Grain Monitoring Program

Transcription

1 Pr. Rupert Vancouver Grain Monitoring Program Weekly Performance Update.November, 1 For 1 (1-19 CY) Summary 1. Stocks in Store (' tonnes) Country Elevators % of Working T his Week Last Week Var. fro m Last Year 3,.3 3,.7-1% 7% 7% Terminal Elevators 1,.7 1,31.1-7% % of Working 71% 7%. Country Deliveries (' tonnes) Country Deliveries 3. Railcar Supply to Western Ports (Cars) CN Allocation Plan CN Unloads CP Allocation Plan CP Unloads. Port Performance (Cars) Total Weekly Unloads -Week Rolling Average Var. to -Week Rolling Average YTD Unloads Weekly Out-of-Car Time 99. 1,.7-1%,7,71 %,1,3 13% n/a n/a n/a 3,,3 %,7 9,191 9% 9,79,93 n/a -% 3% n/a 117,39 1,9-1% 7.%.1% -.%. Terminal Shipments Year-to-Date (' tonnes) Vancouver Prince Rupert Churchill Thunder Bay Total Western Canada. Vessels as at Nov 1, 1,.1,9.3-7% 1,7.3 1,3.7 17%.9.9 n/a,1.3,9. -3% 1,3. 9,1.7-3% Week 1 Week 1 Var. fro m Last Year Vessel Lineup in port % Vessels Cleared 1 % Vessels Arrived 11 9 n/a Vessel Lineup in port -3% Vessels Cleared 3 3 % Vessels Arrived n/a 1. Stocks in Store: (Page ) Country stocks decreased to 3.7 MMT in Week 1 utilizing 7% of the system s working capacity. Space in primary elevators is good. Total western port terminal stocks decreased to 1. MMT in Week 1, utilizing 71% of the working capacity.. Country Deliveries: (Page ) Producer deliveries were 99, tonnes in Week Railcar Supply: (Page 3) Railcar allocation plans are supplied by CN to Week 17 of the 1-19 grain year (see page 3 for details).. Port Performance: (Page ) Total western port unloads were % lower than the -week moving average and 9% higher than Week 1 last year. West Coast unloads were 7, cars (Vancouver,73 and Prince Rupert 1,339), % lower than the -week moving average and 17% higher than Week 1 last year. Thunder Bay unloads were 1, cars, 11% lower than the -week moving average and 1% lower than Week 1 last year. Year-to-date total western port unloads are 1% lower than the same period last year. The corresponding tonnage is 1% higher than the same period last year. The total average terminal out-of-car time (OCT) decreased to 7.% from.1% in the previous week. The OCT time for Week 1 was 7.% at Vancouver and.3% at Thunder Bay. At the time of publishing, Prince Rupert has not yet reported their Week 1 out-of-car time.. Shipments: (Page ) Year-to-date Western Canadian shipments from port terminal elevators at Week 1 are 3% lower than the same period last year and % lower than the 3-year average.. Vessels: (Page ) Week 1 lineup at Vancouver increased to a total of vessels (The current one-year average at Vancouver is vessels). Of the, were at berth, 1 were anchored at English Bay, 9 were anchored off Vancouver Island, and 1 was anchored at Burrard Inlet. Prince Rupert vessel lineup decreased to vessels (The current one-year average at Prince Rupert is vessels). Vessels cleared from Vancouver were, and from Prince Rupert were 3 in Week 1 of the 1-19 crop year. Vessels Inbound Nov 19, 1 to Nov, 1 (Week 17) Vancouver Prince Rupert 7. Weather Winnipeg <- o C Edmonton <- o C Vancouver Days Precip > mm Week 1 Actual Week 1 Actual Week 17 Forecast Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for Week 1

