Survey of Cuban-Americans:

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1 One Year After the Normalization of United States-Cuba Relations 17 December 2015

2 Methodology SAMPLE 400 Cuban and Cuban American adults living in the United States DATES OF INTERVIEWS December 14-16, 2015 LANGUAGES OF INTERVIEWS MARGIN OF ERROR Spanish and English +/- 4.9 percentage points 2

3 Do you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama? Favorable 46% Unfavorable 50% No answer 4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 3

4 Do you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama? December 2014 December 2015 Favorable 41% 46% Unfavorable 55% 50% Do not recognize 1% 0% No answer 3% 4% 4

5 Do you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama? BY AGE Favorable 53% 44% 39% Unfavorable 45% 52% 52% No answer 2% 4% 9% 5

6 Do you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama? BY DECADE OF ARRIVAL Before 1980 After 1980 Favorable 30% 58% Unfavorable 63% 37% No answer 7% 5% 6

7 Do you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama? BY PARTY AFFILIATION Democrat Republican Favorable 65% 27% Unfavorable 51% 63% No answer 1% 7% 7

8 How would you rate the job that President Barack Obama is doing specifically with regard to United States policy towards Cuba? Excellent/Good 15% 31% 46% Mediocre/Poor 18% 26% 44% Don't know/no answer 10% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 8

9 How would you rate the job that President Barack Obama is doing specifically with regard to United States policy towards Cuba? December 2014 December 2015 Favorable 33% 46% Unfavorable 60% 44% Don t know/no answer 7% 10% 9

10 How would you rate the job that President Barack Obama is doing specifically with regard to United States policy towards Cuba? BY AGE Favorable 54% 46% 38% Unfavorable 39% 46% 48% Don t know/no answer 7% 8% 14% 10

11 How would you rate the job that President Barack Obama is doing specifically with regard to United States policy towards Cuba? BY DECADE OF ARRIVAL Before 1980 After 1980 Favorable 32% 56% Unfavorable 57% 30% Don t know/no answer 11% 14% 11

12 How would you rate the job that President Barack Obama is doing specifically with regard to United States policy towards Cuba? BY PARTY AFFILIATION Democrat Republican Favorable 64% 28% Unfavorable 22% 67% Don t know/no answer 14% 5% 12

13 How would you rate the job that President Barack Obama is doing specifically with regard to United States policy towards Cuba? BY REGION Florida Elsewhere in the U.S. Favorable 41% 56% Unfavorable 50% 34% Don t know/no answer 9% 10% 13

14 Do you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of Raul Castro? Favorable 3% Unfavorable 90% No answer 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 14

15 Do you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of Fidel Castro? Favorable 1% Unfavorable 96% No answer 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 15

16 On December 17 th, 2014 President Obama announced that the United States would begin to normalize relations with Cuba for the first time since Normalizing relations with Cuba would mean reestablishing an embassy in Havana; carrying out high-level exchanges and visits between the two governments; working with Cuba on issues like drug trafficking, environmental protection and human trafficking; easing travel restrictions; allowing greater banking ties; raising the level of remittances allowed to be sent to Cuban nationals; and allowing American travelers to import goods from Cuba. C

17 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s decision to normalize relations with Cuba? 8% Agree 36% 56% Disagree Don t know/ No answer 17

18 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s decision to normalize relations with Cuba? December 2014 April 2015 December 2015 Agree 44% 51% 56% Disagree 48% 40% 36% Don t know/no answer 8% 8% 8% 18

19 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s decision to normalize relations with Cuba? BY AGE Agree 77% 48% 41% Disagree 19% 40% 51% No answer 4% 12% 8% 19

20 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s decision to normalize relations with Cuba? BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN United States Cuba Agree 80% 49% Disagree 16% 42% Don t know/no answer 4% 9% 20

21 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s decision to normalize relations with Cuba? BY DECADE OF ARRIVAL Before 1980 After 1980 Agree 38% 59% Disagree 54% 30% Don t know/no answer 8% 11% 21

22 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s decision to normalize relations with Cuba? BY PARTY AFFILIATION Democrat Republican Agree 75% 36% Disagree 20% 60% Don t know/no answer 5% 4% 22

23 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s decision to normalize relations with Cuba? BY REGION Florida Elsewhere in the U.S. Agree 52% 63% Disagree 40% 29% Don t know/no answer 8% 8% 23

24 Should President Obama visit Cuba before he leaves office? 52% 6% Yes 42% No Don t know/ No answer 24

25 Should President Obama visit Cuba before he leaves office? BY DECADE OF ARRIVAL Before 1980 After 1980 Yes 36% 44% No 56% 50% Don t know/no answer 8% 6% 25

26 Should President Obama visit Cuba before he leaves office? BY PARTY AFFILIATION Democrat Republican Yes 57% 29% No 40% 65% Don t know/no answer 3% 6% 26

27 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? 16% Embargo should 31% continue 53% Embargo should not continue Don't know/ No Answer 27

