashanti-Fante War Peninsular War Gunboat War Anglo-Russian War Anglo-Turkish War I Anglo-Turkish War II Rum Rebellion Finnish War Spanish Restoration Dano-Swedish war War of the Fifth Coalition Quino Revolution Tyrol Rebellion Bolivian War of Independence Argentine War of Independence Chilean War of Independence Mexican War of Independence Invasion of Java Battle of Las Piedras Paraguayan Revolt Venezuelan War of Independence Peruvian War of Independence Invasion of Russia War of the Sixth Coalition Swedish-Norwegian War Hadzi s Revolt Second Serbian Revolution War of the Seventh Coalition Neapolitan War Caucasian War Ecuadorian war of Independence Trienio Liberal Ottoman-Persian War Reconquesta of Mexico Padri War Greek War of Independence Brazilian War of Independence Java War Russia-Persian War Russo-Turkish War July Revolution November Uprising Belgian Revolution Egypt-Ottoman war First Carlist War Pastry War Greater Poland Uprising French Revolution of 1848 Italian Revolution of 1848 German Revolution of 1848 Austrian Revolution of 1848 Czech Revolution of 1848 First Italian War of Independence Hungarian War of Independence First Schleswig War Crimean War Second Italian War of Independence January Uprising Second Schleswig War Austro-Prussian War Third Italian War of Independence Glorious Revolution Ten Years War Franco-Prussian War Third Carlist War Cantonal Revolution Russo-Turkish War First Boer War Serbo-Bulgarian War Greco-Turkish War Second Boer War Russo-Japanese War Italo-Turkish war First Balkan War Second Balkan war

3 Understanding American Success: North American Wars that Impacted Food Production/Transport War of 1812 American Civil War

4 Understanding American Success: The American Geography

5 The End of the (Old) World 1944: Bretton Woods Empires abolished Free trade established U.S. market access granted All shipping protected Security guaranteed Global peace and prosperity

6 60% 50% 40% The End of the (Old) World: Trade? What Trade? Exports/Imports as a Percent of GDP, 2013 Exports Imports 30% 20% 10% 0%

7 Shifting Demographies

8 Shifting Demographies

9 Shifting Demographies

10 Shifting Demographies

11 Shifting Demographies

12 Shifting Demographies

13 Shale s New Rules: 3D/4D Seismic

14

15

16

17 Eye on the Competition

18 Eye on the Competition

19 Eye on the Competition

20 Eye on the Competition

21 Eye on the Competition

22 Brazil s Geographic Challenges

23 Brazil s Geographic Challenges

24 Agriculture: The Big Picture

25

26 Lord of the Cows: New Zealand

27 Lord of the Cows: New Zealand

28 Viva Mexico!

29 Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Mexico China Viva Mexico! 1) U.S. shale 2) China labor subsidies failing ) Young 300 demographics 4) Drug war helps a lot Average Monthly Wages, USD

30 Viva Mexico! 1) U.S. shale 2) China labor subsidies failing 3) Young demographics 4) Drug war helps a lot

31 Although There Is That Drug Thing From Miami Vice to cartels Supply chains

32 The outheast Asian Boom

33 The outheast Asian Boom

34 The outheast Asian Boom

35

36 Percent exported Danger States North America Southeast Asia US Beef Ohio Beef US Pork Ohio Pork US Poultry Ohio Poultry US Dairy Ohio Dairy US Eggs Ohio Eggs

37

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