2 Tonnes () Tonnes () 1. Stocks in Store 1-A1 Country Stocks ( tonnes) Week 1 1-B1 Terminal Stocks ( tonnes) Week 1 MB SK AB BC Total VC PR West Coast CH TB Total ,9. 1, , , ,99. 1,7..3 3,11. 3-Yr Avg , ,. Var % - LY -1% -1% % -% -% Var % 3-Yr Avg. Storage Estimated Working 1-19 % of Wkg Cap -% % % -9% % 1,9.7,1., ,77. 1,3.3,. 1,3..7,99. 7% 73% 7% 7% 7% 17-1 n/a n/a ,1.7 3-Yr Avg. n/a n/a ,1. Var % - LY n/a n/a 3% -9% -3% 11% Var % 3-Yr Avg. Storage n/a n/a % -9% % 1% , ,17.,. Estimated Working , % of Wkg Cap 7% % 7% 1% 79% 71% Note: CGC Weekly Statistics between 13-1 and 17-1 Crop Years reported Vancouver and Prince Rupert terminal stocks as a combined West Coast total. As of 1-19 these are separated. 1-A Weekly Country Stocks in Store 1-B Weekly Terminal Stocks in Store Tonnes (),, 3, 3,,, 1, 1, Yr Avg.. Country Deliveries 1, 1, 1, 1, Yr Avg. -A Weekly Country Deliveries ( tonnes) - Week 1 -B 1-19 Weekly Country Deliveries vs 17-1 MB SK AB BC Total Wk Avg ,13. Var % to Last Year -% 11% -9% 1% % Var % To Wk Avg -3% -% -1% % -1% 1, 1, 1, 1, Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for Week 1

3 3. Railcar Supply Special Note to readers: CP discontinued publishing weekly railcar spotting plans in Week 1 of the 1-1 crop year (GCRS Service Report). CN continues to publish a weekly plan and the graphs below reflect CN s plan to Week 17 of Note that the orders accepted do not necessarily reflect shipper demand, but rather the railways acceptance of shippers car orders. When both railways provide the order fulfillment data requested with the expansion of the GMP mandate, which was announced on February 3, 1, a complete set of metrics will be presented. 3 A: Canadian National Planned Car Allocation vs. Demand (cars) To Week Crop Year 3 B3: Canadian National Planned Car Allocation to Western Ports Vs. Corridor Unloads at Port (cars) Prince Rupert,,, 1,, 1,, 17-1 Demand 1-19 Demand PRG Alloc 17-1 PRG Alloc Plan 1-19 Plan PRG UL 17-1 PRG UL B1: Canadian National Planned Car Allocation to Western Ports Vs. Corridor Unloads at Port (cars) Thunder Bay 1, 1, 1, 7 3 C1: Canadian Pacific Planned Car Allocation to Western Ports vs. Corridor Unloads at Port (cars) Thunder Bay,, 1, 1, TBay Alloc 17-1 TBay Alloc 1-19 TBay Alloc 17-1 TBay Alloc 1-19 TBay UL 17-1 TBay UL 1-19 TBay UL 17-1 TBay UL B: Canadian National Planned Car Allocation to Western Ports Vs. Corridor Unloads at Port (cars) Vancouver, 3, 3,,, 1, 1, 3 C: Canadian Pacific Planned Car Allocation to Western Ports vs. Corridor Unloads at Port (cars) Vancouver, 3, 3,,, 1, 1, Van Alloc 17-1 Van Alloc 1-19 Van UL 17-1 Van UL 1-19 Van Alloc 17-1 Van Alloc 1-19 Van UL 17-1 Van UL 1-19 Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for Week 1 3

4 . Port Performance A Weekly Unloads by Port (Cars) This Year for Week 1, Week Moving Average and Variances Vancouver Prince Rupert West Coast Thunder Bay Churchill Total 1-19,73 1,339 7, 1, -,7 17-1,77 1,33,1 1,9 -, -Wk Avg.,3 1,31 7,179 1,91-9,79 Var % to Last Year % % 17% -1% n/a 9% Var % to -Wk Avg. -% % -% -11% n/a -% B Terminal Unloads by Port This Year-to-Date as at Week 1 and Variances YTD Unloads (cars) Vancouver Prince Rupert West Coast Thunder Bay Churchill Total ,3 17,373,97, - 117, ,1 1,79 7,9 3,1-11, 3-Yr Avg 7,9 1,91 7,3 3,9-117,9 Var % to Last Year -1% 1% 1% -% n/a -1% Var % to 3-Yr Avg 1% % 1% -% n/a -1% YTD Unloads (' tonnes) 1-19,. 1,1.,.3,. - 1, ,1. 1,13. 7,97., ,7.1 3-Yr Avg., ,. 7,91.,. - 1,73.3 Var % to Last Year -1% 1% % -3% n/a 1% Var % to 3-Yr Avg. 1% % % -% n/a % C Vancouver Unloads (cars) -E Thunder Bay Unloads (cars) (This Year vs. Last Year and the 3 Year Average) (This Year vs. Last Year and the 3 Year Average) 7,,,, 3, 3,,, 1,, 1, Yr Avg. D Prince Rupert Unloads (cars) (This Year vs. Last Year and the 3 Year Average), 1, 1, Yr Avg. 1, Yr Avg. -F Weekly Out-of-Car Time (% of hours out-of-cars / total hours working) by Port to Week 1 % % % % % 3% 3% % % 1% 1% % % Van - North Shore Van - South Shore Prince Rupert Thunder Bay Out-of-car time is measured weekly and uses data from terminal elevators on the total number of hours the facilities are open & staffed (including overtime hours) and the corresponding number of hours that terminals have no railcars available to unload. The measure is expressed as a percentage (hours without cars to the total number of hours working). Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for Week 1