28 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? December 2014 April 2015 December 2015 Embargo should continue 40% 36% 31% Embargo should not continue 44% 47% 53% Don t know/no answer 16% 7% 16% 28

29 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? BY AGE Embargo should continue 21% 34% 38% Embargo should not continue 66% 52% 39% Don t know/no answer 13% 14% 23% 29

30 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN United States Cuba Embargo should continue 22% 33% Embargo should not continue 76% 45% Don t know/no answer 2% 22% 30

31 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? BY PARTY AFFILIATION Democrat Republican Embargo should continue 29% 46% Embargo should not continue 61% 42% Don t know/no answer 11% 12% 31

32 The Cuban Adjustment Act, signed into law in 1966 for those who escaped Cuba after Castro took power, is a policy that grants a fast-track to permanent residency for any Cuban who arrives on U.S. soil after a temporary parole period of one year and a day. Now that relations between the U.S. and Cuba have been normalized, do you believe the Cuban Adjustment Act should be continued or do you believe that this policy should be repealed? 34% 16% Continue the Cuban Adjustment Act 50% Repeal the Cuban Adjustment Act Don t know/ No answer 32

33 The Cuban Adjustment Act, signed into law in 1966 for those who escaped Cuba after Castro took power, is a policy that grants a fast-track to permanent residency for any Cuban who arrives on U.S. soil after a temporary parole period of one year and a day. Now that relations between the U.S. and Cuba have been normalized, do you believe the Cuban Adjustment Act should be continued or do you believe that this policy should be repealed? BY DECADE OF ARRIVAL Continue the Cuban Adjustment Act Repeal the Cuban Adjustment Act Before 1980 After % 59% 37% 29% Don t know/no answer 19% 12% 33

34 The Cuban Adjustment Act, signed into law in 1966 for those who escaped Cuba after Castro took power, is a policy that grants a fast-track to permanent residency for any Cuban who arrives on U.S. soil after a temporary parole period of one year and a day. Now that relations between the U.S. and Cuba have been normalized, do you believe the Cuban Adjustment Act should be continued or do you believe that this policy should be repealed? BY PARTY AFFILIATION Continue the Cuban Adjustment Act Repeal the Cuban Adjustment Act Democrat Republican 59% 41% 25% 45% Don t know/no answer 16% 14% 34

35 Should Cuban refugees and asylees who are currently detained in Costa Rica, Ecuador and other Latin American countries and who are trying to immigrate to the United States be allowed into the United States or should they be made to return to Cuba? 18% 17% Allowed in the United States 65% Made to return to Cuba Don t know/ No answer 35

36 Should Cuban refugees and asylees who are currently detained in Costa Rica, Ecuador and other Latin American countries and who are trying to immigrate to the United States be allowed into the United States or should they be made to return to Cuba? BY AGE Allowed in the U.S. 60% 64% 70% Made to return to Cuba 21% 17% 14% Don t know/no answer 19% 19% 16% 36

37 Should Cuban refugees and asylees who are currently detained in Costa Rica, Ecuador and other Latin American countries and who are trying to immigrate to the United States be allowed into the United States or should they be made to return to Cuba? BY REGION Florida Elsewhere in the U.S. Allowed in the U.S. 61% 71% Made to return to Cuba 20% 12% Don t know/no answer 19% 17% 37

38 Have you visited Cuba since December 17 th of 2014? 93% 7% Yes No 38

39 Do you plan to visit Cuba in the near future? 6% Yes 33% 61% No Don t know/ No answer 39

40 Do you plan to visit Cuba in the near future? BY AGE Yes 47% 28% 21% No 46% 65% 74% Don t know/no answer 7% 7% 5% 40

41 Do you plan to visit Cuba in the near future? BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN United States Cuba Yes 46% 29% No 48% 65% Don t know/no answer 6% 6% 41

42 Do you plan to visit Cuba in the near future? BY DECADE OF ARRIVAL Before 1980 After 1980 Yes 23% 34% No 74% 57% Don t know/no answer 3% 9% 42

43 Do you plan to visit Cuba in the near future? BY PARTY AFFILIATION Democrat Republican Yes 49% 25% No 47% 68% Don t know/no answer 4% 7% 43

44 DEMOGRAPHICS

45 Gender 55% 45% Male Female 45

46 Language of Interview 41% 59% Spanish English 46

47 Age 35% 35% 30% 26% 27% 25% 20% 15% 12% 10% 5% 0% or older 47

48 In what country were you born? 24% Cuba 76% United States 48

49 In what year did you come to the United States from Cuba? ASKED ONLY OF THOSE BORN IN CUBA 35% 30% 35% 25% 20% 15% 13% 19% 17% 14% 10% 5% 0% 1960s or before 1970s 1980s 1990s After 2000 Don t know/ No answer 2% 49

50 Are you registered to vote? 26% Yes 74% No 50

51 What is your political party registration? ASKED ONLY OF REGISTERED VOTERS 1% 14% 50% 35% Democrat Republican Independent Other 51

52 One Year After the Normalization of United States-Cuba Relations 17 December 2015 For more information, contact: Fernand R. Amandi Principal

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