5 # Vessels # Days # Vessels # Days # Vessels # Vessels ' tonnes -G Monthly Unloads (cars) This year vs. Last Year and the 3-Year Average to Week 9 Months Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Weeks ,3 3,99, ,7 3,7 3,,9 9,9 3,3 19,1,1 3,3 3,3,37 7, 3-Yr Avg. 3,93 33,17 3,7, 3,, 3,1 3, 33,11 3,7,1,1 Var % to Last Year % -% % Var % to 3-Yr Avg. % -3% 1%. Shipments A Shipments from Port Terminals ( tonnes) This Year-to-Date as at Week 1 and Variance to Last Year-to-Date Vancouver Prince Rupert West Coast Thunder Bay Churchill Total 1-19,.1 1,7.3 7,7., , ,. 1,3. 7,.,9.9-1,3.9 3-Yr Avg.,1. 1,97. 7,1., ,. Var % to Last Year -7% 17% -3% -3% n/a -3% Var % to 3-Yr Avg. -3% % -1% -7% % -% -B Weekly Shipments ( tonnes) from Port Terminals - This year -Week moving avg. vs. last year -Week moving avg. and the 3-Year moving avg Vessels -A Vessel Lineup at Vancouver as of Week C Vessel Lineup at Prince Rupert as of Week Loading Waiting < Days Waiting - 1 Days Waiting 1-1 Days Waiting > 1 Days Total Last Year Wk Moving Avg Wk Moving Avg. 3-Yr Moving Avg Loading Waiting < Days Waiting - 1 Days Waiting 1-1 Days Waiting > 1 Days Total Last Year -B Vessels Cleared at Vancouver up to Week D Vessels Cleared at Prince Rupert up to Week Avg Days In Port (1-19) Avg Days In Port (1-19) Note: To determine Avg Days in Port, Quorum first establishes which vessels cleared port in each specific grain week. Then, the number of days each cleared vessel spent in port is calculated by subtracting the date of arrival from the date of departure. Lastly, an average of these days is produced for the week, which yields Avg Days in Port. The measure uses vessel data provided by the BC Chamber of Shipping Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for Week 1

6 Temp (Celsius) Precip (mm) 7. Weather 7-A Actual and Forecasted Weather at Winnipeg up to Week 17 Temp (Celsius) Precip (mm) Precip. (Actual) Precip. (Forecast 3-Yr Avg. Temp. Avg. Temp. (Actual) Avg. Temp. (Forecast) Temp. Threshold* 7-B Actual and Forecasted Weather at Edmonton up to Week 17 Temp (Celsius) Precip (mm) Precip. (Actual) Precip. (Forecast 3-Yr Avg. Temp. Avg. Temp. (Actual) Avg. Temp. (Forecast) Temp. Threshold* 7-C Actual and Forecasted Weather at Vancouver up to Week Precip. (Actual) Precip. (Forecast 3-Yr Avg. Temp. Avg. Temp. (Actual) Avg. Temp. (Forecast) Precip. Threshold* *Note: Precip Threshold refers to mm of rain. At this level of precipitation, vessel loading may be delayed. The duration of the delay will be dependent on the ship, the duration of rainfall, and the amount of precipitation. mm is a general guideline and is not meant to be a definitive limit. Source: Environment Canada, The Weather Network (Forecast) Update and Briefing on 1-19 Crop Year for Week 1